***Official*** 2010 Stock Market Thread

Page 6 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

manlymatt83

Lifer
Oct 14, 2005
10,051
44
91
Eh, I guess I'm just saying it's gambling. However, I've noticed put premiums have dropped recently. More appealing to gamble now.

I'm playing rambus right now, with a small position in S May 2010 calls. Had GNVC on my radar but obviously late to the boat. But I'm mostly cash still (saving for house+I don't believe rally).

What's your strike out of curiosity in the May 2010 calls?

What are your thoughts on gold?
 

JS80

Lifer
Oct 24, 2005
26,271
7
81
What's your strike out of curiosity in the May 2010 calls?

What are your thoughts on gold?

3.50. Got it for 80c. Hoping for a turnaround or some kind of deal.

Gold to me is a worthless metal but with goldbugs and the asians piling up on it, my guess is 1700 by end of year. If I were to do gold I would mix gold and silver.
 

manlymatt83

Lifer
Oct 14, 2005
10,051
44
91
3.50. Got it for 80c. Hoping for a turnaround or some kind of deal.

Gold to me is a worthless metal but with goldbugs and the asians piling up on it, my guess is 1700 by end of year. If I were to do gold I would mix gold and silver.

Would you buy ETF's for gold and silver, or buy actual gold and silver and store it in a safe?

Interesting about S.
 

JS80

Lifer
Oct 24, 2005
26,271
7
81
I have a few January $25 calls written. They expire next Friday. Think there's a good chance it'll shoot over $25? (and actually, over $26 ish for me to lose anything).

Covered calls? if samsung settles on court footsteps on trial start date ur screwed
 

manlymatt83

Lifer
Oct 14, 2005
10,051
44
91
Covered calls? if samsung settles on court footsteps on trial start date ur screwed

Yes, covered calls. Perhaps I'll buy them back tomorrow. I've made some money on them.

If there's a good chance of them settling on Monday, wouldn't it be a good idea to buy some January calls? (not going to, just asking).
 

Miramonti

Lifer
Aug 26, 2000
28,651
100
91
I have a few January $25 calls written. They expire next Friday. Think there's a good chance it'll shoot over $25? (and actually, over $26 ish for me to lose anything).

What ratio of stock to short calls do you have? If you lose at >$26, sounds like you have >1 short call per 100 shares, ie a ratio spread.

If that's the case, if the stock goes higher you basically have a short position...pretty risky if there is a chance of a settlement soon...
 

JS80

Lifer
Oct 24, 2005
26,271
7
81
Yes, covered calls. Perhaps I'll buy them back tomorrow. I've made some money on them.

If there's a good chance of them settling on Monday, wouldn't it be a good idea to buy some January calls? (not going to, just asking).

Yes, I hold ~$20k in jan calls.
 

JS80

Lifer
Oct 24, 2005
26,271
7
81
But a very good chance the trial could be delayed again, ya?

Are you a member of investorvillage, or do you just read?

"Very good chance"? No. Judge Kramer has reiterated that there will be no more delays. At the last hearing he was talking some crap about reassigning the case but IV members think he's bluffing to force settlement.

No I'm too cheap to pay for forums.
 

manlymatt83

Lifer
Oct 14, 2005
10,051
44
91
"Very good chance"? No. Judge Kramer has reiterated that there will be no more delays. At the last hearing he was talking some crap about reassigning the case but IV members think he's bluffing to force settlement.

No I'm too cheap to pay for forums.

So what's the best output of this then? Settlement on Monday and the stock flies?
 

JS80

Lifer
Oct 24, 2005
26,271
7
81
So what's the best output of this then? Settlement on Monday and the stock flies?

Whyte gives Rambus favorable ruling tomorrow for a small pop. Settlement on monday = $45+. If no settlement, and the trial officially starts, stock rises.
 

manlymatt83

Lifer
Oct 14, 2005
10,051
44
91
Whyte gives Rambus favorable ruling tomorrow for a small pop. Settlement on monday = $45+. If no settlement, and the trial officially starts, stock rises.

So I know it's a big risk, but perhaps I could buy 10 January $25 calls at open tomorrow. It'll only be $600 if it keeps the current pricing, and if the stock shoots up to $45, that'd be $20,000 in profit. Unless I'm entirely missing something?
 

JS80

Lifer
Oct 24, 2005
26,271
7
81
So I know it's a big risk, but perhaps I could buy 10 January $25 calls at open tomorrow. It'll only be $600 if it keeps the current pricing, and if the stock shoots up to $45, that'd be $20,000 in profit. Unless I'm entirely missing something?

lol you're not missing anything. The options market is basically saying probability of settlement is very low.
 

manlymatt83

Lifer
Oct 14, 2005
10,051
44
91
lol you're not missing anything. The options market is basically saying probability of settlement is very low.

Maybe I'll just do 5 calls then

Are you convinced a settlement will occur? (I only ask because you own calls). But if the trial starts on time next week anyway, then the stock should climb above $25? So basically, front month $25 CALLS wouldn't be a horrible gamble.
 
Last edited:

JS80

Lifer
Oct 24, 2005
26,271
7
81
Maybe I'll just do 5 calls then

Are you convinced a settlement will occur? (I only ask because you own calls). But if the trial starts on time next week anyway, then the stock should climb above $25? So basically, front month $25 CALLS wouldn't be a horrible gamble.

Well, I'm making a $20k gamble (up 400%). I'm rolling my profits into it...

Some of the guys on IV put 50% chance of settlement. Probably a figure pulled out of their asses but I like the gamble. I personally think if the trial starts on time with no delay and no change in judge then the stock will go above $25. But who knows.
 

manlymatt83

Lifer
Oct 14, 2005
10,051
44
91
Well, I'm making a $20k gamble (up 400&#37. I'm rolling my profits into it...

Some of the guys on IV put 50% chance of settlement. Probably a figure pulled out of their asses but I like the gamble. I personally think if the trial starts on time with no delay and no change in judge then the stock will go above $25. But who knows.

Think it's too late to buy 10 $25 January calls at market open tomorrow for close to the current price? I guess it obviously depends on what RMBS does tomorrow pre-market.
 

JS80

Lifer
Oct 24, 2005
26,271
7
81
Think it's too late to buy 10 $25 January calls at market open tomorrow for close to the current price? I guess it obviously depends on what RMBS does tomorrow pre-market.

Are you expecting significant price movement tomo premarket?

This pretty much sums up the feelings/fantasies of these long term ramboids:

Harold if you are smoking a big stogie, sitting with Sharon and the S Koreans in the Bellagio, toasting Rambus & Samsung’s joint announcement that the trial has been averted and worldwide rates have been agreed upon…..then I take back calling you a virgin goat blood sucking ogre and Sharon an options sucking bobble head. Please pay the non-business expenses out of your own pocket though mine got picked by some options grants a while back.

JW if you are crafting a definitive ruling and writing out contempt terms for Samsung, then I’m glad they unlocked your crypt doors, shocked you back to life and put your sharp dentures in….we can even negotiate the return of your H if you somehow figure out a way to retroactively injunct these skunks…..

HJK I will apologize in advance for my wavering faith and the scorn I showed for your 2 delayed trial that you “never” delay when a date has been set. I will wake up and slap myself if I ever dream of you being corrupt if you start this trial on time, finish it in a reasonable length and certify it this decade unlike the zombie I spoke to a paragraph ago.

Farhad, I will only bowl 1 game with your skull and then wash and wax it if you will simply get on the stand and tell the whole plain truth that you were the driving force in the rdram killing and that your actions were illegal, that your supervisors were aware of them and condoned and encouraged them. Just 1 game and then I’ll put it in a plexiglass case with a spotlight on it on my mantle. A place of honor.

Mr. Sadler,,, I will make the forewoman of the jury call you and apologize for calling you a lying sack of shit even if it was true at the time if you will do what I ask of T to the Breezy to do above.

The FTC & EU I accept you silent mentally beamed apologies that only a genius level telepath such as myself can acquire.

Appleton- no deals for you Boyo…someone has to be my scapegoat and your bleating will be sweet music played over the speakers of the SS Toasty.

Generalisimo Toasty “A shiny new goat to the man that brings me the Cartel’s head on a platter “ 54
 
sale-70-410-exam    | Exam-200-125-pdf    | we-sale-70-410-exam    | hot-sale-70-410-exam    | Latest-exam-700-603-Dumps    | Dumps-98-363-exams-date    | Certs-200-125-date    | Dumps-300-075-exams-date    | hot-sale-book-C8010-726-book    | Hot-Sale-200-310-Exam    | Exam-Description-200-310-dumps?    | hot-sale-book-200-125-book    | Latest-Updated-300-209-Exam    | Dumps-210-260-exams-date    | Download-200-125-Exam-PDF    | Exam-Description-300-101-dumps    | Certs-300-101-date    | Hot-Sale-300-075-Exam    | Latest-exam-200-125-Dumps    | Exam-Description-200-125-dumps    | Latest-Updated-300-075-Exam    | hot-sale-book-210-260-book    | Dumps-200-901-exams-date    | Certs-200-901-date    | Latest-exam-1Z0-062-Dumps    | Hot-Sale-1Z0-062-Exam    | Certs-CSSLP-date    | 100%-Pass-70-383-Exams    | Latest-JN0-360-real-exam-questions    | 100%-Pass-4A0-100-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-300-135-exams-date    | Passed-200-105-Tech-Exams    | Latest-Updated-200-310-Exam    | Download-300-070-Exam-PDF    | Hot-Sale-JN0-360-Exam    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Exams    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-JN0-360-exams-date    | Exam-Description-1Z0-876-dumps    | Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps    | Dumps-HPE0-Y53-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-HPE0-Y53-Exam    | 100%-Pass-HPE0-Y53-Real-Exam-Questions    | Pass-4A0-100-Exam    | Latest-4A0-100-Questions    | Dumps-98-365-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-98-365-Exam    | 100%-Pass-VCS-254-Exams    | 2017-Latest-VCS-273-Exam    | Dumps-200-355-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-300-320-Exam    | Pass-300-101-Exam    | 100%-Pass-300-115-Exams    |
http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    | http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    |