Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: Tequila
I do disagree with Peter on Medicare but you guys are spreading misinformation about his performance(seen this in other threads also). He's been long on foreign stocks, gold and commodities for the last 10 years which of all done extremely well. Yes his clients got hit in 2008 just like anyone else who was long but look how quickly foreign stocks have recovered.
Up until a month ago he's never actually run a mutual fund so there is no official track record where you can site his actual client's gains or losses. You would have to go to each client and ask them about their gains and losses based on Peter's advice.
There have been several (besides Mish) who have shown his performance (or lack thereof). His insights were predicated upon various incorrect and extremely poor assumptions (none of which were grounded in reality). Namely, US economic decoupling from the world economy, the lack of any demand for US currency, the value of gold skyrocketing, oil skyrocketing (driving his alt-energy recommendations), among many others.
All of these ideas were poorly planned and executed. While he was recommending oil stocks, any fool could recognize oil was a bubble. While he was recommending foreing stocks rather than US, any fool could recognize that decoupling was a myth.
His prognostication on the US credit crisis only occured AFTER the crisis was a rock falling on his head. Anybody with reasonable deductive skills (and ones that were detached from the go-go period of the 03-06 era) knew before his great announcement that it was going to fail (I was saying so back in 2003 on various forums, such as GotApex and FatWallet). When he was saying the sky was falling in 2006, I was already recommending to one of the biggest CC lenders to fortify their funding plans (they scoffed at me in that period), but I did layer in more than $4BN in conduit funding into their treasury plans.
Schiff, unsurprisingly, is not a wealthy person and is countered by the wealthiest people in this country (Gates and Buffet) who don't believe in his BS. Frankly, I'll listen to them long before I'll listen to a shitty advisor and poor prognosticator.