National Guard may be called out to Police Chicago streets

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MrEgo

Senior member
Jan 17, 2003
874
0
76
The politicians stated that gun control would lower crime, so causation was stated before the correlation. Now that the correlation does not match their claims, they want to claim the correlation is coincidence.




You believe in gun control based on an unfounded belief that without it more people will be harmed, but require hard evidence from people who disagree with you. I would prefer a counter proposal, since this is the land of the free. How about, you provide us with hard evidence that gun control will save lives and lower crime, and if you don't have hard evidence we let the people be free to own guns? Would it be too much to ask that we require evidence to take freedoms away rather than requiring proof that our freedom is beneficial?

I never said MORE people would be harmed. I said it would introduce new problems, but the new problems might be outweighed by the problems it solves, or it might not.

I require hard evidence, yes. It works both ways, though. I require it from the pros and the cons. I haven't seen it from either side, so my stance is that gun control is not the issue here.

Do you guys enjoy telling me that I am pro-GC? lol..
 

daishi5

Golden Member
Feb 17, 2005
1,196
0
76
I never said MORE people would be harmed. I said it would introduce new problems, but the new problems might be outweighed by the problems it solves, or it might not.

I require hard evidence, yes. It works both ways, though. I require it from the pros and the cons. I haven't seen it from either side, so my stance is that gun control is not the issue here.

Do you guys enjoy telling me that I am pro-GC? lol..

Revoking gun control would just introduce new problems such as accidental shootings, bullet ricochets, firing into a crowd and missing your target, etc. We're f'd either way as long as the root cause isn't handled - which is most likely gangs.
Did you not mean to imply that reducing gun control would cause more harm with this statement? The only way I can see this as not being more harm is if you believe there would be offsets in other forms of harm, but you have stated you want proof that those offsets would occur.

If you would like hard evidence, you can't get it in soundbytes. I can give you a few places to start. Rather than do the footwork again, I am just going to quote myself from another thread

http://forums.anandtech.com/showthread.php?t=2063171&page=2

We can only ever have correlational statistics in relation to crime. The effect of adding police officers is correlational, just as the effect of jail time, and arrest rates. The statements of prisoners is very important, because it gives us a good reason to craft a theory of why the correlation exists. In this case we suspect CCW causes a drop in crime because criminals defer some crimes for fear of armed resistance. Then we look at the numbers to see if the theory holds up. And as time goes on, we can confirm if behavior continues to conform to the theory. It is important to note that Lott's study published in 1994 was based on data from 1977-1992. The studie's conclusions continue to hold when faced with data from 1992-2000. I posted a link to a review earlier. Note, the correlation only holds at the 10% significance level.

The baby boomer age argument is new one to me. If he has some study, to back this up I have never heard of it. However, I am aware that there are many studies on CCW, off the top of my head, I think 17 found it reduced crime, 4 found no significant effect, and one found it increased crime rates. I am only really familiar with the Lott study, which found a decrease and the Nagin study, which found no effect, so I can't comment on how good all of them are.
-----------------------------------

If you are interested in a quick overview of the information, the most non-biased source I know of would be the book "FIREARMS AND VIOLENCE" from the National Acadamies of the Sciences.
http://books.nap.edu/openbook.php?re...=10881&page=R1 (this is a free online version of the book from their website, the review is rather short, but it helps to be familiar with stats to understand the debate.)

Lott is covered in Chapter 6, appendix A, B, and D.

Brief overview of their findings, they can confirm Lott's basic findings from his data, several other studies also find similiar effects, but other studies find no effect or even an opposite effect. Furthermore, while almost every test shows a reduction in crime, the effects are almost all statistically insignificant at the 5% level. His original paper covered 1977-1992. The effects he published held true with new data from 1992-2000, but the effects were less pronounced.

However, they do not cover any of the other studies that have found a connection between concealed carry and violent crime.

So, if you want, there is some material. And the basic synopsis is, gun control has not been shown to have any effect on gun control, concealed carry seems to have a very small negative effect on violent crime rates.
 

MrEgo

Senior member
Jan 17, 2003
874
0
76
It doesnt fit his agenda so he wont read it

Just so we're clear, what do you think my agenda is? I don't think I've been that unreasonable to request that anyone with a strong opinion to solidify their argument with data.

John, I asked if you could provide the information I requested among a 105-page PDF that was filled with lots of irrelevant info with the answer possibly buried somewhere in there. You didn't respond, which is fine, but I just didn't feel like sorting through all of that if very little of it pertained to the discussion.

Daishi, I did not mean to imply that revoking gun control would cause more harm than good. I would rather just cut that part out and leave the "we're f'd anyway", because "we're f'd anyway" is really my stance on this with respect to gun control. I don't think the answer, or even a patch-job, is to throw more or fewer guns at the problem, HOWEVER, the information that you have provided seems worth reading and will hopefully help shape my opinion as to whether or not this would benefit Chicago's situation.
 

xj0hnx

Diamond Member
Dec 18, 2007
9,262
3
76
John, I asked if you could provide the information I requested among a 105-page PDF that was filled with lots of irrelevant info with the answer possibly buried somewhere in there. You didn't respond, which is fine, but I just didn't feel like sorting through all of that if very little of it pertained to the discussion.

Like I said, you don't care enough if you want some to spoon feed you information. I doubt you even looked at it, as if you did you would have seen that there is a table of contents in Adobe you can even click on different entries and go right to the page that interest you.
 

piasabird

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
17,168
60
91
Liberals just make up their facts.

Here is what the Police Department Says in Chicago. These murders for the last 365 day broken down by Police District with a nice map will show you that there have not been that many murders over a lot of Chicago. A lot of crime is in only a few police districts.

http://gis.chicagopolice.org/websit...wer.htm?SUMTYPE=BEAT&SUMCATA=N01A&SUMTIME=365

This does not really require the national guard. I think it is just a big lie. However, look at the map and decide for yourself.

Warning Takes a while to load, but it is worthwhile.

This does not mean that they dont have some room for improvement. Chicago is a really large city.
 
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manowar821

Diamond Member
Mar 1, 2007
6,063
0
0
Liberals just make up their facts.

Here is what the Police Department Says in Chicago. These murders for the last 365 day broken down by Police District with a nice map will show you that there have not been that many murders over a lot of Chicago. A lot of crime is in only a few police districts.

http://gis.chicagopolice.org/websit...wer.htm?SUMTYPE=BEAT&SUMCATA=N01A&SUMTIME=365

This does not really require the national guard. I think it is just a big lie. However, look at the map and decide for yourself.

Warning Takes a while to load, but it is worthwhile.

This does not mean that they dont have some room for improvement. Chicago is a really large city.

Classic.

Fucking classic.

You're against this injection of national-guard because it's being done by the democratic party, and I'm against it because I'm a human being (social liberal). We may agree on this particular thing, but you're still a partisan hack.

Shouldn't I be arguing with you, since I'm one of those evil librulz? Just an FYI, I didn't vote for Obama, because he's a conservative, like bush, and like you. You've been played like a piano.

Hold your tongue, you snake.
 

Zorba

Lifer
Oct 22, 1999
14,834
10,235
136
I live here. I can tell you it's 99.9% of the problem.

The bad guys have zero fear of doing anything they want because they know whoever they attack will not be armed.

Where the fuck haven't you lived?
 

waggy

No Lifer
Dec 14, 2000
68,145
10
81
chicago is a fucking scumhole. Taxes are high, cost of living is high and no jobs.

its not a wonder people turn to crime.

throw in the politics of the area and you get a major clusterfuck of a town.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,894
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Where the fuck haven't you lived?

Well I have not been out of the U.S. so the rest of the planet has been safe so far.

I say so far because my wife and I got passports a couple of years ago when we were in New Jersey.

Obviously I have not landed a permanent job in 10 years so overseas position is not out of the question.
 

IndyColtsFan

Lifer
Sep 22, 2007
33,656
687
126
Can't refute facts, so might as well hide them I guess.

That's the Dave McOwned way. I asked him several times in debates we were having to provide facts, links, etc. and he never could. He could hurl insults but when insulted himself and pressed for details, he runs like a scared little schoolgirl and whines.

I will still respond to his posts regardless of whether he has me hidden or not. You might want to quote this so he can see it.
 
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IndyColtsFan

Lifer
Sep 22, 2007
33,656
687
126
Well I'm not alone. It's the new design,

American Nomadic workers when you can find a job.

That's funny, over the last decade, I've had several "permanent" (as you call them) job offers when I interviewed. The last time I switched companies (2007), I interviewed with two companies and was offered both positions.
 
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IndyColtsFan

Lifer
Sep 22, 2007
33,656
687
126
damn blanghorst, whatever will we do?

Well, I am going to do what I always do -- I will continue responding to Dave's BS, therefore doing the rest of the forum a favor and calling him on his crap.

Poor widdle Davey, we hurt his widdle feelings!
 
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Tristicus

Diamond Member
Feb 2, 2008
8,110
5
61
www.wallpapereuphoria.com
That's the Dave McOwned way. I asked him several times in debates we were having to provide facts, links, etc. and he never could. He could hurl insults but when insulted himself and pressed for details, he runs like a scared little schoolgirl and whines.

I will still respond to his posts regardless of whether he has me hidden or not. You might want to quote this so he can see it.

:awe:
 

nick1985

Lifer
Dec 29, 2002
27,158
6
81
Well, I am going to do what I always do -- I will continue responding to Dave's BS, therefore doing the rest of the forum a favor and calling him on his crap.

Poor widdle Davey, we hurt his widdle feelings!

In a way I feel bad for him. I'm 1/3 his age and 5x as successful. Its the Republican conspiracy keeping him down.
 

piasabird

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
17,168
60
91
You guys said you wanted proof so I posted the facts. The map shows where all the murders are. It is in a form that can be viewed and looked at and interpreted.

For years American Society has refrained from using the Military to solve our social problems. So do you want a mitaristic society? What happens when the a member of the Military Kills a Civilian? Instead of sending Gun wielding punks to jail or letting them loose on probation, maybe we should just use the death penalty and get rid of them once and for all.

Dare I say that a lot of these people are killed for the illegal drugs??? Just legalize drugs.

Using the National Gurad does not solve the problem!

Maybe you should start by getting rid of the liberal judges. If you want justice find someone that will uphold the law.
 
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