Mass shootings in Las Vegas

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highland145

Lifer
Oct 12, 2009
43,551
5,960
136
I have been following this horrific act in this forum, in the media and on other forums fairly diligently. There seems to be a number of unanswered questions, and about 15 conspiracy theories for each. The discussion here appears to me to be relatively subdued and tame, not that I am a fan of conspiracy theories, but there seems to be a number of things that just don't jive. Granted, this a strange guy doing a strange thing, but still.

First, the information released has been exceptionally sparse. We had 911 and Boston Marathon CCTV images relatively quickly. Here we have nothing. We are told that he acted alone and he is dead, so why the blackout? It is near guaranteed that there will be some things withheld, but there has be almost nothing.

Second, the assertion that he had an escape plan, but cannot be told anything further. If the perp is dead and there is no one else of interest, why conceal that?

Third, why a firearm count of 23 instead of three? He was obviously intelligent and meticulous. Why risk the whole operation? If he did have an escape plan, it would be interesting to see the plan for quickly removing those firearms. Presumably, at least one of them would be traceable to him.

Forth, given the amount of ammo this guy went through, he should have been "ankle deep in brass". Not literally of course, but the crime scene does not appear like that at all.

Lastly, the entire story of the encounter with the security guard seems off:

Initially he was the hero who ran up there, got shot, and compelled the gunman to off himself. A week later he is there before the shooting, perhaps triggering the beginning of the shooting rather than ending it. Two hundred rounds fired and he has one non life threatening injury. Just that event should have dispensed a lot of brass.​

He is the only witness we know of. Why have we not seen him 100 times on video?​

How can someone shoot 200 rifle rounds through his hotel room door and yet we have not heard a peep from anyone on thee same floor with some type of damage in their room, or at least having heard something?​

I don't have my own conspiracy theory, in part because there is so little information available. The strange thing is that each bit of information seems to be questionable in one way or another.
SNAP off to the lurker thread to brag.
 

BudAshes

Lifer
Jul 20, 2003
13,920
3,203
146
I have been following this horrific act in this forum, in the media and on other forums fairly diligently. There seems to be a number of unanswered questions, and about 15 conspiracy theories for each. The discussion here appears to me to be relatively subdued and tame, not that I am a fan of conspiracy theories, but there seems to be a number of things that just don't jive. Granted, this a strange guy doing a strange thing, but still.

First, the information released has been exceptionally sparse. We had 911 and Boston Marathon CCTV images relatively quickly. Here we have nothing. We are told that he acted alone and he is dead, so why the blackout? It is near guaranteed that there will be some things withheld, but there has be almost nothing.

Second, the assertion that he had an escape plan, but cannot be told anything further. If the perp is dead and there is no one else of interest, why conceal that?

Third, why a firearm count of 23 instead of three? He was obviously intelligent and meticulous. Why risk the whole operation? If he did have an escape plan, it would be interesting to see the plan for quickly removing those firearms. Presumably, at least one of them would be traceable to him.

Forth, given the amount of ammo this guy went through, he should have been "ankle deep in brass". Not literally of course, but the crime scene does not appear like that at all.

Lastly, the entire story of the encounter with the security guard seems off:

Initially he was the hero who ran up there, got shot, and compelled the gunman to off himself. A week later he is there before the shooting, perhaps triggering the beginning of the shooting rather than ending it. Two hundred rounds fired and he has one non life threatening injury. Just that event should have dispensed a lot of brass.​

He is the only witness we know of. Why have we not seen him 100 times on video?​

How can someone shoot 200 rifle rounds through his hotel room door and yet we have not heard a peep from anyone on thee same floor with some type of damage in their room, or at least having heard something?​

I don't have my own conspiracy theory, in part because there is so little information available. The strange thing is that each bit of information seems to be questionable in one way or another.

Well it would be a classic hollywood move if the security guard was in on it and he had the perp shoot him in the leg to seem like he was a victim, then he executes the guy and makes it look like suicide. Maybe he is Keyser Soze,
 
Reactions: ch33zw1z
Mar 11, 2004
23,181
5,643
146
What is really baffling to me is that we now know that he shot the security guard BEFORE he opened fire on the crowd. You would think that the police dispatch would have put 1 and 1 together when they got the 911 call about the security officer being shot in the Mandalay Bay hotel and the shooting coming from the same area.

As far as the amount of guns, I doubt we will ever know but it still makes no sense to me. It just greatly increased his risk while, at least from what I can figure, did nothing to help his "mission". They did find a few pounds of ammonium nitrate in his car which can be used to make an explosive but in and of itself is not along with some tannerite which is a bianary explosive that you can purchase legally. I haven't read anything that said if it was mixed or not. As far as explosives go tannerite isn't very powerful and is pretty difficult to set off, usually used in exploding rifle targets. I guess he could have rigged some sort of zip gun type contraption that fired a rifle round into it.



I have bump fired before and I don't think you really understand how they work. Yes, they absolutely positively allowed him to get off a LOT more rounds in less time. However they don't "manage recoil" or anything like that. The recoil is the same as if you were firing normally and managing the trigger while you are bump firing is basically just keeping your finger in the same spot while you push the gun forward with the other hand. Pulling the gun forward causes your finger to pull the trigger, the gun recoils backward resetting the trigger, you never stopped pushing forward so the gun moves forward again causing your finger to pull the trigger, rinse wash and repeat. The down side is it is horribly inaccurate to bump fire but you don't lose control of the weapon because you have a solid grip on the forward part of the gun and if you lose that grip the gun stops firing which is very different from something like an uzi. Unfortunately in this case accuracy wasn't a necessity because he was firing into a huge crowd.

You can accomplish the same thing with a regular semi-auto and a belt loop, a pair of overalls, or basically any piece of clothing that will let you anchor your trigger hand which is how it was done before bump stocks came along. Regardless, they should be regulated at the very least if not outright banned at this point. What was once a niche product that relatively few people knew even existed is now well known to every gang banger or crazy who is more than happy to use the "pray and spray" method.

With the changing stories, there seems to be some level of CYA (I have a longtime friend that is a cop and literally that is the first thing they consider immediately in the aftermath of an incident, not even joking, posts on Facebook between him and other cops, the first thing they say is CYA, and then they ask if they're alright, that's how ingrained it is). Not shocking, since with the hotel evidence of negligence potentially will put them at massive liability risk (or make it easier to hit them over it), and police obviously would not like to be seen as having a poor response to a situation like this. However, their mixed information doesn't make them look good, and there's still a lot they haven't fully revealed. Which I'm not even going to say is necessarily wrong/bad at this point (I could see them doing it deliberately in order to try to keep rampant conspiracy theory garbage), but the changing stories so far doesn't look good.

Definitely. But that might also be a telling sign. He was perhaps hoping someone would catch him before he actually went through with it and so trying to get lots of guns might have been his way of upping the likelihood of getting caught. Multiple spree killers have remarked that they hoped someone would stop them before they actually carried out their plan, and they often even reach out as a last resort just before as seen with the Aurora theater shooter instance, and there was another case where, I think it was a teen or maybe even junior high student (want to say it was the one where he was like a straight A student, no one noticed any bullying, and he seemed to be happy, was well thought of, and was even outgoing and helpful), that was going to but just before they were going to get the guns someone found them and they basically said "I'm about to do something horrible, please help me before I can" and said they couldn't stop themselves as their minds had entered into a sort of autocratic state where they weren't in control. Which lots of people get that way when gambling, and so maybe there's some tie-in there, or he was hoping to get rid of that mental state by going gambling, which didn't succeed. No I'm not saying gambling addiction caused this, but there's some interesting similarities between people gambling and doing other reckless acts, that might help provide some light to mental states that might be similar.

You're right, I did misunderstand and corrected my post. Thank you for not being dismissive and actually working to explain. I know some gun nuts, and think I got confused or misconstrued based on things they'd said. I don't disagree that you can still fire off a lot and cause a lot of damage without one, I just disagree that it had a negligible impact as I do believe it helped him get more rounds off in the initial shooting, which increased the damage due to him getting more rounds off. As the crowd dispersed it would work against him, since there wouldn't just be a mass of people clumped together.

As Darwin so well described, you have no idea how a bump stock works. All it does is semi-automate the action of repetitively pulling the trigger so that instead of moving your finger backward and forward, you instead move the trigger backward and forward. They are fun for satisfying mag dumps but serve no real purpose.

Yes, and I corrected my post in regards to that.

Yes, that is kinda the point. He was dumping rounds as fast as possible. I don't get this "yes it lets you shoot a bunch of bullets in quick succession, but it didn't matter for someone shooting hundreds of rounds into a crowd" argument. He seemed to be pretty clearly indiscriminately just shooting into a crowd. I'm not sure if he changed to more precise targeting once the crowd dispersed, but for the early shooting being able to fire off as many rounds as possible definitely would be the way to maximize the carnage.

For the majority of gun users, yes a bump stock is just a fun way to get close to the thrill of an auto when doing recreational shooting like at a range. But that's a key issue in the debate (at least among people approaching it with any rationality), things that just make shooting more fun are enabling more carnage for those that want to use them for harm.
 
Last edited:
Mar 11, 2004
23,181
5,643
146
I have been following this horrific act in this forum, in the media and on other forums fairly diligently. There seems to be a number of unanswered questions, and about 15 conspiracy theories for each. The discussion here appears to me to be relatively subdued and tame, not that I am a fan of conspiracy theories, but there seems to be a number of things that just don't jive. Granted, this a strange guy doing a strange thing, but still.

First, the information released has been exceptionally sparse. We had 911 and Boston Marathon CCTV images relatively quickly. Here we have nothing. We are told that he acted alone and he is dead, so why the blackout? It is near guaranteed that there will be some things withheld, but there has be almost nothing.

Second, the assertion that he had an escape plan, but cannot be told anything further. If the perp is dead and there is no one else of interest, why conceal that?

Third, why a firearm count of 23 instead of three? He was obviously intelligent and meticulous. Why risk the whole operation? If he did have an escape plan, it would be interesting to see the plan for quickly removing those firearms. Presumably, at least one of them would be traceable to him.

Forth, given the amount of ammo this guy went through, he should have been "ankle deep in brass". Not literally of course, but the crime scene does not appear like that at all.

Lastly, the entire story of the encounter with the security guard seems off:

Initially he was the hero who ran up there, got shot, and compelled the gunman to off himself. A week later he is there before the shooting, perhaps triggering the beginning of the shooting rather than ending it. Two hundred rounds fired and he has one non life threatening injury. Just that event should have dispensed a lot of brass.​

He is the only witness we know of. Why have we not seen him 100 times on video?​

How can someone shoot 200 rifle rounds through his hotel room door and yet we have not heard a peep from anyone on thee same floor with some type of damage in their room, or at least having heard something?​

I don't have my own conspiracy theory, in part because there is so little information available. The strange thing is that each bit of information seems to be questionable in one way or another.

I think the conspiracy theories might be the reason why they've been more tight lipped. Mass/spree shootings have revealed there's some really fucking terrible people. In fact, for the people that have said "why aren't we talking about all the victims and put their names out there constantly instead of the perpetrators?" Well because when we've done that, those peoples' families have, due to those terrible people, experience vile harassment.

I think that assertion is just speculation by the police. They can't make sense of anything, and are just thinking that he didn't seem to have a reason to be suicidal. Its possible the stuff in the car was just because he had not gotten around to getting it up to the room before something initiated his rampage. From what I've gathered, it appears that there isn't a note or anything that explicitly stated he was planning on escape.

No one knows. Like I posited to Darwin333, maybe that was an attempt to get caught? He knew something was wrong mentally but couldn't seem to stop the inertia, so just tried to do something to try and make it more likely to get caught and prevent him from bringing it to fruition. Unfortunately he didn't get caught before something initiated him to act.

Another possible reason for tightening up information is that they're making it so that people that might contact them, claiming either some role or witness, can verify information. There is an actual phenomena, where people will call in and claim involvement or to have information about, but its just people making shit up (for various reasons, some are trolls, some are people wanting to be involved, and some, well we've seen even people that harassed victims and families of other victims that they don't know why they were doing it). This lets them weed out people that learn details through the media (which has caused problems in the past, where someone was able to get a bunch of information so it seemed like they were involved, but they look into it and they couldn't have; it screws with the investigation and takes resources away from legitimate concerns).
 

Alpha One Seven

Golden Member
Sep 11, 2017
1,098
124
66
I'm totally picturing this now.

*DEDEDEDEDEDEDE*

*knock knock* "Room service"

*puts gun down to answer door*

"One large pizza sir"
"oh thanks!, here's your tip"

*gets back to shooting*

*CLICK* (clip change) *DEDEDEDEDEDEDE*


Seriously though, hopefully the hotel is not blamed for any of this, like, you can't exactly be in 100% control of what your customers are doing in their rooms. Not their fault really that this happened. It's not like he walked in there holding a bunch of guns, I'd imagine he had them in luggage and came in looking like a regular customer. Are hotels going to be expected to Xray luggage now? lol
That isn't a bad idea. I carry in a hip holster so the x-ray wouldn't be needed to see my gun. Some folks are not as forthright about what they have though.
 

gill77

Senior member
Aug 3, 2006
813
250
136
I think the conspiracy theories might be the reason why they've been more tight lipped. Mass/spree shootings have revealed there's some really fucking terrible people. In fact, for the people that have said "why aren't we talking about all the victims and put their names out there constantly instead of the perpetrators?" Well because when we've done that, those peoples' families have, due to those terrible people, experience vile harassment.

I think that assertion is just speculation by the police. They can't make sense of anything, and are just thinking that he didn't seem to have a reason to be suicidal. Its possible the stuff in the car was just because he had not gotten around to getting it up to the room before something initiated his rampage. From what I've gathered, it appears that there isn't a note or anything that explicitly stated he was planning on escape.

No one knows. Like I posited to Darwin333, maybe that was an attempt to get caught? He knew something was wrong mentally but couldn't seem to stop the inertia, so just tried to do something to try and make it more likely to get caught and prevent him from bringing it to fruition. Unfortunately he didn't get caught before something initiated him to act.

Another possible reason for tightening up information is that they're making it so that people that might contact them, claiming either some role or witness, can verify information. There is an actual phenomena, where people will call in and claim involvement or to have information about, but its just people making shit up (for various reasons, some are trolls, some are people wanting to be involved, and some, well we've seen even people that harassed victims and families of other victims that they don't know why they were doing it). This lets them weed out people that learn details through the media (which has caused problems in the past, where someone was able to get a bunch of information so it seemed like they were involved, but they look into it and they couldn't have; it screws with the investigation and takes resources away from legitimate concerns).

Seems to me that their lack of transparency only ignites the conspiracy theories, but it is understandable that if they are looking for people to come forward they might want to be tight lipped. It remains to be seen whether it is a matter of never offering full disclosure or just waiting until all the information is available. We shall see. What we have now looks amateurish, at best, and far less than the 58 families deserve.

I believe it was the sheriff who said on camera that there is evidence of an escape plan but when asked what that evidence was responded, "We cannot tell you". It sounded odd at the time and has never been put to bed.
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
With the changing stories, there seems to be some level of CYA (I have a longtime friend that is a cop and literally that is the first thing they consider immediately in the aftermath of an incident, not even joking, posts on Facebook between him and other cops, the first thing they say is CYA, and then they ask if they're alright, that's how ingrained it is). Not shocking, since with the hotel evidence of negligence potentially will put them at massive liability risk (or make it easier to hit them over it), and police obviously would not like to be seen as having a poor response to a situation like this. However, their mixed information doesn't make them look good, and there's still a lot they haven't fully revealed. Which I'm not even going to say is necessarily wrong/bad at this point (I could see them doing it deliberately in order to try to keep rampant conspiracy theory garbage), but the changing stories so far doesn't look good.

You could be correct but there is also another explanation. People demand explanations and information after events like these so in a rush to give the public information they sometimes get it wrong. They have thousands upon thousands of different sources of information coming in that they have to piece together and fit into a nice neat puzzle. Right now they just don't have the ability to fit all of those pieces into the nice pretty puzzle yet we demand info so some of it may be flawed. I'm not saying there isn't something underhanded going on, just offering an alternative solutioln that sounds rather plausible to me.

You're right, I did misunderstand and corrected my post. Thank you for not being dismissive and actually working to explain. I know some gun nuts, and think I got confused or misconstrued based on things they'd said. I don't disagree that you can still fire off a lot and cause a lot of damage without one, I just disagree that it had a negligible impact as I do believe it helped him get more rounds off in the initial shooting, which increased the damage due to him getting more rounds off. As the crowd dispersed it would work against him, since there wouldn't just be a mass of people clumped together.

I strive to learn in debates so if I have the chance to help others do the same I am always happy to do so, thanks for being open minded enough not to dig your heels in. You are absolutely right about it helping him dump a lot more rounds into the crowd. I'm not quite sure about it working against him as the crowd dispersed though, I would think that there were still very big pockets of people even after he quit firing, a crowd that big with very controlled access just doesn't disperse that quickly. Even in the videos you see a lot of people in big groups laying on the ground which when fired on from a position as elevated as the shooter was just gives the bullets a better chance of hitting you. At least it seems like it, probably some complicated math to figure out if it's absolutely true or not but I can say that it doesn't significantly change how exposed you are.

He had the chance to keep dumping a lot more rounds into those poor people, why he stopped we will probably never know.
 

shortylickens

No Lifer
Jul 15, 2003
82,854
17,365
136
Hey ATOT can we get a 'X days since last mass shooting' counter?
How many victims qualify as a "mass" shooting?
Cuz if its low enough then pretty much every time some drug dealers shoot at each other you've gotta reset the counter.
 

ImpulsE69

Lifer
Jan 8, 2010
14,946
1,077
126
How many victims qualify as a "mass" shooting?
Cuz if its low enough then pretty much every time some drug dealers shoot at each other you've gotta reset the counter.

Well...I mean, it's a not a number, it's intent. A kid walking in and gunning down his classmates isn't the same thing as a robbery, gang war, drug deal gone bad or even some dad going nuts and killing his family in a murder suicide..in my mind. Those are much more family friendly and less random.
 
Last edited:

shortylickens

No Lifer
Jul 15, 2003
82,854
17,365
136
Well...I mean, it's a not a number, it's intent. A kid walking in and gunning down his classmates isn't the same thing as a robbery, gang war, drug deal gone bad or even some dad going nuts and killing his family in a murder suicide..in my mind. Those are much more family friendly and less random.

Well, the phrase is "mass shooting". Theres no motive in the title. It just describes the situation, not mindset.
 

gill77

Senior member
Aug 3, 2006
813
250
136
The Mandalay Bay security guard shot by Stephen Paddock in the moments leading up to the worst mass shooting in modern U.S. history was set to break his silence Thursday night with five television interviews, including one on Fox News, Campos' union president said.

Except when the cameras were about to roll, and media gathered in the building to talk to him, Campos reportedly bolted, and, as of early Friday morning, it wasn't immediately clear where he was.

http://www.foxnews.com/us/2017/10/1...-disappears-moments-before-tv-interviews.html
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
Wow, this is starting to get weird.

I had no idea they were claiming that the shooter fired 200 rounds through the door 5 minutes before firing into the crowd when the security guard got shot. If that WAS the case then how the hell did it take them that long to figure out exactly where the shots were coming from? You'd have a 911 call about automatic gunfire from room 135 on floor 34 of the Mandalay Bay hitting a security guard and then reports of automatic gunfire coming from the Mandalay Bay into the crowd. You'd think at least one asshole would have said: "you know what, I bet those two are related!". If he really did fire 200 rounds when he shot the security guard 5 minutes before he opened up on the crowd there should have already been a whole flock of cops on the way to his room. I've seen em send 5-6 cops over a domestic dispute involving 2 people where no weapons of any kind were reported, 200 shots would have 30 cops on the way.

But now the hotel is changing even that timeline so now we have a 3rd timeline about when the security guard got shot and he just bolted from interviews. If I had to guess it was at the "request" of the hotel's lawyers, especially since they just changed the timeline. Granted there are other possibilities like the guy just doesn't want to deal with the press, being interviewed by 5 national news corps is pretty intimidating and the questions they are bound to ask like "do you think you could have done anything different to stop the worst mass shooting in the US" are bound to hit home pretty hard.
 

ImpulsE69

Lifer
Jan 8, 2010
14,946
1,077
126
They have cameras all over that hotel, so there is exact timeline footage somewhere. Sounds to me like the hotel itself is trying to cover something up because they screwed up. Casino's aren't exactly known for being honest.
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
They have cameras all over that hotel, so there is exact timeline footage somewhere. Sounds to me like the hotel itself is trying to cover something up because they screwed up. Casino's aren't exactly known for being honest.

There are cameras all over the casino, not the hotel.
 

BD231

Lifer
Feb 26, 2001
10,568
138
106
Well, rest in peace yall. Can't say i didn't warn you to stop bein mean to weirdos.

.... so glad i moved out of that town a few months back im a security guard myself and just got out of hotel security one week before this happened


I almost died !
 

gill77

Senior member
Aug 3, 2006
813
250
136

Thanks, I believe I understand now. You really are not addressing the content of my posts, but the fact that there are so few of them. With your 32K eloquent posts, you have earned the right to tell me not to post in this thread?

Self proclaimed moderator status? Good luck with that.

Please lighten up. When someone spots a member who has been here a long time but has posted little, the first one to notice claims the 'lurker' as his and often reports the sighting in threads such as this: http://www.portvapes.co.uk/?id=Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps&exid=threads/lurker-fishing-thread.2415321. It's all in good fun. Nobody even suggested that you didn't have the right to post in this thread and nobody attempted to act like a moderator.

administrator allisolm
 
Last edited by a moderator:

highland145

Lifer
Oct 12, 2009
43,551
5,960
136
Thanks, I believe I understand now. You really are not addressing the content of my posts, but the fact that there are so few of them. With your 32K eloquent posts, you have earned the right to tell me not to post in this thread?

Self proclaimed moderator status? Good luck with that.
lolol I believe not. Lighten up, Francis, it's just banter.
 

Elganja

Platinum Member
May 21, 2007
2,143
24
81
Wow, this is starting to get weird.

I had no idea they were claiming that the shooter fired 200 rounds through the door 5 minutes before firing into the crowd when the security guard got shot. If that WAS the case then how the hell did it take them that long to figure out exactly where the shots were coming from? You'd have a 911 call about automatic gunfire from room 135 on floor 34 of the Mandalay Bay hitting a security guard and then reports of automatic gunfire coming from the Mandalay Bay into the crowd. You'd think at least one asshole would have said: "you know what, I bet those two are related!". If he really did fire 200 rounds when he shot the security guard 5 minutes before he opened up on the crowd there should have already been a whole flock of cops on the way to his room. I've seen em send 5-6 cops over a domestic dispute involving 2 people where no weapons of any kind were reported, 200 shots would have 30 cops on the way.

But now the hotel is changing even that timeline so now we have a 3rd timeline about when the security guard got shot and he just bolted from interviews. If I had to guess it was at the "request" of the hotel's lawyers, especially since they just changed the timeline. Granted there are other possibilities like the guy just doesn't want to deal with the press, being interviewed by 5 national news corps is pretty intimidating and the questions they are bound to ask like "do you think you could have done anything different to stop the worst mass shooting in the US" are bound to hit home pretty hard.

it is intriguing ... my only thought is they may have thought the shooter have moved from the room to elsewhere in all the chaos, or they were fed wrong information (intentionally or not) that led them elsewhere

eventually we'll find out (hopefully) what actually happened... but I think at this point, they just don't know and are trying to figure out what the hell happened
 
Sep 29, 2004
18,665
67
91
Initially he was the hero who ran up there, got shot, and compelled the gunman to off himself. A week later he is there before the shooting, perhaps triggering the beginning of the shooting rather than ending it. Two hundred rounds fired and he has one non life threatening injury. Just that event should have dispensed a lot of brass.​

He is the only witness we know of. Why have we not seen him 100 times on video?​

How can someone shoot 200 rifle rounds through his hotel room door and yet we have not heard a peep from anyone on thee same floor with some type of damage in their room, or at least having heard something?​

A recent date I was on said she had a friend in the same hotel the same day a few floors above or below the shooters nest. She didn't hear anything. Hotel rooms are designed to isolate sound between rooms. Unless you were in the hallway or in an immediately adjoining room you probably heard nothing. Also, the windows are all sound isolating designs because of the high winds that can occur.

It kinda makes sense. And at the time of the shooting, people were probably not in their rooms
 
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