Exactly. A blow-out Trump win over Biden has turned into a comfortable/close Trump win over Harris.
Pew had Trump +4 over Biden in July buddy.
If we run the tape back here a bit making the switch was not sold as a promise of an easy victory in the Presidential election. It was a risk to make the race competitive once again which she has so far accomplished and to increase Dem eagerness to vote which will flow down ballot preventing the loss of winnable seats.
Mike Collins claims immigrants are hunting and eating ducks in the city park.
What?! ... No babies?
I guess they could be dumping dead bears in the park instead.
Is he trying to take the attention off kids being blown away dead in his district?
And GQPers blast ducks out of the sky and eat them.Mike Collins claims immigrants are hunting and eating ducks in the city park.
What?! ... No babies?
I guess they could be dumping dead bears in the park instead.
Is he trying to take the attention off kids being blown away dead in his district?
Don't underestimate the turnout of women, african-americans, and younger voters who are not in the Gaza or nothing else fringe.
Trump is all about nicknames. He makes up his themes out of thin air according to what might stick in fly paper brains, searches his meagre mind for a one word label, settles on it, then takes his opportunities to send it into media-land. It's his m.o.
She's only getting 70-72% of African Americans (covered today extensively in Majority Report). Trump is getting a healthy 20% or more of them.
I was skeptical of this when Biden was the nominee and even more so now that it is Harris.
I dub thee, the site TITPB. You figure it out.Then you're really not going to like the gains Trump has made with Latino voters.
Then you're really not going to like the gains Trump has made with Latino voters.
How about you go look at the 2008 election. Depending on where you get your polling information, those polls, had Obama ahead of McCain, McCain ahead of Obaman, or tied.. What where the results of that election?And for context, the same Pew Poll the last few cycles at this point in time:
September 2024
Trump: 49
Harris: 49
September 2020
Trump: 42
Biden: 52
September 2016
Trump: 39
Clinton: 46
I thought the post-Biden bump would at least give Harris a chance...if not to win but to at worst lose in a close race.
These are "lose easily" numbers. To be tied nationally with the GOP's built-in EC advantage is simply a disaster at this point.
Let's see what happens tomorrow, but if it goes well enough for Harris, barring any any crazy October surprise, I don't think the polls are taking into account voter turnout for the Democrats. I'm talking about people that are going to show up and vote. I think the polls are missing that.
What comes into play is how many people are getting disenfranchised by the Republicans
LOL The NYT hit us with the following gem. WTFFFF!Looks like the NYT was finally bullied into talking about this lol
Other than his rally-going fans, who mainly appear entertained and often understand the cryptic, unexplained shorthand references he makes, most voters have not been exposed to Mr. Trump’s stream-of-consciousness style at much length lately.
That's an example of the audience. 'Too Conservative' should be well above 70%.That one had me puzzled too, had to do a little digging to get to what they used to get that phrasing.
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I keep using the term Carnival Barker. He musters the crowd into the tents with the things that get them curious without letting them find out the Bearded Lady is really just a guy in a dress. Even when they see for themselves, they still believe it's a lady with a beard because that's the way the show was sold and that's what they paid to see.It really struck me when I hear pundits saying Trump is basically an entertainer. Sort of like letting an old b movie actor become president. What could go wrong?