I notice none of the Trumpists have posted their maps...
And that's only because of the 3-5 million fraudulent votes in California alone!I’ll do it for them.
270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map
Create your own forecast for the 2024 presidential electionwww.270towin.com
And that's only because of the 3-5 million fraudulent votes in California alone!
Might as well be Kenya if you ask most US Conservatives.You noticed I left HI Blue because they’re not connected to the US and they’re not Alaska.
The way I see it overall is this. MI and WI are showing Biden +8 and look like a lock for Biden right now, unless the polling is WAY off, by way more than it was in 2016. That and all the known blue states put Biden at 268. That means Biden only needs to win one of the following states: PA, GA, NC, FL, AZ, OH, IA or TX. In PA the polls are showing Biden at +5. The rest he's anywhere from +3.1 to - 1.8.
Trump's path to victory is then to deny Biden winning any of those 8 states. PA's margin for Biden is just slightly more than the polling error in 2016, while the rest of the states are within that error margin. So in theory, IF swing state polling is systemically off by about 5 in Biden's favor, then Trump wins.
Since pollsters have corrected for under-sampling non-college educated whites last time around, I highly doubt we'll see that sort of error margin again. But you never know. There are many odd variables in this election.
The suspense is killing me and I really hope you are right.Your math is off. If you start from the actual 2016 map from the library, flipping WI & MI gives Biden 258. Trump could lose either AZ or IA but not both & still win. He can't win if he loses any other swing state. I figure he'll lose a lot more than that.
Proof that supporting that orange fucktard is just a collection of sick fucks in a cult.
@Amused
I like your map minus Georgia.
If you have 30 minutes here is a breakdown.Is there ANY evidence of any polls tightening?
Skip the first six minutes.If you have 30 minutes here is a breakdown.
Good advice, and thanks for the catch.Skip the first six minutes.
Is there ANY evidence of any polls tightening?
If the GOP lawsuits to disenfranchise over a hundred thousand drive thru votes fail in Harris County TX, I'm just about ready to shift TX blue in my prediction.
The turnout in TX has been astoundingly high.
Good news.
Texas Supreme Court denies GOP-led petition seeking to invalidate 120,000 votes in Houston area
The Texas Supreme Court denied a petition Sunday by a group of Republicans seeking to invalidate nearly 127,000 drive-thru votes in Harris County, while a similar case awaits a decision in federal court just two days before Election Day.www.cnn.com
Unfortunately, it is now in front of a very conservative federal judge.
Most drive-thru voting locations to close for Election Day in Houston-area county at center of legal drama
The Houston-area county at the center of a legal fight over drive-thru voting decided late Monday to close nine of the 10 polling places that the county had used as drive-thru voting locations.www.cnn.com
It should be thrown out:
The fact that I can’t say for certain it will get thrown out is what is disturbing.
- Waiting specifically until the last minute when it’s been known since at least March
- Possible standing issues: Everyone in the jurisdiction, Dems and republicans, had equal access to the polling location
- Precedence: judicial branch not making last minute changes that affects an election
- The legislature effectively authorizing these types of polling locations
RealClearPolitics has flipped NC to Trump, for what it's worth.Is there ANY evidence of any polls tightening?