***Official*** 2011 Stock Market Thread

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Sep 29, 2004
18,665
67
91
Sold off about half of my SD holding today for $10.97.

I think SD is worth atleast $12 (no idea what it could be worth) so I I sold some off seeing that I paid in the low $7s for it.

I'd be happy to sell the rest off in the mid to high $13s. Or buy more at $7 ;-)
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
So what companies will do well in the reconstruction of Japan?

CAT should get a boost, if indirectly, Jacobs Engineering?

Look into EEI - there's lots of environmental damage to clean up, and it's probably fair to say that the Japanese will use their consulting services to include energy-saving designs for the rebuild. It's a pretty interesting stock as it's a call option on stricter governmental regulation; this is a way to cash in on the fact that you need an environmental impact study before building so much as an outhouse nowadays.

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=EEI
 

LuckyTaxi

Diamond Member
Dec 24, 2000
6,044
23
81
I'm back ... so I have a play for those who love penny stocks. I've been in MMTE since $0.0003. It's now $0.004 and it's moving! News is expected end of Q1 (sometime today through Thursday). If everything goes through as promised, we're looking at multi pennies. I've sold half my share and I'm riding on free shares right now.
 
Sep 29, 2004
18,665
67
91
Sold off the rest of SD a week ago for $11.49. Now over $12.

ZZ (Seally) is getting beat up today. Looks undervalued but has alot of liabilities. Anyone else look at ZZ?
 
Sep 29, 2004
18,665
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Currently considering SNY. A very transparent company with the most detailed (and useful) 10-K (Actually a 20-K I think) I have ever seen. They have a good balance sheet with very small liabilities and attractive FCf relative to price.

This article really tops it off though:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Buffe...tml?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=main&asset=&ccode=
Berkshire officials told regulators on Jan. 11 that they remain confident all five stocks were trading at levels below their true value, and the market price will eventually reflect that. "Berkshire's management is very confident that in time each security's market price will grow to at least the intrinsic value that existed at the dates of acquisition," Berkshire's Chief Financial Officer Marc Hamburg wrote.

This is regards to Wells Fargo & Co., Kraft Foods Inc., Sanofi-Aventis, Swiss Re and US Bancorp
 

eLiu

Diamond Member
Jun 4, 2001
6,407
1
0
Currently considering SNY. A very transparent company with the most detailed (and useful) 10-K (Actually a 20-K I think) I have ever seen. They have a good balance sheet with very small liabilities and attractive FCf relative to price.

This article really tops it off though:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Buffe...tml?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=main&asset=&ccode=


This is regards to Wells Fargo & Co., Kraft Foods Inc., Sanofi-Aventis, Swiss Re and US Bancorp

This article seems to have a nice summary of the attractive features (FCF) of SNY:
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2011/04/05/why-sanofi-aventiss-earnings-are-outstanding.aspx

Thanks for bringing this up!

edit: anyone still in VHC? lol epic day. That said, what the hell is
"Agile Network Protocol for Secure Communications Using Secure Domain Names"
Is that licensing DNS? Did they patent half of the interwebs? I think it might be time to get the hell out of VHC if you (like me) still own some...
 

snoopdoug1

Platinum Member
Jan 8, 2002
2,164
0
76
This article seems to have a nice summary of the attractive features (FCF) of SNY:
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2011/04/05/why-sanofi-aventiss-earnings-are-outstanding.aspx

Thanks for bringing this up!

edit: anyone still in VHC? lol epic day. That said, what the hell is
"Agile Network Protocol for Secure Communications Using Secure Domain Names"
Is that licensing DNS? Did they patent half of the interwebs? I think it might be time to get the hell out of VHC if you (like me) still own some...

lol - i'm still in VHC - just not for that much. Made a killing on it over the past 2 years though. Have been in and out of it a couple times, should have just stayed in The big question is will it retreat back to the teens when the patent lawsuits end up taking longer than expected (like they will). Remember RMBS? Kinda reminds me of VHC.
 

Imp

Lifer
Feb 8, 2000
18,829
184
106
F making a huge comeback. Too bad I bought at $16. It's gone from $14 to $15.70 in 2 or 3 weeks. That's over 10% and may not be out of steam yet.
 

rcpratt

Lifer
Jul 2, 2009
10,433
110
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F making a huge comeback. Too bad I bought at $16. It's gone from $14 to $15.70 in 2 or 3 weeks. That's over 10% and may not be out of steam yet.
Yeah, about time. I initially picked up some around $16.75 at the end of January when it dropped, but then I grabbed about double that at $14.34 two weeks ago.

Earnings report should be good later this month.
 

Demo24

Diamond Member
Aug 5, 2004
8,357
9
81
I picked up some F around 15 area, meant to grab more at 14.75 but never put the order through. I have some options though, so I'm just waiting on it to head over 16.


Playing some Silver as well, SLV. A bit high today and I think it may pullback in the shortterm. but metals have been on fire for awhile now, kinda fun
 

SSSnail

Lifer
Nov 29, 2006
17,461
82
86
I've been telling you guys about MPEL and it's still undervalued, just wait until they show a few quarters positive earnings in a row, which they will.
 

mitmot

Golden Member
Aug 11, 2005
1,852
1
0
MPEL looks interesting since there aren't too many viable companies to invest in in Macau other than LVS and WYNN. What makes you so sure they will bring in positive earnings?
 

SunnyD

Belgian Waffler
Jan 2, 2001
32,674
145
106
www.neftastic.com
Anybody have suggestions on any Indian companies to drop some money in? I'm in the mood for a growing foreign company that's not in China to add to my portfolio.
 

SSSnail

Lifer
Nov 29, 2006
17,461
82
86
MPEL looks interesting since there aren't too many viable companies to invest in in Macau other than LVS and WYNN. What makes you so sure they will bring in positive earnings?

I've been following them since the 3s, back when they had just finished building CoD, and were laden with debts. Since then they've refi, and are on their way to reduce that debt. Their Altira facility is picking up, mass market in Cotai is improving and will continue to do so with new sites, growing Chinese middle class, etc... They also have a relatively low book value right now. It's just a matter of time.
 

Regs

Lifer
Aug 9, 2002
16,665
21
81
I use to work for SNY, but they are now undergoing some heavy refocusing and restructuring. They recently shut down many of their facilities in USA, France, Germany, and one site UK. Including downsizing their R&D base, they also laid off a majority percentage of their sales force. Their pipeline is struggling, as the last 5-8 years their upcoming blockbusters were beaten down by the FDA, and their competition becoming even more fierce by beating them to the market with better alternatives.

Right now, Sanofi-Aventis is using their Vaccine program from Pasteur as a crutch to stand themselves up on and recently were downgraded from the #1 provider to #2 - beaten by (I believe) GSK.

Veihbacher is the master of the market ploy. He is making the company turmoil look like a "a transition". He sold off many of SNY's assets, including downsizing the work force significantly, and banking everything off the newly acquired company Genzyme.

Genzyme knows how to capitalize on niche markets, like the new treatment for Pomp disease that could potentially bring in over 10 billion in revenue. then again, I could name a dozen products that had potential billion dollar markets that dried up fairly quickly. Moving to biologics is a more stable growth platform indeed, and also a lot harder for companies to make generics for. I do hope for the sake of whatever is left of SNY by the end of this year, goes well with Genzyme. SNY just used a good portion of their cash reserve and raised long term debt to buy Genzyme.

The reason why their stock was on a decline was because they reached a patent cliff and are now using all their cash to try to supplement what they do not have anymore, blockbusters. The recent political climate, and the uncertainty of insurance companies dropping coverage on most of these niche drugs does not help.
 
Last edited:
Sep 29, 2004
18,665
67
91
Sold off SNY and LEE on Friday.

Regret dumping SNY. But I think I would buy in if it nears 52 week lows.

As for LEE. Super pissed because it was up as much as 16% this morning before closing up about 6%. Oh well.

Bought MYE today.
 

Imp

Lifer
Feb 8, 2000
18,829
184
106
Yeah, about time. I initially picked up some around $16.75 at the end of January when it dropped, but then I grabbed about double that at $14.34 two weeks ago.

Earnings report should be good later this month.

F going to hell again. Dumped 3% today, back to where it was a week or two ago. Sigh. I just want to get out. I've been holding onto it for 2 months now. My usual hold time is 2 to 3 weeks. Should have dumped it last week for a 3% loss, back to -8% now.

The piss off is that it's doing damn fine as a business. People probably pricing in Libya right now. Japan's part production is starting to become a problem too.
 

Demo24

Diamond Member
Aug 5, 2004
8,357
9
81
I was surprised at the F dump today. I faltered on setting my stop at 15.50, so I'll just have to hold on. Average is like 14.95 so I'm still ok.

Riding silver down at the moment. It finally lost it's strength today around 3pm. I got in way to early on this so nice to be nearly even again. I'm hoping it continues down tomorrow and I'm watching the futures pretty carefully.
 
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