NRA invests millions in schools....for shooting sports

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zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,806
29,557
146
I use it as an example because it is a direct contradiction that the US military can or will crush any kind of real rebellion. We can go through history and use other examples of rebellions toppling their govts if it makes you feel better.

Anyways I don't consider taking over some outhouse in Oregon as a rebellion. I'm talking full fledged break down in civil services, a splinter in our govt due to a catastrophic reason, a situation the people have had enough. A rebellion with a following, a purpose, will not easily be put down by our military like so many on the left like to fantasize about.

Everything you listed applies to a full fledged rebellion on US soil. The military will have a worse time of it due to shooting at their countrymen. And members or entire units may join the rebellion. Did we already forget the civil war? The leaders on the south werent some avg joes. They were West Point graduates that lead a rebellion that consumed 1 million casualties over 4 years of fighting.

it's just weird that you pick Afghanistan, because no one has ever conquered Afghanistan. No one. Of all historical or present comparisons--it is the absolute worst one to make. Alexander of Macedonia was like...eh fuck this place. I'm out.
 

mikeymikec

Lifer
May 19, 2011
18,029
10,203
136
Bonus: Schools are safer than ever if you bothered to check the facts."

Frankly I scrolled past your wall of links since you couldn't be bothered to conclude your previous argument with me, but the link at the end of your post caught my eye and I had a quick look at it only to conclude that your claim is utter bollocks. Why on earth would you try to make a claim like that only based on stats suiting a "mass shooting" definition? Did it not occur to you that the difference between incidents that would make that list and the ones that don't could be mostly due to planning, luck and/or poor aim?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_school_shootings_in_the_United_States

Scroll to say the 70s or 80s, and observe the number of incidents. Now scroll to the 21st Century. We go from several incidents per year approximately (I counted 30 for the whole of the 70s) to several almost every single month (I counted 67 for 2015-present). Without bothering to count up all the tables, I think it's safe to say that the trend of shootings in US schools is an upward one rather than downward.
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,775
49,434
136
Nope. But it's a case of me being too lazy to do the legwork. So this is me stealing someone's work.

Well I'm sorry to inform you that the person whose work you stole is either profoundly incompetent at understanding empirical research or has been lying to you. You've been duped.


"If they bothered to look at the issue as a whole instead of cherry picking "background checks" they'd find a very different story. DGU data shows a net positive when citizens are armed before political implications. Guns are not correlated to violence, inequality is.

And according to the DGU data The Violence Policy center (which is extremely anti-gun fyi) gives the low range estimates at ~67,000 DGUs per year. Consider this the extreme low:

http://www.vpc.org/studies/justifiable.pdf

As you are mostly randomly citing statistics without analyzing them your results (and therefore the conclusions that could be drawn from them) tend to be all over the place. I'll try to highlight how your own sources contradict your argument. In this link for example, it indicates that for every justifiable homicide involving a gun there were 36 criminal gun murders. This directly contradicts your point.

More importantly, the statistic you cite does not come from the Violence Policy Center, it comes from the National Crime Victimization Survey conducted by the Department of Justice and it's the same data used in the Uniform Crime Report. This should be considered excellent data of some of the highest quality available, not an 'extreme low'. As an FYI, the NCVS states that defensive firearm use is far less common than criminal firearm use, which is not a surprise to anyone who knows anything about gun ownership.


Neither of these reports contain the phrase defensive gun use or even the word defensive so you'll have to specify what you're referring to. A quick skim of the first link seems to have no references to defensive gun use at all. I suspect you did not actually read the things you are citing and just relied on the good faith of whoever duped you.

Almost all national survey estimates indicate that defensive gun uses by victims are at least as common as offensive uses by criminals, with estimates of annual uses ranging from about 500,000 to more than 3 million per year…in the context of about 300,000 violent crimes involving firearms in 2008.

http://www.nap.edu/read/18319/chapter/1

http://www.guncite.com/gun_control_gcdguse.html

That is a ludicrously false statement and it should be obvious if you took any time to think about it. According to the FBI there were about 2.7 million violent crimes and burglaries in the US in 2016. You want to claim to me that there were 3 million defensive gun uses during that period, meaning that defensive gun use exceeded the combined total of all violent crime and burglary? What kind of Mad Max world do you think we live in? Does that even remotely square with anything you know or have seen about how crime in America works? As an example of how crazy the estimates the 3 million number comes from, from the numbers in Kleck's survey firearm owners described shooting 200,000 people in defensive gun use situations. The only problem with that is only 100,000 people were admitted to hospitals with gunshot wounds in a given year.

Most interestingly, research on what people report as 'defensive gun use' indicates that what they are describing is often criminal activity in and of itself, so even the definition of 'defensive gun use' usually means 'someone committing a crime with a gun'.

https://www.researchgate.net/public...ited_States_results_from_two_national_surveys


So how about guns killing? Statistics show only .0005% of gun owners commit a gun related crime. Best estimates put gun ownership at 37% in America, and that was in 2013, the number today is estimated to be closer to 45% but lets go with the smaller number to do the math conservatively.

Not sure where you're getting your numbers from as according to the GSS gun ownership is declining, not increasing.

So America has population of 318 million people. So the number of gun owners is 318,000,000 x .37 = 117,660,000 Source: http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tan...ricans-own-guns-but-just-how-many-is-unclear/ So we have ~117,660,000 gun owners.

We do not have 117 million gun owners. We have potentially 117 million people who live in a household with a gun, which is a very different thing.

What is the latest FBI statistic on violent crime? FBI database shows ~11,000 fatal gun crimes a year. The study linked in the OP including suicides is beyond BS. So 117,660,000 / 11,000= .0000934897 = 99.99065% But there is a problem with this number, it doesn't take into account illegal gun ownership and assumes the legal gun owners are the ones causing all the crime. This source shows 90% of homicides involved illegally bought or sold guns, or owners who where previously felons: Source: http://www.guncite.com/gun_control_gcgvmurd.html So for fun lets re-run the numbers to differentiate between criminals and non criminals. Since a felony record disbars you from legally owning a firearm, yet 90% of murders are committed by those with felony records, we know only 10% of murders are committed by legal gun owners. So we have ~11,000 murders, ten percent of which are committed by previously law abiding gun owners. So that is 1,100 murders. So we have 117,660,000 law abiding gun owners commenting 1,100 murders, which comes out to 99.999065% So yes 99.999065% of Legal gun never murder someone. Only .000045% of them become murders. So as you can see, the stats clearly show that guns do not increase the likelihood of violent crime, or cause anyone to be less safe, quite the opposite as the DGU data shows.

This is a fundamental misunderstanding of empirical evidence and how statistics work. It also is directly refuted by the body of empirical research on the topic.

https://academic.oup.com/aje/article/160/10/929/140858

Those persons with guns in the home were at greater risk than those without guns in the home of dying from a homicide in the home (adjusted odds ratio = 1.9, 95% confidence interval: 1.1, 3.4). They were also at greater risk of dying from a firearm homicide, but risk varied by age and whether the person was living with others at the time of death. The risk of dying from a suicide in the home was greater for males in homes with guns than for males without guns in the home (adjusted odds ratio = 10.4, 95% confidence interval: 5.8, 18.9).

So using the high estimates for gun violence, and the low estimates for DGUs, DGUs outnumber use of a legally held weapon in a deadly violence by ~60 times.

Apples to oranges as you can't compare murders to defensive gun use. To make a valid comparison you would need to compare defensive gun use to ALL gun crimes. When you do that you will see that guns are used about six to seven times more often to commit crimes than they are used to prevent them, again using DOJ data on firearm crimes vs. defensive gun use.

https://www.nij.gov/topics/crime/gun-violence/pages/welcome.aspx

You are just wrong in every way it is possible to be wrong. If you want an even more simple summary, the "moar guns moar death" BS is just hilariously wrong on the face of it. According to the Washington Post, civilian firearms ownership has increased from ~240 million (1996) to ~357 million (2013) (For reference to the figures below, it shows about 325 million guns in 2010). According to Pew Research, the firearms homicide death rate fell from ~6 per 100,000 persons (1996) to 3.6 per 100,000 (2010). So according to these figures, between 1996 and 2010, the number of civilian firearms increased by ~35%. And this is while firearms ownership as % of pop stayed constant. Over the same time period, firearms homicide deaths decreased by ~40%.

This is a good example of the Dunning-Kruger effect where it's obvious you have no experience or understanding of inferential statistics and are just parroting what someone else wrote (which in all fairness, you admitted to doing). The number of guns owned is irrelevant, as if a person owns one gun or 100 likely means little as it relates to their likelihood of of committing a crime. It's ironic as you are wrong in every way it's possible to be wrong but have somehow convinced yourself otherwise.

As to your data on gun ownership it's not possible to know where it's sourced from. Instead, let's look at the GSS data, which is once again generally the standard used. From this you will see that firearm ownership has declined significantly from the time of our peak murder rates, which would indicate the exact opposite of what you're saying.



If you want to focus on ccw specifically, fine that shows the same thing. Rather do murder per 100,000 globally? Sure thing. And that is where you get your GINI connect fyi. The correlation is a lot stronger than gun ownership. This has been looked at and somehow keeps getting forgotten. You don't pick up a gun to hurt someone because it is your first choice, you generally do it because it is your last. Inequality, desperation, the effects of capitalism in the third world and increasingly the first, drastically increase this.

Bonus: Schools are safer than ever if you bothered to check the facts."

Whether or not other factors are also predictive of firearm homicide is irrelevant as to whether or not gun control is a good idea. That's like saying because diet and exercise are good ways to keep someone from dying of cancer we shouldn't bother with chemotherapy.

Regardless, as I mentioned above basically everything you (or your source) is doing here are descriptive statistics, which are incredibly crude tools for understanding anything. In previous threads I and others have linked large volumes of empirical research that shows increased gun ownership is related to increased violence and increased risk to the owner of being the victim of homicide and suicide. If you're genuinely interested in learning about this I'm more than happy to link you additional research on the topic because it's clear at this point you have no idea what you're talking about and have been badly misled by someone who likely has an agenda.

As a primer here's a number of studies that you can look at which all utilize actual statistical analysis and directly refute your claims:

http://www.cjcj.org/uploads/cjcj/documents/jpj_firearm_ownership.pdf

Examining violent crime, homicide, rape, robbery, and assault for 1,997 counties in the United States, the findings indicate that increased prevalence of firearms was associated with increased violent crime, homicide, rape, robbery, and assault.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4167105/

We found no robust, statistically significant correlation between gun ownership and stranger firearm homicide rates. However, we found a positive and significant association between gun ownership and nonstranger firearm homicide rates. The incidence rate ratio for nonstranger firearm homicide rate associated with gun ownership was 1.014 (95% confidence interval = 1.009, 1.019).

http://ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/abs/10.2105/AJPH.2015.302703

Consistent with prior research, this study demonstrated that Connecticut’s handgun permit-to-purchase law was associated with a subsequent reduction in homicide rates. As would be expected if the law drove the reduction, the policy’s effects were only evident for homicides committed with firearms.

http://annals.org/aim/article/18144...timization-among-household-members-systematic

Conclusion:

Access to firearms is associated with risk for completed suicide and being the victim of homicide.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
You know that's not how simulated rationality works, fski. Stake out a position first, then cherry pick whatever fits that position, disregard the rest.
 

OutHouse

Lifer
Jun 5, 2000
36,413
616
126
I don't have a problem with this, assuming the schools are very, very careful with safety and storage of the weapons. Like any sport there will be injuries and deaths but sport shooting is fine by me and if kids want to learn gun use/safety that's valuable information in the absence of sane gun laws.

From my perspective this is how almost all guns should be used/stored.


Dude, no schools have an campus armory for their shooting sports.
 
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brycejones

Lifer
Oct 18, 2005
26,665
24,968
136
Dude, no schools have an campus armory for their shooting sports.

Use AN before words such as "hour" which sound like they start with a vowel even if the first letter is a consonant. Also use AN before letters and numbers which sound like they begin with a vowel, such as "F" or "8". Remember, it is the sound not the spelling which is important.

Pet peeve of mine.
 

nickqt

Diamond Member
Jan 15, 2015
7,585
7,825
136
No, the survey itself.

If you wanted to say ‘I have nothing’ this was a good way to do it.
All media outlets besides the approved conservative media outlets that Masters Limabugh, Hannity, and Jones approve, are biased in terms of reality.

They do not take into account that conservatives are under attack by the entire world, and getting backstabbed at home by 5th columnist libruuls who hate America.
 

IJTSSG

Golden Member
Aug 12, 2014
1,120
276
136
Since we appear to be posting links to our favorite studies here's one that has some very interesting data: https://www.nap.edu/read/18319/chapter/1

You can read the whole document from that link. It is framework for what a more comprehensive study should look like but there is some interesting data in there.

It was linked to in an earlier post and our resident statistician, fvcktardospy, claimed the word "defensive" doesn't appear in the document. If you can be bothered to read it, you'll see it appears 18 times.
 
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bozack

Diamond Member
Jan 14, 2000
7,913
12
81
this is surprising and or bad because? last I checked shooting sports were Olympic events...are we now against teaching in a controlled and responsible environment? pathetic what this debate has devolved into.
 
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ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
32,324
15,123
136
this is surprising and or bad because? last I checked shooting sports were Olympic events...are we now against teaching in a controlled and responsible environment? pathetic what this debate has devolved into.

I'm sure you think you made some sort of point there.
 

bozack

Diamond Member
Jan 14, 2000
7,913
12
81
I'm sure you think you made some sort of point there.

just adding my useless two cents to this thread as yourself and many others...but by all means continue to try and tear apart my post with your lame jabs.
 

ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
32,324
15,123
136
just adding my useless two cents to this thread as yourself and many others...but by all means continue to try and tear apart my post with your lame jabs.

There is nothing to tear apart, that was the point.
 

thilanliyan

Lifer
Jun 21, 2005
11,912
2,130
126
this is surprising and or bad because? last I checked shooting sports were Olympic events...are we now against teaching in a controlled and responsible environment? pathetic what this debate has devolved into.
IMO, that money would be better spent on school supplies for example. Some schools struggle budget wise (forcing parents to pony up for supplies), but they're getting money to teach students how to shoot? Doesn't seem right, although I don't expect the NRA to be interested in anything other than gun-related activities.
 

Fern

Elite Member
Sep 30, 2003
26,907
173
106
IMO, that money would be better spent on school supplies for example. Some schools struggle budget wise (forcing parents to pony up for supplies), but they're getting money to teach students how to shoot? Doesn't seem right, although I don't expect the NRA to be interested in anything other than gun-related activities.
I think it would be best be spent on the Fern Retirement Plan. We can all have our opinion on where money is best spent, but the people who donated their money want it spent this way.

Fern
 

ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
32,324
15,123
136
I think it would be best be spent on the Fern Retirement Plan. We can all have our opinion on where money is best spent, but the people who donated their money want it spent this way.

Fern

Great! Then they can start their own schools for kids to learn to play with guns.
 

bozack

Diamond Member
Jan 14, 2000
7,913
12
81
IMO, that money would be better spent on school supplies for example. Some schools struggle budget wise (forcing parents to pony up for supplies), but they're getting money to teach students how to shoot? Doesn't seem right, although I don't expect the NRA to be interested in anything other than gun-related activities.

so would you say this to all the other interest and or lobbying groups looking to contribute funds to various districts or agencies? why should the NRA donate funds for school supplies? and by extension then why shouldn't other groups? seems like a double standard.

As I mentioned before, competitive target shooting is currently an Olympic event, do we not want to remain competitive of which nations compete on a global scale (hence the Olympics)...do we not want to encourage people to be educated about proper firearm safety in a regulated and controlled environment?? its funny as those calling for enhanced controls are typically pretty quick to bleat on and on about how they don't want to take "all guns away" and how they are all for more training, until they aren't which is clearly evident here.

Or is it just because it is the NRA? please enlighten me
 

ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
32,324
15,123
136
so would you say this to all the other interest and or lobbying groups looking to contribute funds to various districts or agencies? why should the NRA donate funds for school supplies? and by extension then why shouldn't other groups? seems like a double standard.

As I mentioned before, competitive target shooting is currently an Olympic event, do we not want to remain competitive of which nations compete on a global scale (hence the Olympics)...do we not want to encourage people to be educated about proper firearm safety in a regulated and controlled environment?? its funny as those calling for enhanced controls are typically pretty quick to bleat on and on about how they don't want to take "all guns away" and how they are all for more training, until they aren't which is clearly evident here.

Or is it just because it is the NRA? please enlighten me

The luge is also a current event and I don't see you advocating for that. See if you can use your tiny brain to figure out why it's not something taught in high schools and see how that would apply to trap shooting.

Do you even know why we have mandatory k-12 schooling? (hint: banging the teacher, aka your mom, isn't it).
 
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