Now We All See the Genius of AMD Going Lowend First

poofyhairguy

Lifer
Nov 20, 2005
14,612
318
126
One common theme on this forum the last few months is how some people have angst/anxiety about the fact that AMD is ceding the highend market (and some of the midrange) to Nvidia all the way until 2017 (unless the freak show 480X2 oops I mean 490 is real). The concept is that there was a lot of pent up demand for new node GPUs, and Nvidia is sucking up all that demand from gamers who want real upgrades over midrange last node GPUs (like the 290).

But I think these amazing Vulkan results, combined with good Directx 12 results for the 480, shows that AMD is the playing the hand they have perfectly. What I think we were all missing (me included) is that winning back market share isn't a one-generation task and AMD has a plan to put the generation AFTER Polaris/Vega in the driver's seat.

If we got Vega this month instead of the 480 it would almost certainly be this pig of a card on power usage compared to a 1080 (given 480 power usage), but also a 1080 (or especially the 1080 ti we all know is coming) would probably clean Vega's freaking clock in Directx 11 games. Branded with the scarlet letter of slower and using more power this AMD generation would be a complete flop, and there would be an anti-Halo effect depressing 480 sales when it eventually released.

Instead with the 480 AMD is winning the pure value equation, which is more important to consumers in its price bracket than power usage by definition because they have less money and need to get as much performance as they can with that money to keep up with the market. That means that a 480 power pig should still sell well next to a more expensive (and efficient) 1060, and more importantly it gives developers a newer target for AMD optimizations in Directx 12 (and maybe Vulkan) to set the stage for Vega.

Now when Vega comes in 2017 reviewers will HAVE TO use game benchmarks that include more Directx 12 titles (because we will have more AAA Directx 12 titles by then) and we will see Vega wipe the floor with the 1080 in those titles. Vega will still be a power pig probably, but gaming enthusiasts will take notice of this late round performance victory and give AMD a brand perception boost they sorely need.

In that scenario, when we get to the 1180/590 generation people who otherwise would run to the first card Nvidia sells might be willing to wait to see what AMD has to offer after knowing how well Vega performed the generation before. If AMD can find some way to make whatever comes after Vega less of a power pig then Nvidia's clear advantages (Directx 11, power consumption) will be gone and AMD will have a wind in its sails like we haven't seen since the switch to Directx 9.

I doubted them but AMD apparently does have a plan other than pure desperate survival. Well played AMD, I never saw it coming.

 

faseman

Member
May 8, 2009
48
12
76
Yep, the rx480 is really good value. The same can't be said for the price gouging FE garbage.
 

Sonikku

Lifer
Jun 23, 2005
15,751
4,558
136
The 480 is one hell of a value... if you can find one at MSRP. God knows I can't. Shoulda nabbed a 8gb for $200 instead of holding out for an aftercooler.
 
Mar 10, 2006
11,715
2,012
126
The reality is that they now have nothing viable to sell at the high end for 6-9 months, and even in the mid-range the 1060 will probably do just fine if 960/970 -- both blowout successes -- are any indication.

A lot of people interested in the high end, particularly those who have been waiting and waiting for 14/16nm GPUs are going to find it hard to resist going with either a 1070/1080. Rumor, and pretty credible rumor, is that GP102 based Titan (and maybe 1080 Ti) will arrive in August, which should not only further cement NVIDIA's status as the premier high-end GPU provider.

AMD prioritized the products that they believed would be the best use of the resources that they have to work with, and as the sales/margin/Steam numbers show, it's the lower end/value segment of the market in which AMD has the best shot of business/financial success, not the high end.
 
Feb 19, 2009
10,457
10
76
Benchmarks will look completely once these games arrive:

Battlefield 1, Forza Horizons, Deus Ex MD, Watch Dogs 2, Halo, Gears of Wars 4, Sniper Elite 4 and so on..

In the 2H of 2016, most of the big games are DX12. Expect 2017, nearly all will be DX12 or Vulkan.

However, for Vega, don't draw its conclusions based on Polaris. They are IP8 vs IP9, and Vega has HBM2's advantage.
 

Bacon1

Diamond Member
Feb 14, 2016
3,430
1,018
91
The reality is that they now have nothing viable to sell at the high end for 6-9 months, and even in the mid-range the 1060 will probably do just fine if 960/970 -- both blowout successes -- are any indication.

A lot of people interested in the high end, particularly those who have been waiting and waiting for 14/16nm GPUs are going to find it hard to resist going with either a 1070/1080. Rumor, and pretty credible rumor, is that GP102 based Titan (and maybe 1080 Ti) will arrive in August, which should not only further cement NVIDIA's status as the premier high-end GPU provider.

AMD prioritized the products that they believed would be the best use of the resources that they have to work with, and as the sales/margin/Steam numbers show, it's the lower end/value segment of the market in which AMD has the best shot of business/financial success, not the high end.

If the 1080 Ti comes out anytime soon, it will either be absurdly priced or completely destroy the 1080 price/perf wise, making it the worst card ever purchased. I wouldn't expect to see a 1080 Ti anytime soon.
 
Feb 19, 2009
10,457
10
76
I doubted them but AMD apparently does have a plan other than pure desperate survival. Well played AMD, I never saw it coming.

Oh, they do have a long term plan. But I used to doubt whether they can remain afloat until their plan pays off. With the PS4 Neo & Scorpio on Polaris APU, that's no longer an issue.

The first phase really is console GCN optimization making its way to PC games. Even DX11 titles, if optimized for GCN, especially in shader code and wavefront scheduling, means a big difference (Battlefront, Far Cry Primal, Rainbow Six etc) for GCN performance on PC. Interestingly, as soon as you optimize for GCN, you neuter Kepler badly (~33%) and slightly neuter Maxwell.

This has meant that NV needs to sponsor the PC port and get devs to optimize it back, which is where GameWorks closed libraries came in. It's NV's code. The game has to be able to run it well so the game's optimization needs to cater to GW.

If AMD & NV don't sponsor the port, you get a game optimized for GCN naturally due to the console development.

DX12 & Vulkan is the next phase, and we're entering that era nowadays.

The final phase will be multi-small dies, think Navi, on an interposer, presenting as a single GPU to DX12 & Vulkan. It's basically multi-GPU but without the latency penalty and overhead.

Good video series for those who aren't aware of AMD's plan:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0ktLeS4Fwlw
 

Maverick177

Senior member
Mar 11, 2016
411
70
91
It's simple as this:

Buying nVidia cards = supporting Gimpworks with your wallet.

Buying AMD cards = supporting Open-ness-ish practice with your wallet.


Trolling and threadcrapping are not allowed.
Markfw900
 
Last edited by a moderator:

brandonmatic

Member
Jul 13, 2013
199
21
81
Yes, AMD is playing the only hand they have at the moment. They don't have anything to offer at the high end right now. But I wouldn't call the RX 480 a power hog - it's just very unexceptional for the new lithography node. But by the standards of just last year it's a pretty efficient card.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,565
7,618
136
That and if Microsoft works magic on multi GPU support, 2x 480s could cripple the advantage a 1080 has. When is that expected to land, if at all?
 

michal1980

Diamond Member
Mar 7, 2003
8,019
43
91
It's simple as this:

Buying nVidia cards = supporting Gimpworks with your wallet.

Buying AMD cards = supporting Open-ness-ish practice with your wallet.

Believing either company is looking out for anyone but their wallet = foolish.


NVidia had/has cards that outperform AMD on a vast of majority of games available to play TODAY.

AMD has cards that might/will outperform NVidia on games that will be for sale sometime tomorrow.
 
Feb 19, 2009
10,457
10
76
It's simple as this:

Buying nVidia cards = supporting Gimpworks with your wallet.

Buying AMD cards = supporting Open-ness-ish practice with your wallet.

I used to think that but it's not that simple.

AMD is playing the "Long Gimp" against NV.

Console hardware win, GCN optimized games have forced NV to counter with GimpWorks else they will look much worse. Imagine if DX11 games look more like Battlefront, Far Cry Primal etc. Without NV sponsoring the port, that's what happens when devs target console hardware for the game's development. It's put NV in a position where they have to get the PC port sponsorship or their GPUs under-perform relative to AMD.

Now there's an AMD attack on NV with DX12/Vulkan.

Both companies are competing viciously, but AMD went with a longer term strategy by leveraging their one advantage: they make CPU as well as GPUs, and that's why they can secure console wins.

With x86 & GCN as the foundation for backwards compatible consoles, MS & Sony sees it as an opportunity to get gamers to upgrade their consoles more frequently like PC gamers. It's secured AMD's hardware/IP as the platform for future consoles. Even beyond PS4 Neo & Scorpio.

GPUOpen is nice for devs, especially as it allows them to share optimized code freely with others in the industry. But at it's core, the code runs great on GCN. It only benefits AMD, with the least dollar investment.

What I want to say is it's not that clear cut, black vs white. AMD and NV are competitors, while some may say AMD's position in marketshare means they are not competitors, it's absolutely not true. Without AMD, NV users will not enjoy slightly inflated prices for GPUs, it would have been much worse.

From JHH himself: https://youtu.be/hqiBzmuqPNY?t=4m33s
 

ThatBuzzkiller

Golden Member
Nov 14, 2014
1,120
260
136
The genius plan is the consoles wins if you even consider it to be when their not exactly thriving right now, it's not AMD getting first to the lower end ...

The hardware that dominates consoles will dictate gfx APIs and game development ...

The new console hardware updates especially from Microsoft are much needed wins at AMD's discretion as it'll make it easier for them to petition for more newer GCN hardware features into the core of DirectX ...

What AMD doesn't need is the holier than thou attitude that some people here paint them for, what AMD needs is a non-vendor agnostic gfx API from Microsoft on the PC space so that means bringing more features from Xbox's customized DirectX API to PC ...
 
Last edited:

Zstream

Diamond Member
Oct 24, 2005
3,396
277
136
Believing either company is looking out for anyone but their wallet = foolish.





NVidia had/has cards that outperform AMD on a vast of majority of games available to play TODAY.



AMD has cards that might/will outperform NVidia on games that will be for sale sometime tomorrow.



I guess that's true, I just am pretty damn bored of the current game lineup. That is, outside of totalwarhammer, doom, and a few others. I'm really looking forward to the AAA titles this year as I think most are.
 

Madpacket

Platinum Member
Nov 15, 2005
2,068
326
126
Although it's very early in the 14/16nm race, RTG's strategy just makes more sense than Nvidia's. They've done a few very clever moves to position themselves for serious growth in the next 12 - 24 months.

Biggest win going forward was trojan horsing DX12 and to a lesser extent, Vulcan with Mantle.

Also ensuring next-gen console wins that are GCN based will cement tool development and continue to benefit Radeon cards for a long time.

Entering the sub $250.00 market with viable 14nm performance for for 1080/1440P/VR gaming.

Freesync. I don't think this gets enough credit. Almost every decent gaming monitor released in the past year with Gsync is $200+ more than effectively the same damn panel with Freesync. It didn't take long for people to figure this one out and ignore the Gsync tax (even if they owned a Geforce) forcing them into a future Radeon purchase. This is hard to quantify but my gut tells me this strategy is selling a lot more Radeons people think.

Ethereum - this one kind of came out of left field but mining ether has been very profitable for GCN owner's and still is for the foreseeable future. Now that the 480's are out the performance per watt is at Fury Nano levels for less than half the cost, miners are eating them up. How Nvidia still doesn't have a working Windows 10 driver to allow proper mining is beyond me. Or with Linux you have to do a silly amount of work to get the new 10x0 cards sort of working. The 1060 could end up being a good alternative to the 480 here but Nvidia needs to step up the support. They're blind to a market that's exploding right now.

Stepping up Linux support. Latest Phoronix gaming benchmarks show Radeons are catching up in this area. If Vulcan takes off this will even help even more.

Communication and marketing. With Raja at the helm of RTG the Zeitgeist and image around AMD and Radeon is changing. They're doing successful Reddit AMA's, working with places like PCPer doing candid interviews, basically showing the human side of the company and relating to people better which is changing peoples perception of the company. This is also very cost effective for them which they need to be.

Anyways Nvidia is a juggernaut so I'm sure they'll respond hard once they notice how quickly marketshare starts disappearing. I think they've been simply caught off guard. This happens with a lot with bigger companies, they get lazy or complacency kicks in and forget how much hard work it took to get to where they're at. But if I were a betting man I think they'll have a real tough time not losing market share for a little while.

Interesting times.
 
Last edited:

CriticalOne

Member
Apr 17, 2015
26
0
16
It came at the cost of DX11 performance, and thus a massive tumble in market share. Seeing how Pascal can just use brute force to keep the leads in Async games, AMD still isn't the clear winner of DX12 yet.
 

renderstate

Senior member
Apr 23, 2016
237
0
0
I can't help noticing how hope comes in waves. It gets crashed and here we go again..


Trolling and threadcrapping are not allowed.
Markfw900
 
Last edited by a moderator:

brandonmatic

Member
Jul 13, 2013
199
21
81
The genius plan is the consoles wins if you even consider it to be when their not exactly thriving right now, it's not AMD getting first to the lower end ...

The hardware that dominates consoles will dictate gfx APIs and game development ...

The new console hardware updates especially from Microsoft are much needed wins at AMD's discretion as it'll make it easier for them to expose more newer GCN hardware features into the core of DirectX ...

What AMD doesn't need is the holier than thou attitude that some people here paint them for, what AMD needs is a non-vendor agnostic gfx API from Microsoft on the PC space so that means bringing more features from Xbox's customized DirectX API to PC ...

I think AMD just needs the API that gets each architecture/chip closer to peak theoretical compute performance.
 

poofyhairguy

Lifer
Nov 20, 2005
14,612
318
126
The reality is that they now have nothing viable to sell at the high end for 6-9 months, and even in the mid-range the 1060 will probably do just fine if 960/970 -- both blowout successes -- are any indication.

A lot of people interested in the high end, particularly those who have been waiting and waiting for 14/16nm GPUs are going to find it hard to resist going with either a 1070/1080.

You don't think these Vulkan results will give people pause in their purchase plans?
 

digitaldurandal

Golden Member
Dec 3, 2009
1,828
0
76
What I have seen is that there actually are multiple in the same boat I was in with a 290 or better and a Freesync monitor. I have seen quite a few people wait instead of getting a 1070/1080 because of the monitor. The choice to give their implementation away for free is maybe paying dividends. Of course without a real sample size it is hard to say.

I still maintain that Polaris was out first because they developed it for the consoles and for Apple. The side benefit is a card they can sell fairly cheaply. If people buy a Freesync monitor they might end up AMD lifers due to Nvidia's decision not to implement support for it.

Personally I think Nvidia should be marketing Gsync as the superior solution (and it currently is) but also support Freesync. This would allow them to lock users in that buy Gsync but allow them to capture market that buys Freesync. Maybe if AMD gets some market share back this will happen. It would be quite a devious play.
 

boozzer

Golden Member
Jan 12, 2012
1,549
18
81
really depends how wide spread vulkan is used in future games as dx12 doesn't give amd as much gains.
 
Feb 19, 2009
10,457
10
76
It came at the cost of DX11 performance, and thus a massive tumble in market share. Seeing how Pascal can just use brute force to keep the leads in Async games, AMD still isn't the clear winner of DX12 yet.

Not at a cost of performance. 390 > 970, 390X = 980. etc. The cost is worse perf/w. Extra hardware not being used in DX11 hurts power efficiency.

It is a good architecture, ahead of it's time, but AMD isn't in a position with huge R&D budgets and their design with GCN is intended to go the distance for them. It just needs the API landscape to shift and its happening.

Pascal's competitor isn't Hawaii or Fiji. It's Polaris and Vega. As an example, give it another 3 months or so and there's more big DX12 titles in benchmarks, the RX 480 will beat Pascal 1060. At the end of 2016, the result will be a significant lead for the RX 480 due to more DX12 titles (& AMD sponsored no less!) in benchmark suites.

Vega's arrival will indeed be prime-time DX12 & Vulkan era.
 

IEC

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Jun 10, 2004
14,354
5,012
136
What I have seen is that there actually are multiple in the same boat I was in with a 290 or better and a Freesync monitor. I have seen quite a few people wait instead of getting a 1070/1080 because of the monitor. The choice to give their implementation away for free is maybe paying dividends. Of course without a real sample size it is hard to say.

I still maintain that Polaris was out first because they developed it for the consoles and for Apple. The side benefit is a card they can sell fairly cheaply. If people buy a Freesync monitor they might end up AMD lifers due to Nvidia's decision not to implement support for it.

Personally I think Nvidia should be marketing Gsync as the superior solution (and it currently is) but also support Freesync. This would allow them to lock users in that buy Gsync but allow them to capture market that buys Freesync. Maybe if AMD gets some market share back this will happen. It would be quite a devious play.

If they supported Freesync a 1070 would have been my next purchase, hands-down. However, they don't, so that made my ~$340 purchase of a new Sapphire Fury Nitro OC an easier decision. It will get me that extra horsepower I want for 34" Ultrawide 3440x1440 while keeping the benefit of Freesync. Should get it tomorrow, and should tide me over until Big Pascal and Big Vega + next generation of ultrawide high refresh rate monitors.
 
sale-70-410-exam    | Exam-200-125-pdf    | we-sale-70-410-exam    | hot-sale-70-410-exam    | Latest-exam-700-603-Dumps    | Dumps-98-363-exams-date    | Certs-200-125-date    | Dumps-300-075-exams-date    | hot-sale-book-C8010-726-book    | Hot-Sale-200-310-Exam    | Exam-Description-200-310-dumps?    | hot-sale-book-200-125-book    | Latest-Updated-300-209-Exam    | Dumps-210-260-exams-date    | Download-200-125-Exam-PDF    | Exam-Description-300-101-dumps    | Certs-300-101-date    | Hot-Sale-300-075-Exam    | Latest-exam-200-125-Dumps    | Exam-Description-200-125-dumps    | Latest-Updated-300-075-Exam    | hot-sale-book-210-260-book    | Dumps-200-901-exams-date    | Certs-200-901-date    | Latest-exam-1Z0-062-Dumps    | Hot-Sale-1Z0-062-Exam    | Certs-CSSLP-date    | 100%-Pass-70-383-Exams    | Latest-JN0-360-real-exam-questions    | 100%-Pass-4A0-100-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-300-135-exams-date    | Passed-200-105-Tech-Exams    | Latest-Updated-200-310-Exam    | Download-300-070-Exam-PDF    | Hot-Sale-JN0-360-Exam    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Exams    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-JN0-360-exams-date    | Exam-Description-1Z0-876-dumps    | Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps    | Dumps-HPE0-Y53-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-HPE0-Y53-Exam    | 100%-Pass-HPE0-Y53-Real-Exam-Questions    | Pass-4A0-100-Exam    | Latest-4A0-100-Questions    | Dumps-98-365-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-98-365-Exam    | 100%-Pass-VCS-254-Exams    | 2017-Latest-VCS-273-Exam    | Dumps-200-355-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-300-320-Exam    | Pass-300-101-Exam    | 100%-Pass-300-115-Exams    |
http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    | http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    |