Odds of Biden stepping down, being replaced. Choose.

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MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
22,859
20,955
136
Reading a lot of complaints and anger from inside the Biden core advisors that he was not provided a more dignified way to drop out of the race. Which ignores reality that he got told privately in explicit terms some time ago by the three most important leaders in the party not named Barack Obama that their members had lost confidence he could win and that he should withdraw. Most of the party has withheld fire so far. Things do not get more dignified from here if he choses to drag things out.
This is all becoming so incredibly bonkers. I mean they are so in denial of reality of what has been happening - they have brought this all upon themselves. And they gaslit much of the Dem party for months. This complete disconnect of reality and only considering their own feelings and ego vs what's good for the country, was definitely not on my 2024 bingo card.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
47,823
36,719
136
If the goal is to avoid more damage to your legacy and embarrassment then I would suggest dropping out before Obama goes on TV and says you should withdraw. Because ultimately that's where this is headed if all else fails.
 

Pens1566

Lifer
Oct 11, 2005
12,155
8,915
136
Exactly - the minute they say anything other than 'Biden is in and will win' that would be taken as an implicit withdrawal and that's not how you want to do it.

And if there is a change/pivot/whatever, they have to immediately start campaigning. There can't be a vacuum until the end of the convention next month where only Trump is out there ...
 
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K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
47,823
36,719
136
And as I was saying ^11ty billion

View attachment 103449

They have no plan!



Yeah that's actually not true. The D leaders and Obama are lined up behind Harris but they can't really say that out loud until Biden agrees to exit. Even Biden's plan is Harris at this point.

The only thing in question are the exact mechanics of how it goes down.
 

Indus

Lifer
May 11, 2002
11,312
7,769
136
If the goal is to avoid more damage to your legacy and embarrassment then I would suggest dropping out before Obama goes on TV and says you should withdraw. Because ultimately that's where this is headed if all else fails.

Obama does that and that's the end of the democratic coalition.

Those very same guys that vote Biden will run to crown Emperor Trump because they've had it with the washington establishment trying to bury their guy!
 

Indus

Lifer
May 11, 2002
11,312
7,769
136
Yeah that's actually not true. The D leaders and Obama are lined up behind Harris but they can't really say that out loud until Biden agrees to exit. Even Biden's plan is Harris at this point.

The only thing in question are the exact mechanics of how it goes down.

Are you calling AOC a liar? I'd trust her over Obama, Biden, Pelosi, Schumer and like 334 million Americans.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
85,437
50,448
136
Obama does that and that's the end of the democratic coalition.

Those very same guys that vote Biden will run to crown Emperor Trump because they've had it with the washington establishment trying to bury their guy!
lol no they will not.
 
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Pens1566

Lifer
Oct 11, 2005
12,155
8,915
136
For reference, Obama and Biden aren't really BFFs anyway. There are some long running ... tensions there and I wouldn't assume any pressure from the Obama faction would necessarily be well received. Might actually make Biden more stubborn.
 

Indus

Lifer
May 11, 2002
11,312
7,769
136
lol no they will not.

You don't know liberals with guns then. I do. And there's a ton of them in NY, CT, PA, NJ, VT, MA, ME, NH, RI, MD, DE.

As Steve Schmidt once put to John McCain.. "That's the base, you can't win without the base".
 
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Indus

Lifer
May 11, 2002
11,312
7,769
136
I most certainly know liberals with guns. If I told them I thought if they couldn’t vote for Biden they would vote for Trump they would laugh in my face.

They don't like Kamala for whatever reason. They might vote for Fetterman or Shapiro.

But this whole idea is academic.. how do you get both Biden and Kamala to step down?

You can't unless Sotomayor steps down and Kam goes on the SCOTUS.

But reality is that's a pipe dream.. that's why sticking with Joe is the best option since your plan goes to shit once he steps down as AOC said!
 

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
22,859
20,955
136
For reference, Obama and Biden aren't really BFFs anyway. There are some long running ... tensions there and I wouldn't assume any pressure from the Obama faction would necessarily be well received. Might actually make Biden more stubborn.
Definitely don't think Obama would be the best choice either based on this as well. @K1052 made me aware of their beef and it's bad. And then I saw a statement about Obama last week from a Biden person, and they totally shit on him and even his presidency.

But Pelosi, Schumer, Jeffries, Schiff, and numerous others? I mean these people have been super loyal Democrats their entire careers and have always tried to elect and keep Dems in power - this is not some alternative motive thing here. If Biden steps out and endorses Kamala and his candidates to her, and then alll these Dems do too - I think a convention crisis can be averted - even though I do feel some donors might try, but will be quashed.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
47,823
36,719
136
Are you calling AOC a liar? I'd trust her over Obama, Biden, Pelosi, Schumer and like 334 million Americans.

Different people can have different opinions. The fact remains that Biden has lost the confidence of much if not most of his own party and the entirely of the leadership. This is not a tenable position for him.
 

Puffnstuff

Lifer
Mar 9, 2005
16,131
4,828
136
At this point I hope Pelosi just goes to Delaware and starts punching people - start with Jill and Hunter, and then his entire inner circle. Bring Paul with a hammer too, he can get some licks in.

I know this guy has to say what he is saying, but just besides that. They all need a good smacking.
They just released this today.
Different people can have different opinions. The fact remains that Biden has lost the confidence of much if not most of his own party and the entirely of the leadership. This is not a tenable position for him.
They are doubling down on it and apparently nobody can sway JB.
 
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K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
47,823
36,719
136
You don't know liberals with guns then. I do. And there's a ton of them in NY, CT, PA, NJ, VT, MA, ME, NH, RI, MD, DE.

As Steve Schmidt once put to John McCain.. "That's the base, you can't win without the base".

I own more guns than any R voter I've ever known and will never vote for Trump.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
47,823
36,719
136
Seems like a sense of betrayal coupled with a sense of inevitability about what needs to happen.

He was offered numerous graceful exists and refused. I guess he just assumed his "friends" would not escalate which is a very poor judgement in this case. This is just what happens next because it's politics and everybody is going to look after their own interests. Once people like Obama, Pelosi, and Schumer think that their achievements are truly being put at risk they will sink you without hesitation. Because that's how it works.

 

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
22,859
20,955
136
Seems like a sense of betrayal coupled with a sense of inevitability about what needs to happen.

He was offered numerous graceful exists and refused. I guess he just assumed his "friends" would not escalate which is a very poor judgement in this case. This is just what happens next because it's politics and everybody is going to look after their own interests. Once people like Obama, Pelosi, and Schumer think that their achievements are truly being put at risk they will sink you without hesitation. Because that's how it works.

I think the interests of Obama, Pelosi, Schumer, and others, is not really about their own interests being at risk - it's 99% worried about the fate of this country in November. Unless you mean that is their own interests.
 
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Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,840
7,866
136
The only thing I blame Biden for was agreeing to the debate.

Trump never showed up for a debate and won. Biden shoulda done the same!
It is unorthodox, but we live in interesting times.
Yes, if the campaign had any sense, they would have avoided something so public.

But there have been reports (rumors?) that Biden's inner circle is incredibly small, and very few people in the world have any access to him. To view and speak with him. To get to truly know and assess his health and fitness to be President. Under such conditions, if the campaign is lied to, how could they make good decisions? The debate happened because (they) told people he was fine. They lied, and the whole world saw that lie.

It is a terrible case of an isolated President.
 

Puffnstuff

Lifer
Mar 9, 2005
16,131
4,828
136
Mad boy mad boy watcha gonna do
watcha gonna do when donations dry up for you?

The campaign believes that they can make up those donations with grassroots fund raising. With Musk giving the RNC $45M a month they won't be able to come close to matching it without big donors.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,840
7,866
136
Obama does that and that's the end of the democratic coalition.

Those very same guys that vote Biden will run to crown Emperor Trump because they've had it with the washington establishment trying to bury their guy!
Huh?
In what world are we not supposed to bury the dead?
If that makes them go running to MAGA, they would have found other excuses to become come out as Nazis.
 
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