NON_POLITICAL China Coronavirus THREAD

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Red Squirrel

No Lifer
May 24, 2003
67,907
12,376
126
www.anyf.ca
Would have thought maybe they turned them off (maybe to stop tracking if they leave their house?), never considered they may have died. Sad if that's the case.
 

nakedfrog

No Lifer
Apr 3, 2001
58,552
12,865
136
Without rewatching the podcast didn't Osterholm also say this is likely a 7 month affair? and IIRC the 6ft social distancing isn't adequate... should be more like 14ft
I don't know, I don't care for Rogan's podcast so I didn't listen.
 

purbeast0

No Lifer
Sep 13, 2001
52,931
5,802
126
Wife's ex-coworker and his girlfriend tested positive for covid. They had been working in Georgetown in DC through this whole thing as their job didn't close. It's a retail store. She had symptoms that got real bad with fever, cough, tired, etc, so she got tested and they wouldn't test him since he was not showing any symptoms. Then a few days later he started showing them and he got tested. And they both have it confirmed and are now on the upswing. No hospitalizations or anything. They are in their mid/late 30's.
 
Reactions: Kaido

Roger Wilco

Diamond Member
Mar 20, 2017
3,955
5,825
136
21 million cell phones in China have gone dormant during the outbreak.

Chinese use their phones for EVERYTHING. Chinese can't buy anything in lock-down without their phone (and you almost couldn't buy most things without your phone even during normal times). The dormant accounts also show unspent balances.

A lot of those people are dead.

Yeah that's a harrowing number. There are a bunch of factors that could have contributed to some of that, such as the following explanation, but a lot of these people likely have passed.

Epoch Times-
"It's possible that some migrant workers had two cell phone numbers before. One is from their hometown, and the other is from the city they work in. In February, they might close the number in the city they work in because they couldn't go there."

It is possible that these workers may have gone to their home city for the Chinese New Year and after the travel ban, they did not get a chance to come back to China. It should be noted that in China there is a basic monthly fee to hold a cell phone account and the majority of migrant workers, who belong to the lowest income group, likely only have one cell phone account.

The economic downturn caused by the outbreak could have forced the Chinese people, who have two cell phones to cancel one of them.

While explaining the scenario in China, Tang said, "At present, we don't know the details of the data. If only 10 percent of the cell phone accounts were closed because the users died because of the CCP virus [Novel Coronavirus], the death toll would be two million."
 

randay

Lifer
May 30, 2006
11,019
216
106
I love how we are now equating dead cell phones with dead people. The misinformation never ends. I dont really blame you guys though, we really have nothing else better to do right now.
 

slayer202

Lifer
Nov 27, 2005
13,682
119
106
Without rewatching the podcast didn't Osterholm also say this is likely a 7 month affair? and IIRC the 6ft social distancing isn't adequate... should be more like 14ft

I don't know if they've actually determined how long the virus can remain suspended in the air but I recall reliable sources say 10-30 minutes(other says 10 seconds, others say hours? perhaps. most confusion), which basically means no distance is really good enough if we're all walking through the same spaces anyway
 

CZroe

Lifer
Jun 24, 2001
24,195
856
126
Credit due where credit is due:

They're saying what I was saying: the testing debacle in the USA comes from decades of bad policy at the CDC and FDA.
 

CZroe

Lifer
Jun 24, 2001
24,195
856
126
I love how we are now equating dead cell phones with dead people. The misinformation never ends. I dont really blame you guys though, we really have nothing else better to do right now.
I've been cautious not to make that insinuation but it has been pointed out to me that the major carriers in China typically just don't have losses, and extra lines are difficult due to it being tied to your National ID. Because your phone is your wallet there (even in rural markets or roadside shops) that's pretty significant. People typically don't just leave the economy without dying.

...but you're right: We can speculate but don't assume. Maybe many of those people are stuck outside of the country due to travel bans... I dunno.
 
Last edited:
Reactions: Captante
Nov 8, 2012
20,828
4,777
146
I've been cautious not to make that insinuation but it has been pointed out to me that the major carriers in China have never reported a month-to-month decrease in subscribers since the economic boom started decades ago and suddenly all of them have had major drops. Because your phone is your wallet there (even in rural markets or roadside shops) that's pretty significant. People typically don't just leave the economy without dying.

...but you're right: We can speculate but don't assume. Maybe many of those people are stuck outside of the country due to travel bans... I dunno.

I google'd the whole cell phone thing and ran into this YouTube. Not saying it's accurate, not conspiracy, etc... but definitely some interesting stuff in here... In particular the part of hiring people to study these types of viruses shortly before the outbreak:

 

CZroe

Lifer
Jun 24, 2001
24,195
856
126
I google'd the whole cell phone thing and ran into this YouTube. Not saying it's accurate, not conspiracy, etc... but definitely some interesting stuff in here... In particular the part of hiring people to study these types of viruses shortly before the outbreak:

Yeah. Been subscribed to him for years. Bought the mask I'm wearing at work right now back in January because of his inside information with SerpentZA.

Speaking of the masks, I see people saying that $5 per mask from Brazil is crazy but these 3M "Cool Flow" N95 masks were $8 for a pack of 2 at Lowe's...




UPC 0 51131 94933 1

Sure, I could've gotten them cheaper if I got a contractor pack or a different brand or the kind without the vent... but the $5 masks from Brazil could be scalped for a lot more and it isn't totally crazy that they charge $1 more per mask than Lowe's does.

FWIW, Brazil is protectionist and forces most foreign companies to have some kind of production done in their country. Like, if you wanted to sell videogames they might have to assemble the cartridges and packaging but the boards and chips could still come from Japan or whatever. While I feel this was largely bad for their people because it has stifled their economy, it undeniably puts them in a better position now.
 

Svnla

Lifer
Nov 10, 2003
17,999
1,396
126
All of the restaurants around here are doing their best to drum up business. They have sighs or marque boards to notify the public that they are still open via drive through, delivery, and pick up. The upper class Tex Mex place has several sights outside about $6 lunch plate pick up. Never saw a price that low from that place. I will try to pick one or two soon.

Oh and most of the Waffle House places around here are closed. So strange that they are closed because they seem to open all the times.

So I stopped by that Tex Mex place for lunch, right before noon and there were more than a few vehicles in the parking lot to pick up orders. I ordered two orders of the $6 plate to go. One for tacos and one for quesadillas. Eat one for lunch and it was very good.

Speaking of masks, the cheap ones (8 for $1) from Dollar Tree are gone too.
 

Dari

Lifer
Oct 25, 2002
17,134
38
91
Looks like I was right and our idiot governor is now having second thoughts about his banal PAUSE scheme. Like I said, if you have underlying issues or have one foot in the grave, self-isolate. the rest of us should go on as usual. On another note, my tennis buddy got the Chinese virus. He's only 25 but said he was an idiot and ignored all the warnings. Now he's got a bad fever, aching joints and muscles, sore lungs. He went to a hospital, they confirmed he was carrying the virus, and sent him back home. He said the only thing keeping him alive is Uber eats. This Chinese virus is kicking his ass, someone I used to respect. He's weaker than I thought. It all sounds so terrible but he has some nice tennis rackets and his girlfriend keeps her hair just the way I like...

link

Coronavirus in NY: Cuomo says quarantine may have backfired in some cases

By Geoff Herbert | gherbert@syracuse.com
“We are all in quarantine," Gov. Andrew Cuomo said last Friday, ordering all non-essential workers in New York state to stay home to slow the spread of coronavirus.
Nearly a week later, Cuomo is expressing some doubt on whether the statewide shutdown was the most effective strategy. He now says it might have backfired in some cases.
“We closed everything down. That was our public health strategy,” Cuomo told reporters Thursday at an Albany press briefing. “If you re-thought that or had time to analyze that public health strategy, I don’t know that you would say ‘Quarantine everyone.'”
“I don’t even know that that was the best public health policy. Young people then quarantined with older people, (it) was probably not the best public health strategy,” he continued. “The younger people could have been exposing the older people to an infection.”
New York has become America’s epicenter for the COVID-19 pandemic, with more than 39,000 cases confirmed in the Empire State. That’s nearly half of all coronavirus cases in the U.S., which now has more than any other country, including China.
Cuomo’s office told The New York Post that the governor was referencing a study by Yale professor Dr. David Katz, who made similar comments in a column for The New York Times last week. Cuomo also referred to Katz’s theory of risk stratification on Monday.
“Isolate people but really isolate the vulnerable people. Don’t isolate everyone because some people, most people, are not vulnerable to it," Cuomo said Monday. “And if you isolate all people you may be actually exposing the more vulnerable people by bringing in a person who is healthier and stronger and who may have been exposed to the virus.”
Cuomo said he expects the state will need 30,000 ventilators and more than 140,000 hospital beds when the coronavirus pandemic peaks in 2-3 weeks. Cuomo said Wednesday that cases are doubling every 4.7 days in the state; NBC reports 20 percent of COVID-19 patients require hospitalization and 6 percent have critical illness, including respiratory failure.
 

CZroe

Lifer
Jun 24, 2001
24,195
856
126
Looks like I was right and our idiot governor is now having second thoughts about his banal PAUSE scheme. Like I said, if you have underlying issues or have one foot in the grave, self-isolate. the rest of us should go on as usual. On another note, my tennis buddy got the Chinese virus. He's only 25 but said he was an idiot and ignored all the warnings. Now he's got a bad fever, aching joints and muscles, sore lungs. He went to a hospital, they confirmed he was carrying the virus, and sent him back home. He said the only thing keeping him alive is Uber eats. This Chinese virus is kicking his ass, someone I used to respect. He's weaker than I thought. It all sounds so terrible but he has some nice tennis rackets and his girlfriend keeps her hair just the way I like...

link
Talk about victim-blaming. The "advice" he ignored is the same advice you reject.

Oh, but he's garbage because he's weak. You only used to like him because you didn't know how weak he was. Pfft.
 

randay

Lifer
May 30, 2006
11,019
216
106
I've been cautious not to make that insinuation but it has been pointed out to me that the major carriers in China typically just don't have losses, and extra lines are difficult due to it being tied to your National ID. Because your phone is your wallet there (even in rural markets or roadside shops) that's pretty significant. People typically don't just leave the economy without dying.

...but you're right: We can speculate but don't assume. Maybe many of those people are stuck outside of the country due to travel bans... I dunno.

Yes all we can do is speculate. To me, when someone says 21 million cell phones disconnected, that just tells me 21 million cell phone users cancelled their cell service. They just plain couldnt pay for it or decided not to. With all the economic hardship happening, that makes perfect sense to me. Its the simplest answer. Also the most logical. and also the most boring.

Its more exciting to imagine 210 million infected and 21 million dead people in China? I guess... Gives us something to talk about today besides toilet paper and bottled water.
 
Reactions: CZroe

Hayabusa Rider

Admin Emeritus & Elite Member
Jan 26, 2000
50,879
4,266
126
I
Without rewatching the podcast didn't Osterholm also say this is likely a 7 month affair? and IIRC the 6ft social distancing isn't adequate... should be more like 14ft
I don't know who Osterholm is but when a population is exposed to a novel virus there is little to no resistance from reinfection when it's as contagious as COVID-19. Three or maybe more rounds should be expected.

I'm a bucket of cheer
 

CZroe

Lifer
Jun 24, 2001
24,195
856
126
Yes all we can do is speculate. To me, when someone says 21 million cell phones disconnected, that just tells me 21 million cell phone users cancelled their cell service. They just plain couldnt pay for it or decided not to. With all the economic hardship happening, that makes perfect sense to me. Its the simplest answer. Also the most logical. and also the most boring.

Its more exciting to imagine 210 million infected and 21 million dead people in China? I guess... Gives us something to talk about today besides toilet paper and bottled water.
Well, cell phone service is extremely cheap there because
A) Communism
B) Basically your wallet

Their economy basically requires everyone to have one, no matter how poor/rural. You'd literally use your smartphone to give a street beggar cash on his cell phone.

That's why Matt Tye/C-Milk/LaoWhy86 said it can't be explained by just saying that people couldn't afford them or had to tighten their belts. For them it's a bit like burning your bank and losing all your cash because you wanted more money (?!).

I think a lot of it can be explained by millions letting their service lapse because they are out of the country and unable/unwilling to come back.
 
Reactions: Arkaign

Kaido

Elite Member & Kitchen Overlord
Feb 14, 2004
48,518
5,340
136
Aside from restaurants, one field that is getting hit hard is the film world. All of my clients & buddies in DCC are just getting hammered right now. Nearly zero work available. One of my buddies has a colorist job he's staying at home doing remotely, but that's about it. There are some really nice collaborative packages & services like Frame.io, but unless you're already setup on them or at that stage of your production where you're doing the editing, coloring, VFX, sound, etc., then everything has kind of just...stopped. Alberta is getting nailed too:

 

Dari

Lifer
Oct 25, 2002
17,134
38
91
Talk about victim-blaming. The "advice" he ignored is the same advice you reject.

Oh, but he's garbage because he's weak. You only used to like him because you didn't know how weak he was. Pfft.
WTF are you talking about? I asked him what he meant by being an 'idiot' but he wouldn't elaborate other than say he ignored all the advice. The only obvious one I can think of is not washing your hands frequently. But I really want to know how he got this thing cause I saw him last week and he said he went to the hospital on Monday. I ran Tuesday and Thursday this week with no trouble. I plan on running tomorrow evening as well. He's 25 and I'm 37. If he falls because of this virus I won't be happy.
 
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