Discussion ***Official*** 2023 Stock Market Thread 💰

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FelixDeCat

Lifer
Aug 4, 2000
29,299
2,097
126
DRCT is having a nice run. They are a pipsqueak competitor to TradeDesk.

Bought Friday at 3AM for 3.53, sold this morning at 3AM around 4.25 expecting a pullback and it kept going higher on record earnings. Back in at 4.40.
 

FelixDeCat

Lifer
Aug 4, 2000
29,299
2,097
126
Also picked up ACRS for a trade. Stock crashed today on bad news but is trading under cash.
 
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FelixDeCat

Lifer
Aug 4, 2000
29,299
2,097
126
What's got you going into pharma and biotech stocks?
I think ACRS trades for less than cash and it (might) recover some in the next few days. Lots of companies trade for less than cash because of adverse conditions, declining or flat sales or in the case of ACRS failed testing for a potential drug. They appear to have more than $2 a share in cash and I bought in at .68. Hoping for $1 but will settle for less. Its just a trade, not an investment especially since like most biotechs this one loses money so trading under cash is to be expected.


...in other news...

Made a killing on CDIO. Bought at .68, sold 1.25. Hit 1.75...all on the same day. Also did good on TIVC, which was unexpected.

Got killed on TPST, CAUD, AERT. Again, small positions on everything so no one kill takes everything away.
 

FelixDeCat

Lifer
Aug 4, 2000
29,299
2,097
126
The overall biotech picture hasnt been good for the last 9 months. With the government trying to negotiate prices for everything now and COVID shot demand disappearing the "LABD" 3x ETF has been on a tear this year. It trades at 3x the biotech index and is a bearish bet. LABU is the 3x bull biotech and has hit all time lows.

I dont really trade those but use them as barometers.

I also watch a group of OIL and financial stocks. Usually when the QQQs open down big but OIL and financials are up its likely the QQQ will go positive, not always but usually.
 

AdamK47

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
15,315
2,922
126
The Santa Claus rally has come early. Just like all the holiday decorations in my neighborhood.

CPI coming in at lower than expectations.
 
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dullard

Elite Member
May 21, 2001
25,211
3,622
126
S&P opens almost 2% up?
Go look at a gas station and you'll see why. Nationwide gas prices are down 12% in the last two months. That just showed up in the CPI report today. Gas prices affect the price of almost everything. Unfortunately, the oil market paid attention and shot up 2% this morning when the CPI report came out, so lower gas prices might be a short-lived benefit.

The next two CPI reports might be tough ones to swallow unless oil or rent prices stabilize. So, I expect a similar drop this time next month.
 
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FelixDeCat

Lifer
Aug 4, 2000
29,299
2,097
126
Everyone getting hopes up for rate cuts which is silly. We need prices to fall, not lower rates to maintain the current regime of price absurdity.
 
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dullard

Elite Member
May 21, 2001
25,211
3,622
126
Everyone getting hopes up for rate cuts which is silly. We need prices to fall, not lower rates to maintain the current regime of price absurdity.
Just don't get your hopes up. The fed's main goal above all else is to never let prices fall as a whole*. That is because falling prices lead to a deflationary spiral that can completely destroy an economy (and thus violate their mandate for full employment). The fed's goal is slightly growing prices.

* Individual prices falling here and there (such as gasoline) is okay. The fed will always try to prevent wholesale across the board falling prices.
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
14,835
5,452
136
That is because falling prices lead to a deflationary spiral that can completely destroy an economy (and thus violate their mandate for full employment).

Ah but they need some of that to end WFH. I don't see the rate cuts happening until the layoffs start piling up. Maybe they will by March.
 
Dec 10, 2005
24,420
7,335
136
Why do we need to end WFH? Most cities are not lacking in the demand for new, walkable communities near or within existing amenities. And many people are okay returning to an office, if they don't have an onerous commute. Cities and population centers are only lacking in their ability and will to deliver.

I don't think we need to drive up unemployment to crush worker power and force some form of presentee-ism, just so some dipshit's stock can go up a quarter of a point while people's salaries return to being flat and finding a new job becomes more difficult.
 

Charmonium

Diamond Member
May 15, 2015
9,564
2,939
136
I think that as the economy grows, they'll be able to do better than 2% or less.

They'll continue to have more data, quantitatively at least. They'll also get more precise in interpreting the data.

In that case, they should be able to get us down to about 1% eventually.

That's MoE (margin of error) shit. That's like Elon losing a couple billion bucks. Meh.
 

repoman0

Diamond Member
Jun 17, 2010
4,539
3,461
136
Why do we need to end WFH? Most cities are not lacking in the demand for new, walkable communities near or within existing amenities. And many people are okay returning to an office, if they don't have an onerous commute. Cities and population centers are only lacking in their ability and will to deliver.

I don't think we need to drive up unemployment to crush worker power and force some form of presentee-ism, just so some dipshit's stock can go up a quarter of a point while people's salaries return to being flat and finding a new job becomes more difficult.
That guy is incredibly confused about the fed’s mission. As if they’re looking at WFH stats in their meetings and making rate decisions based on that lol.
 
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AdamK47

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
15,315
2,922
126
Ah but they need some of that to end WFH. I don't see the rate cuts happening until the layoffs start piling up. Maybe they will by March.
I'm hoping we see an increase in work from home while simultaneously seeing the economy improve and inflation go down.
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
14,835
5,452
136
I don't think we need to drive up unemployment to crush worker power and force some form of presentee-ism, just so some dipshit's stock can go up a quarter of a point while people's salaries return to being flat and finding a new job becomes more difficult.

That's exactly what's going to happen.
 
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dullard

Elite Member
May 21, 2001
25,211
3,622
126
Ah but they need some of that to end WFH. I don't see the rate cuts happening until the layoffs start piling up. Maybe they will by March.
Really man, what is the reason for the WFH obsession? Can't you realize that there are cases where WFH is terrible and other cases where WFH is a very good thing for the company? A janitor working from home can't empty trash or clean the breakroom. That job should never be work from home. An engineer reviewing a complex document free from distractions every 30 seconds in a cubicle farm can do triple the work in the same amount of time at home and probably do it better too (critical documents especially safety and risk documentation require intense focus for hours at a time that offices cannot provide). WFH isn't something that should ever end. Instead, work from home is something that should be honed to highlight its best capabilities.
 
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AdamK47

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
15,315
2,922
126
Really man, what is the reason for the WFH obsession? Can't you realize that there are cases where WFH is terrible and other cases where WFH is a very good thing for the company? A janitor working from home can't empty trash or clean the breakroom. That job should never be work from home. An engineer reviewing a complex document free from distractions every 30 seconds in a cubicle farm can do triple the work in the same amount of time at home and probably do it better too. WFH isn't something that should ever end. Instead, work from home is something that should be honed to highlight its best capabilities.
I envision a scenario in the future where the janitor controls a group of cleaning bots from their home computer. Most of the time the cleanbots do their business in an automated fashion. Every once in a while the cleanbot needs assistance that requires manual intervention. Maybe help in maneuvering. Sometimes another bot would need to come over for further assistance.
 
Dec 10, 2005
24,420
7,335
136
Really man, what is the reason for the WFH obsession? Can't you realize that there are cases where WFH is terrible and other cases where WFH is a very good thing for the company? A janitor working from home can't empty trash or clean the breakroom. That job should never be work from home. An engineer reviewing a complex document free from distractions every 30 seconds in a cubicle farm can do triple the work in the same amount of time at home and probably do it better too (critical documents especially safety and risk documentation require intense focus for hours at a time that offices cannot provide). WFH isn't something that should ever end. Instead, work from home is something that should be honed to highlight its best capabilities.
Not only that, but it also allows companies to have a competitive advantage and recruit talent outside of the typical commuter catchment area, and potentially retain talent when an employee has a spouse that has a strict non-WFH job and needs to move out of the commuter catchment area.
 
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dullard

Elite Member
May 21, 2001
25,211
3,622
126
In motion or false start?
Gotta break through the people with sell orders at S&P 4500 to 4525. There seems to be a hard stop there for the market. We've hit that same resistance point and got stuck several times in the last 4 months.

But, if there are enough buy orders to outnumber the sell orders, say if the S&P gets to ~4530, then it is in motion to go up to 4600+.
 
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