Originally posted by: Slick5150
A sign you're posting in the wrong forum:
Your topic starts with "NOT (insert forum title here)"
Originally posted by: WooDaddy
The reason why panels are going for so low now is because of an oversupply.. but of course when you overbuild, you create shortages in the future.
Originally posted by: edplayer
which is the opposite of what you posted
Originally posted by: WooDaddy
No knucklehead... I said future..
LCD Panel Material Shortages on Horizon
Online staff -- Electronic News, 3/30/2005
Following an acute oversupply in 2004, materials and components used for the manufacturing of large-sized LCD panels are likely to enter a state of shortage in the second half of this year, market researchers at iSuppli Corp. believe.
Supply of glass substrates for large-sized TFT-LCD panels -- panels 10-inches or more in diagonal size -- is expected to fall 8 to 10 percent short of demand in the second half of the year when measured in area, according to the El Segundo, Calif.-based firm.
Color filters used for fifth- and sixth-generation LCD fabs are forecasted to experience shortages of 7 to 12 percent in Q4.
The seeds of the upcoming shortages were sown in second half of 2004 as the thin film transistor liquid crystal display (TFT-LCD) industry entered a downturn in Q3 2004 as shipments of panels for desktop PC monitors declined and demand for displays for mobile computers grew only marginally, iSuppli said.
Also, unit shipments of large-sized TFT-LCDs shrunk in Q3 2004 on a sequential basis, before bouncing back in Q4 2004, while unit shipments rose sequentially in both Q3 and Q4 2003.
With the market slowdown, materials used in the production of large-sized panels went into a state of oversupply late last year since materials suppliers typically require one quarter to respond to shifts in LCD shipment levels, iSuppli said.
As a result, these material suppliers are presently limiting production increases as a reaction to conditions from last year and therefore materials production is not expected to keep pace with panel manufacturing in the second half of the year, iSuppli predicted.
While the glass substrates and new-generation color filters are predicted to experience the most acute shortages, other parts will not be immune including polarizers, TAC film and lamps, which are all expected to experience only varying degrees of supply tightness this year.
Originally posted by: edplayer
Originally posted by: WooDaddy
No knucklehead... I said future..
You are the knuckledhead. Overbuilding does not creating shortages. Even a child can figure that one out. Undercapacity or excess demand makes shortages
Rising to a point WELL BELOW what they were, I imagine.NOT HOT: LCD Panel Prices to rise soon
Originally posted by: OptimisTech
Originally posted by: edplayer
Originally posted by: WooDaddy
No knucklehead... I said future..
You are the knuckledhead. Overbuilding does not creating shortages. Even a child can figure that one out. Undercapacity or excess demand makes shortages
Sorry edplayer, but you really are being a little dense here...
Oversupply creates two things...
1. Low price point, therefor reduced profits for manufacturers.
2. Reduced demand, due to more people who want LCDs, will already have them by the summer.
The manufacturing sector looks at this data and reduces their output of product A (be it LCDs, RAM, whatever...) This is especially true for high-dollar, long life goods like monitors. LCDs being sold today are likely to be in use for at least three years. That means demand will hit a saturation point. Manufacturers are well aware of this, and will adjust output to compensate. THAT is how oversupply creates shortages. It takes someone more advanced then a child to figure that out.