last day in vegas, black or red?

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JEDI

Lifer
Sep 25, 2001
30,160
3,302
126
Leaving tomorrow and feel like doing one last hurrah on the roulette table. Overall, I am on the negative for this trip, hopefully this one last bet will help me out a little. Its not going to be anything big, just a little bit, just for fun.

So, ATOT, black or red?

b4 u leave, can u goto casino royale (next to venetian) and take a look at what the minimum bet is for the craps table for 20x and 100x odds?
(it's listed on the sign by the dealer.)
 

bhanson

Golden Member
Jan 16, 2004
1,749
0
71
Or you can learn how to play poker and actually be a favorite to win money once you hit a reasonable level of proficiency.

Gambling is more fun when you're expected to win money and will do so over the long run.

(1/2 NL is not very hard to beat)
 

spidey07

No Lifer
Aug 4, 2000
65,469
5
76
b4 u leave, can u goto casino royale (next to venetian) and take a look at what the minimum bet is for the craps table for 20x and 100x odds?
(it's listed on the sign by the dealer.)

Probably still one or two bucks.
 
Oct 9, 1999
19,636
36
91
There's no system. I love roulette more than anything at the casino's. If I play colors I usually bet $10 on red. If I don't hit I double up on the same color. If I don't hit again, double up again, same color. Eventually it'll hit the other color. Except one time, it hit black 13 god damn times in a row. I lost a few hundred.
 

crownjules

Diamond Member
Jul 7, 2005
4,858
0
76
Or you can learn how to play poker and actually be a favorite to win money once you hit a reasonable level of proficiency.

Gambling is more fun when you're expected to win money and will do so over the long run.

(1/2 NL is not very hard to beat)

While sound advice, poker is not a group friendly game. For instance, I'm going to the casino for NYE with my GF and a couple friends. Sure I could go be an unsocial bastard and sit by myself for a few hours and probably win a couple hundred. Or I could hang out with my friends at the much more sociable games like BJ and Craps and have a good time and maybe make or lose a couple hundred.
 

Omegachi

Diamond Member
Mar 27, 2001
3,922
0
76
sorry guys, didn't get a chance to play roulette before I left vegas. I was going to put my money on black based on the minimal amount of responses I got from here...
 

Zeze

Lifer
Mar 4, 2011
11,210
1,080
126
I'll assume OP has never taken Statistics 101.
You cannot win money at roulette. You know that 0 and double 0? You know why they dont count as any color, or as an even or odd? Or as the first half or first third? Its to fuck you out of your money and it works. It was added specifically to ruin you average ensure over the long run the house always comes out ahead.
The only game with an even halfway decent chance is Blackjack, assuming they dont reshuffle the deck and you know how to count cards. Never take insurance, never split, never double down. Again, looking at the probability you cannot win money over the long run. Those features were added to ensure they get more money from you.

I agree with your general sentiment on gambling.

But bolded is terribly wrong. Playing a proper blackjack strategy minimizes house's edge down to 2% in winnings. But through proper doubling down and splitting, you gain a 2.5% edge against the house in PAYOUT (4.5% difference).

So in effect, you NEED to double down when needed in order to barely win.
 

Zeze

Lifer
Mar 4, 2011
11,210
1,080
126
As for Macamus Prime, I'm dissappointed an ATOT member didn't know any better.

Math always wins. Casino is a business venture, it's not gambling when they surely make profit. You bragging about being ahead of the curve is nothing special. You didn't do anything of skill to deserve it. Over the course of your life, you will lose. Everyone will lose.
 

JTsyo

Lifer
Nov 18, 2007
11,774
919
126
There's no system. I love roulette more than anything at the casino's. If I play colors I usually bet $10 on red. If I don't hit I double up on the same color. If I don't hit again, double up again, same color. Eventually it'll hit the other color. Except one time, it hit black 13 god damn times in a row. I lost a few hundred.

that works if you have a large enough pool of money to draw from. I'm guessing they also have max bets. Will they stop you from playing if they see this strat?

bet
double bet if you lose
back to original bet when you eventually win
 

Macamus Prime

Diamond Member
Feb 24, 2011
3,108
0
0
As for Macamus Prime, I'm dissappointed an ATOT member didn't know any better.

Math always wins. Casino is a business venture, it's not gambling when they surely make profit. You bragging about being ahead of the curve is nothing special. You didn't do anything of skill to deserve it. Over the course of your life, you will lose. Everyone will lose.

That's how luck works.

 

Zeze

Lifer
Mar 4, 2011
11,210
1,080
126
that works if you have a large enough pool of money to draw from. I'm guessing they also have max bets. Will they stop you from playing if they see this strat?

bet
double bet if you lose
back to original bet when you eventually win

Casino is not fucking stupid. There have genius statistcians and business analysts covered all bases for many many years before you cooked this up in 5 mins.

'Double Bet if you lose' won't work because:

1. Gambler's fallacy

2. Bet limits. Every table has them. If you double your bet everytime you lose, you'll reach that limit pretty fast as landing black 6-10 times in a row isn't uncommon. Once you hit the ceiling, then you're fucked. How you gonna bet $5000 from losing $2500 when the table limit is $3000? Game over. Oh, see 1. again.
 

Raincity

Diamond Member
Feb 17, 2000
4,477
12
81
I watched a well known poker player loose over 300K trying to beat the wheel over the course of nine months and finally gave up. Now he is banging it out on the BAC tables daily with the same luck.
 

JTsyo

Lifer
Nov 18, 2007
11,774
919
126
Casino is not fucking stupid. There have genius statistcians and business analysts covered all bases for many many years before you cooked this up in 5 mins.

'Double Bet if you lose' won't work because:

1. Gambler's fallacy

2. Bet limits. Every table has them. If you double your bet everytime you lose, you'll reach that limit pretty fast as landing black 6-10 times in a row isn't uncommon. Once you hit the ceiling, then you're fucked. How you gonna bet $5000 from losing $2500 when the table limit is $3000? Game over. Oh, see 1. again.

figured they would have a max bet. Gambler's fallacy doesn't apply since you don't have to keep betting red.
 

momeNt

Diamond Member
Jan 26, 2011
9,297
352
126
that works if you have a large enough pool of money to draw from. I'm guessing they also have max bets. Will they stop you from playing if they see this strat?

bet
double bet if you lose
back to original bet when you eventually win

They won't stop you from playing because if you are on a bad enough losing streak to hit the table max the martingale system blows up spectacularly.
 

GoodRevrnd

Diamond Member
Dec 27, 2001
6,803
581
126
Repost:
Out of my entire personal experience of playing roulette for the past 13 years (twice every year at 3 to 4 days each time), I have honestly had 0 and 00 hit a grand total of 3 times.

And out of the 10 times my girlfriend has played roulette, one of them she won $400 on a 00. Clearly we should always play 00!!
 
Last edited:

DayLaPaul

Platinum Member
Apr 6, 2001
2,072
0
76
Holy shit Macamus, lose the ego. You dead wrong, people called you out on it. The end. No sense in defending an indefensible position.
 
Oct 20, 2005
10,978
44
91
You missed the point,,..


... but, state it right before you missed it.



I never did that. The OP asked, I answered what I do. It's not like I am demanding a sticky be created or everyone replies with "/agreed" to my post.



Because it's pure luck - but, maybe no longer since I've pretty much jinxed it.

{:-(

Only problem with your post is the spreading of misinformation.

While you may play however you like, you stating a "50/50" chance at getting your money back from your play style is factually wrong.

Other than that, variance has been a good friend to you thus far.
 

Lifted

Diamond Member
Nov 30, 2004
5,752
2
0
Only problem with your post is the spreading of misinformation.

While you may play however you like, you stating a "50/50" chance at getting your money back from your play style is factually wrong.

To be fair, if anyone were to run to a casino based on his claims, lose their nut, and end up on the welfare line, it's probably safe to say they would have ended up there at some point anyway.

Other than that, variance has been a good friend to you thus far.

They don't call it dumb luck for nothing.

 

shortylickens

No Lifer
Jul 15, 2003
82,854
17,365
136
We should all show up to the airport his flight is returning to and beat the shit out of him for even going to Vegas.

I mean, if we are all going to be a bunch of killjoys, might as well go balls deep bat shit insane on the mother fucker for thinking he can have some fun.

He's in Vegas and posting on a nerd forum asking how to have fun.

Do you think maybe the dude just aint that fuckin cool to begin with?
 

darkxshade

Lifer
Mar 31, 2001
13,749
6
81
Chance of 999999...999 blacks in a row = .00000000000...001%

.00000000000...001 = 0

Thus... surefire way to beat the odds. How bout them apples?
 
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