[Rumor, Tweaktown] AMD to launch next-gen Navi graphics cards at E3

Page 127 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.
Status
Not open for further replies.

Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
5,763
4,667
136
The info points very much to next year being the year of Nvidia - they move onto 7nm so AMD looses it's node advantage which being as AMD still can't match Nvidia for efficiency with the node advantage is pretty bleak. In addition it'll be all about ray tracing and Nvidia will have second gen ray tracing cards out, where as AMD will have just released their first cards so are likely to get destroyed in ray tracing performance.

I still get the feeling AMD aren't massively interested in discrete gpu's - they'll take some console and apple wins, keep some presence in the descrete market and be happy with that. In the mean time all the money and focus goes on the cpu market, which tbh is understandable - it's the larger market and they are much better placed.
Nvidia is moving to 7 nm only for HPC GPUs in 2020. Late 2020-late H1 2021 is when next gen gaming GPUs we will get on 7 nm node, from Nvidia.
 

Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
5,763
4,667
136
2048 ALUs is 45% more than RX 5500 XT has. It at least gives hope that it will not be a bad GPU.

RTX 2060 is 55% faster than RX 5500 XT's, so the GPU in question might be close.

Igor Wallosek from Tom's Hardware said this about upcoming AMD GPUs:

 

RetroZombie

Senior member
Nov 5, 2019
464
386
96
lol. you kidding right? Where do you think all the Zen 2 chiplets are coming from on 7nm? Hint: it's not GF.

The point was comparing Intel designs with their 14nm vs intel 10nm.
AND Amd designs at TSMC 7nm vs TSMC 16nm and you can't do that because there never was an high performance x86 cpu at tsmc before zen2.
Because if there was you could have an idea what gains could Nvidia have there and you can't, you don't know what power and clocks will Nvidia get, could be much better, the same or could be even worst.

This image from Anandtech shows that high clock GPUs chips are very few, really few, I know it's on 5nm but 7nm could be similar and explain why Nvidia didn't do it, unless you think they don't want to be the leader and extent that lead:
 

RetroZombie

Senior member
Nov 5, 2019
464
386
96
Don't forget AMD's 7870's role in this which allowed mid range dies to come in at near flagship prices.

I would blame reviewers more than Amd.

When some people review an worst card (latter released) with less memory capacity and less memory bandwidth and excessively praise the worst product, Radeon 7970 3GB vs GTX580 1.5GB and GTX680 2GB for example. Or even the GTX980 4GB, ,reviewer very good vs the Radeon Fury, very bad card because it only carried 4GB...

And here we are saying that AMD new cards have very few RAM that will go into 2020 vs their 3 years old models, and Nvidia that needs even more RAM capacity not only because of the RTX effects but also because they are all excessively overpriced. I would even say anything above their 2070 Super is extortion, it's not even pricey...
 

insertcarehere

Senior member
Jan 17, 2013
639
607
136
The point was comparing Intel designs with their 14nm vs intel 10nm.
AND Amd designs at TSMC 7nm vs TSMC 16nm and you can't do that because there never was an high performance x86 cpu at tsmc before zen2.
Because if there was you could have an idea what gains could Nvidia have there and you can't, you don't know what power and clocks will Nvidia get, could be much better, the same or could be even worst.

This image from Anandtech shows that high clock GPUs chips are very few, really few, I know it's on 5nm but 7nm could be similar and explain why Nvidia didn't do it, unless you think they don't want to be the leader and extent that lead:

More likely, Nvidia looked at TSMC as the only game in time for 7nm at the time, and took an educated bet that they didn't need process parity with AMD (I.E fighting over Huawei, Qualcomm & Apple for wafers and fab capacity) in order to be competitive with AMD, and could afford to wait until it was a more mature process with more supply before jumping in.

In hindsight that turned out to be a pretty good idea.
 

RetroZombie

Senior member
Nov 5, 2019
464
386
96
More likely, Nvidia looked at TSMC as the only game in time for 7nm at the time, and took an educated bet that they didn't need process parity with AMD

Just that? That's very pale. How about to add more:
- Too expensive for them
- Performance wouldn't increase much
- No better performance/watt
- Bad yields
- Much smaller dies, no high end cards initially
.....
If it was beneficial for them Nvidia would do it, I don't see how they would like Amd at performance (and power) parity with them, like I said they want to be the leader and extent that lead.
 

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
14,003
3,361
136
More likely, Nvidia looked at TSMC as the only game in time for 7nm at the time, and took an educated bet that they didn't need process parity with AMD (I.E fighting over Huawei, Qualcomm & Apple for wafers and fab capacity) in order to be competitive with AMD, and could afford to wait until it was a more mature process with more supply before jumping in.

In hindsight that turned out to be a pretty good idea.

Staying at 12nm it wasnt NVIDIAs first choice. With 500-700mm2 dies you need 2x or 3x times more wafers for the same die capacity vs 7nm.

Also, because NV would not get any fab advantages (speed, lower power etc) at 12nm , they had to spend way more in to R&D for the new Turing Architecture unlike AMD that they got free speed and power reduction from using 7nm fabrication.

They both took a strategic decision early on, one bet on 7nm and spend less in R&D and the other opted for the more mature, cheaper and higher volume 12nm but had to spend more on R&D and had to live with very big dies.
 
Reactions: prtskg

Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
5,763
4,667
136
More likely, Nvidia looked at TSMC as the only game in time for 7nm at the time, and took an educated bet that they didn't need process parity with AMD (I.E fighting over Huawei, Qualcomm & Apple for wafers and fab capacity) in order to be competitive with AMD, and could afford to wait until it was a more mature process with more supply before jumping in.

In hindsight that turned out to be a pretty good idea.
Nope. Until the cookies are out of the oven you are incapable of getting any information, how well your opponent will perform in terms of efficiency.

So Nvidia was not able to draw any conclusions on 7 nm AMD GPUs directly before the tape out of those GPUs.

Which would be way past of any RND, of any design, from Nvidia.

There is way too many other reasons, however, why Nvidia hasn't got to 7 nm before AMD.
 

NostaSeronx

Diamond Member
Sep 18, 2011
3,689
1,224
136
Maybe, Nvidia is skipping 7nm and going to 5nm. RDNA2 is also 7nm. That gives Nvidia room to fit 5nm GPUs in early w/o competition in HPC-GPU.
 

NostaSeronx

Diamond Member
Sep 18, 2011
3,689
1,224
136
Nothing hard yet, but here is some Nvidia softies.
Jun 2019 – Aug 2019 => Analog Layout with TSMC 5nm technology.
Oct 2015 – Present => 5nm FinFet TSMC and Sec8 Samsung
Nothing definite.

There is a lot more for 7nm:
• Planned closely with RTL and Synthesis team to plan multi clock interface units in 7nm.
• Managed a team of 5-6, which in total implemented 12 complex blocks w.r.t timing and cell density + 3 custom macros in 7nm.
(high frequency + high logic depth, zero cycle paths, loop back paths, high cell density in 7nm, IR drop challenges).
• EMMC PHY design in 7nm process including IO, DLL, ZQCal. IO, delay line, serdes logic, rx-vref and etc.
• Analyzed and resolved TSMC 7nm DRC/IR/EM issues in the partitions

It could easily be a Xaviar successor(@ EMMC phy/ Orin SoC) however... anything that allows a shrink from 350mm2 is good.
 
Last edited:

insertcarehere

Senior member
Jan 17, 2013
639
607
136
Just that? That's very pale. How about to add more:
- Too expensive for them
- Performance wouldn't increase much
- No better performance/watt
- Bad yields
- Much smaller dies, no high end cards initially
.....
If it was beneficial for them Nvidia would do it, I don't see how they would like Amd at performance (and power) parity with them, like I said they want to be the leader and extent that lead.

AMD wouldn't have readily adopted 7nm over their old 14nm process if it was as bad as you described.

It was a cost-benefit decision to Nvidia whether they should adopt 7nm or not at the time. Nvidia bet that their architecture could hold up even on an inferior process, and they were right, as they are still the performance and power leader without 7nm.

Staying at 12nm it wasnt NVIDIAs first choice. With 500-700mm2 dies you need 2x or 3x times more wafers for the same die capacity vs 7nm.

Also, because NV would not get any fab advantages (speed, lower power etc) at 12nm , they had to spend way more in to R&D for the new Turing Architecture unlike AMD that they got free speed and power reduction from using 7nm fabrication.

They both took a strategic decision early on, one bet on 7nm and spend less in R&D and the other opted for the more mature, cheaper and higher volume 12nm but had to spend more on R&D and had to live with very big dies.

Both of them were spending R&D on their respective new architectures anyway (Turing for NV, RDNA for AMD) so it is questionable if the transition to 7nm is a significant money-saver for AMD on R&D spending.

In a vacuum of course Nvidia would take 7nm over 12nm, but given the cost and supply situation for 7nm at the time, they made a trade-off to live with Tesla-sized dies on mature process, something they could do because their architecture was likely still good enough to compete in performance with an older process.

Nope. Until the cookies are out of the oven you are incapable of getting any information, how well your opponent will perform in terms of efficiency.

So Nvidia was not able to draw any conclusions on 7 nm AMD GPUs directly before the tape out of those GPUs.

Which would be way past of any RND, of any design, from Nvidia.

There is way too many other reasons, however, why Nvidia hasn't got to 7 nm before AMD.

Nvidia could certainly compare whatever preliminary data they have on Turing, vs the data they gathered from testing Vega + Polaris (it'd be dumb if they haven't), and make inferences at where AMD's 7nm products might land in terms of performance/power, it's not conclusive of course, but way better information than what you would imply.
 

itsmydamnation

Platinum Member
Feb 6, 2011
2,867
3,418
136
The point was comparing Intel designs with their 14nm vs intel 10nm.
AND Amd designs at TSMC 7nm vs TSMC 16nm and you can't do that because there never was an high performance x86 cpu at tsmc before zen2.

heres a 4ghz 12core cpu on tmsc 20nm, its effectively an 8 wide SMT4 core. Why limit to x64? everythings uops after decode.
 

RetroZombie

Senior member
Nov 5, 2019
464
386
96

heres a 4ghz 12core cpu on tmsc 20nm, its effectively an 8 wide SMT4 core. Why limit to x64? everythings uops after decode.
Ok let's go out of x86.
Now this same chip from 7nm, 10nm, 16nm, 20nm, 28nm ... all at TSMC, the evolution of it in clocks, performance, power, ...?
 

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
14,003
3,361
136
Both of them were spending R&D on their respective new architectures anyway (Turing for NV, RDNA for AMD) so it is questionable if the transition to 7nm is a significant money-saver for AMD on R&D spending.

In a vacuum of course Nvidia would take 7nm over 12nm, but given the cost and supply situation for 7nm at the time, they made a trade-off to live with Tesla-sized dies on mature process, something they could do because their architecture was likely still good enough to compete in performance with an older process.

AMD spending a fraction of NVIDIAs R&D managed to have a competitive product in all aspects such as perf/mm2, perf/w, etc just by using 7nm vs 12nm.
It doesnt require someone to have a PHD to compare NVIDIAs R&D vs AMD R&D and appreciate how that small AMD GPU R&D managed to have NAVI 10 able to go against TU106/TU104.
For AMD to be able to reach the same performance and performance/Watt at 12nm it would required them to spend 2x or 3x or even more in R&D.
So yes 7nm was a strategic move that they had to take in order to be able to remain competitive against NVIDIA simple because it would deduct necessary R&D needed to spend otherwise, R&D they just didnt have.


 
Reactions: krawcmac

sontin

Diamond Member
Sep 12, 2011
3,273
149
106
You cant compare Navi with big Turing. Turing supports a lot more features for a lot more markets Navi doesnt exist. With Raytracing Turing is 2x+ faster, the same with AI.

TU116 is 30-40% more efficient than Navi. AMD has designed a new gaming only architecture on a brand new process and cant beat a 12nm gaming product. Small Navi is DoA because Turing is such a beast on 12nm.
 

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
14,003
3,361
136
You cant compare Navi with big Turing. Turing supports a lot more features for a lot more markets Navi doesnt exist. With Raytracing Turing is 2x+ faster, the same with AI.

TU116 is 30-40% more efficient than Navi. AMD has designed a new gaming only architecture on a brand new process and cant beat a 12nm gaming product. Small Navi is DoA because Turing is such a beast on 12nm.

NAVI is doing very well in compute as well in Gaming and RX5700XT dominates the RTX2060 Super (TU106) in many workloads.





 

soresu

Platinum Member
Dec 19, 2014
2,968
2,192
136
You cant compare Navi with big Turing. Turing supports a lot more features for a lot more markets Navi doesnt exist. With Raytracing Turing is 2x+ faster, the same with AI.

TU116 is 30-40% more efficient than Navi. AMD has designed a new gaming only architecture on a brand new process and cant beat a 12nm gaming product. Small Navi is DoA because Turing is such a beast on 12nm.
They are competing with small chips running at ruinously high clocks which does nothing for power efficiency.

The delay in releasing Navi 10 also makes me think it has serious problems with that new uArch on a new process - not exactly a giant surprise when combining 2 new endeavors together in compute tech doubles the risk of significant errata in the first products.

I would expect the next iteration to show more improvement than would be expected of just 7nm+ process changes.

Also bare in mind nVidia have not jumped on TSMC 7nm despite AMD using it since the Vega 20 at the start of the year.

It probably doesn't work so well for larger chips yet (and Turing is huge) - the Matisse CCD's are only 74mm2, so Zen2's success doesn't necessarily translate to much larger chips, even Navi 14 is more than twice that.
 

amrnuke

Golden Member
Apr 24, 2019
1,181
1,772
136
They are competing with small chips running at ruinously high clocks which does nothing for power efficiency.

The delay in releasing Navi 10 also makes me think it has serious problems with that new uArch on a new process - not exactly a giant surprise when combining 2 new endeavors together in compute tech doubles the risk of significant errata in the first products.

I would expect the next iteration to show more improvement than would be expected of just 7nm+ process changes.

Also bare in mind nVidia have not jumped on TSMC 7nm despite AMD using it since the Vega 20 at the start of the year.

It probably doesn't work so well for larger chips yet (and Turing is huge) - the Matisse CCD's are only 74mm2, so Zen2's success doesn't necessarily translate to much larger chips, even Navi 14 is more than twice that.
Could you imagine the cost of a 400mm2 7nm GPU, let alone the heat dissipation issues?
 

soresu

Platinum Member
Dec 19, 2014
2,968
2,192
136
Could you imagine the cost of a 400mm2 7nm GPU, let alone the heat dissipation issues?
I can - I doubt it will happen from AMD, at least on standard N7.

I doubt we will see anything beyond 64 CU / 32 WGP at N7+ either.

I'm still wondering when we will see chiplets usng RDNA.
 

uzzi38

Platinum Member
Oct 16, 2019
2,703
6,405
146
Nvidia being late to the N7 party is because they made a bad bet. Afaik, the original plan was 2020 for everything. That might not end up being the case now for consumers specifically. There is legitimately a chance now that by the time they release Turing+1 on 7nm, AMD will be looking at releasing RDNA3 on 5nm GPUs, which is... unexpected.

Also, here's a fun fact for you guys. Navi 1X is gfx101X, as you'd expect. More or less anyway. Navi 2X is gfx103X. At some point or another, RDNA2 underwent a significant change is my theory as to why, though that's naught more than a guess.

AMD are earlier to big dies than first expected. No comment on whether there is one by N7 (depends on Navi 12, which makes no sense to me), but N7+? Oh there most certainly is.
 
Last edited:
Status
Not open for further replies.
sale-70-410-exam    | Exam-200-125-pdf    | we-sale-70-410-exam    | hot-sale-70-410-exam    | Latest-exam-700-603-Dumps    | Dumps-98-363-exams-date    | Certs-200-125-date    | Dumps-300-075-exams-date    | hot-sale-book-C8010-726-book    | Hot-Sale-200-310-Exam    | Exam-Description-200-310-dumps?    | hot-sale-book-200-125-book    | Latest-Updated-300-209-Exam    | Dumps-210-260-exams-date    | Download-200-125-Exam-PDF    | Exam-Description-300-101-dumps    | Certs-300-101-date    | Hot-Sale-300-075-Exam    | Latest-exam-200-125-Dumps    | Exam-Description-200-125-dumps    | Latest-Updated-300-075-Exam    | hot-sale-book-210-260-book    | Dumps-200-901-exams-date    | Certs-200-901-date    | Latest-exam-1Z0-062-Dumps    | Hot-Sale-1Z0-062-Exam    | Certs-CSSLP-date    | 100%-Pass-70-383-Exams    | Latest-JN0-360-real-exam-questions    | 100%-Pass-4A0-100-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-300-135-exams-date    | Passed-200-105-Tech-Exams    | Latest-Updated-200-310-Exam    | Download-300-070-Exam-PDF    | Hot-Sale-JN0-360-Exam    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Exams    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-JN0-360-exams-date    | Exam-Description-1Z0-876-dumps    | Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps    | Dumps-HPE0-Y53-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-HPE0-Y53-Exam    | 100%-Pass-HPE0-Y53-Real-Exam-Questions    | Pass-4A0-100-Exam    | Latest-4A0-100-Questions    | Dumps-98-365-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-98-365-Exam    | 100%-Pass-VCS-254-Exams    | 2017-Latest-VCS-273-Exam    | Dumps-200-355-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-300-320-Exam    | Pass-300-101-Exam    | 100%-Pass-300-115-Exams    |
http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    | http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    |