sorry you got it wrong. HD 7970 launched on Jan 9, 2012 and HD 7870 on Mar 5, 2012. so even if these chips are going to be here till Sep 2014 that would mean around 33 months or below 3 years. the problem here is TSMC 20nm node is not ready for volume production and should only be ready in H2 2014.
Yea my mistake, it will be a 3 year cycle for the same chip.
are you serious ? the R9 280X at USD 299 is a commendable product and a good value. You realize Nvidia is selling GTX 770 at USD 400 for the same perf. also without waiting for R9 290X reviews you are saying Nvidia can release a GTX 785 with same specs as Titan at USD 699 and a Titan 2 for USD 999.
280X at $299 is a good value because GTX770 is at $399. The problem is that GPU prices went up the last two years by a high margin. Middle sized chips like GTX680/770 and HD7950/70 were used to be at $299-350 in 2011.
I understood the need for higher price at the original launch of 28nm GPUs from both AMD and NV in early 2012. But today after two years, 28nm production cost should have been at the same level 40nm was at the same period.
So, it is only logical to expect the same price we had in 2011 for the same size of silicon in 2013. But my biggest problem is that 280/X and 270/X bring nothing new to the table except a price reduction to the price level it had to be from the start. It would be better if 270/280 had the same features of 260/290 and bigger performance up to 20% than Pitcairn/Tahiti for the same price of $299 or 349. And make 290/X an even bigger die to bring even higher performance of Last gen (HD7970).
At 40nm I upgraded from HD5850 to HD6950 because it brought a new architecture, better Tessellation and higher performance. Now I don’t have any reason to upgrade from HD7950 to R9 280. But if I would get the same features as 290 and another 10-20% performance I would make the move.
Well, things change and GPU cycles will be a 3 year from now on. It will be the first time in years I will not do an intermediate upgrade between nodes.
As for Titan, I just gave you NV’s options at the matter and what a bigger die can do if your opponent only has a smaller die.