Record Black Friday spending despite Fox News telling everyone the economy is terrible

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nakedfrog

No Lifer
Apr 3, 2001
58,521
12,816
136
Also the idea that companies are more greedy now than in the prior years seems like a dubious claim.
I don't know that I'd describe it as "more greedy" but more that they had a reason to raise prices without taking the blame (the pandemic) and figured they could just keep them up there, since they've got an army of rubes who are more than happy to pin the blame on politicians and/or "nobody wants to work".
 
Reactions: Saylick
Mar 11, 2004
23,173
5,639
146
Except this "housing bubble" is entirely driven by demand and lack of supply in the places people want to live, so it is extremely different than the 2000s housing bubble.

Its not just place people want to live, its where the jobs are. People are having to move to find jobs more and more. One of the few remaining significant employers in the small town I grew up in was closing that facility and gave people the option of being able to continue on if they'd move to Salt Lake City area, where cost of living is like 2-3x and absolutely not at all made up for by the small bump in pay (which I think was maybe a 10-20% bump in pay over what they were making there).
 
Mar 11, 2004
23,173
5,639
146
I actually heard a conspiracy that businesses are keeping the costs of their goods high on purpose to generate record profits and to knowingly blame Biden for the high costs of those goods. The conspiracy is that people will vote Republican in 2024 and then they'll get a huge tax cut once again and they'll lower the prices. It almost seems plausible lol.

The problem with that conspiracy is the part about them dropping prices after getting the tax cuts. They won't, they have no reason to, they can both get the tax cuts and keep the elevated prices (using any number of bullshit excuses). Just like they did in 2015-2017, when they claimed they needed tax cuts to prevent layoffs and then got the tax cuts and then proceeded to perform layoffs.
 

Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,106
136
Also the idea that companies are more greedy now than in the prior years seems like a dubious claim.
The environment that we are in these days just makes it easier for companies to get away with it; with little backlash from the people (aside from the cost of food, housing and transport) or the government (oversight? - oversight is for sissy EU countries).
 
Reactions: Saylick

Zorba

Lifer
Oct 22, 1999
14,834
10,235
136
If people utilizing roadside parking where it is currently authorized makes the roads less safe that's an argument for banning roadside parking in those areas. It is not an argument against housing development.

But yes, parking minimums should be abolished nationwide. Frankly, the entire idea that people are entitled to store their private property on public land for free is insane. If people want more parking then the market will address it and they can pay the market price for their car storage, as it should be. It doesn't mean to PROHIBIT the construction of parking spots in new developments, if they think their residents want it they are free to make it!


If someone wants to detail what this 'better planning' looks like I'm open to hearing it, but every case of 'better planning' I've seen basically maintains the catastrophic status quo with a few tweaks, which is clearly woefully insufficient.

As for what 'makes sense' why not let people decide for themselves what makes sense? If this new 500 unit complex is going to be so terrible to live in then people won't live there and the developer will go bankrupt. I don't get the idea that the thing holding developers back from financially ruinous projects is restrictive zoning.

We tried the 'planned community' thing and it was a disaster. Time to let the market work.
There are lots of cities and suburbs built with very little planning, they are all car based shit holes.

Developers will race to the bottom and create as many externalities as possible, that's a big reason we ended up with zoning and minimum parking laws to start with.

Shot gunning development might increase housing supply, but it also completely solidifies the future dominance of cars. Street parking in neighborhoods is dangerous, especially for children and should be banned.

I do see a great business model of developing condos in car dominated areas, with a monthly pay garage that is cheap. Once all the units are sold jack up the monthly spot rental to the moon, and people will basically be forced to pay. What developers tend to do with HOA and condo fees, although on those they don't benefit from the increases.

The solution to poor regulations isn't no regulation. What is wrong with planning a dense area with good PT access and local amenities and then incentivizing it's development? What wrong with planning density around infrastructure?

The real problem is there is far too much single family zoning, in way too many places it doesn't make sense. Also the fact that nearly every zone has single family as a right.

Further, proper planning can get and keep public support, while race to the bottom, full externalities development will new laws put in place very quickly.

Still, why has housing doubled in places with very few barriers to building housing? Yes, there are places like NYC and SoCal that new density is the only way to add housing. That isn't true in most of the country, yet housing prices have still shot up. In my city, no neighborhood has been rejected for development in the decade I've lived here.
 
Dec 10, 2005
24,376
7,268
136
There are lots of cities and suburbs built with very little planning, they are all car based shit holes.

Developers will race to the bottom and create as many externalities as possible, that's a big reason we ended up with zoning and minimum parking laws to start with.

Shot gunning development might increase housing supply, but it also completely solidifies the future dominance of cars. Street parking in neighborhoods is dangerous, especially for children and should be banned.

I do see a great business model of developing condos in car dominated areas, with a monthly pay garage that is cheap. Once all the units are sold jack up the monthly spot rental to the moon, and people will basically be forced to pay. What developers tend to do with HOA and condo fees, although on those they don't benefit from the increases.

The solution to poor regulations isn't no regulation. What is wrong with planning a dense area with good PT access and local amenities and then incentivizing it's development? What wrong with planning density around infrastructure?

The real problem is there is far too much single family zoning, in way too many places it doesn't make sense. Also the fact that nearly every zone has single family as a right.

Further, proper planning can get and keep public support, while race to the bottom, full externalities development will new laws put in place very quickly.

Still, why has housing doubled in places with very few barriers to building housing? Yes, there are places like NYC and SoCal that new density is the only way to add housing. That isn't true in most of the country, yet housing prices have still shot up. In my city, no neighborhood has been rejected for development in the decade I've lived here.
A lot of cities and towns are car based shitholes specifically because of their zoning and planning.

And costs have shot up specifically because of those rules. Minimum lot sizes, units per lot rules, and setbacks make building "starter homes" infeasible in most of the country, so we just get expensive McMansion sprawl as the default housing being built in most places. And as such, people everywhere are feeling a pinch in their wallets because of home prices, despite the economy and wages being up.
 
Dec 10, 2005
24,376
7,268
136
Its not just place people want to live, its where the jobs are. People are having to move to find jobs more and more. One of the few remaining significant employers in the small town I grew up in was closing that facility and gave people the option of being able to continue on if they'd move to Salt Lake City area, where cost of living is like 2-3x and absolutely not at all made up for by the small bump in pay (which I think was maybe a 10-20% bump in pay over what they were making there).
Actually, people are generally moving less and less for new jobs, but when they do move, housing is obviously a huge issue.

And when I say "places people want to live", it's inclusive of being economic job centers. It's not just amenities that attract people to Boston, NYC, SF, etc..., it's the jobs.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,708
49,291
136
There are lots of cities and suburbs built with very little planning, they are all car based shit holes.

Developers will race to the bottom and create as many externalities as possible, that's a big reason we ended up with zoning and minimum parking laws to start with.

Shot gunning development might increase housing supply, but it also completely solidifies the future dominance of cars. Street parking in neighborhoods is dangerous, especially for children and should be banned.

I do see a great business model of developing condos in car dominated areas, with a monthly pay garage that is cheap. Once all the units are sold jack up the monthly spot rental to the moon, and people will basically be forced to pay. What developers tend to do with HOA and condo fees, although on those they don't benefit from the increases.

The solution to poor regulations isn't no regulation. What is wrong with planning a dense area with good PT access and local amenities and then incentivizing it's development? What wrong with planning density around infrastructure?

The real problem is there is far too much single family zoning, in way too many places it doesn't make sense. Also the fact that nearly every zone has single family as a right.

Further, proper planning can get and keep public support, while race to the bottom, full externalities development will new laws put in place very quickly.

Still, why has housing doubled in places with very few barriers to building housing? Yes, there are places like NYC and SoCal that new density is the only way to add housing. That isn't true in most of the country, yet housing prices have still shot up. In my city, no neighborhood has been rejected for development in the decade I've lived here.
The reason zoning was made was primarily racism, not to contain development externalities.

Also, I would be interested to hear the economic theory of action as to why increasing density would increase the dominance of cars. That is the opposite of what’s likely to happen. Density makes car traffic worse and mass transit more desirable.

As far as development goes most people don’t realize that for almost all American cities anything other than single family detached housing is banned on about 75% of the land or more. You can’t even make a duplex, and that’s in cities, where density is supposed to be a thing! Also, most cities you’re thinking of actually have tons of other non-zoning housing restrictions like parking minimums, incentivizing cars.


As for what’s wrong with planning density - it misunderstands the scale of the problem. It’s why central economic planning broadly doesn’t work. As the article mentions what I’m asking for is for us to return to the regulatory scheme of the past, when most of these cities were built.
 

Zorba

Lifer
Oct 22, 1999
14,834
10,235
136
The reason zoning was made was primarily racism, not to contain development externalities.

Also, I would be interested to hear the economic theory of action as to why increasing density would increase the dominance of cars. That is the opposite of what’s likely to happen. Density makes car traffic worse and mass transit more desirable.
I said shot gunning density continues the dependency on cars because it keeps you from developing a critical mass needed for public transit and walkable areas.

If there is no planning, shotgunning is what will happen because developers will seek the cheapest land to build multifamily developments.

Maybe instead of buying land and giving it to companies like Amazon and Boeing, cities should be buying and giving that land to developers to create dense/walkable areas.


As far as development goes most people don’t realize that for almost all American cities anything other than single family detached housing is banned on about 75% of the land or more. You can’t even make a duplex, and that’s in cities, where density is supposed to be a thing! Also, most cities you’re thinking of actually have tons of other non-zoning housing restrictions like parking minimums, incentivizing cars.


As for what’s wrong with planning density - it misunderstands the scale of the problem. It’s why central economic planning broadly doesn’t work. As the article mentions what I’m asking for is for us to return to the regulatory scheme of the past, when most of these cities were built.
Cars didn't exist when dense city were built. Sprawling car bound shit holes have developed since then, all with varying levels of zoning.

Again if zoning is the issue with supply and supply is what's driving prices, why are prices skyrocketing in places like OKC that approve every development, including duplexes, zero lot line, and apartments? Further, how are you actually going to get developers to raise supply to the point that it impacts their pricing power?

I personally think the solution is better planning and then directly incentivizing the development.

As far as the free market, I think the market has shown the free market buys single family homes with 2 car garages. We will definitely not "free market solution" our way out of car dependency.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,708
49,291
136
I said shot gunning density continues the dependency on cars because it keeps you from developing a critical mass needed for public transit and walkable areas.

If there is no planning, shotgunning is what will happen because developers will seek the cheapest land to build multifamily developments.

Maybe instead of buying land and giving it to companies like Amazon and Boeing, cities should be buying and giving that land to developers to create dense/walkable areas.



Cars didn't exist when dense city were built. Sprawling car bound shit holes have developed since then, all with varying levels of zoning.

Again if zoning is the issue with supply and supply is what's driving prices, why are prices skyrocketing in places like OKC that approve every development, including duplexes, zero lot line, and apartments? Further, how are you actually going to get developers to raise supply to the point that it impacts their pricing power?
According to this OKC is about 75% single family homes, in line with other cities.

I personally think the solution is better planning and then directly incentivizing the development.

As far as the free market, I think the market has shown the free market buys single family homes with 2 car garages. We will definitely not "free market solution" our way out of car dependency.
If the free market shows that people only want single family houses then giving me everything I want will have no effect and you can just make me happy. After all, I’m only asking to stop banning different types of housing. If there is no demand, no one will build them so there no reason to ban it. Agree?

As far as the rest you’re basically arguing against capitalism. I do think it’s interesting though that half the time NIMBYs say that developers will only build for the rich and here you’re saying they will only build on the worst land. How does that square?

Your approach has led to mass human misery. I think we can do better.
 

NWRMidnight

Platinum Member
Jun 18, 2001
2,967
2,574
136
If people utilizing roadside parking where it is currently authorized makes the roads less safe that's an argument for banning roadside parking in those areas. It is not an argument against housing development.

But yes, parking minimums should be abolished nationwide. Frankly, the entire idea that people are entitled to store their private property on public land for free is insane. If people want more parking then the market will address it and they can pay the market price for their car storage, as it should be. It doesn't mean to PROHIBIT the construction of parking spots in new developments, if they think their residents want it they are free to make it!


If someone wants to detail what this 'better planning' looks like I'm open to hearing it, but every case of 'better planning' I've seen basically maintains the catastrophic status quo with a few tweaks, which is clearly woefully insufficient.

As for what 'makes sense' why not let people decide for themselves what makes sense? If this new 500 unit complex is going to be so terrible to live in then people won't live there and the developer will go bankrupt. I don't get the idea that the thing holding developers back from financially ruinous projects is restrictive zoning.

We tried the 'planned community' thing and it was a disaster. Time to let the market work.
Where are you getting the idea that parking on the street is free? The construction, maintenance and use of roads, be it to drive or park on are paid thru various taxes.
 

Indus

Lifer
May 11, 2002
10,384
7,024
136
People are stupid on average:


  • Collectively, Americans now owe $1.08 trillion on their credit cards, according to a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Steadily, persistently higher prices have caused consumers to spend down their savings and increasingly turn to credit cards to make ends meet.
  • At the same time, credit cards are one of the most expensive ways to borrow money.
Credit card balances spiked by $154 billion year over year, notching the largest increase since 1999, the New York Fed found.

“Credit card balances experienced a large jump in the third quarter, consistent with strong consumer spending and real GDP growth,” said Donghoon Lee, the New York Fed’s economic research advisor.

View attachment 89376

How much of that 1.08T is Elon's and Trump's debt?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,708
49,291
136
Where are you getting the idea that parking on the street is free? The construction, maintenance and use of roads, be it to drive or park on are paid thru various taxes.
To put it simply to get a dedicated parking spot in Brooklyn or Manhattan is between say $300 and $700 a month. Taxes are not even remotely paying for that.

That being said, if taxes are sufficient to pay for street parking then there’s no reason to require new development to pay for additional spots. After all that would be unfair and the logical answer would be for the tax base to pay for all parking spots equally.
 
Reactions: Brainonska511

NWRMidnight

Platinum Member
Jun 18, 2001
2,967
2,574
136
To put it simply to get a dedicated parking spot in Brooklyn or Manhattan is between say $300 and $700 a month. Taxes are not even remotely paying for that.

That being said, if taxes are sufficient to pay for street parking then there’s no reason to require new development to pay for additional spots. After all that would be unfair and the logical answer would be for the tax base to pay for all parking spots equally.
That is just a money grab. I mean what exactly is that parking rent paying for other than the right to park there? A parking space is not a consumable. Many cities also have additional taxes attached to car licenses, building permits, and licenses that go towards roads and streets. Just because they are charging and turning a profit on residential parking doesn't make it right. (We are not talking about commercial/ customer parking).

It is not realistic to believe residential housing should be required to pay for parking, as it should be included with the resident. Charging for it is pure greed. That's like expecting residential housing to pay a monthly fee to have bathroom use privileges, or kitchen/cooking use privileges beyond their mortgage or rent payment .

Most states/cities have ordinances that have parking requirements for multifamily housing. If they don't, that is a failure of the government/ordinances of that city.
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,708
49,291
136
That is just a money grab, not spent on roads etc. it is however spent, or should be spent on reducing crime. Many cities also have additional taxes attached to car licenses, building permits, and licenses that go towards roads and streets. Just because they are charging and turning a profit on residential parking doesn't make it right. (We are not talking about commercial/ customer parking).

It is not realistic to believe residential housing should be required to pay for parking, as it should be included with the resident. Charging for it is pure greed. That's like expecting residential housing to pay a monthly fee to have bathroom privileges, or kitchen/cooking privileges beyond their mortgage or rent payment .

Most states/cities have ordinances that have parking requirements for multifamily housing. If they don't, that is a failure of the government/ordinances of that city.
Yes, every residence pays a fee for bathrooms and a kitchen. It’s baked into the rent.

This really shows why America faces a housing crisis. I bet you don’t consider yourself a NIMBY but you are doing most of their work for them.
 

NWRMidnight

Platinum Member
Jun 18, 2001
2,967
2,574
136
Yes, every residence pays a fee for bathrooms and a kitchen. It’s baked into the rent.

This really shows why America faces a housing crisis. I bet you don’t consider yourself a NIMBY but you are doing most of their work for them.
What? Seriously? That's bullshit, it's not baked into the rent or mortgage.

Go read my edit btw, I changed the first part.

How does it show why America is facing a housing crisis? Because of parking? Seriously? Also, what the fuck is a NIMBY?
 

Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,106
136
Also, what the fuck is a NIMBY
Not In My Back Yard. So, simple example - city proposing building a new sports complex/swimming pool for kids. Everyone says it's a great idea and a worthy use of our tax dollars. The some ppl find out it's being built directly behind the development they live in and start a petition to stop the project. We don't want hundreds of kids traipsing by our houses to get there every day. What will that do to our home valuations?? Silly, but you get the point I think.
 

NWRMidnight

Platinum Member
Jun 18, 2001
2,967
2,574
136
Not In My Back Yard. So, simple example - city proposing building a new sports complex/swimming pool for kids. Everyone says it's a great idea and a worthy use of our tax dollars. The some ppl find out it's being built directly behind the development they live in and start a petition to stop the project. We don't want hundreds of kids traipsing by our houses to get there every day. What will that do to our home valuations?? Silly, but you get the point I think.
It has nothing to do with NIMBY, unless he is implying I live in multiple states and cities across the country.

Your example has nothing to do with residential parking, and the belief there should be a charge for it, specially for residential street parking outside of the taxes already paid.
 
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Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,106
136
It has nothing to do with NIMBY, unless he is implying I live in multiple states and cities across the country.

Your example has nothing to do with residential parking, and the belief there should be a charge for it.
You ask what a NIMBY was, I answered you. That's all. I wasn't commenting on the thread, just your question. Take the rest up with @fskimospy please.
 
Reactions: ch33zw1z

Mai72

Lifer
Sep 12, 2012
11,578
1,741
126
I'm going to disagree with the conclusion of this thread.

Americans ARE spending like crazy, but its not what we think. The WSJ has stated that Americans are recklessly spending when in fact most people are hurting financially.

But hey. Just put it on credit. Americans are spending like there's no tomorrow.

 
Last edited:
Reactions: iRONic

NWRMidnight

Platinum Member
Jun 18, 2001
2,967
2,574
136
You ask what a NIMBY was, I answered you. That's all. I wasn't commenting on the thread, just your question. Take the rest up with @fskimospy please.
Thanks, I kinda figured that is what it meant, but his use of "a NIMBY" didn't make sense, as nothing was said that remotely implied any such thing.

I thought you were tying the rest in with the discussion on parking. My apologies.
 
Reactions: Ajay
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