Polaris Refresh (RX 500 Series) Rumors

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mohit9206

Golden Member
Jul 2, 2013
1,381
511
136
You should know by now that if AMD marketing is throwing some numbers they are the best case and nowhere close to real world average performance increase. Anyway R7 360 was a partially disabled Bonaire chip with 768 sp clocked at 1050 Mhz boost . 16 ROPs. 128 bit GDDR5 memory at 6500Mhz . Bandwidth 104 GB/s. 1.61 TFLOPS (768 x 2 x 1050 )

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AMD_Radeon_Rx_300_series

With Rx 560 we have a fully enabled Polaris 11 with 1024 sp at 1275 Mhz boost . 16 ROPs. 128 bit memory at GDDR5 7000 Mhz. Bandwidth 112 GB/s. 2.61 TFLOPS (1024 x 2 x 1275 ). We are for sure not going to have 2x perf of R7 360 even when theoretical TFLOPS are only 1.6x . btw performance never scales linearly with TFLOPs especially when the chips have same shader engines, tesselation engines, ROPs and roughly same theoretical memory bandwidth even though Polaris does have color compression which improves actual bandwidth. I would say we will see 30-40% improvement in DX11 games and close to 50% in DX12/Vulkan wrt R7 360.

We have already seen AMD partner Sapphire launch fully enabled Polaris 11 with 1250 Mhz boost for Chinese market. So the Rx 560 is just an official SKU of what was previously a region limited SKU. It will be roughly similar to the GTX 1050 in performance.

http://wccftech.com/sapphire-rx-460-nitro-oc-1024-polaris-11-gpu/
http://www.tweaktown.com/news/55411/amd-radeon-rx-460-unlock-free-12-5-performance-gain/index.html
http://overclocking.guide/amd-radeon-rx-460-unlocking-1024-stream-processors/

The main advantage is the Rx 560 comes with 4GB VRAM as the default SKU while GTX 1050 only has 2GB . I think USD 99-109 is the right price for this GPU. Anything higher and its not worth it as the faster GTX 1050 Ti can be found for USD 130.
Thanks for the information.
Are you sure there is only going to be a 4gb rx560 and not 2gb as well?
Also if its only going to be 40% faster than R7 360 why is amd misleading by advertising as upto 2X faster?
 

.vodka

Golden Member
Dec 5, 2014
1,203
1,537
136
"3rd gen 14nm"

Hm, interesting. These should overclock higher than RX480/470 did.. But yeah, faster memory would've been a great addition here, Polaris 10 scales great with memory overclocking as it seems to be bandwidth limited... which worries me for the possible GPU OC potential.

Either that, or the refined process improvements show up as lower power consumption. That'd be welcome, too.

Still, Hawaii -> Grenada was a bigger jump than this.
 

raghu78

Diamond Member
Aug 23, 2012
4,093
1,475
136
Thanks for the information.
Are you sure there is only going to be a 4gb rx560 and not 2gb as well?
Also if its only going to be 40% faster than R7 360 why is amd misleading by advertising as upto 2X faster?

The slides mention Rx 560 4GB. So I assume thats the default SKU. AMD marketing has proven to very manipulative with Polaris like the 2.8x perf/watt claim vs previous generation we saw at Rx 400 series launch. Reality was far from that. AMD could compare a R7 360 2GB with a Rx 560 4GB in a game which uses more than 2GB VRAM at the tested settings. The R7 360 2GB will tank badly and AMD could thus get such extreme gains in such corner cases . But those will not be the norm.
 

mohit9206

Golden Member
Jul 2, 2013
1,381
511
136
The slides mention Rx 560 4GB. So I assume thats the default SKU. AMD marketing has proven to very manipulative with Polaris like the 2.8x perf/watt claim vs previous generation we saw at Rx 400 series launch. Reality was far from that. AMD could compare a R7 360 2GB with a Rx 560 4GB in a game which uses more than 2GB VRAM at the tested settings. The R7 360 2GB will tank badly and AMD could thus get such extreme gains in such corner cases . But those will not be the norm.
Yeah its best not to trust amd marketing slides. That 2.8x perf/watt thing was a blatant lie. Amd has to resort to these misleading slides to make their product look good.
 

EXCellR8

Diamond Member
Sep 1, 2010
3,982
839
136
Freesync 2 is only useful on HDR monitors (which don't exist yet). HDR TVs of course don't support adaptive refresh yet.

brilliant.

i think I'm going with a NITRO+ 480 anyway, since the clocks can be raised to match the 580... consider it a RX 579.
 

tajoh111

Senior member
Mar 28, 2005
305
322
136
Here's what Samsung has to say about 3rd gen FinFET: 14nm LPC(Compact or Cost depending on who reported it)

This is exact the same as the Skylake>Kaby Lake refresh. Same power, higher clocks/same clocks, lower power.

AMD better be launching this at cheaper prices than the launch prices of the rx 480/470 then.

The leaked pricing seems too high. Its pretty low to take a rebranded chip that's cheaper to make and charge the same launch pricing of the original chip.

Every other rebrand in history has been dramatically cheaper than the original chip. To price it the same is pretty low, particularly when it is cheaper to make now and is not a new chip design.
 

caswow

Senior member
Sep 18, 2013
525
136
116
AMD better be launching this at cheaper prices than the launch prices of the rx 480/470 then.

The leaked pricing seems too high. Its pretty low to take a rebranded chip that's cheaper to make and charge the same launch pricing of the original chip.

Every other rebrand in history has been dramatically cheaper than the original chip. To price it the same is pretty low, particularly when it is cheaper to make now and is not a new chip design.

yea no...they werent dramatically cheaper than the original chip.
 

raghu78

Diamond Member
Aug 23, 2012
4,093
1,475
136
AMD better be launching this at cheaper prices than the launch prices of the rx 480/470 then.

The leaked pricing seems too high. Its pretty low to take a rebranded chip that's cheaper to make and charge the same launch pricing of the original chip.

Every other rebrand in history has been dramatically cheaper than the original chip. To price it the same is pretty low, particularly when it is cheaper to make now and is not a new chip design.

One thing you should have known by now is that rebrands are meant to lift up the falling prices of PC tech products which have seen price erosion due to competitive pressure, market demand/supply and the natural price erosion which happens to high tech PC products which have a short shelf life like GPUs (roughly 12-24 months). I would not expect any price cuts. USD 239 for Rx 580 8GB, USD 199 for Rx 580 4GB, Rx 570 4GB for USD 169 , Rx 560 4GB for USD 119 is what we can expect.
 

SteveGrabowski

Diamond Member
Oct 20, 2014
7,121
5,998
136
AMD better be launching this at cheaper prices than the launch prices of the rx 480/470 then.

The leaked pricing seems too high. Its pretty low to take a rebranded chip that's cheaper to make and charge the same launch pricing of the original chip.

Every other rebrand in history has been dramatically cheaper than the original chip. To price it the same is pretty low, particularly when it is cheaper to make now and is not a new chip design.

The R9 390 was about $100 more expensive than what R9 290s sold for.
 

tajoh111

Senior member
Mar 28, 2005
305
322
136
One thing you should have known by now is that rebrands are meant to lift up the falling prices of PC tech products which have seen price erosion due to competitive pressure, market demand/supply and the natural price erosion which happens to high tech PC products which have a short shelf life like GPUs (roughly 12-24 months). I would not expect any price cuts. USD 239 for Rx 580 8GB, USD 199 for Rx 580 4GB, Rx 570 4GB for USD 169 , Rx 560 4GB for USD 119 is what we can expect.

The R9 390 was about $100 more expensive than what R9 290s sold for.

I am not mentioning the outgoing pricing of the rx480. I am talking about the initial pricing of the rx480.

Every rebrand came with a significantly cheaper MSRP than the starting MSRP of the original card. It difficult to compare this to the street pricing of the the original rx480 at the moment but at the very least, these cards have to be 20-40 dollars cheaper than the original rx480 msrp. Every time Nvidia has done a rebrand, cards came out significantly cheaper. This is to reflect it is not a new product and they also lowered the naming tier of the card to avoid some confusion.

If this card comes with the same MSRP as the original rx480 while being cheaper to produce, this will be a new low for rebrands. Hopefully this is not the case.

Also this sets a bad tone for vega pricing.

Considering AMD is charging 240 dollars for a rebrand that is 10% faster than it's original, how is vega supposed to be decently priced coming from AMD? Higher tiered cards are always worse for price to performance
 
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nathanddrews

Graphics Cards, CPU Moderator
Aug 9, 2016
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534
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www.youtube.com
The R9 390 was about $100 more expensive than what R9 290s sold for.

290 4GB launch price - $399
390 8GB launch price - $329 ($70 less!)
290X 4GB launch price - $549
390X 8GB launch price - $429 ($120 less!)

What people are being confused by are the closeout/rebate/post-mining sale prices of 290/290X cards (I remember seeing them around $200-250 frequently) leading up to the launch of the 390/390X. That's not really a fair comparison.
 
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Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,013
6,462
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Is it confirmed that the new RX line is on the new third gen finfet 14nm LPC?

I don't think there's been any indication that it is, and I don't even know if Global Foundries has it yet. My thinking was that Vega is using it, but I think Polaris is still probably on LPP, just a more mature process as the 480 cards that have been released more recently are capable of much better OCs than those sold at release.
 

tential

Diamond Member
May 13, 2008
7,355
642
121
AMD better be launching this at cheaper prices than the launch prices of the rx 480/470 then.

The leaked pricing seems too high. Its pretty low to take a rebranded chip that's cheaper to make and charge the same launch pricing of the original chip.

Every other rebrand in history has been dramatically cheaper than the original chip. To price it the same is pretty low, particularly when it is cheaper to make now and is not a new chip design.

Kabylake was dramatically cheaper than Skylake?
Devil's Canyon was dramatically cheaper than Haswell?

Ya... you're wrong.
 
Reactions: raghu78

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,013
6,462
136
Kabylake was dramatically cheaper than Skylake?
Devil's Canyon was dramatically cheaper than Haswell?

Ya... you're wrong.

It doesn't seem as though there's going to be any discount pricing with this refresh. From what rumors we've had costs will remain fixed or possibly even go up a little. The best bet value-wise will probably be some old 480 stock that gets discounted with the 580 release.
 

unseenmorbidity

Golden Member
Nov 27, 2016
1,395
967
96
I don't think there's been any indication that it is, and I don't even know if Global Foundries has it yet. My thinking was that Vega is using it, but I think Polaris is still probably on LPP, just a more mature process as the 480 cards that have been released more recently are capable of much better OCs than those sold at release.
Says 3rd gen on this slide,

 
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tajoh111

Senior member
Mar 28, 2005
305
322
136
Kabylake was dramatically cheaper than Skylake?
Devil's Canyon was dramatically cheaper than Haswell?

Ya... you're wrong.

Completely different markets and development. Trying to compare and say it is the same thing is a special combination of ignorance and stupidity.

CPU's are dramatically more expensive to develop with longer development cycles.

It's why AMD even on a bad Cpu architecture, stayed on the course for years at a time.

No one refers to CPU refreshes as rebranding for this very reason. The development costs are so extreme with x86 CPU's that it is understood products get more minor updates and refreshes.

In a addition, a 10% improvement for the same cost is a fail in the GPU industry for successive products. If this type of pattern starts happening in the GPU industry we will be in the development hell where we will have to wait 6 or 7 years before performance doubles like the CPU industry.

7970($550) --> 280x($299)
gtx 680($499)-->($399)
7870($350)-->($199)
8800gt($230) -->($180)
290x($550)-->390($429)
r9 285($250) -->r9 380($200)

AMD launching it's rebrand with the same price as its predecessor is completely new in the videocard industry. If Nvidia follows suit, it could signal a very sharp drop off in GPU progress for both performance and price to performance. The fact that these cards are cheaper to produce now because of this new LPC(which emphasizes a reduction in cost) process with minimal development costs means AMD should be passing on some of the savings to their customers. This type of pricing is hardly going to stimulate sales for AMD and it leaves AMD wide open to a counter.

Remember the r9 285 launch which people were ho hum about because pricing was a tad too high. Nvidia launched the gtx 970 shortly after and it made AMD look greedy.
 
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SpaceBeer

Senior member
Apr 2, 2016
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100
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Yeah its best not to trust amd marketing slides. That 2.8x perf/watt thing was a blatant lie. Amd has to resort to these misleading slides to make their product look good.
It's not lie, it's called marketing. Companies take best case scenario, and put "up to" or footnote that says "we got these results in our conditions, during full Moon night while hungry wolves were howling"

They could take Tahiti with worst single precision GFlops/watt ratio (which I think is ~14) and Polaris 10 with best (~40), and say it has 2.8x perf/watt. And that won't be a lie. Of course, people don't care about single precision GFlops, but FPS in games. But it's users fault since they ignore available information. If you are buying new product you'll use for the next couple of years, then you should take few hours and look all specs and details of the product.

Regarding R7 360 vs RX 560, it says up to 2x. And as someone mentioned, it is easy to find that scenario due to VRAM differences (just test some new AAA game on ultra settings). But user should take a look at specs (CUs, clocks, VRAM, architecture) and know it's more likely to be ~1.6x (avg FPS). As I said, I expect it to be somewhere between 1050 and 1050 Ti.

I really don't see why people whine about card refresh/rebrand, price, performance, TDP... It's a product like any other. If it suits your requirements, you'll buy it. If not, you won't. No-one can force me to buy GPU at price I don't like to play unoptimized games on day1 with crazy system requirements. I can wait. Last year I wanted to upgrade my R7 260X with new Polaris model. But 460 wasn't worth it, while 470 was to expensive. So I didn't buy any. It's AMDs (and game publishers) loss, not mine. Now I might take RX 560
 
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IllogicalGlory

Senior member
Mar 8, 2013
934
346
136
It's not lie, it's called marketing. Companies take best case scenario, and put "up to" or footnote that says "we got these results in our conditions, during full Moon night while hungry wolves were howling"

They could take Tahiti with worst single precision GFlops/watt ratio (which I think is ~14) and Polaris 10 with best (~40), and say it has 2.8x perf/watt. And that won't be a lie. Of course, people don't care about single precision GFlops, but FPS in games. But it's users fault since they ignore available information. If you are buying new product you'll use for the next couple of years, then you should take few hours and look all specs and details of the product.
They actually outlined their specific testing and it was based on FPS in games. The deceptive part was that they were comparing cards based on the assumption that they used their paper TDP, which isn't true. Basically they just decided that the RX 470 drew 110W and that the R9 270X drew 180W; in reality, they draw 121W and 111W respectively. The games chosen were also favorable towards the new architecture. On average, those two cards are actually pretty close in power efficiency. The 470 would be about 109% on that chart (55% ahead).
 

unseenmorbidity

Golden Member
Nov 27, 2016
1,395
967
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it could signal a very sharp drop off in GPU progress for both performance and price to performance.
Nvidia kicked off pascal by selling a midrange gpu, gtx 1080 for $700, but amd is taking the piss?

The price of the 5xx is largely not even up to amd. Likely everyone in the supply chain is exploiting the new release by taking bigger margins.

It's not lie, it's called marketing. Companies take best case scenario, and put "up to" or footnote that says "we got these results in our conditions, during full Moon night while hungry wolves were howling"

Absolutely! They are only strongly insinuating something to always be true, but is in actuality almost never true. So, it's roughly 99.99% lying, and 0.01% truthful, and therefore not a complete lie.

My favorite one for Ryzen was "XFR scales with LN2!" lol Which is sort of true under very obscure circumstances.

AMD is getting really really bad for this type of deceptive marketing. So, he is mostly right. Don't trust anything they say that can be manipulated.
 
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mohit9206

Golden Member
Jul 2, 2013
1,381
511
136
290 4GB launch price - $399
390 8GB launch price - $329 ($70 less!)
290X 4GB launch price - $549
390X 8GB launch price - $429 ($120 less!)

What people are being confused by are the closeout/rebate/post-mining sale prices of 290/290X cards (I remember seeing them around $200-250 frequently) leading up to the launch of the 390/390X. That's not really a fair comparison.
So shouldn't the launch prices of RX570/580 be lower than launch price of RX470/480? It should be lower because tech is supposed to get cheaper every year.

It's not lie, it's called marketing. Companies take best case scenario, and put "up to" or footnote that says "we got these results in our conditions, during full Moon night while hungry wolves were howling"

They could take Tahiti with worst single precision GFlops/watt ratio (which I think is ~14) and Polaris 10 with best (~40), and say it has 2.8x perf/watt. And that won't be a lie. Of course, people don't care about single precision GFlops, but FPS in games. But it's users fault since they ignore available information. If you are buying new product you'll use for the next couple of years, then you should take few hours and look all specs and details of the product.

Regarding R7 360 vs RX 560, it says up to 2x. And as someone mentioned, it is easy to find that scenario due to VRAM differences (just test some new AAA game on ultra settings). But user should take a look at specs (CUs, clocks, VRAM, architecture) and know it's more likely to be ~1.6x (avg FPS). As I said, I expect it to be somewhere between 1050 and 1050 Ti.

I really don't see why people whine about card refresh/rebrand, price, performance, TDP... It's a product like any other. If it suits your requirements, you'll buy it. If not, you won't. No-one can force me to buy GPU at price I don't like to play unoptimized games on day1 with crazy system requirements. I can wait. Last year I wanted to upgrade my R7 260X with new Polaris model. But 460 wasn't worth it, while 470 was to expensive. So I didn't buy any. It's AMDs (and game publishers) loss, not mine. Now I might take RX 560
Why wouldn't you take RX470 instead which is under $150 now?
So any date on this or just soon™?
April 18 is what am hearing.
 
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