NVIDIA Pascal Thread

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jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
15,176
5,717
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Half the size of GM200, but on the new node.

GM200 was a one time deal. A gaming focused chip the size of that isn't happening on this node, and don't expect one any time soon. Maybe GP102 will show up at 450 mm2ish but expect that to be $899+.
 

Grooveriding

Diamond Member
Dec 25, 2008
9,110
1,260
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I think 35% more performance is pretty much expected from a 316 sq mm Pascal chip with clocks close to 1.6 Ghz( 35% faster than GTX 980 Ti) and architectural improvements which should increase perf/cuda core. I think the big die Geforce won't turn up any time before Q2 2017 since Tesla P100 itself is going to widely available from all server vendors only in Q1 2017.

Is this card expected to ship with 1.6 ghz clocks ? That would be crazy, then we'll see 1.8-2ghz overclocks ? I haven't read the whole thread.

If that is the case then it changes things. Right now I was getting the impression it would be like last time where the new card would match the old overclocked card and you'd have to overclock it again to get another 20% performance.

1.6 ghz is nuts. I can only just get that clock rate stable on one of my cards and it takes a lot of voltage.


GM200 was a one time deal. A gaming focused chip the size of that isn't happening on this node, and don't expect one any time soon. Maybe GP102 will show up at 450 mm2ish but expect that to be $899+.

I doubt this. Just will take enough time passing. They'll be stuck on this node for who knows how long. In a year they'll be only too happy to drop a $1000+ Titan card again. We'll definitely see an at least 550mm2 gaming Pascal chip at some point. That is the beast I want for single GPU 1440p.
 
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Kenmitch

Diamond Member
Oct 10, 1999
8,505
2,249
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Is this card expected to ship with 1.6 ghz clocks ? That would be crazy, then we'll see 1.8-2ghz overclocks ? I haven't read the whole thread.

If that is the case then it changes things. Right now I was getting the impression it would be like last time where the new card would match the old overclocked card and you'd have to overclock it again to get another 20% performance.

1.6 ghz is nuts. I can only just get that clock rate stable on one of my cards and it takes a lot of voltage.




I doubt this. Just will take enough time passing. They'll be stuck on this node for who knows how long. In a year they'll be only too happy to drop a $1000+ Titan card again. We'll definitely see an at least 550mm2 gaming Pascal chip at some point. That is the beast I want for single GPU 1440p.

Clocks are speculation.

No real info in the thread in the end. Mostly speculation and back and forth circle jerking.
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,110
6,754
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Given that the P100 was announced as having a 1328 MHz core clock and a boost of ~1.5 GHz, 1.6 GHz might not be unreasonable for a die that's half the size. That's only a jump of ~270 MHz, which even if that's pushing the limits of the architecture and process seems doable given what we know about P100.
 

S.H.O.D.A.N.

Senior member
Mar 22, 2014
205
0
41
Given that the P100 was announced as having a 1328 MHz core clock and a boost of ~1.5 GHz

With a specified TDP of 300W. Pushing those clock higher would most likely make it actually sip that amount of power. We're talking Uber 290X levels.

Do you see Nvidia ditching their power efficiency mantra? Because I don't.
 
Mar 10, 2006
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I don't understand this thread or the hate against pasccal at all.

Lets say the GTX 1080 is a 20% increase over the GTX 980 in performance, but greatly increased perf/watt.

Isn't that what NBvidia users wanted? Isn't that why GTX 970 owners picked GTX 970's over R9 290s? Perf/Watt was important right?

Now all of a sudden, the most massive jump in perf/watt we've seen in awhile, and people aren't happy....

Weird....

Perf/watt was more important in allowing NVIDIA win the gaming notebook market than it was in the desktop GPU market.
 

IllogicalGlory

Senior member
Mar 8, 2013
934
346
136
I don't think we'll be seeing Pascal go much further above Maxwell. NV is just going really aggressive with the frequencies on the P100, and it shows in the TDP compared to its predecessors. They've just been holding back on the stock configurations up to now. NV could have made the 980 Ti matrix clock speeds (1216 - 1317) the defaults if they wanted to, for example (if they had a beefier cooler).

And as far as I know, lower power cards hit around the same clock frequencies as high power ones. We don't see 1700MHz 960s even though 980 Tis can hit 1500MHz.

I expect 1.6 - 1.7GHz overclocks on air.
 
Feb 19, 2009
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Perf/watt was more important in allowing NVIDIA win the gaming notebook market than it was in the desktop GPU market.

Yes, but it also gave NV the auto win at entry & mainstream gaming.

You and I and everyone here knows how often people buy OEM PCs with terrible PSUs, so when they need a GPU, there's only a few options: 750Ti, 950... nothing AMD.

With Polaris aiming at winning perf/w, AMD at least becomes an option for notebooks and low end gaming.
 

SteveGrabowski

Diamond Member
Oct 20, 2014
7,440
6,166
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GM200 was a one time deal. A gaming focused chip the size of that isn't happening on this node, and don't expect one any time soon. Maybe GP102 will show up at 450 mm2ish but expect that to be $899+.

I don't know, it doesn't sound likely. Nvidia's just going to throw away all their GP100 chips that can't pass Tesla binning? I expect at the least we'll see a heavily cut down GP100 gaming card like Nvidia did with the 780 and GK110. I don't think we'll see it very soon, but I'd be pretty surprised if there isn't a big die Pascal gaming card eventually.
 
Feb 19, 2009
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I don't think we'll be seeing Pascal go much further above Maxwell. NV is just going really aggressive with the frequencies on the P100, and it shows in the TDP compared to its predecessors.

Indeed, P100 is a cut down chip and it's being pushed to 300W TDP.

We can expect similar results for other SKUs, get those clocks high and brute force any deficiencies in next-gen games/DX12.
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,110
6,754
136
With a specified TDP of 300W. Pushing those clock higher would most likely make it actually sip that amount of power. We're talking Uber 290X levels.

Do you see Nvidia ditching their power efficiency mantra? Because I don't.

No, but at the same time if they've got extra TDP headroom, there's no reason not to increase the clock rates to take advantage of it to get better baseline performance even if the efficiency isn't as good.

I don't think we'll see it very soon, but I'd be pretty surprised if there isn't a big die Pascal gaming card eventually.

I can't see NV not releasing something to compete with Vega 10 within a similar time frame. I don't know if that means a 600 mm^2 monstrosity similar to P100, but I can't imagine not having a big Pascal by this time next year.
 

antihelten

Golden Member
Feb 2, 2012
1,764
274
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lol yeah nice logic we will sell fewer but will cost more...did you just seriously said that? what company that wants to be profitable did that

Yes I did just say that. Are you seriously arguing that no company has ever gone for high margins over high volume and been profitable? Because if so, then this line of discussion has officially become too dumb for me.

also lol yeah 99% of people didnt bought anything at all the few 1% was the one that bought 970/980/390/390x......

Yep it was indeed the 1% who bought 970/980/390/390x. You don't understand that video cards, has always and will always be niche products, and the vast majority of the worlds population (the 99%) will never buy a GPU, regardless of price.

#logic 2016

Indeed
 

3DVagabond

Lifer
Aug 10, 2009
11,951
204
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I think 35% more performance is pretty much expected from a 316 sq mm Pascal chip with clocks close to 1.6 Ghz( 35% faster than GTX 980 Ti) and architectural improvements which should increase perf/cuda core. I think the big die Geforce won't turn up any time before Q2 2017 since Tesla P100 itself is going to widely available from all server vendors only in Q1 2017.

I haven't heard about any architectural improvements for gaming, just compute. What have you seen?
 

3DVagabond

Lifer
Aug 10, 2009
11,951
204
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I don't know, it doesn't sound likely. Nvidia's just going to throw away all their GP100 chips that can't pass Tesla binning? I expect at the least we'll see a heavily cut down GP100 gaming card like Nvidia did with the 780 and GK110. I don't think we'll see it very soon, but I'd be pretty surprised if there isn't a big die Pascal gaming card eventually.


If Vega is 4096sp like rumored, we're gonna see a bigger nVidia chip ASAP. Especially if it improves perf/W like was claimed on the road map slide.

 

moonbogg

Lifer
Jan 8, 2011
10,637
3,095
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If Vega is 4096sp like rumored, we're gonna see a bigger nVidia chip ASAP. Especially if it improves perf/W like was claimed on the road map slide.


That would be so badass if AMD put the pressure on and Nvidia couldn't get away with their $550.00 mid range nonsense. They would be forced to release an actual high end card for a regular high end price of $5-600. That would be amazing.
 

antihelten

Golden Member
Feb 2, 2012
1,764
274
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If Vega is 4096sp like rumored, we're gonna see a bigger nVidia chip ASAP. Especially if it improves perf/W like was claimed on the road map slide.


I think Polaris 10 is currently rumoured at 2560SP, so Vega would be a 60% increase over this.

Speculation on the full Polaris 10 chip seems to put it around 390X/Fury level performance, whereas speculation on GP104 seems to be roughly 980 Ti +20-30%. If this holds true then GP104 would be roughly 50% faster than Polaris 10.

So if Vega 10 is 60% faster than Polaris 10, then it would only be about 5-10% faster than GP104, so Nvidia might be able to get by for at least a little while with just GP104 (maybe by releasing some overclocked variants).
 

airfathaaaaa

Senior member
Feb 12, 2016
692
12
81
Yes I did just say that. Are you seriously arguing that no company has ever gone for high margins over high volume and been profitable? Because if so, then this line of discussion has officially become too dumb for me.



Yep it was indeed the 1% who bought 970/980/390/390x. You don't understand that video cards, has always and will always be niche products, and the vast majority of the worlds population (the 99%) will never buy a GPU, regardless of price.



Indeed
tell me a company that actually had profits by selling fewer parts but with more cost per unit...name ONE(and survived to tell the story)
indeed it was that 1%....meanwhile any survey you can see on the net says a totally different story
lol just lol
 

3DVagabond

Lifer
Aug 10, 2009
11,951
204
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I think Polaris 10 is currently rumoured at 2560SP, so Vega would be a 60% increase over this.

Speculation on the full Polaris 10 chip seems to put it around 390X/Fury level performance, whereas speculation on GP104 seems to be roughly 980 Ti +20-30%. If this holds true then GP104 would be roughly 50% faster than Polaris 10.

So if Vega 10 is 60% faster than Polaris 10, then it would only be about 5-10% faster than GP104, so Nvidia might be able to get by for at least a little while with just GP104 (maybe by releasing some overclocked variants).

You do know that you can't simply count SP's and figure out performance? Especially since they are showing Vega being a major improvement in efficiency over Polaris. Especially since we are comparing rumors for a not released product to a further improved not released product.
 

mohit9206

Golden Member
Jul 2, 2013
1,381
511
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So how many pipelines will 1070/1080 have? For example Geforce 6600 has 16 ALU's for shader operation, 8 pixel pipelines, 8 texture units, and 4 ROP's.And what about unlocking pipelines to unlock extra performance like you could do back in the day?
 

antihelten

Golden Member
Feb 2, 2012
1,764
274
126
You do know that you can't simply count SP's and figure out performance? Especially since they are showing Vega being a major improvement in efficiency over Polaris. Especially since we are comparing rumors for a not released product to a further improved not released product.

You're right usually the performance increase is smaller than the increase in functional units, since you never get perfect scaling, so I guess it might be more like Vega 10 = GP104 in that case.

Where have you seen AMD say that Vega is a major improvement in efficiency over Polaris by the way, I must have missed that?
 

tential

Diamond Member
May 13, 2008
7,348
642
121
That would be so badass if AMD put the pressure on and Nvidia couldn't get away with their $550.00 mid range nonsense. They would be forced to release an actual high end card for a regular high end price of $5-600. That would be amazing.

Lol you're about to be disappointed. I feel like Polaris is entry level/mid-high end. Nvidia is going to win the enthusiast market again IMO. Vega will then spoil that party and come after the 1080Ti does.
 

airfathaaaaa

Senior member
Feb 12, 2016
692
12
81
Lol you're about to be disappointed. I feel like Polaris is entry level/mid-high end. Nvidia is going to win the enthusiast market again IMO. Vega will then spoil that party and come after the 1080Ti does.
their own roadmap places polaris 10 at the level of the fury line and 11 for the rest
 

3DVagabond

Lifer
Aug 10, 2009
11,951
204
106
You're right usually the performance increase is smaller than the increase in functional units, since you never get perfect scaling, so I guess it might be more like Vega 10 = GP104 in that case.

Where have you seen AMD say that Vega is a major improvement in efficiency over Polaris by the way, I must have missed that?



This road map. Perf/watt over time.
 

ShintaiDK

Lifer
Apr 22, 2012
20,378
145
106


This road map. Perf/watt over time.

The 2.5x already seems wrong since the CEO wont commit to it with investors. And there is no numbering on the left. So you dont even know if the scaling is supposed to be linear either.
 
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airfathaaaaa

Senior member
Feb 12, 2016
692
12
81
The 2.5x already seems wrong since the CEO wont commit to it with investors. And there is no numbering on the left. So you dont even know if the scaling is supposed to be linear either.
raja said 2.5x and he is the head of rtg and also an engieneer...his words have more value
 
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