24 hours from now, Detroit will be celebrating.
The chances that Pittsburgh wins this game is somewhere around 20%, and I think that is being generous.
The statistics in Detroit:
Even strength goals
--
Pittsburgh 1
Detroit 7
Goaltending
--
Fleury
3.67 GA - .865 SV
77 Shots - 66 Saves
Osgood
0.67 GA - .977 SV
86 Shots - 84 Saves
Detroit is 11-1 at home in the playoffs.
The home team is 12-2 all time in Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Finals.
Here's what I believe are the keys to the game:
Pittsburgh will need to score first. Fleury beats himself up after giving up a goal in Detroit. You see it in his body language every time. He is easily deflated. Osgood is much more mentally tough than Fleury. Really, this is the biggest key. Fleury will make or break Pittsburgh tomorrow. He MUST play his best game of the playoffs and give up zero soft goals.
Pittsburgh must score at least three to win. Detroit has surrendered three or more goals at home twice this year in the playoffs.
Pittsburgh must have more power plays than Detroit. Detroit has given up 10 even strength goals in 12 home playoff games this year.
Pittsburgh must be tied or leading going in to the 3rd period. Detroit gives up VERY few 3rd period goals and has yet to surrender at lead going into the 3rd.
The fact of the matter is that Detroit dominates even strength play, especially at home. I am a Red Wings homer. But I also know the facts. This is Detroit's game to win.
LET'S GO RED WINGS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
The chances that Pittsburgh wins this game is somewhere around 20%, and I think that is being generous.
The statistics in Detroit:
Even strength goals
--
Pittsburgh 1
Detroit 7
Goaltending
--
Fleury
3.67 GA - .865 SV
77 Shots - 66 Saves
Osgood
0.67 GA - .977 SV
86 Shots - 84 Saves
Detroit is 11-1 at home in the playoffs.
The home team is 12-2 all time in Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Finals.
Here's what I believe are the keys to the game:
Pittsburgh will need to score first. Fleury beats himself up after giving up a goal in Detroit. You see it in his body language every time. He is easily deflated. Osgood is much more mentally tough than Fleury. Really, this is the biggest key. Fleury will make or break Pittsburgh tomorrow. He MUST play his best game of the playoffs and give up zero soft goals.
Pittsburgh must score at least three to win. Detroit has surrendered three or more goals at home twice this year in the playoffs.
Pittsburgh must have more power plays than Detroit. Detroit has given up 10 even strength goals in 12 home playoff games this year.
Pittsburgh must be tied or leading going in to the 3rd period. Detroit gives up VERY few 3rd period goals and has yet to surrender at lead going into the 3rd.
The fact of the matter is that Detroit dominates even strength play, especially at home. I am a Red Wings homer. But I also know the facts. This is Detroit's game to win.
LET'S GO RED WINGS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!