She flinched at MAGA back in 2015 and 2016.
It cost her the world at Fox News. Her rising stardom turned into an ended career.
That she'd come crawling back to MAGA after everything... tells you her intention.
She flinched at MAGA back in 2015 and 2016.And the interviewer didn't even flinch.
Nate silver did some modeling and the upper bound of "wins popular vote but loses EC" topped out around 5%, meaning Harris could be +5% and she has about a 1% probability of losing the EC. 2% PV win and it's like a coin flip in the EC. Needless to say, there aren't any scenarios worth considering in a +20% PV situation where she loses the EC. The math just don't math.Probably doesn't mean a whole lot to me. Harris will probably win the popular vote means absolutely nothing to me. Who cares if she wins the popular vote, it doesn't mean she wins the Electoral College. Statistics are a parcel of data that have been analyzed. It provides useful data, it does not determine who wins an Electoral College victory given the actual rules within the Constitution.
If Harris win 60% of the popular vote, she'll probably win the Electoral College. That's great and all, but it's also possible that she wins 60% and also loses the Electoral College. I guess it's some kind of coping mechanism to look at the popular vote polling, but it sure as shit shouldn't be.
90%...71%...
And what about the last 20 years of "modern" elections?
Now it's down to 66%.
Do we want to start talking about trends too?
Polls don't matter. The popular vote doesn't matter. It's down to hundredths of a percent in swing states. I've actually done the math on that one right here on these forums. I believe it got the whistle-past-the-graveyard treatment if I remember correctly.
It's not just today. I see it often in this particular forum. Very rarely is a woman mentioned where her hotness (or lack thereof) isn't mentioned. It feels increasingly gross, especially because objectifying women and (essentially) reducing their worth to how attractive they are is directly out of the Right's playbook. We're supposed to be better than that.
Look, I respect you and your posts, and I understand that this forum is basically a sausage-fest, but I feel that this needs to be called out for the betterment of our particular community.
oh boy she’s gonna get mean presidential “truths” or whatever that shit company the former President is involved with.This is an EMERGENCY ALERT!
Head to safety! Get cover, get out of town, take your families away from MaraLago.. Trump's gonna blow!!!
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Wow. So instead of having some self reflection and an honest discussion, you stick you fingers in your ears and block me.I’m fucking 70 years old and don’t participate in your sausage-fest fantasies.
I was making a tongue-in-cheek comment about her physique vs the other dancers in the video shaking their added in the camera. Even Swift seemed to suggest this “joke” by the choreography and dancers used.
Sorry your limited imagination drew you to your mindless conclusion.
You are now unavailable to me…my first.
Cheers
nah, AT forums member did his own math. 🤣Nate silver did some modeling and the upper bound of "wins popular vote but loses EC" topped out around 5%, meaning Harris could be +5% and she has about a 1% probability of losing the EC. 2% PV win and it's like a coin flip in the EC. Needless to say, there aren't any scenarios worth considering in a +20% PV situation where she loses the EC. The math just don't math.
She is shocked that the king of the leopards who eat faces party actually tried to eat someone’s face.This is an EMERGENCY ALERT!
Head to safety! Get cover, get out of town, take your families away from MaraLago.. Trump's gonna blow!!!
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I always thought "deplorables" only applied to the small minority of the far right. It seems to be more and more applicable to wide swaths of Republicans these days, though.It's amazing that this simulation just keeps showing us Trumpers and the Trump party had not nearly shown us their worst, and they continue to prove their depravity is completely bottomless every damn day. Impressive.
I always thought "deplorables" only applied to the small minority of the far right. It seems to be more and more applicable to wide swaths of Republicans these days, though.
Nobody cares that somebody didn't even take a shot at him.
I suppose that's true; it's just that his supporters numbers have grown since then (to my astonishment)Hillary said that half of Trump supporters were in a "basket of deplorables" which seems still accurate if perhaps overly generous to some of them.
If the first didn't bump his numbers where there was actual bloody fist pump pic out there, I don't see how this one will.It didn't seem to change the numbers the first time, but unclear how a second "attempt" in two months changes things, or not. Uncharted waters, all of it.
It's amazing that this simulation just keeps showing us Trumpers and the Trump party had not nearly shown us their worst, and they continue to prove their depravity is completely bottomless every damn day. Impressive.
JFC...all the things Trump has done and said, and being mean to her friend is the thing that decides her (if it actually does)?She is shocked that the king of the leopards who eat faces party actually tried to eat someone’s face.
It was probably half when she said it. It's more than half now, COVID and trumpism saw to that.Hillary said that half of Trump supporters were in a "basket of deplorables" which seems still accurate if perhaps overly generous to some of them.
Most likely Mrs. Mahomes will quietly vote for Trump anyway. Could save her husband about 3% annually in federal income tax, so more money for her to spend.JFC...all the things Trump has done and said, and being mean to her friend is the thing that decides her (if it actually does)?
Case study in just how shallow and ignorant and self-centric the American public is.
I agree with you in general that people comment on women's looks way too much in contexts that it shouldn't come up in. But can you really be upset when men sexualize a women that has sexualized herself in a music video?It's not just today. I see it often in this particular forum. Very rarely is a woman mentioned where her hotness (or lack thereof) isn't mentioned. It feels increasingly gross, especially because objectifying women and (essentially) reducing their worth to how attractive they are is directly out of the Right's playbook. We're supposed to be better than that.
Look, I respect you and your posts, and I understand that this forum is basically a sausage-fest, but I feel that this needs to be called out for the betterment of our particular community.
I'm not saying that comment in itself was all the egregious, more completely unnecessary in the context. Sure, she's sexualized herself, but even so, the comment wasn't germane to the discussion. Little unnecessary side comments may be innocuous on their own, but they contribute to the overall tone of the forum.I agree with you in general that people comment on women's looks way too much in contexts that it shouldn't come up in. But can you really be upset when men sexualize a women that has sexualized herself in a music video?
Ah, yeah, I get what you are saying. Those little comments drive me nuts too. I usually notice it more when it about a politician or news anchor.I'm not saying that comment in itself was all the egregious, more completely unnecessary in the context. Sure, she's sexualized herself, but even so, the comment wasn't germane to the discussion. Little unnecessary side comments may be innocuous on their own, but they contribute to the overall tone of the forum.
For sure there are more egregious examples, and they've been irking me for a long time now. I happened to pick this one to speak up, partially because I was under the (mistaken) impression that Meghan would want to have an actual conversation about what I feel is a pretty big issue around here.
Yo. Also my introduction to the music of TS. Badass!Taylor's a decade ahead of the Trump attacks: