Anyone else going all AMD when summit ridge launches? If summit ridge is better then my 4820K then i will switch teams. I am looking forward to go zen + polaris in 2016.
Bye bye intel, wont miss your shitty upgrades.
Alright then. I'll give you objective reasons why I decided to not wait for Zen.
1. I used FX9590 4.7-5Ghz as a point of reference. I then assumed that Zen will launch with 4.7-5Ghz clocks right out of the gate (I am being extremely favourable to Zen with this assumption). You will see later why I did this -- essentially I am creating the most favourable position for Zen.
2. Now I just need to compare how far behind FX9590 is against 6700K in terms of IPC to set a point of reference. This tells me just how far behind FX9590 is in terms of IPC. Relating back to point #1 above, by assuming Zen and FX9590 are clocked similarly, I can focus specifically on the gigantic gap that Zen would have to make up against Skylake to catch up.
Ready?
Video Card: NVIDIA GeForce GTX 980 Ti (6 GB / 384-bit GDDR5, 1000-1076 / 7010 MHz).
6700K is
103% faster
6700K is
64% faster
83% faster
50% faster
108% faster
Average gaming IPC delta: 6700K stock is beating FX9590 by
82%!
http://fcenter.ru/online/hardarticl...6700_Core_i5_6600_Core_i5_6500_i_Core_i5_6400
Wait for it, 6700K can also overclock another 400-600mhz from 4.2Ghz to 4.6-4.8Ghz. If we use a 4.6Ghz overclock, that's another 10% increase in IPC bringing us to 82% x 1.10 =
90% faster single threaded performance per core in games.
AMD is aiming to bring 40% increase in IPC. That means even if Zen comes out swinging with 4.7-5Ghz clocks, has another 10% overclocking headroom and has 40% increase in IPC, it's still nowhere close to Skylake.
Now I get it, no one games at 1280x800 with a 6700K. The point here is to show a CPU limited scenario of what would happen if Zen and Skylake were in a hypothetical CPU limited section of a game.
So what are the chances Zen has 4.7-5Ghz clocks, and another 10% overclocking headroom that i7-6700K has? All of a sudden it means that if Zen is clocked well below 4.7-5Ghz, you are now going to need to add 90% IPC advantage of Skylake + overclocking headroom of Zen to just catch up to 4.7-5Ghz of FX9590. See how dire the situation gets for Zen?
The next logical rebuttal is that Zen will offer more cores than mainstream Skylake in exchange for worse IPC. Since Zen will launch before SKL-E, we should instead compare it to BW-E's IPC. OK, that's covered too because BW-E's IPC is
very close to Skylake's.
http://fcenter.ru/online/hardarticl..._Bridge_do_Skylake_Sravnitel_noe_testirovanie
http://www.hardware.fr/articles/940-6/cpu-sandy-bridge-vs-ivy-bridge-vs-haswell-vs-skylake-4-g.html
Further, Intel is about to introduce a 10-core BW-E and possibly drop prices on either the 6- or 8-core BW-E.
Bottom line: I think people have to set
realistic expectations for Zen and I am not seeing that. Some are calling Zen a failure if it doesn't match or beat BW-E at minimum. Talk about living in dream land. Even Lisa Su has acknowledged in interviews that Zen is a start to a new path towards turning the firm around but she repeated that it's not a 1 time bullet/shot that will suddenly regain AMD CPU leadership position. It's rather a new fundamental base from which to build upon for Zen+ and so on.
See, people make a huge mistake of missing something. On the Intel side, we compare increase in IPC from SB to Skylake without realizing that FX9590's IPC is worse than Nehalems! Nehalem itself is a good 15-17% behind Sandy.
Proof:
Intel Core i7-870, 4C/4T, @ 2,80 GHz, 45 nm = 100%
Intel Core i7-930, 4C/4T, 2,80 GHz, 45 nm = 100%
vs.
Intel Core i5-2500K, 4C/4T, @ 2,80 GHz, 32 nm = 1
15%
Intel Core i7-2600K, 4C/4T, @ 2,80 GHz, 32 nm = 1
17%
http://www.computerbase.de/2011-01/test-intel-sandy-bridge/46/
Now we need to go way back to Nehalem era vs. FX8150 or compare FX8150 to Sandy to figure out just how far behind Bulldozer is.
AMD FX-8150, 4M / 8T,
3.60 GHz, 32 nm, Turbo = 100%
Intel Core i7-2600K, 4C / 8T,
3.40 GHz, 32 nm, Turbo, SMT = 1
28%
http://www.computerbase.de/2011-10/test-amd-bulldozer/14/
That means out of the 40% increase in IPC AMD is aiming for, almost 75% of that (30/40) will have to be used just to catch up to Sandy Bridge. This means we'd be lucky if Zen's IPC slots as a mid-point between IVB and Haswell.
So with that out of the way, where would an objective consumer stand right now?
Considering Intel CPUs hardly lose $ during resale, it's safe for 99% of consumers to buy Skylake
now and see where Zen lands. It makes no sense to postpone an upgrade and wait 9+ months from now until Zen launches given the IPC characteristics of Broadwell and Skylake. Yet, once again I see Zen is being set up for failure from overhyping and having completely unrealistic expectations on this forum.
Basically, the way I see it, AMD's Zen strategy will be to offer more cores and price them more aggressively, coupled with cheaper motherboard prices. Offer 8 cores for the price of an i7 6700K and 4 cores for the price of an i3. The difference is Zen should have closer single-threaded performance, way lower power consumption, modern motherboard features and an upgrade path to Zen+ on the same socket/mobo. This will make it less trade-off of the Bulldozer strategy, but it still won't be enough to overcome Skylake's single threaded prowess. But, realistically speaking, the gap in IPC against modern Intel architectures is HUGE. If Zen nets 40%+ increase in IPC, with Intel's next major architecture out in 2018 with Icelake, this is where AMD can try to claw back another 10-15% IPC and slowly start catching up. I hope I am wrong as I want more competition but benchmarks of Skylake and IPC comparisons to FX9590 paint a different picture that I cannot just dismiss.
If my estimates of IPC of modern architectures are way off, then I apologize as I am open to reviewing other reviews/benches. Obviously, DX12 could save Zen's lower IPC by focusing on leveraging more cores but this is a far shot as there are too few DX12 games and chances are they won't be enough out in the next 12 months to suddenly start benefiting from 8-16 cores/threads to hide Zen's IPC deficits. Making matters worse, by the time Zen launches, Intel will have i7-7700K.