Discussion RDNA4 + CDNA3 Architectures Thread

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DisEnchantment

Golden Member
Mar 3, 2017
1,762
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With the GFX940 patches in full swing since first week of March, it is looking like MI300 is not far in the distant future!
Usually AMD takes around 3Qs to get the support in LLVM and amdgpu. Lately, since RDNA2 the window they push to add support for new devices is much reduced to prevent leaks.
But looking at the flurry of code in LLVM, it is a lot of commits. Maybe because US Govt is starting to prepare the SW environment for El Capitan (Maybe to avoid slow bring up situation like Frontier for example)

See here for the GFX940 specific commits
Or Phoronix

There is a lot more if you know whom to follow in LLVM review chains (before getting merged to github), but I am not going to link AMD employees.

I am starting to think MI300 will launch around the same time like Hopper probably only a couple of months later!
Although I believe Hopper had problems not having a host CPU capable of doing PCIe 5 in the very near future therefore it might have gotten pushed back a bit until SPR and Genoa arrives later in 2022.
If PVC slips again I believe MI300 could launch before it

This is nuts, MI100/200/300 cadence is impressive.



Previous thread on CDNA2 and RDNA3 here

 
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moonbogg

Lifer
Jan 8, 2011
10,712
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It's a problem for our wallets, not the AIBs. And until they stop selling out immediately, the prices will get higher yet. Just as they did last time the market went derp. You don't have to like it, support it, or buy it. Legions of FOMOs and scalpers ensure you and I are swept up in their idiocy anyways.

Me reading all of the magic 8 balls around here proclaim that if AMD goofed on pricing this time they are cooked

I was one of those who thought that $50.00 would make or break this launch, lol. I should have known better. I should have known they'd fly off the shelves at $8-900 like they did and continue to do. I should have known that desperate gamers would gladly kick their mother in the gut to steal her wallet to pay a scalper $1500 on ebay for a 9070XT. Happens all the time. I should have known that like last time, gamers will sell their children for GPU money. They always do that. These people are sick.
 

Timorous

Golden Member
Oct 27, 2008
1,876
3,601
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N48 has more CU than N32, but N44 didn't increase It. So N44 would need additional frequency to compensate.

I mean given the node differences that seems pretty trivial to overcome. Also N33 has a 128KB VREG vs N32/N31 192KB VREG so no idea how that plays a part in performance but the difference is there. It is not like CUs are the only difference.

Point is you can get into the nitty gritty if you want but it seems like massively overkill for working out the rough performance level a 9060XT might have. It should go without saying the error bars are quite large but I guess I will say it explicitly. 7700XT +/- 15% is probably the error bars you are looking at which is a range from 4060Ti at the lower end and 6800XT at the upper end. It will depend on final clocks, the final ram spec, tdp choices and so on. That gives maybe a $300 to $380 pricing range IMO. If it manages towards the upper end of that range then a cut 9060 could also be equipped with 16GB of VRAM because why not if the performance is enough to drive a $300-320 price tag. On the lower end of that range though and you get into the idea of a lower VRAM 9060 in which case I think 12GB + 96bit has fewer compromises than an 8GB 128bit part.

N48 costs more than N32 by $100, that's in my opinion more than enough proof that N44 won't cost the same as N33. My bet is $50 more.

N48 is a more competitive product than N32 so can command a higher price.

N44 will be in the 7700XT class +/- a step. The 7700XT can be had for around £380 in the UK and the 7600XT is £300. That means the max price for a 9060XT is probably around £320 if you want a 20% perf/$ advantage. At current exchange rates that would be around $340 USD when you take off VAT from the UK price.

If you think it will be $380 then the only way I can see that being the case is if performance is towards the upper bound of what I said which is 6800XT performance and that seems optimistic to me.

N33 was also dirt cheap to make. Cheaper than N44 to be honest and we all know what the price was.

Selling price does not always have a lot to do with BOM cost. N33 was also cheaper than N23 was but has sold for more than N23 parts did despite AMD having the option to keep margins steady and sell at a lower price.

I am sure N44 will probably cost more than N33 just through wafer pricing it will also be cheaper than N32 was so there is room for them to sell N44 for less than the 7700XT and still keep the same margins or slightly better than on N32.
 

poke01

Diamond Member
Mar 8, 2022
3,284
4,521
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Yeah where Nvidia did it more and with less actual cards available at MSRP, in some cases none.
But yeah AMD is the bad guy. Except they delivered 10's of thousands of cards at MSRP....

This person seems to have a crazy lack of grasp on reality.
In the US, specifically Micro centre. AMD did a brilliant job, I don’t deny that, it’s just they did a brilliant job in one country.

Asia, Europe and SA barely got any and definitely not 10s of thousands in these regions. This is why I say to get rid of current AMD marketing, sometimes it’s better to keep quiet.
 

blackangus

Senior member
Aug 5, 2022
205
328
106
In the US, specifically Micro centre. AMD did a brilliant job, I don’t deny that, it’s just they did a brilliant job in one country.

Asia, Europe and SA barely got any.
How does that relate to the point of my comment, in all cases NVidia did worse so that persons post is completely misplaced and delusional.
 

poke01

Diamond Member
Mar 8, 2022
3,284
4,521
106
There also the point of AMD not producing enough GPU dies. Also the retailers and distributors increasing prices which AMD has no control over. As well crazy demand, it’s a lost world.
 

inquiss

Senior member
Oct 13, 2010
327
490
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There also the point of AMD not producing enough GPU dies. Also the retailers and distributors increasing prices which AMD has no control over. As well crazy demand, it’s a lost world.
This again. How could the minor player produce enough GPUs to satisfy demand when the market leader that usually produces 80/85% of volume is absent?
 
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blackangus

Senior member
Aug 5, 2022
205
328
106
There also the point of AMD not producing enough GPU dies.
This is a fallacy as well. They produced exactly as many as their forecasting called for. The reasoning of - NVidia produced a poor and pretty much un-available product, so AMD should have (Magically) filled that gap - Is a mis-understanding of manufacturing, inventory risk management, and market dynamics at best; a completely bogus intentional misdirection at worse.
 

adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
5,170
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It's infinitely more than big fat ZERO increase with N44 vs N33 in CU count.
does not make a difference.
In the US, specifically Micro centre. AMD did a brilliant job, I don’t deny that, it’s just they did a brilliant job in one country.

Asia, Europe and SA barely got any and definitely not 10s of thousands in these regions. This is why I say to get rid of current AMD marketing, sometimes it’s better to keep quiet.
AMD can only do so much; their supply chain is not configured to assume NV does not exist.
NVidia produced a poor and pretty much un-available product, so AMD should have (Magically) filled that gap - Is a mis-understanding of manufacturing, inventory risk management, and market dynamics at best; a completely bogus intentional misdirection at worse.
ding-ding-ding.
Hijacking the 5070 launch window was a genius move and it sure as hell worked for their optics, but they physically can't serve all the market demand available.
 
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