R600 Delayed AGAIN!

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dreddfunk

Senior member
Jun 30, 2005
358
0
0
apoppin - I am saying something quite different from what you're saying. I think they very well might have a competitor ready--for the 8800. What they don't have is a competitor for the 8600. This fact, coupled with the lack of Vista adoption and DX10 games, means that there is little reason to plow ahead with R600's launch, even if it probably will pull slightly ahead of the 8800.

The internal logic of Ruiz's statement doesn't support the meaning you're trying to place on it. That, however, says nothing, good or bad, about your opinion concerning the delay. You could very well be right.

What Ruiz says boils down to this (looking only at the logic and semantics of the two key sentences):

1) Launch change is due to market opportunities. (Sentence 1: "To better align our strategy with current market opportunities, we've changed the launch plan for R600.")

2) We will launch competitive products for more than the high-end market segment in Q2. (Sentence 2: "We are going to deliver a competitive configuration to market with an extremely attractive combination of performance, features and pricing, targeting a broader market segment in Q2.")

He does not explicity link the delay in launch to R600's performance. He links the delay to market conditions and links peformance/features/prices to addressing a broader market segment.

Logically, only reading the passage, there is nothing we can infer from R600's delay with regard to its performance. There may be a lot of other reasons to infer such a link, but they aren't here in this passage.

In some sense I think ATI/AMD is very much trying to avoid the whole 78xx/79xx vs. the X18xx/X19xx fiasco. The 7800s debuted with great success. ATI was late with the x1800s and had to move the x1900s out the door quickly to clearly retake the lead. By that time nVidia already had the 7900s and (this is more important) the 7600s ready.

nVidia got the early adopters (7800s), their share of continual upgrading high-end market (7900 was a good card relative to the x1900), and the midrange market (ATI had to use X8xx series cards to compete and it didn't have the feature set to compete with the 7600).

nVidia has been competing like a veteran boxer fights: by dictating the pace of the action. They land a stiff opening jab (7800), that provokes a trade of punches (7900/X1900), and then they get a belly shot in (7600) on the break.

They're set to do this again with this generation. They've got the opening jab (8800). They're ready to trade punches (8900), and they've got the belly shot (8600) setup anytime they want.

At this point, ATI/AMD is responding to nVidia's pace, not vice-versa. This has got to change quickly. The lesson is: if you know your adversary has a counter to your move, you need to plan a different move. nVidia has been doing much better of late in making the right moves relative to both the market and to ATI/AMD. ATI/AMD may have decided that, while r600 is competitive, it isn't going to change this cycle. It may be that R600 is just the x1800xt, a competitive product that put nVidia not one jot off their stride.

Ruiz may have learned a lesson from Intel's response to the Athlon64 architecture: Intel eventually backed up, took their time, and delivered a serious punch to recapture the lead and set the pace (Conroe).

Either ATI/AMD has learned that lesson, and thus are changing the launch schedule, or they haven't and R600 has massive problems.

I hope it's not the latter from the standpoint of what's best for the consumer but it doesn't really matter to me much. I've been dying to buy an eVGA card for a long time, since they seem to have some very consumer-friendly policies. I'm salivating over the 8600ultra (with 64 shaders at a very reasonable price point).

 

apoppin

Lifer
Mar 9, 2000
34,890
1
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alienbabeltech.com
the *difference* simply put - is i am examining the*why* for the reschedule

and what is *really meant* by his comments


#1 he IS reassuring the stockholders.... we *will* deliver a competitive product AND we will deliver MORE competitive products in Q2

"Market Opportunities" is so nebulous as to be completely meaningless ... he wants to leave it *open* to intrepretation

#2 *IF* Ruiz DID say it was *issues with r600* he would cause mass upset in his company ... he can NOT say it[period]

i - me - my opinion - is saying 'it' --based on his statements - that r600 is not competitive or they would NOT have cancelled the launch
-- that would be *silly* imo and there is NO precedent with AMD or ATi

if Ruiz had learned *any* lesson it is to go for the throat if you have the opportunity .... AMD pissed away a great opportunity to really put the hurt on intel with A64 ... instead they sat on their hands ... if they have a competitive product now - release it and EMBARRASS nvidia - as PLANNED ... and as scheduled

the *only difference* between your and my opinion is that you gave ati/AMD some "wiggle room" with your theory that they cancelled the launch to bring out *more* product.
 

Gstanfor

Banned
Oct 19, 1999
3,307
0
0
I think dreddfunk may have the right idea (though I'm sceptical at this point as to whether AMD is capable of following such a plan). Midrange and budget is where the war gets won or lost. The highend is like a knight jousting tournament by comarison -- all pomp and show. Several times I have mentioned here what a stunning success 7600 has been for nvidia (and 6600 and 5200), but noone has wanted to listen to what I was saying...
 

ArchAngel777

Diamond Member
Dec 24, 2000
5,223
61
91
Originally posted by: Gstanfor
I think dreddfunk may have the right idea (though I'm sceptical at this point as to whether AMD is capable of following such a plan). Midrange and budget is where the war gets won or lost. The highend is like a knight jousting tournament by comarison -- all pomp and show. Several times I have mentioned here what a stunning success 7600 has been for nvidia (and 6600 and 5200), but noone has wanted to listen to what I was saying...

Gee... I wonder why?

:evil:


 

apoppin

Lifer
Mar 9, 2000
34,890
1
0
alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: Gstanfor
I think dreddfunk may have the right idea (though I'm sceptical at this point as to whether AMD is capable of following such a plan). Midrange and budget is where the war gets won or lost. The highend is like a knight jousting tournament by comarison -- all pomp and show. Several times I have mentioned here what a stunning success 7600 has been for nvidia (and 6600 and 5200), but noone has wanted to listen to what I was saying...

i certainly *hope* he is right

mine is almost a *doomsday scenario*
:Q

but do you really think they would *hold up* a scheduled launch to get more parts out?


they used to just launch the damn flagship ... even PL it -if it suited them

do you think AMD suddenly changed their strategy out of 'necessity' or ...[what] ?
 

ronnn

Diamond Member
May 22, 2003
3,918
0
71
The options are simple. Production problem that will hold things up for over 30 days. They can't compete and only just discovered that - after going into production! (If that is true, than they will likely bankrupt and leave room for intel to rule) They have decided to drop the high end and are hysterically beefing up mid range products. They stumbled on something that will make it worth their while to delay release. (Better performance or cheaper manufacturing costs?) Take your pick. :beer:
 

apoppin

Lifer
Mar 9, 2000
34,890
1
0
alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: ronnn
The options are simple. *A* Production problem that will hold things up for over 30 days. They can't compete and only just discovered that - after going into production! (If that is true, than they will likely bankrupt and leave room for intel to rule) They have decided to drop the high end and are hysterically beefing up mid range products. *B* They stumbled on something that will make it worth their while to delay release. (Better performance or cheaper manufacturing costs?) Take your pick. :beer:

do i get a *choice*?


then i will *pick* "B" ... i hope to hell AMD call pull it all together and release a competitive bunch of products that stuns their fans with *awesome performance* and *shocks* both intel and nvidia enough to drop their prices in response and head back to their respective drawing boards and boardrooms to plan their strategy and response to counter the new "AMD threat".

optimistic enough for you?



yeah i really hope so

 

Pocatello

Diamond Member
Oct 11, 1999
9,754
2
76
Originally posted by: apoppin
Originally posted by: ronnn
The options are simple. *A* Production problem that will hold things up for over 30 days. They can't compete and only just discovered that - after going into production! (If that is true, than they will likely bankrupt and leave room for intel to rule) They have decided to drop the high end and are hysterically beefing up mid range products. *B* They stumbled on something that will make it worth their while to delay release. (Better performance or cheaper manufacturing costs?) Take your pick. :beer:

do i get a *choice*?


then i will *pick* "B" ... i hope to hell AMD call pull it all together and release a competitive bunch of products that stuns their fans with *awesome performance* and *shocks* both intel and nvidia enough to drop their prices in response and head back to their respective drawing boards and boardrooms to plan their strategy and response to counter the new "AMD threat".

optimistic enough for you?



yeah i really hope so

It could happen. Competition is good for the consumers.
 

apoppin

Lifer
Mar 9, 2000
34,890
1
0
alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: Pocatello
Originally posted by: apoppin
Originally posted by: ronnn
The options are simple. *A* Production problem that will hold things up for over 30 days. They can't compete and only just discovered that - after going into production! (If that is true, than they will likely bankrupt and leave room for intel to rule) They have decided to drop the high end and are hysterically beefing up mid range products. *B* They stumbled on something that will make it worth their while to delay release. (Better performance or cheaper manufacturing costs?) Take your pick. :beer:

do i get a *choice*?


then i will *pick* "B" ... i hope to hell AMD call pull it all together and release a competitive bunch of products that stuns their fans with *awesome performance* and *shocks* both intel and nvidia enough to drop their prices in response and head back to their respective drawing boards and boardrooms to plan their strategy and response to counter the new "AMD threat".

optimistic enough for you?



yeah i really hope so

It could happen. Competition is good for the consumers.
it *could*

i will even stick that x1950p back into my rig if you guys really think it will *help* AMD
:Q

magically ... somehow :moon::clock:
:gift:


:roll:


:laugh:

RotFLPiP
 

Zebo

Elite Member
Jul 29, 2001
39,398
19
81
I wouldnt worry about AMD too much in so far as failing and no competition (how many times was that said about apple). Even so that company is worth billions to bohemoths like IBM or Samsung who would get serious IP (if congress would allow it in Samsungs case) and are as big as Intel cash and market cap wise and could really do something with AMD. They are just waiting for a chance to snap AMD up and would do serious damage to intel.

More realistically, AMD will come back. How short of mem we got as AMD lead processors for 5 or the last 6 years (for 8 months Northwood was champ and now 6 months on Conroe) and we are ready to write them off completly. All it takes is one smart dude or team in the company to come up with something like those Israelis did for Intel. There is still that matter of billions AMD will probably recover due to intel abusing it's monopoly position. Finally I don't think investors and banks will let them go broke. They already bet half thier chips 'on the flop', what's "all in" at this point?
 

ronnn

Diamond Member
May 22, 2003
3,918
0
71
Originally posted by: apoppin
Originally posted by: ronnn
The options are simple. *A* Production problem that will hold things up for over 30 days. They can't compete and only just discovered that - after going into production! (If that is true, than they will likely bankrupt and leave room for intel to rule) They have decided to drop the high end and are hysterically beefing up mid range products. *B* They stumbled on something that will make it worth their while to delay release. (Better performance or cheaper manufacturing costs?) Take your pick. :beer:

do i get a *choice*?


u changed my quote (quite pathetic really). So you get a choice of 3 versions.
 

apoppin

Lifer
Mar 9, 2000
34,890
1
0
alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: Zebo
I wouldnt worry about AMD too much in so far as failing and no competition (how many times was that said about apple). Even so that company is worth billions to bohemoths like IBM or Samsung who would get serious IP (if congress would allow it in Samsungs case) and are as big as Intel cash and market cap wise and could really do something with AMD. They are just waiting for a chance to snap AMD up and would do serious damage to intel.

More realistically, AMD will come back. How short of mem we got as AMD lead processors for 5 or the last 6 years (for 8 months Northwood was champ and now 6 months on Conroe) and we are ready to write them off completly. All it takes is one smart dude or team in the company to come up with something like those Israelis did for Intel. There is still that matter of billions AMD will probably recover due to intel abusing it's monopoly position. Finally I don't think investors and banks will let them go broke. They already bet half thier chips 'on the flop', what's "all in" at this point?

i came up the *doomsday scenario*

everything else looks "tame" by comparison

yeah, i really do think AMD will *survive* ... they have always done *best* from the UnderDog position ... fighting back against intel

i think they came up with something *really remarkable* with r600 ... and at the last minute 'some issue' put their plans "on hold"

since they are on hold - anyway - they are working on a new strategy ... which should include more product as they have time

i am 100% certain they have their company's resources devoted to fixing the problem and i have no doubt that they will do so ... the problem is 'when'

and at some cost

and ronnn i *added* an "A" and a "B" [in Bold] to your quote to differentiate 'my choice' in your long run-on sentence. I didn't change anything

and it's your response that is pathetic
:thumbsdown:
 

ronnn

Diamond Member
May 22, 2003
3,918
0
71
Originally posted by: apoppin

and ronnn i *added* an "A" and a "B" [in Bold] to your quote to differentiate in your long run-on sentence

and it's your response that is pathetic
:thumbsdown:

Very nice of you to differentiate for others. Still to differentiate us, you are pathetic - I am

 

apoppin

Lifer
Mar 9, 2000
34,890
1
0
alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: ronnn
Originally posted by: apoppin

and ronnn i *added* an "A" and a "B" [in Bold] to your quote to differentiate in your long run-on sentence

and it's your response that is pathetic
:thumbsdown:

Very nice of you to differentiate for others. Still to differentiate us, you are pathetic - I am
in your own mind

and you rarely make sense ... as in the example above ... but i really don't hold it against you
 

ronnn

Diamond Member
May 22, 2003
3,918
0
71
Originally posted by: apoppin
Originally posted by: ronnn
Originally posted by: apoppin

and ronnn i *added* an "A" and a "B" [in Bold] to your quote to differentiate in your long run-on sentence

and it's your response that is pathetic
:thumbsdown:

Very nice of you to differentiate for others. Still to differentiate us, you are pathetic - I am
in your own mind

and you rarely make sense ... as in the example above ... but i really don't hold it against you

Ok will differentiate ...

A) You are Pathetic: This means you will make absurd inflammatory statements to get a response. When you receive the response you play dumb and keep repeating yourself, while insulting the responder. But I don't hold it against you.

B) I am : This means that I am cool.
 

lopri

Elite Member
Jul 27, 2002
13,221
612
126
Originally posted by: dreddfunk
apoppin - I am saying something quite different from what you're saying. I think they very well might have a competitor ready--for the 8800. What they don't have is a competitor for the 8600. This fact, coupled with the lack of Vista adoption and DX10 games, means that there is little reason to plow ahead with R600's launch, even if it probably will pull slightly ahead of the 8800.
Makes zero sense.

Edit: Maybe I shouldn't just leave one liner without elaboration. In recent NV conference call, G80's shipment was almost 400,000 units within 4 months of launch. Margins being $125 per chip. $125 per chip. Those G80 chips are mostly for ultra high-end GTX and GTS, of which commanded the MSRPs $649 and $499, respectively. Now that the prices are settling and lower budget models are coming out, the unit shipment will only grow. By the time R600 ships in quantity (assuming 3 months from now), NV can have shipped 1M+ G8X chips.

The myth: Hardware companies don't make money off flagship products. They're for show-off. They make money from midrange and OEM deals.

100% wrong. I will make a post about it in near future.
 

lopri

Elite Member
Jul 27, 2002
13,221
612
126
Originally posted by: Zebo Finally I don't think investors and banks will let them go broke. They already bet half thier chips 'on the flop', what's "all in" at this point?
lol
 

apoppin

Lifer
Mar 9, 2000
34,890
1
0
alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: ronnn
Originally posted by: apoppin
Originally posted by: ronnn
Originally posted by: apoppin

and ronnn i *added* an "A" and a "B" [in Bold] to your quote to differentiate in your long run-on sentence

and it's your response that is pathetic
:thumbsdown:

Very nice of you to differentiate for others. Still to differentiate us, you are pathetic - I am
in your own mind

and you rarely make sense ... as in the example above ... but i really don't hold it against you

Ok will differentiate ...

A) You are Pathetic: This means you will make absurd inflammatory statements to get a response. When you receive the response you play dumb and keep repeating yourself, while insulting the responder. But I don't hold it against you.

B) I am : This means that I am cool.

then let me repeat ... in your own mind and also add --no one else's

now we can go on trading insults all night if you like ... or make peace

about *one thing* you are right .... i AM 'making inflammatory statements to get a response' and i will add even *exaggerating* the magnitude of of the delay problem

because you *minimize* it to the point of absurdity

as your responses get more "nothing is wrong", my speculations get more dire



let me put my PoV back into what i *really believe*

i believe AMD had a really excellent product ready to go in x2800xt ... they scheduled a hard launch ...

*something big* came up ... *big* in that i don't remember a launch canceled completely at the last minute before

*serious* in that nvidia IS gaining ground

*absolutely worst case* for AMD ... r660 in the Fall

they *will survive*

and i wish them well ... i have consistently rooted for the underdog.
 

Pugnate

Senior member
Jun 25, 2006
690
0
0
Originally posted by: Sudheer Anne
why do you care so much? it's a ****** video card. go outside.

Wow what a jackass. You are on the wrong forum buddy. I am not going to waste my time explaining why people care so much, but try to look through a thread first without coming off as a complete idiot.
 
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