Odds of Biden stepping down, being replaced. Choose.

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eelw

Diamond Member
Dec 4, 1999
9,371
4,625
136
History shows that if Biden steps down, it would hand the election to Trump. The last time a party's Presidential nominee stepped down, or was removed (1800's - going off memory, was around 1862, but I could be way off) this late into the election, it caused the party to lose the elections. Back then there was no interent, no social media for the apposing party to capalize on such display of disfuctinality of a party and it's canidate. You think the damage is bad now from Biden's poor performance in the debate. Him stepping down would be catastrophic. Specially 4.5 months before the elections. that's not even taking into account the problems it would cause across the nation. Utah already tried to remove Biden from the Ballot.. if he stepped down, you would see many red states try to keep Biden's replacement off the Ballot. That's not taking into account that nobody else appeared to be able to beat Trump according to the polls taken months ago.
Exactly why a party doesn’t primary the incumbent. But yet we continually get squishy and chicken little saying otherwise. And why so many of us chose 0% chance.
 

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
21,911
20,202
136
Exactly why a party doesn’t primary the incumbent. But yet we continually get squishy and chicken little saying otherwise. And why so many of us chose 0% chance.
Nobody's asked for a contested primary, we never wanted the incumbent running in the first place. But there were a lot of them saying right away Biden was the best choice. That's such a highly embarrassing answer at this point.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,570
7,631
136
Be free to change your vote as the situation evolves...


As a bonus; cast a replacement candidate in the comments.
Willingly stepping down?
Zero.

Biden would have to be voted out via the Primary Election. At the convention.
Odds of that are...
Probably still zero.

Not like we cultivate leaders and prepare them to step in. That SHOULD be the only reason a VP exists, but no one seems to like Harris.
 

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
23,535
13,109
136
better revise it to 0

because even if you think he's old and weak.. he is what the people voted for!

If you try and replace him.. you do exactly what Trump did.. override the will of a free and fair election.

And if you need any reminder of who the real enemy is:

Its not a reflection of my opinion, my first and final thought on this is that I am not qualified to assess what course of action maximizes odds of beating Trump. So I decided to poll ATPN.
Funny that post debate analysis, from the sources I check, suggests that this actually didnt hurt Biden. Conservative propaganda operations has been so successful that people watching Biden got exactly the impression they thought they would get: Yup Biden cooked, still voting for him.
So the result is already baked in somewhat. Maybe. Perhaps.

edit:

Great points on this topic from Beau. Basically the adults in the room is not afraid from having a conversation.

 
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pcgeek11

Lifer
Jun 12, 2005
21,512
4,607
136
Define acceptable


Able to perform as President of the US.

Who do you think should step up? Kamala?



And This from the Oxford Dictionary:

1. able to be agreed on; suitable.
"has tried to find a solution acceptable to everyone"


2. able to be tolerated or allowed.
"pollution in the city had reached four times the acceptable level"
 
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Zorba

Lifer
Oct 22, 1999
14,875
10,300
136
Like I’m not closed minded to the idea but citing LBJ is absolute fucking clown material. Going to need something a lot more credible than that.
LBJ stepping down would've been much different had Robert Kennedy not been shot.
 

Zorba

Lifer
Oct 22, 1999
14,875
10,300
136
History shows that if Biden steps down, it would hand the election to Trump. The last time a party's Presidential nominee stepped down, or was removed (1800's - going off memory, was around 1862, but I could be way off) this late into the election, it caused the party to lose the elections. Back then there was no interent, no social media for the apposing party to capalize on such display of disfuctinality of a party and it's canidate. You think the damage is bad now from Biden's poor performance in the debate. Him stepping down would be catastrophic. Specially 4.5 months before the elections. that's not even taking into account the problems it would cause across the nation. Utah already tried to remove Biden from the Ballot.. if he stepped down, you would see many red states try to keep Biden's replacement off the Ballot. That's not taking into account that nobody else appeared to be able to beat Trump according to the polls taken months ago.
1862 wasn't an election year.
 

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
21,911
20,202
136
I am one who truly believes that those who don't learn from history are fucking idiots. But you also have to take into account we are making history right now as well. There are Very unique characteristics to each situation, That require both learning from history and learning from the present. It's not 100% history. Hey I'm going to point to something from 150 years ago and say this is exactly perfectly relatable to today.
 

Puffnstuff

Lifer
Mar 9, 2005
16,037
4,800
136
What a dismal geriatric election cycle we have before us. None of the democrats I talk with are happy about Biden's performance before the debate and the debate just poured gasoline onto those opinions. Republicans say I told ya so.

Part of me wants to write in Martha Stewart and Snoop Dog but letting the orange goblin win is a no go. A coworker said to vote him back in and if he steps down then Kamala will have it.
 

nakedfrog

No Lifer
Apr 3, 2001
58,537
12,844
136
What a dismal geriatric election cycle we have before us. None of the democrats I talk with are happy about Biden's performance before the debate and the debate just poured gasoline onto those opinions.
Was there any substance to their complaints about his performance prior to the debate, as in, did they take issue with any of the administration's legislative actions, or is it just a vague "he's just not doing a good enough job"?
 

Dave_5k

Golden Member
May 23, 2017
1,659
3,214
136
Was there any substance to their complaints about his performance prior to the debate, as in, did they take issue with any of the administration's legislative actions, or is it just a vague "he's just not doing a good enough job"?
More, "he's not polling good enough", largely due to non-stop lies on the Republican-controlled media

Edit: somehow, completely lost from American discourse:
1) The U.S. under Biden has had, by far, the best economy in the developed world (by far the highest GDP growth rate among the G7, combined with 2nd lowest inflation behind only Japan)
2) Violent crime is down - way down - since Trump left office
 
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nakedfrog

No Lifer
Apr 3, 2001
58,537
12,844
136
I answered a call on my cell phone from a pollster the other day, but was not eligible to participate (I still have a Nebraska area code, but I'm not registered to vote there since I live elsewhere). Probably should have just lied and said "why yes, I am registered in Nebraska!"
America is very excited about its choices in this election. I predict high turnout like all the pundits and pollsters. Easy call.

Do we have this metric from independents in prior elections? I feel like much of the time independents would be in favor of the current candidates being replaced.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,831
34,769
136
I answered a call on my cell phone from a pollster the other day, but was not eligible to participate (I still have a Nebraska area code, but I'm not registered to vote there since I live elsewhere). Probably should have just lied and said "why yes, I am registered in Nebraska!"

Do we have this metric from independents in prior elections? I feel like much of the time independents would be in favor of the current candidates being replaced.

I'd have to try digging it up but it feels like a relatively high figure of people dissatisfied with their choice.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,831
34,769
136
My bad.

It feels like 2016. Except replace complacency with apathy/disgust.

In vibe maybe right. But turnout was still pretty decent overall for that election. I'm thinking we get something more like 2000 at this point but what the composition looks like is far beyond me.
 
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