McCain now leads according to Zogby

[Jhhnn]

Turnout doesn't seem to be a problem for Dems this cycle- people have been waiting in line for up to 8 hours in the Dem stronghold of Atlanta just to vote. No progressive worthy of the name will pass up this opportunity to get a bite out of the elephant.

Got my bite already, and it's especially yummy this year. Don't pass it up, guys- fat and juicy, the best in years...

 

[Mermaidman]

Zogby today (11/2) shows Obama with lead again? (It's in tiny print buried on Drugde.)

 

[Engineer]

Originally posted by: Mermaidman
Zogby today (11/2) shows Obama with lead again? (It's in tiny print buried on Drugde.)

The 11/03/08 Zogby poll is back above a full 7 points (vs 5 on the 1st and 6 on the 2nd) lead for Obama.

 

[Engineer]

Obama up 11 on the 3 day Zogby poll now.

 

[Ferocious]

Voted an hour ago in Ohio. I live in a traditionally red county.

Virtually no young people there at all. Though perhaps too early for them. Some seniors. Mostly people voting prior to work.

I did overhear some Republican talk. I heard "libs" once and even the "N*****" word once!

I think this race could be VERY close.

 

[ProfJohn]

Originally posted by: miketheidiot

Originally posted by: ProfJohn
The Rasmussen poll is based on the national turn out being 40% D and 32.8 R.

In 2004 it was tied 37-37 and in 2006 it was 38-36.

This is IMPORTANT! For every point they over estimate the D turn out or underestimate the R turnout you can add or subtract a point from that candidate since both are getting nearly all of their party.

Rasmussen has the race at 51-46.
But if the turnout is the same at 2006 then it would be 49-49. Big difference.

what if they are underestimating the d and overestimating the R? Which is probably the more likely outcome?

You are crazy if you think that.

2004 the Ds and Rs were even.

There is no way we have gone from an even country to a greater than 8 point advantage for the Democrats.

I think the polls are overstating Obama's support. Obama will most likely win, but not by 8 or 9 points.