RussianSensation
Elite Member
- Sep 5, 2003
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PS4 is likely to be $299 this holiday, or perhaps $349 with a game bundle.
By holiday 2016 there is no reason at all why Nintendo cannot make a roughly PS4 level piece of hardware, sell it for around $249 and make a small profit on each unit sold, or break even.
Sure there is because neither MS nor Sony can afford to drop their consoles to this price and their hardware is inferior to what you outlined. There is no way a new console from Nintendo can cost $249 and wipe the floor with PS4 and yet Sony would be selling PS4 for $299. Sony and MS have far greater economies of scale and ability to bargain with suppliers than Nintendo. That means if Nintendo could sell a $249 console by Q4 2016, Sony and MS would be able to sell theirs for less. Nintendo would always lose in that scenario. MS and Sony both know almost all of the profits is in the software and XB Live / PSN which means their goal is to price their consoles as cheap as possible without losing $ to get that install base as high as possible in the shortest amount of time. It's no wonder there are $150 Xbox 360 trade-in deals that MS likely sponsors with BestBuy/Gamestop, etc. Nintendo has no hope of competing with Sony/MS when it comes to providing far faster hardware but yet sell their next gen console cheaper.
You also didn't address the elephant in the room -- let's just go wild and assume NX is 5X faster than PS4. Who is going to spend tens of millions of dollars specifically making next generation games for this console only? Nintendo isn't Activision, Ubisoft, or EA so they cannot do it. 3rd party developers aren't going to make separate versions of Far Cry 5, the next AC game, the next COD, the next Madden, Fifa, etc. Unless 2 of the 3 major consoles have next gen hardware, any additional horsepower, even if it's 50% is largely wasted. Even now, most XB1 and PS4 cross-platform games look very similar and yet the PS4's GPU is 50% more powerful.
Today on the PC we can buy a 5960X and quad-sli 980Ti but can you find any PC game that blows The Order 1886 or Uncharted 4 away graphically? Developers go for the mainstream market and if NX is way more powerful than PS4, it completely misses that market with little benefit to show for all that extra horsepower. One of the big problems with the Wii U was that it's hardware wasn't powerful enough to simply do straight ports. However, it doesn't work the other way -- if your hardware is much more powerful, it doesn't mean all of a sudden 3rd part firms will start prioritizing your console over 50 million XB1/PS4 users!
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