pros and cons of splitting the US into 2 countries?

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Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
Well we know Trump isn't going to change for the better, so that leave the Democratic candidate as the relevant value for whether our next election is an improvement over the IMHO worst ever choice in 2016.. I'm guessing the Dems won't press their luck with a super leftist candidate because they will prioritize beating Trump over policy purity. Someone like a Tim Kaine, Joe Biden, Amy Klobuchar would seem like the second coming of Winston Churchill next to Trump. Even Corey Booker would probably be a winnable candidate although the margins would probably be closer than the earlier set. All bets are off if the Dems nominate someone who will seem like they too want to completely upend the political order rather than establish the pre-Trump norms, someone like Elizabeth Warren or a retread like Jerry Brown. And god help them if they nominate Hillary again, I don't think any party is that stupid.

Jeez... You go on as if Libs were the ones who elected Trump & a lootocratic GOP Congress.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
Jeez... You go on as if Libs were the ones who elected Trump & a lootocratic GOP Congress.

WTF are you talking about? Because it's certainly not about what you quoted of mine talking about the relative election prospects of Dem candidates in 2020.

As for your completely random observation, the contribution of libs in electing Trump was selecting Clinton as your candidate realizing her liabilities and approval rating gap would make her a questionable candidate in the general election. Clinton was probably the only candidate Democrats could have run who would have lost to Trump. Hell, you could have run O'Malley and he probably would have beat Trump and the dude got like 5 votes in the Dem primaries.
 

IJTSSG

Golden Member
Aug 12, 2014
1,120
276
136
WTF are you talking about? Because it's certainly not about what you quoted of mine talking about the relative election prospects of Dem candidates in 2020.

As for your completely random observation, the contribution of libs in electing Trump was selecting Clinton as your candidate realizing her liabilities and approval rating gap would make her a questionable candidate in the general election. Clinton was probably the only candidate Democrats could have run who would have lost to Trump. Hell, you could have run O'Malley and he probably would have beat Trump and the dude got like 5 votes in the Dem primaries.
Stand by for the lecture about agitprop, how great an administrator hillary is, that the republicans were just too stupid to vote for hillary, etc, etc. I know his post by heart. It's the same drivel every time.
 
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nickqt

Diamond Member
Jan 15, 2015
7,596
7,854
136
WTF are you talking about? Because it's certainly not about what you quoted of mine talking about the relative election prospects of Dem candidates in 2020.

As for your completely random observation, the contribution of libs in electing Trump was selecting Clinton as your candidate realizing her liabilities and approval rating gap would make her a questionable candidate in the general election. Clinton was probably the only candidate Democrats could have run who would have lost to Trump. Hell, you could have run O'Malley and he probably would have beat Trump and the dude got like 5 votes in the Dem primaries.
The Democratic party is clearly partially to blame for 64 million Republican voters voting for the obviously worst candidate in US history.

Tired of winning, indeed.

Keep on keepin' on.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
The Democratic party is clearly partially to blame for 64 million Republican voters voting for the obviously worst candidate in US history.

Tired of winning, indeed.

Keep on keepin' on.

Evidently so did a bunch of Democrats especially in key states like Wisconsin and Michigan. But that's OK you can just use the "no true scotsman" fallacy and say they must not have been "real" Democrats to have voted for him.

 
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nickqt

Diamond Member
Jan 15, 2015
7,596
7,854
136
Evidently so did a bunch of Democrats especially in key states like Wisconsin and Michigan. But that's OK you can just use the "no true scotsman" fallacy and say they must not have been "real" Democrats to have voted for him.

Tired of winning, indeed.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
Tired of winning, indeed.

I guess Democrats like you wouldn't know what the feeling of 'tired of winning' was like lately, eh? How much it must hurt to know you fucked up by running Clinton and screwing up the easiest layup election in decades? Donald Trump was like the caricature of an easy opponent and yet you blew it. I mean Trump is an epic fail himself yet Dems were even more epicly fail-er still.
 
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nickqt

Diamond Member
Jan 15, 2015
7,596
7,854
136
I guess Democrats like you wouldn't know what the feeling of 'tired of winning' was like lately, eh? How much it must hurt to know you fucked up by running Clinton and screwing up the easiest layup election in decades? Donald Trump was like the caricature of an easy opponent and yet you blew it. I mean Trump is an epic fail himself yet Dems were even more epicly fail-er still.
Yes, the Republican party is terrible, but HRC was denigrated for 30+ years straight and lost a close election in the Electoral College, an archaic and clearly-dysfunctional system.

But man does it feel good to win as a Republican, even if it means destroying the country just a little bit more than it was destroyed from the last Republican president.

Man, are you a true patriot.

Also, tired of winning, indeed.

Keep on keepin' on!
 

senseamp

Lifer
Feb 5, 2006
35,787
6,195
126
Screw this. The Republican party will be destroyed and we'll get the whole country. Look at Ukraine. It was evenly split. Then when push came to shove it broke hard against the corrupt Putin puppet party.
 

Indus

Lifer
May 11, 2002
10,452
7,063
136
I'd rather have quarter of a country than a country half full of conservaterrorists.
 

TheGreatBigDog

Junior Member
Apr 6, 2018
22
4
16
since the republican and democrat parties are agreeing less and less on everything, i can see in the not-too-distant future a time in which US citizens may want to split into completely separate countries.

what do you think the pros and cons of such a move might be?

some pros i can think of:

- people will get to live with only people who agree with them
- they will be able to see if their ideology is really better than the other one

some cons i can think of:

- many people will have to move and might not want to
The entire premise is ridiculous as most of the population side with neither party, but a more centrist or independent.
 

pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
13,297
8,211
136
It’s not “condemning liberalism” but rather disputing it’s the primary causal factor for making “most economically successful” countries. Heck it doesn’t even appear to be a uniformly present characteristic of them. You have extremely “successful” and illiberal countries like Saudi Arabia and liberal governments that are near failed states. It’s a sophism passed off as a self-evident truth like “democracy is the best form of government” without any real explanation or thought why that would be so, then simply pointing to the U.S. and EU and saying “See that’s why democracy is the best!”

What seems more reasonable to say is that political liberalism is a typical byproduct of successful nations and not its cause. It’s a luxury good like environmentalism that to execute successfully requires numerous preconditions to exist like rule of law, civil society, low corruption, high social cohesion, etc. Otherwise “liberalism” and high levels of social welfare are just the cover story for a new brand of lootocracy like China or Venezuela.


Might be true that liberalism is a consequence of economic development and not its cause. Haven't got the time/energy to think about that right now. I'm just generally very pessimistic about all of it though.

But I don't know that anyone would call contemporary China 'liberal'. Its levels of 'social welfare' are way, way lower than they used to be. I've known Chinese people who were amazed at how socialist Europe was, pointing out it's not like that back home these days (also met a die-hard far-left citizen of the PRC in the US who admitted he knew far more leftists there than he had ever done back home). To me China has ended up weirdly similar to Pinochet's Chile, by a radically different route. It's not terrifically socially-liberal either.

Of course it's still not a settled issue there, there's an obvious anxiety among their elites at what might happen if/when too many get left behind by the removal of the 'iron rice bowl'.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
Might be true that liberalism is a consequence of economic development and not its cause. Haven't got the time/energy to think about that right now. I'm just generally very pessimistic about all of it though.

But I don't know that anyone would call contemporary China 'liberal'. Its levels of 'social welfare' are way, way lower than they used to be. I've known Chinese people who were amazed at how socialist Europe was, pointing out it's not like that back home these days (also met a die-hard far-left citizen of the PRC in the US who admitted he knew far more leftists there than he had ever done back home). To me China has ended up weirdly similar to Pinochet's Chile, by a radically different route. It's not terrifically socially-liberal either.

Of course it's still not a settled issue there, there's an obvious anxiety among their elites at what might happen if/when too many get left behind by the removal of the 'iron rice bowl'.

To me "liberalism" is about a legitimately held (and acted upon) concern with egalitarianism that goes beyond the simple Rawls "veil of ignorance." Venezuela is a good example of Jhhnn type thinking which is more about just trying to inflict pain upon the wealthy for their supposed sins and exploitation (and the policies implemented typically do jack-squat to actually improve the lives of the poor instead of just enriching the governmental ruling class and its preferred cronies). Whereas places like Sweden are examples of where a broad social compact exists and everyone basically agrees to a fairly common standard of living in which those who are more productive actually do voluntarily reduce their standard of living. For example, it wouldn't be particularly unusual for a worldwide famous name to live in an apartment which would be typical for a truly middle class American family to live in (for example I wouldn't be surprised if the Reykjavík apartment belonging to Bjork would be rejected by most American progressives as being "too small"). Whereas in the U.S. that same famous person would probably live in an eight-figure Manhattan penthouse and most progressives actually aspire to if they were honest with themselves; the self-segregation activities of urban progressives to get their kids into the "right" schools (read: away from minorities) kinda demonstrates that point.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
Venezuela is a good example of Jhhnn type thinking which is more about just trying to inflict pain upon the wealthy for their supposed sins and exploitation (and the policies implemented typically do jack-squat to actually improve the lives of the poor instead of just enriching the governmental ruling class and its preferred cronies).

The New Deal & post WW2 America were examples of Jhhnn type thinking.
 
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brandonbull

Diamond Member
May 3, 2005
6,330
1,203
126
Screw this. The Republican party will be destroyed and we'll get the whole country. Look at Ukraine. It was evenly split. Then when push came to shove it broke hard against the corrupt Putin puppet party.

Looks like the US did the same when people refused to elect another Dem as president.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
The New Deal & post WW2 America were examples of Jhhnn type thinking.

So you want to reduce government spending as a percentage of GDP from the current 20% plus to the FDR New Deal era norm of single digits and peak of ~10% or so? And reduce entitlement spending back to the post WW2 days before Medicare and when spending was less than 2% of GDP compared to over 6% now? Sounds great to me! We definitely should do that, it would indeed have a hugely positive impact on our nation.
 
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Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
So you want to reduce government spending as a percentage of GDP from the current 20% plus to the FDR New Deal era norm of single digits and peak of ~10% or so? And reduce entitlement spending back to the post WW2 days before Medicare and when spending was less than 2% of GDP compared to over 6% now? Sounds great to me! We definitely should do that, it would indeed have a hugely positive impact on our nation.

I believe you'e pulling numbers out of your ass while ignoring the massive shift of income to the tippy top that we've experienced from Reaganomics. Govt spending wasn't nearly so important when working people got a bigger piece of the pie from the get-go.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
I believe you'e pulling numbers out of your ass while ignoring the massive shift of income to the tippy top that we've experienced from Reaganomics. Govt spending wasn't nearly so important when working people got a bigger piece of the pie from the get-go.

So you're not only wrong on the policy but ignorant of the relevant history. Not surprising and probably why your only life ambition seems to be to find a rich person to pay for you to be able to live and not be a homeless person. Instead of learning how to be successful yourself and working to make it so, you just wallow in your ignorance and expect someone else better than you to care for you via social welfare spending. No wonder our country is falling behind China, it's full of people like you whose only ambition in life is to have a Hugo Chavez strongman lie to you and say your life is worth something and the only reason you're a failure is because of some rich person.



 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
Glenn your charts contradict what you said previously in that current federal expenditures as a percent of GDP are approximately the same as in the post WW2 period. Or were you just mad that those expenditures are now more for making citizens' lives better as opposed to blowing things up? It's frankly bizarre if you would prefer the latter.

You seem to think that everyone else views public policy in the same spite-based way that you do where the goal is to hurt the people you don't like. They don't, because...well... that's weird. Higher levels of social spending have been tremendously effective in improving the lives of people not only in the US, but worldwide. That may not be what you want to hear, but it's the truth. If anything I would think you would be happy to know that spending isn't wasted but something tells me learning that will just enrage you further.
 
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glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
Glenn your charts contradict what you said previously in that current federal expenditures as a percent of GDP are approximately the same as in the post WW2 period. Or were you just mad that those expenditures are now more for making citizens' lives better as opposed to blowing things up? It's frankly bizarre if you would prefer the latter.

You seem to think that everyone else views public policy in the same spite-based way that you do where the goal is to hurt the people you don't like. They don't, because...well... that's weird. Higher levels of social spending have been tremendously effective in improving the lives of people not only in the US, but worldwide. That may not be what you want to hear, but it's the truth. If anything I would think you would be happy to know that spending isn't wasted but something tells me learning that will just enrage you further.

I said that federal expenditures on entitlement programs were lower in the post WW2 age than now. You have confused that with total government spending which was skewed higher to defense, infrastructure (e.g. the interstate highway system), and other non-entitlement spending back then. Or perhaps you're incorrect again and misunderstood me to point out that total spending is higher now than during the FDR/New Deal period.

Either way your POV seems to be directly contradictory to Jhhnn who thinks that things were far better in the post WW2/New Deal era than they are currently. Your side should get its shit together and collectively decide what you think "success" is and whether it's better now or then.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
I said that federal expenditures on entitlement programs were lower in the post WW2 age than now. You have confused that with total government spending which was skewed higher to defense, infrastructure (e.g. the interstate highway system), and other non-entitlement spending back then. Or perhaps you're incorrect again and misunderstood me to point out that total spending is higher now than during the FDR/New Deal period.

Did you not read my post? I directly addressed that, saying that the alternative was that you were angry expenditures were now skewed towards improving people's lives instead of blowing things up.

Either way your POV seems to be directly contradictory to Jhhnn who thinks that things were far better in the post WW2/New Deal era than they are currently. Your side should get its shit together and collectively decide what you think "success" is and whether it's better now or then.

Why should what Jhhnn thinks in any way affect what I think? We should continue to increase social spending and decrease defense spending, paying for it with increased taxes on people with the lowest marginal utility from their money. Common sense, really.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
Did you not read my post? I directly addressed that, saying that the alternative was that you were angry expenditures were now skewed towards improving people's lives instead of blowing things up.



Why should what Jhhnn thinks in any way affect what I think? We should continue to increase social spending and decrease defense spending, paying for it with increased taxes on people with the lowest marginal utility from their money. Common sense, really.

Let’s see, the quality of life, future expectations, and most other factors were better for the average middle class person back then. While other considerations like average education level, racial integration, and other factors have improved since. Seems like life should be better for the average middle class person yet that doesnt seem to be so. I guess it couldn’t possibly be that exploding social welfare spending is actually making things worse for the average middle class person not better, could it? Nope more social welfare spending is always better, just ask Greece eh?
 

Sunburn74

Diamond Member
Oct 5, 2009
5,034
2,613
136
Let’s see, the quality of life, future expectations, and most other factors were better for the average middle class person back then. While other considerations like average education level, racial integration, and other factors have improved since. Seems like life should be better for the average middle class person yet that doesnt seem to be so. I guess it couldn’t possibly be that exploding social welfare spending is actually making things worse for the average middle class person not better, could it? Nope more social welfare spending is always better, just ask Greece eh?
I don't grasp how you think life for the middle class was better 50 years ago than today. That is insane.

Look at the ability to buy a TV, or surf the internet, or have access to healthcare or a college education. I'm not sure where you get the idea that it seems not as good today. Perhaps because today the middle class is more inclusive? I don't really get it.
 

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
14,656
12,781
146
Let’s see, the quality of life, future expectations, and most other factors were better for the average middle class person back then. While other considerations like average education level, racial integration, and other factors have improved since. Seems like life should be better for the average middle class person yet that doesnt seem to be so. I guess it couldn’t possibly be that exploding social welfare spending is actually making things worse for the average middle class person not better, could it? Nope more social welfare spending is always better, just ask Greece eh?
Middle class is probably less off when compared to the ultra rich now vs then, but overall standard of living has risen across the board. Food's better, travel's better, we're safer, etc. Now yes, the middle class was sacrificed a bit to help the lower class (mostly to keep 'em from dying in the streets) but that's mostly because that's the only place the money could come from.

Now, a better question is, why the shit do the ultra wealthy get to slide by without paying back the society that made them ultra-rich?
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
I don't grasp how you think life for the middle class was better 50 years ago than today. That is insane.

Look at the ability to buy a TV, or surf the internet, or have access to healthcare or a college education. I'm not sure where you get the idea that it seems not as good today. Perhaps because today the middle class is more inclusive? I don't really get it.

Well the progressive wing of the Democratic Party and Jhhnn certainly seem to think life was better back then. I'm also failing to grasp how exactly social welfare entitlements help the average middle class person "buy a TV" or the other things you listed. Perhaps you're confusing things like "improved features and lowered costs due to heavy capital investment in technology and automation" but that's due to those evil rich people that Jhhnn hates and not whether Uncle Sam ups welfare checks by a couple bucks a month. Ditto for "surf the internet" (enabled by infrastructure spending, not social welfare). College education is a harder one because increases in federal spending are offset by decreases in state spending and the amounts aren't that large anyway - $60B in direct spending or tax subsidies aren't a trivial amount but not that much compared to the budget as a whole and given rates of growth in other entitlements (like Medicare) it's the lesser fish to fry considering SS, Medicare, and Medicaid already represent half of government spending and rising.
 
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