Let me tell you about independents here..
I see and meet candidates and surrogates canvassing.. and I tell them to their face.. I'm not voting for any Trump supporter or policy.
They claim they're an independent. I don't say anything back but I'm intrigued to at least research the handout flyer.
Type in their name and they're exact same maga positions and praise of Trump.
Simply put, if they are canvassing the area, they are almost guaranteed not to be independents.
Try talking to an actual independent who isn't working for a specific candidate or a specific party. I believe that I have voted for 4 different political parties (including multiple parties for president), usually splitting the ticket in at least some way each time I vote. I have never been all-in for any candidate or any party. I see virtues and flaws in all of them. To me, that makes me independent.
In an actual poll of people watching the debate, Harris "won" by 53% and Trump "won" by 34%.
https://substack.com/inbox/post/148756500 I'd like to see how that shows up in the actual national (and more importantly) swing state polls.
Or if you want to look at a recent national poll, Harris is up 50% to 48% in likely:
https://substack.com/@socaldata/p-147894175 That means there are 2% of voters not currently planning on voting for either candidate (that is, they are independent). If you look at the same poll at registered voters, another 2% just aren't likely to vote at all.
Note: my political beliefs of a left-leaning libertarian are basically the exact opposite of Trump (right-leaning authoritarian).