Record Black Friday spending despite Fox News telling everyone the economy is terrible

pcgeek11

Lifer
Jun 12, 2005
21,499
4,596
136
People are stupid on average:


  • Collectively, Americans now owe $1.08 trillion on their credit cards, according to a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Steadily, persistently higher prices have caused consumers to spend down their savings and increasingly turn to credit cards to make ends meet.
  • At the same time, credit cards are one of the most expensive ways to borrow money.
Credit card balances spiked by $154 billion year over year, notching the largest increase since 1999, the New York Fed found.

“Credit card balances experienced a large jump in the third quarter, consistent with strong consumer spending and real GDP growth,” said Donghoon Lee, the New York Fed’s economic research advisor.

 

ch33zw1z

Lifer
Nov 4, 2004
37,964
18,279
146
People are stupid on average:


  • Collectively, Americans now owe $1.08 trillion on their credit cards, according to a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Steadily, persistently higher prices have caused consumers to spend down their savings and increasingly turn to credit cards to make ends meet.
  • At the same time, credit cards are one of the most expensive ways to borrow money.
Credit card balances spiked by $154 billion year over year, notching the largest increase since 1999, the New York Fed found.

“Credit card balances experienced a large jump in the third quarter, consistent with strong consumer spending and real GDP growth,” said Donghoon Lee, the New York Fed’s economic research advisor.

View attachment 89376

Up until recently, most Americans benefited from a few government-supplied safety nets, most notably the large injection of stimulus money, which left many households sitting on a stockpile of cash that enabled some cardholders to keep their credit card balances in check.

lol, yea…ok
 
Dec 10, 2005
24,351
7,234
136
People are stupid on average:


  • Collectively, Americans now owe $1.08 trillion on their credit cards, according to a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Steadily, persistently higher prices have caused consumers to spend down their savings and increasingly turn to credit cards to make ends meet.
  • At the same time, credit cards are one of the most expensive ways to borrow money.
Credit card balances spiked by $154 billion year over year, notching the largest increase since 1999, the New York Fed found.

“Credit card balances experienced a large jump in the third quarter, consistent with strong consumer spending and real GDP growth,” said Donghoon Lee, the New York Fed’s economic research advisor.

View attachment 89376
Total credit card debt is a meaningless number.
 
Reactions: Vic and Pens1566

Exterous

Super Moderator
Jun 20, 2006
20,429
3,533
126
Yeah we've been doing pretty dang well compared to the rest of the world. Inflation was bad for a very short period but not as bad as many countries faced, and it's under control now. Stock market is doing well. Job numbers encouraging. It's not perfect by any means but the soft landing they were aiming for has been pretty damn soft. Not that they'll get any credit for it.
 

HomerJS

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
36,268
28,128
136
If you get your news and info from Fox, Biden caused the economy to crater. People are saying otherwise.
 
Reactions: dank69

NWRMidnight

Platinum Member
Jun 18, 2001
2,965
2,571
136
*SCREAM*Credit card spending*SCREAM*
So a normal Black Friday then.. You do realize that our economy is fueled by credit right?
Credit card usage hasn't really changed much, it's pretty consistant thru the years. (spiked during covid due to people not working). Most of what you hear about how much American's have on credit cards using dollar amounts is a scare tactic to instil fear into the American people. Delequency rates are pretty much the same.

 

BoomerD

No Lifer
Feb 26, 2006
63,330
11,696
136
If you get your news and info from Fox, Biden caused the economy to crater. People are saying otherwise.

Those people are speeaking librul fake nooz...we CANNOT let actual facts interfere with our propaganda.
 

trenchfoot

Lifer
Aug 5, 2000
14,666
7,162
136
Conservatives have the best of both worlds that they live in. In the real one where everyone else lives, the Trumpies can enjoy all of the things that "socialism" gives them, like eight hour work days, infrastructure projects that gives them jobs, Obamacare that gives them medical services that they wouldn't be able to otherwise afford, social services like Social Security, Medicare/aid, postal services, a military that provides for them the security our nation needs to maintain our way of life and so and so and so on. All of which they quietly take for granted and take advantage of and will scream bloody murder and blame the liberals when these services do not meet their propagandized expectations.

In their other twisted contrarian hypocritical world of horrific fairy tales, hoax conspiracies, hateful racist lies and incessant dog whistles that they prefer to live in self-induced isolation, will now disavow any and all of the social services they actually enjoy (and of whom many of them must have to survive) and describe it all as communism that the unworthy (non-whites) are unjustified to claim for themselves.

Being two-faced is a hell of a way to exist, but they sure seem to like things that way.

edit - removed two words for clarity
 
Last edited:
Reactions: ElFenix and iRONic

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,683
49,274
136
People are stupid on average:


  • Collectively, Americans now owe $1.08 trillion on their credit cards, according to a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Steadily, persistently higher prices have caused consumers to spend down their savings and increasingly turn to credit cards to make ends meet.
  • At the same time, credit cards are one of the most expensive ways to borrow money.
Credit card balances spiked by $154 billion year over year, notching the largest increase since 1999, the New York Fed found.

“Credit card balances experienced a large jump in the third quarter, consistent with strong consumer spending and real GDP growth,” said Donghoon Lee, the New York Fed’s economic research advisor.

View attachment 89376
Credit card payments as a percent of income are well within the normal range it’s been for at least as far back as records go.
 

Pipeline 1010

Golden Member
Dec 2, 2005
1,927
760
136
Credit card payments as a percent of income are well within the normal range it’s been for at least as far back as records go.
This is a better measure, but still not perfect.

I've switched a significant portion of my spending away from my debit card and onto my credit card for points. My CC payments as a percent of income are far higher than they were even 4 years ago. Yet I pay it off completely every week or two and I'm not "in credit card debt". I know many people who do this as well.

I'm sure there are better indicators out there. Like credit card interest paid as a percent of income. That might give better insight into people who are using credit to supplement income and getting into trouble and/or actual debt.
 

pcgeek11

Lifer
Jun 12, 2005
21,499
4,596
136
Well I have never carried any credit balances with the exception of my house.


From the linked article:

Credit card delinquency rates also rose across the board, according to the New York Fed, but especially among millennials, or borrowers between the ages of 30 and 39, who are burdened by high levels of student loan debt.

With most people feeling strained by higher prices — particularly for food, gas and housing — more cardholders are carrying debt from month to month or falling behind on payments, and a greater percentage of balances are going more than 180 days delinquent
, according to a separate report from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.

Nearly one-tenth of credit card users find themselves in “persistent debt” where they are charged more in interest and fees each year than they pay toward the principal — a pattern that is increasingly difficult to break, the consumer watchdog said.
“It’s a big deal,” said Ted Rossman, senior industry analyst at Bankrate. “Your credit card is probably your highest cost debt by a wide margin.”

Don't sound real good to me... "Credit card delinquency rates also rose across the board, according to the New York Fed"

1 Trillion divided by the population of the USA 340 million (rounded up) is a debt of $2,941.17 for every man, woman and child in the USA.
 
Last edited:

HomerJS

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
36,268
28,128
136
Well I have never carried any credit balances with the exception of my house.


From the linked article:

Credit card delinquency rates also rose across the board, according to the New York Fed, but especially among millennials, or borrowers between the ages of 30 and 39, who are burdened by high levels of student loan debt.

With most people feeling strained by higher prices — particularly for food, gas and housing — more cardholders are carrying debt from month to month or falling behind on payments, and a greater percentage of balances are going more than 180 days delinquent
, according to a separate report from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.

Nearly one-tenth of credit card users find themselves in “persistent debt” where they are charged more in interest and fees each year than they pay toward the principal — a pattern that is increasingly difficult to break, the consumer watchdog said.
“It’s a big deal,” said Ted Rossman, senior industry analyst at Bankrate. “Your credit card is probably your highest cost debt by a wide margin.”

Don't sound real good to me... "Credit card delinquency rates also rose across the board, according to the New York Fed"

1 Trillion divided by the population of the USA 340 million (rounded up) is a debt of $2,941.17 for every man, woman and child in the USA.
Since you so interested in bursting the good economy bubble I’ll test what you know.

What would happen to the economy if everyone suddenly paid off all their credit?
 

IronWing

No Lifer
Jul 20, 2001
69,466
27,737
136
Since you so interested in bursting the good economy bubble I’ll test what you know.

What would happen to the economy if everyone suddenly paid off all their credit?
Bank investors would miss out on easy profits, the money supply would shrink, the Fed would response by lowering rates and increasing the money supply to balance, savers would get screwed (again) , consumer spending would drop, inflation would, hmm, not much either way, employment might drop a hair.

Reality is that the people who can pay off their cards, do pay off their cards. People who don't, mostly can't so the question is moot.
 
Reactions: iRONic

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,683
49,274
136
Well I have never carried any credit balances with the exception of my house.


From the linked article:

Credit card delinquency rates also rose across the board, according to the New York Fed, but especially among millennials, or borrowers between the ages of 30 and 39, who are burdened by high levels of student loan debt.

With most people feeling strained by higher prices — particularly for food, gas and housing — more cardholders are carrying debt from month to month or falling behind on payments, and a greater percentage of balances are going more than 180 days delinquent
, according to a separate report from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.

Nearly one-tenth of credit card users find themselves in “persistent debt” where they are charged more in interest and fees each year than they pay toward the principal — a pattern that is increasingly difficult to break, the consumer watchdog said.
“It’s a big deal,” said Ted Rossman, senior industry analyst at Bankrate. “Your credit card is probably your highest cost debt by a wide margin.”

Don't sound real good to me... "Credit card delinquency rates also rose across the board, according to the New York Fed"

1 Trillion divided by the population of the USA 340 million (rounded up) is a debt of $2,941.17 for every man, woman and child in the USA.
While delinquency rates have risen recently they are also well within normal historical percentages. (Really, lower than normal)

Whenever you see a report that says ‘rising’ or ‘falling’ the first question you should ask is ‘from what level?’
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,711
34,590
136
Saw a string of people filling up trucks stories during the holiday complaining about gas prices at my dad's place who has his TVs tuned to Fox News.

Yes, filling up your $80K King Ranch that gets under 20mpg is in fact expensive even if gas prices are lower now than the same time for the last three years.
 

Pipeline 1010

Golden Member
Dec 2, 2005
1,927
760
136
Since you so interested in bursting the good economy bubble I’ll test what you know.

I think there is value in exploring if we have crossed over into irrational exuberance territory. I think we are in a bubble. Stocks have soared. Unemployment is very low. Housing prices have skyrocketed far more quickly than wages. This reminds me a lot of the 2000s housing bubble.

I'm not exactly cheering for an economic bubble burst, but it would be good for young professionals if housing prices were to drop. I'd like to see bad debt cleared out of the system...student loans, credit card debt, auto loans, etc... As a homeowner of course I'd love to see prices go to infinity. But as a fellow human being, this situation is not good at all for anyone except those who already own a home and/or those who are very high-income earners.
 

NWRMidnight

Platinum Member
Jun 18, 2001
2,965
2,571
136
Bank investors would miss out on easy profits, the money supply would shrink, the Fed would response by lowering rates and increasing the money supply to balance, savers would get screwed (again) , consumer spending would drop, inflation would, hmm, not much either way, employment might drop a hair.

Reality is that the people who can pay off their cards, do pay off their cards. People who don't, mostly can't so the question is moot.
It would destory our economy, as our economy is built and sustained on credit, the results would most likely be worse than the great derpession, probably much, much worse.
 
Last edited:
Dec 10, 2005
24,351
7,234
136
I think there is value in exploring if we have crossed over into irrational exuberance territory. I think we are in a bubble. Stocks have soared. Unemployment is very low. Housing prices have skyrocketed far more quickly than wages. This reminds me a lot of the 2000s housing bubble.

I'm not exactly cheering for an economic bubble burst, but it would be good for young professionals if housing prices were to drop. I'd like to see bad debt cleared out of the system...student loans, credit card debt, auto loans, etc... As a homeowner of course I'd love to see prices go to infinity. But as a fellow human being, this situation is not good at all for anyone except those who already own a home and/or those who are very high-income earners.
Except this "housing bubble" is entirely driven by demand and lack of supply in the places people want to live, so it is extremely different than the 2000s housing bubble.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,683
49,274
136
Except this "housing bubble" is entirely driven by demand and lack of supply in the places people want to live, so it is extremely different than the 2000s housing bubble.
Yes, the unfortunate thing is this is almost certainly NOT a housing bubble - this is just years and years of banning housing construction coming home to roost. I almost wish it were a housing bubble as that's probably easier to dig out of than to build 7-10 million new houses.

We need state governments to step up and do the right thing for their citizens and remove local control of housing regulation. First step would be to make any area zoned residential by right construction of unlimited density along with the abolition of all parking minimums.
 
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