I was glazing over Titan performance scores and noticed an interesting trend - Nvidia had a much bigger perf/mm^2 jump refining Fermi into Kepler than AMD did with Cayman and barts moving to GCN.
GK110 is about 5% larger than GF110, yet it's performance is 85% faster than GF110 according to techpowerup (at 2560x1600) and nearly 100% faster according to anandtech's review.
GK104 (as the gtx680) is about 20% smaller than GF114 (in reverse, GF114 is about 23% larger), yet Nvidia managed to increase perfomance by an average of 89% at 1600p and 79% at 1920x1200 (vs gtx 560 ti).
GK104 (as the gtx770) is about 20% smaller than GF114 (in reverse, GF114 is about 23% larger), yet Nvidia managed to increase perfomance by an average of 104% at 1600p and 85% at 1920x1200 (vs gtx 560 ti).
GK106 is about 10% smaller than GF116 (GF116 is about 11% larger), and Nvidia manage to increase performance by an average of 145% at 1600p and 121% at 1920x1200 (vs gtx550 ti).
GK107 is virtually the same size as GF118. Nvidia increased performance by 108% at 1920x1200 and 1680x1050.
Tahiti is 6% smaller than Cayman (Cayman is 6.5% larger). It's performance is 62% higher than Cayman at 1600p and 56% at 1200p.
Pitcairn is 17% smaller than Barts (Barts is 20% larger). It's performance is 46% higher than Barts at 1600p and 41% higher at 1200p.
Bonaire is 4% smaller than Juniper (Juniper is 4% larger). It's performance is 93% higher at 1200p and 100% higher than Juniper at 1050p.
Cape Verde is virtually the same size as Turks (~5mm difference). It's performance is 81% higher at 1200p and 82% at 1050p.
- Looking over the data, the trend has been to decrease die sizes (the exception being GK110).
- More noticeably, Nvidia increased performance per mm^2 across the board with every chip more so than AMD did by a substantial amount.
- While Pitcairn and GK106 are about equal across the board with respect to performance and power consumption, GK104 offers substantially more performance per mm^2 than Tahiti.
- AMD brought several more chips (8 completely different chips) to market than Nvidia (5 completely different chips) at 40nm. On 28nm, Nvidia has made 5 kepler derivatives while AMD has made 4.
- Considered to be GCN 1.1, Bonaire is significantly faster and more efficient than it's predecessor (Juniper) vs. any of the GCN 1.0 chips when compared to their 40nm predecessors.
It is very interesting data to examine. Despite AMD having the architectural advantage on 40nm with regards to power envelope and perf/mm^2, they used substantially more resources in making a large variety of chips, and simultaenously failed to recapture the fastest single performing GPU once Nvidia's Fermi was released. In other words, AMD had more chips covering less of a performance span at 40nm than Nvidia did. On 28nm up to this point, AMD has made 4 different chips at 28nm whereas Nvidia has made 5 different chips (although only 4 are sold to consumers). Also at 28nm, Nvidia has currently managed to completely close the gap and reverse in all measurable categories (perf/mm^2, die sizes, perf/watt). Furthermore, Nvidia's efforts aren't finished yet either as "refreshed" parts are have been released and more are coming.
No one knows what is going to happen at 20nm, but AMD has said future architectures will be based off their GCN design they are working with now (much like how Kepler is based off Fermi). Nvidia's CEO JHH has come out and said that "Maxwell will crush Kepler" (exact quote) in respects to performance per watt (which should be expected given a new node). A wildcard factor in AMD's favor is their intimate development of GDDR6 memory, which could lead to improved stability at higher vram speeds for AMD products (witnessed with Nvidia's Fermi designs with GDDR5 vs. AMD's at the time).
Sources:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geforce_400_Series
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GeForce_500_Series
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radeon_HD_5000_Series
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radeon_HD_6000_Series
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radeon_HD_7000_Series
http://www.techpowerup.com/reviews/NVIDIA/GeForce_GTX_Titan/27.html
http://www.anandtech.com/show/6774/nvidias-geforce-gtx-titan-part-2-titans-performance-unveiled