Late 6970?

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T2k

Golden Member
Feb 24, 2004
1,664
5
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Did you seriously just link to The Inquirer?

Oh God, help us all...

Well so far you didn't link to anyone and posted factually wrong claims... at any rate my post is still vastly superior compared to some ignorant beliefs about the graphics market and business, I believe.
 

Arkadrel

Diamond Member
Oct 19, 2010
3,681
2
0
@96Firebird.

Thrid Quater was bad for AMD, becuase of how many mobile units they sell, and how much down the laptop sales went that quarter.

Even so, amd still sold more grafic cards total than nvidia did (if you look at total units sold).

Nvidia=16.7million units sold
AMD=16.95million units sold

*edit:

Also why are you guys talking market Share atm?
 

rgallant

Golden Member
Apr 14, 2007
1,361
11
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- FUD also seems to think it's a 3 billionish tranny chip ?
""This is somewhat surprising, as the 40nm process is rather mature. Nonetheless, building a 3 billion transistor chip was never going to be easy, a fact clearly demonstrated Nvidia's GF100.""

-so a lot bigger , 20-30 % more transistors for the 6970 over the 5870 if that was a informed leak.
 

Arkadrel

Diamond Member
Oct 19, 2010
3,681
2
0
TPU says the 580 is 520mm^2 (Nvidias words to him).
So its 9mm^2 smaller than the 480.

but its going to compete agasint a 6970 that is expected to be 360mm^2.

So chip for chip... the 580 probably costs 45% more to make (IF the costs scaled where linar, their not.. so it ll cost more than 45% (becuase bigger = less yeild %'s ontop of the added cost of just more waffer used pr chip)).

So nvidia probably wont get rich with their 580 if it goes into a price war with the 6970's.
 

Daedalus685

Golden Member
Nov 12, 2009
1,386
1
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TPU says the 580 is 520mm^2 (Nvidias words to him).
So its 9mm^2 smaller than the 480.

but its going to compete agasint a 6970 that is expected to be 360mm^2.

So chip for chip... the 580 probably costs 45% more to make (IF the costs scaled where linar, their not.. so it ll cost more than 45% (becuase bigger = less yeild %'s ontop of the added cost of just more waffer used pr chip)).

So nvidia probably wont get rich with their 580 if it goes into a price war with the 6970's.

The thing is though, none of us actually know the margins on these things Nvidia or AMD actually claim.

We can assume that the price cuts are not entirely absorbed by the partners, as there would be none left if this were the case. However, all we can say is the GPU is more expensive.

For all we know the margins on GPUs are healthy enough that both companies have room to move around and the cost of the GPU is relatively insignificant compared to the other costs (memory and board) and markups.

I have no idea how much the GDDR5 costs, but Nvidia clearly uses far slower memory (whether they use cheaper chips on purpose or are just saddled by their memory controller I don't know). Simply not enough to go on.

I suppose if they absolutely refuse to budge on price to compete we could make an educated guess that that is the profit point... but shrug.
 

Arkadrel

Diamond Member
Oct 19, 2010
3,681
2
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Im assumeing the reason amd doesnt use a wider width bus, and slower ram, is because theyve calculated its cheaper to go with a small bus and faster ram.

I dont think nvidia saves any $ by useing slightly slower ram + bigger bus.
But your right, it probably does counter a small bit of the size differnce.

Either way... both companys had losses the last quarter, in a few days nvidia is supposed to release financal data for their latest quarter.
 

toyota

Lifer
Apr 15, 2001
12,957
1
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The thing is though, none of us actually know the margins on these things Nvidia or AMD actually claim.

We can assume that the price cuts are not entirely absorbed by the partners, as there would be none left if this were the case. However, all we can say is the GPU is more expensive.

For all we know the margins on GPUs are healthy enough that both companies have room to move around and the cost of the GPU is relatively insignificant compared to the other costs (memory and board) and markups.

I have no idea how much the GDDR5 costs, but Nvidia clearly uses far slower memory (whether they use cheaper chips on purpose or are just saddled by their memory controller I don't know). Simply not enough to go on.

I suppose if they absolutely refuse to budge on price to compete we could make an educated guess that that is the profit point... but shrug.
they use 5000MHz gddr5 just like ATI but the controller was the bottleneck.
 

T2k

Golden Member
Feb 24, 2004
1,664
5
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TPU says the 580 is 520mm^2 (Nvidias words to him).
So its 9mm^2 smaller than the 480.

but its going to compete agasint a 6970 that is expected to be 360mm^2.

So chip for chip... the 580 probably costs 45% more to make (IF the costs scaled where linar, their not.. so it ll cost more than 45% (becuase bigger = less yeild %'s ontop of the added cost of just more waffer used pr chip)).

So nvidia probably wont get rich with their 580 if it goes into a price war with the 6970's.

The entire Fermi architecture is a financial disaster for Nvidia so far but they don't have a choice - it's either (non-x86) CUDA or die and gamers with GeForces good for making up the R&D costs, nothing else.
 

SolMiester

Diamond Member
Dec 19, 2004
5,331
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The entire Fermi architecture is a financial disaster for Nvidia so far but they don't have a choice - it's either (non-x86) CUDA or die and gamers with GeForces good for making up the R&D costs, nothing else.

Do we accept your statement as gospel like your total 230w power draw w\ OC i7 & 1000 core 5850...?...LMAO, I think not!
 

RussianSensation

Elite Member
Sep 5, 2003
19,458
765
126
AMD has a HUGE lead in market share, over 61% now. It's a fact, not something debatable, period.

The overall discrete market share is ~ 50.40% AMD / 49.60% for NV, whereby AMD is leading in the mobile sector, but NV has a 58.8% market share for desktop discrete graphics as of Q3, 2010.

Do we accept your statement as gospel like your total 230w power draw w\ OC i7 & 1000 core 5850...?...LMAO, I think not!

Sol, you have T2k confused with MrK6. ^_^

PS: i7 @150+ Watts? Where, at 4.5GHz?

Actually the power consumption of a Core i7 system increases +100W alone by going from 2.66ghz to 3.8ghz and another 100+W by going to 4.0ghz as shown by Tom's Hardware, depending on how much voltage you apply. Xbitlabs also shows at least +100W increase from stock Core i7 860 or i7 950 to 4.0ghz, and that's at a very reasonable 1.32-1.34V.
 
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T2k

Golden Member
Feb 24, 2004
1,664
5
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oc 5850 @ 1000 core w/voltage uses 200 watts alone.
oc i7 uses another 150+ watts.

He probably confuses me with someone else...
BTW I did run a 5850 OC'd but it was in my Precision T5400 which, being dual-slot, surely comes with at least 600W. Before that I had an XPS 8100 w/ an i7 but I don''t remember OC'ing anything in it (400W PSU was kinda shocking to see... )

PS: i7 @150+ Watts? Where, at 4.5GHz?

PS2: I might have OC'd one or the other in the 8100 too...
 
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Keysplayr

Elite Member
Jan 16, 2003
21,209
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Rumors for the 6970's are saying 360mm^2
The 58xx cards are 334mm^2 (from 1year ago)

So them makeing a chip thats 26mm^2 bigger is gonna give them problems with the 40nm?

Nvidia are doing 529mm^2.

360mm^2 is tiny compaired to that, and like I said amd has had more time with the 40nm proccess. They didnt have any problems with the 334mm^2 they did a year ago, I dont think today with even more understanding of 40nm they have problems with a 360mm^2.

Maybe the 360mm is false? Just as you're gesturing that the 69xx series being late rumor is false? Pick one?
 

Arkadrel

Diamond Member
Oct 19, 2010
3,681
2
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Much larger and complex?

Wasn't that fudzilla too?

From an interview with Eric Demers (AMD's GPU CTO), http://pc.watch.impress.co.jp/docs/column/kaigai/20101101_403541.html



Seems to be under 400mm^2 and only slightly larger than Cypress.


@Keysplayer
what does the cayman chip in size look like to you when you read it off the left hand? That does fit with the rumored 360mm^2 size people have been saying.

is it so hard to believe nvidia planted false "amd has yeild problems = huge delays" story? And that fud reported on it and made a artical out of it? It could mean people that might have waited for a 69xx to come out, instead bought a nvidia product instead of waiting.

If that doesnt sound believeable... its fudzilla.. how often is that dude right about things? <_<'


The rumored 360mm^2 could be wrong though, it is after all just a rumor.
 
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tviceman

Diamond Member
Mar 25, 2008
6,734
514
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From tomshardware gtx580 review:

On the other hand, we all know that AMD is planning to unveil its high-end Cayman design before the end of the year&#8212;and there&#8217;s not a ton of time between then and now. Regardless of how Cayman performs, it&#8217;s a fairly safe bet that prices will shift to reflect the relationship between that that card and this one. There's a twist, though. Back when the Radeon HD 6870/6850 launched, we were given a date for the Cayman debut. As we inch closer to it and nobody anywhere knows anything about it (board partners haven't seen cards, system builders are still in the dark), it begins to look like there may be delays. From what I've heard, AMD won't even be briefing its partners until after that original embargo date passes.

Makes you wonder whether he's just passing around the rumors he's read as fact OR there actually is something wrong with Cayman. http://www.tomshardware.com/reviews/geforce-gtx-580-gf110-geforce-gtx-480,2781-16.html
 
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