NVIDIA Pascal Thread

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maddie

Diamond Member
Jul 18, 2010
4,881
4,951
136
It was stated by the Nvidia CEO himself the GP100 will only be available as part of DGX-1 system. People wanting GP100 based cards for anything else will be required to wait until next year it appears. That is what I got from watching it and from what the technical press have seemed to have reported.
It seems Deep Learning systems are desperately needed by many here.

Just having some laughs folks, don't get angry.
 

USER8000

Golden Member
Jun 23, 2012
1,542
780
136
Calm down before you have a stroke!

Those who use the term ADF love JHH....They'd probably have his babies if they were capable.

ADF is the term they use to make fun of those who support AMD. It's the best they could come up with I guess.

I am perfectly calm!! I thought it was obvious what was said in keynote and some people got confused about the dates,so that is why I linked back to what I could remember. Are they wrong or have the keynote dates changed?

Plus,about ADF - isn't that a tad childish LOL? Soon,it will be NDF vs ADF and be like some Mighty Morphin Power Rangers knockoff,with people in red and green spandex duking it out with graphics cards glued to their heads.

It seems Deep Learning systems are desperately needed by many here.

Just having some laughs folks, don't get angry.

Who do you not know they are not a DGX-1 themselves?

Is this how Skynet starts?? An internet discussion gone awry!!
 
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RussianSensation

Elite Member
Sep 5, 2003
19,458
765
126
This slide is surprising to me. Per NV themselves, they estimated not long ago that 30% of their Install Base was using Maxwell, with the remaining 70% are still on previous gen architectures. This should put the idea to rest that GPU performance only matters for 1.5-2 years and that most PC gamers upgrade every 2 years. It's actually the opposite in that most PC gamers hold their NV GPUs beyond 2 years (and I would estimate even longer for AMD users given how well GCN has aged compared to Fermi and Kepler).

GP104 will be a great upgrade for those Fermi GTX470<->580 and GTX670<->780Ti users.



The projected demand for VR GPU upgrades is incredible too.



NV's desire to attack the > $300 market segment makes a lot of sense now since it seems there are millions of Fermi and Kepler users who skipped Maxwell, which means they skipped GTX950/960/970 at affordable price segments. That means if someone is using a 2010-2013 Fermi/Kepler GPU is going to be more likely to spend $300+ after not upgrading for so long and NV won't give this loyal customer the choice of cheaper GP106/107 upfront. Smart play to keep increasing ASP and pushing gross margins beyond 56%.

This may explain why some GTX480/GTX570/580/GTX670/680/770/780 owners are defending the rumored $600-650 prices for GTX1080 since well they had 3 to 6 years to save up. It also means none of these gamers would look at GP104 as a next gen upper mid-range chip either since their current GPU is so far behind in performance.
 
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USER8000

Golden Member
Jun 23, 2012
1,542
780
136
I have a feeling final pricing will be known closer to launch when AMD and Nvidia know exactly what they are up against.
 

raghu78

Diamond Member
Aug 23, 2012
4,093
1,475
136
Calm down before you have a stroke!

Those who use the term ADF love JHH....They'd probably have his babies if they were capable.

ADF is the term they use to make fun of those who support AMD. It's the best they could come up with I guess.

rofl That was hilarious. P100 volume production in 2016 is just PR. Few of the NDF (the Nvidia version of ADF) would take whatever JHH said as gospel but that does not mean every body falls for that crap hook line and sinker.

Anyway the next few months are going to be interesting as we see GP104 and Polaris 10 launch. The so called rumours are getting hilarious. We now have the concept of inflated performance based on rumours. Nobody has clue how GP104 and Polaris 10 performs. The perf estimates are changing on a daily basis. I hope we can see the launch sometime in late Q2 2016 and finally put all of this speculation to end.
 

Good_fella

Member
Feb 12, 2015
113
0
0
Who is ADF?? The Nvidia CEO said the following during the GP100 unveil:

http://www.tomshardware.co.uk/nvidia-pascal-tesla-p100-gpu,news-52735.html



You did actually watch the event right?? It was said during that event the GP100 would ship to HPC first and be available to OEMs by Q1 2017. Even the price of the system,ie,$129000 was mentioned during that event.

It was the same with the GK110 - it first shipped to ORNL months before other customers got it.

Is ADF another name for Jen-Hsun Huang?? That would JHH right??


Edit to post!

Here is arstechnica reporting on it:

http://arstechnica.co.uk/gadgets/2016/04/nvidia-tesla-p100-pascal-details/



http://www.enterprisetech.com/2016/04/06/nvidia-unleashes-monster-pascal-gpu-card-gtc16/



http://techreport.com/news/29946/pascal-makes-its-debut-on-nvidia-tesla-p100-hpc-card



It was stated by the Nvidia CEO himself the GP100 will only be available as part of DGX-1 system. People wanting GP100 based cards for anything else will be required to wait until next year it appears. That is what I got from watching it and from what the technical press have seemed to have reported.

What's wrong with you, drama queen? US =/= Japan.


Personal attacks are not allowed.
Markfw900
 
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airfathaaaaa

Senior member
Feb 12, 2016
692
12
81
its always funny that people in order to get their twisted views they can go so far as to say the ceo of the certain company is lying i mean imagine if they were running pcper or guru3d...
 

Timmah!

Golden Member
Jul 24, 2010
1,512
824
136
This slide is surprising to me. Per NV themselves, they estimated not long ago that 30% of their Install Base was using Maxwell, with the remaining 70% are still on previous gen architectures. This should put the idea to rest that GPU performance only matters for 1.5-2 years and that most PC gamers upgrade every 2 years. It's actually the opposite in that most PC gamers hold their NV GPUs beyond 2 years (and I would estimate even longer for AMD users given how well GCN has aged compared to Fermi and Kepler).

GP104 will be a great upgrade for those Fermi GTX470<->580 and GTX670<->780Ti users.



The projected demand for VR GPU upgrades is incredible too.



NV's desire to attack the > $300 market segment makes a lot of sense now since it seems there are millions of Fermi and Kepler users who skipped Maxwell, which means they skipped GTX950/960/970 at affordable price segments. That means if someone is using a 2010-2013 Fermi/Kepler GPU is going to be more likely to spend $300+ after not upgrading for so long and NV won't give this loyal customer the choice of cheaper GP106/107 upfront. Smart play to keep increasing ASP and pushing gross margins beyond 56%.

This may explain why some GTX480/GTX570/580/GTX670/680/770/780 owners are defending the rumored $600-650 prices for GTX1080 since well they had 3 to 6 years to save up. It also means none of these gamers would look at GP104 as a next gen upper mid-range chip either since their current GPU is so far behind in performance.

Then i am exception to that group, LOL. Cause i am certainly not satisfied with rumored 20 percent over 980Ti. I was definitely not skipping Maxwell waiting for just that.
 

antihelten

Golden Member
Feb 2, 2012
1,764
274
126
What's wrong with you, drama queen? US =/= Japan.

What makes you think that the US doesn't equal Japan?

As far as I can tell there has been zero indications that the release schedule for GDX-1 and the AIB version of P100 is different between the two countries.

In fact the link Sweepr provided only reinforces this:

Google translate:
Begin shipping Tesla P100's first quarter of 2017, but prior to the shipment of the card alone, NVIDIA will release the Tesla P100 equipped with eight, the world's first "deep learning" supercomputer "DGX-1".

...

Official sales start in Japan also announced, in Japan, GDEP Solutions Co., Ltd., HPC Systems, Inc., from the three companies of Hitachi, Ltd., will be sold from 26 days. There was no announcement about the price, 129,000 dollars (1,419 million and $ 1 = 110 yen equivalent) in the United States to be sold in the announced at GTC 2016 's.

This is basically the same as in the US (i.e. DGX-1 now, AIB P100 in Q1 2017).
 
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Ares202

Senior member
Jun 3, 2007
331
0
71
This may explain why some GTX480/GTX570/580/GTX670/680/770/780 owners are defending the rumored $600-650 prices for GTX1080 since well they had 3 to 6 years to save up. It also means none of these gamers would look at GP104 as a next gen upper mid-range chip either since their current GPU is so far behind in performance.

Yes that's me, granted I'm running SLI but the point still stands.

I'm hoping AMD launch first, I can see them having the better performing card out of the gate.
 

Sweepr

Diamond Member
May 12, 2006
5,148
1,142
131
Two new, interesting Pascal articles today.

Eurogamer: In Theory - Can next-gen Nvidia tech offer Titan X power for GTX 970 money?



If high-performance graphics cards like Titan X, Fury X and GTX 980 Ti aren't enough to satisfy your lust for top-tier PC hardware, this year will see the arrival of new hardware with the potential to take gaming visuals and performance to the next level. Historically, AMD and Nvidia have worked hard to push PC graphics year after year, but the arrival of 14nm and 16nm chip fabrication technology using 3D FinFET transistors offers GPU vendors the first real innovation in manufacturing technology for five years. And recent data released by Nvidia suggests we're in for something really special with its upcoming Pascal architecture.

...There are plenty of other question marks we hope to see addressed soon too. For example, we know that GP100 - the 'big Pascal' chip - is designed for next-gen HBM2 memory, but what's the score with the upcoming consumer cards? Titan X and GTX 980 Ti took GDDR5 memory pretty much to its limits with a 384-bit bus paired with 7gbps modules. Will Nvidia stick with tried and tested technology, or will it go for Micron's new, higher bandwidth GDDR5X? The recent leaks of PCB shots of the GP104 see it paired with currently unidentifiable Micron chips strongly suggest that at least one of the consumer level Pascal cards will ship with the upgraded RAM [UPDATE 28/4/15 11:33am: Looks like the Micron chips have indeed been identified as GDDR5X].

www.eurogamer.net/articles/digitalf...pascal-offer-titan-x-performance-at-970-money


TheTechReport: Exploring Nvidia's Pascal architecture - We dig into the GP100 GPU

...Then there’s HBM2. I’d have argued for its inclusion in GeForce Pascals a few months ago, but GDDR5X is on the way. This memory doubles the prefetch length and also should come with a fairly large increase in effective clock speed. It’ll be cheaper to use than HBM2 at similar aggregate bandwidths, and it’s cheaper to implement at the on-chip PHY level—not to mention the savings from the lack of an interposer and stack packaging. GDDR5X also doesn't have strict rules tying bandwidth to capacity. That lets Nvidia use memory sizes other than 4GB, 8GB, 12GB, or 16GB on its GeForce products, compared to the limitations of HBM2.

Given those guesses, I think there’s at least one consumer chip that's still really big, but quite a bit smaller than 610 mm². It probably has similar overall throughput to GP100 in the metrics we care about for graphics, and it'll probably come with less memory capacity. Even so, it should still have plenty of overall bandwidth. Some rumours say this chip is called GP102. I think it'll have 56 to 60 SMs, 1/32nd FP64 throughput, and more than 8GB of 384-bit GDDR5X. If it exists, then it’s likely destined for a Titan-class card first, and maybe a enthusiast’s favourite “Ti” product later on.

Nvidia is also likely working on a GM200 replacement for the pair of high-end GeForce non-Tis that make up the meat of the enthusiast market these days. It’s likely called GP104. That chip will likely also have token FP64 throughput—remember that these are GPUs, not HPC cards. I also bet it'll have 8GB of 256-bit GDDR5X, 40 SMs or thereabouts, and all the associated machinery in terms of texturing and backend throughput that implies, in a die of around 300 mm².

http://techreport.com/review/30048/exploring-nvidia-pascal-architecture/5
 

Sweepr

Diamond Member
May 12, 2006
5,148
1,142
131
Big news, Pascal Geforce(s) should be unveiled next week at NVIDIA's Editor's Day 2016:

NVIDIA Editors&#8217; Day 2016

We&#8217;ve confirmed this information with three independent sources (Jen-Hsun, Jen-Hsun doppelganger and Elon Musk). NVIDIA Editors&#8217; Day 2016 will take place next week in USA. It&#8217;s a special event for reviewers and technology enthusiasts who are invited for a briefing about new graphics cards. During this day NVIDIA will inform the press about new Pascal-based graphics cards.

Our sources claim that two graphics cards will be unveiled. So this should probably mean GeForce GTX 1080 and GTX 1070 showcase.
We are avoiding the term &#8216;announcement&#8217; as it remains unclear if the event will be live streamed for public audience or its content will be disclosed later when NDA lifts. Normally NVIDIA tends to call public events as &#8216;press conferences&#8217;, so it is unlikely we will be seeing official confirmation of this Pascal event.

The last major Editors&#8217; Day took place in 2014, a week before Maxwell GM204 announcement. So this should give you a perspective on when to we expect GeForce Pascal cards (I&#8217;m thinking maybe second or third week of May).

http://videocardz.com/59459/nvidia-pascal-editors-day-next-week

Even if NDA lifts later we can probably expect some credible leaks.
 
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Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,109
136
Two new, interesting Pascal articles today.

Eurogamer: In Theory - Can next-gen Nvidia tech offer Titan X power for GTX 970 money?

Why would Nvidia offer that kind of deal? They've been able to move good volume with the current pricing structure. The ~330 mm2 size dice of the P104-400 most likely costs more than the 400 mm2 GM104. 10 GHz GDDR5X RAM will cost more than 7 GHz GDDR5 RAM. So BOM costs will be up - NV will want at least the same margins (unless they have a master plan to crush AMD) - so I don't see how we get that kind of price/performance suggested by those articles - not this year.
 

Headfoot

Diamond Member
Feb 28, 2008
4,444
641
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I hope they line up aftermarket models right out of the gate without a delay. Not interested in buying reference coolers anymore with how good the aftermarket stuff has gotten
 

swilli89

Golden Member
Mar 23, 2010
1,558
1,181
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Why would Nvidia offer that kind of deal? They've been able to move good volume with the current pricing structure. The ~330 mm2 size dice of the P104-400 most likely costs more than the 400 mm2 GM104. 10 GHz GDDR5X RAM will cost more than 7 GHz GDDR5 RAM. So BOM costs will be up - NV will want at least the same margins (unless they have a master plan to crush AMD) - so I don't see how we get that kind of price/performance suggested by those articles - not this year.

HMM you think? I always chuckle when I see people making comments on market position and pricing strategies. You realize men much smarter and more seasoned than yourself are paid hundreds of thousands of dollars to literally make that one decision?

Why do people do this? You have literally zero insight into market strategies nvidia is and will be employing and you have no idea about their material costs. Why not leave the business analyst stuff alone and just be excited for this possibility?
 

Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,109
136
HMM you think? I always chuckle when I see people making comments on market position and pricing strategies. You realize men much smarter and more seasoned than yourself are paid hundreds of thousands of dollars to literally make that one decision?

Why do people do this? You have literally zero insight into market strategies nvidia is and will be employing and you have no idea about their material costs. Why not leave the business analyst stuff alone and just be excited for this possibility?

Because it doesn't make sense. It is "theoretically" possible, but I'm not excited by fanboi theories. I've working in high tech & manufacturing as an engineer. I've figured out BOM costs. I've dealt with marketing's business analysts. Do I know for sure what NV is going to do - no, but I have a sense of what is in their best interest. Sorry if that makes you sad - put me on ignore.
 
Mar 10, 2006
11,715
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HMM you think? I always chuckle when I see people making comments on market position and pricing strategies. You realize men much smarter and more seasoned than yourself are paid hundreds of thousands of dollars to literally make that one decision?

Why do people do this? You have literally zero insight into market strategies nvidia is and will be employing and you have no idea about their material costs. Why not leave the business analyst stuff alone and just be excited for this possibility?

I once told an Intel wireless exec that not having CDMA integrated into their cellular modems was a mistake. The exec assured me that this wouldn't be needed in the future since CDMA was on its way out.

Some time later, lo and behold, they rushed to buy the CDMA modem assets from Via Telecom.

http://www.valuewalk.com/2015/10/intel-corporation-acquires-via-telecoms-assets/

Don't assume that these people getting paid big bucks with fancy titles know everything. And don't assume that the people hanging out on this forum are just clueless business analyst wannabes -- some of us might actually know a thing or two. I have zero hesitation telling somebody, no matter their title or pay, if they are making poor decisions, and I encourage everybody to think critically and to challenge/question everything.
 
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Mar 10, 2006
11,715
2,012
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Because it doesn't make sense. It is "theoretically" possible, but I'm not excited by fanboi theories. I've working in high tech & manufacturing as an engineer. I've figured out BOM costs. I've dealt with marketing's business analysts. Do I know for sure what NV is going to do - no, but I have a sense of what is in their best interest. Sorry if that makes you sad - put me on ignore.

You don't need to be a VP at NVIDIA to be able to do a basic relative BoM cost analysis, and I think your analysis (GDDR5X is cost adder relative to GDDR5; 16nm ~320mm^2 die probably more expensive than a 601mm^2 28nm die) is basically spot on.

:thumbsup:
 

tential

Diamond Member
May 13, 2008
7,348
642
121
I once told an Intel wireless exec that not having CDMA integrated into their cellular modems was a mistake. The exec assured me that this wouldn't be needed in the future since CDMA was on its way out.

Some time later, lo and behold, they rushed to buy the CDMA modem assets from Via Telecom.

http://www.valuewalk.com/2015/10/intel-corporation-acquires-via-telecoms-assets/

Don't assume that these people getting paid big bucks with fancy titles know everything. And don't assume that the people hanging out on this forum are just clueless business analyst wannabes -- some of us might actually know a thing or two.

So true, these companies make mistakes all the time. I hate it when people think that just because a company makes billions of dollars they are some how all knowing. Are you kidding me?

I mean, do we need any more evidence of this than AMD?
You could write a 10 page essay of blunders people made at that company over the past couple of years EASILY.
I would like to dispel the notion that these people know exactly what they are doing. They do noot know exactly what they are doing. They are humans, and thus are prone to mistakes just like the rest of us.

This argument is basically like saying "Your boss is always right do you know how much more money he is paid than you?"

How many times have we thought our bosses were making stupid decisions, and then were proven right later?
 

HeXen

Diamond Member
Dec 13, 2009
7,828
37
91
When might we expect for pre orders to be available? Usually whenever a new card arrives, I can never get one for a few months due to all being sold out. Trying to not to miss it this time because I need an upgrade bad.
 

xpea

Senior member
Feb 14, 2014
451
153
116
I hope they line up aftermarket models right out of the gate without a delay. Not interested in buying reference coolers anymore with how good the aftermarket stuff has gotten
I can tell you right now that only reference designs will be available at launch (many reasons for that, the most evident being to avoid leaks). However, AIB SKus will shortly follow at Computex.

edit: on a side note, last rumor from European etailers says that GP106 will arrive this summer to counter Polaris 11. That's sooner than many people expected (looking at you AMD) and it makes perfectly sens. Last thing Nvidia want is to let red team regain market share so easily.
Price and positioning will be:
GTX1060: same performance than 970 for 960 price
GTX1070: performance close to 980Ti for 970 price
GTX1080: a bit higher performance than 980Ti for 980 price
 
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