On Tuesday, Monmouth
released a new poll that asked the same question — and it yielded the same overall response. As was the case three months ago, about half of Americans said they intended to vote by mail. But that similarity to May hides the real shift under the hood.
In May, Democrats were about 30 percentage points more likely to say they were very or somewhat likely to vote by mail than were Republicans. And about 4 in 10 Democrats insisted that they were very likely to do so, compared with about half as many Republicans.
Since then, both parties have shifted dramatically, in opposite directions. Democrats are now 50 points more likely to say they’re at least somewhat likely to vote by mail, with fully half saying they’re very likely to do so. Meanwhile, the number of Republicans saying they will probably vote by mail has fallen to 22 percent.