[Rumor, Tweaktown] AMD to launch next-gen Navi graphics cards at E3

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Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
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No, we've got one demo on a cherry-picked title that heavily favors AMD showing Navi as being ~10% faster than RTX 2070. (In contrast, the CPU demos showcased titles in which Ryzen had previously experienced worse performance than Intel's chips.) It would have been much more impressive if they had picked, say, GTA V.
It does not favor AMD. Currently RTX 2080 is 5% faster in Strange Brigade than Radeon VII, while release drivers for R7 were giving 10% advantage for AMD's GPU.
 

Glo.

Diamond Member
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I think the problem with your assumption is that 7nm is far more expensive than the 12nm process that NVidia is using as well as much less mature. NVidia likely isn't getting too many chips that are complete junk, and even some of ones with a lot of defects are probably going into a special bin that will be released later like the GP104 versions of the 1060. You can already tell that TU104 dies are being saved up for a 2070 Ti.

Keep in mind that AMD may well have to price at $500 just to justify using the wafers to make GPUs instead of more Zen 2 chiplets. Those things are only about 80 mm^2 and AMD can slap two defective ones together and sell that for $500.

If 7nm would have been more economical, NVidia would have gone that route and you know that they have more than enough money to afford it. I doubt that AMD making out like a bandit at $500, especially once you factor in the more expensive GDDR6 (at least it's not HBM2 though) and board costs, it doesn't seem like such a sweet deal.
Yeah. Not much more expensive. Apart from design costs being 2.5(around 250-300 mln USD, per one design) times higher than for 16/14/12 nm process and first silicon wafers going for 12-14K USD, compared to 6.5K for 16/14/12 nm processes. Yeah. Not much bloody higher.

You all guys are trying to justify low prices for AMD(brand recognition, technology, features, etc), but you forget that only one thing counts for prices. Performance. If Radeon RX 5700 is faster than RTX 2070, which it is, AMD will price it accordingly.
 
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fleshconsumed

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Feb 21, 2002
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Yeah. Not much more expensive. Apart from design costs being 2.5(around 250-300 mln USD, per one design) times higher than for 16/14/12 nm process and first silicon wafers going for 12-14K USD, compared to 6.5K for 16/14/12 nm processes. Yeah. Not much bloody higher.

You all guys are trying to justify low prices for AMD(brand recognition, technology, features, etc), but you forget that only one thing counts for prices. Performance. If Radeon RX 5700 is faster than RTX 2070, which it is, AMD will price it accordingly.
AMD is free to price their GPUs however they wish. However, if say Hyundai makes a Camry competitor a year late with the same performance and the same price, why would anyone buy Hyundai when Hyundai is priced the same, doesn't bring anything new to the table, and Toyota is a proven brand?

AMD has done a really good job with Ryzen arguably finally besting intel with 3000 series, however it took them 2.5 years to finally shift the CPU perception among enthusiasts, mainstream users still buy Intel. It is unreasonable to assume that AMD GPU division can do 0-60 with a single release that simply matches nVidia.
 

RaV666

Member
Jan 26, 2004
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I dont really think navi will be 499$.
As in reference point.
People are exrapolating this from one interview in chinese from a sapphire rep that was talking about watercooled toxic versions.
I am pretty sure the 499$ is for a toxic edition.
499$ for a low reference point ,just DOES NOT MAKE ANY sense.
2070 is quieter, lower power, more features ,more brand recognition, and also almost for sure coming down in price after the whole "super" nvidia release.
Because lets remember, the amd msrp set price does not preclude aib partners to offer rgb enabled monstrosities to sell for 100$ more.or 200$, or even 500$ as is the case sometimes for 2080Ti.
 

Leadbox

Senior member
Oct 25, 2010
744
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AMD is free to price their GPUs however they wish. However, if say Hyundai makes a Camry competitor a year late with the same performance and the same price, why would anyone buy Hyundai when Hyundai is priced the same, doesn't bring anything new to the table, and Toyota is a proven brand?

AMD has done a really good job with Ryzen arguably finally besting intel with 3000 series, however it took them 2.5 years to finally shift the CPU perception among enthusiasts, mainstream users still buy Intel. It is unreasonable to assume that AMD GPU division can do 0-60 with a single release that simply matches nVidia.
This assumes that everyone who wanted the Camry, at that price for that performance, last year, went and got the Camry. Big assumption.
How about someone who wants that level of performance now, coming from say 1060/580?? Why wouldn't they want the "Hyundai"?
 
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Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
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AMD is free to price their GPUs however they wish. However, if say Hyundai makes a Camry competitor a year late with the same performance and the same price, why would anyone buy Hyundai when Hyundai is priced the same, doesn't bring anything new to the table, and Toyota is a proven brand?

AMD has done a really good job with Ryzen arguably finally besting intel with 3000 series, however it took them 2.5 years to finally shift the CPU perception among enthusiasts, mainstream users still buy Intel. It is unreasonable to assume that AMD GPU division can do 0-60 with a single release that simply matches nVidia.
You assume that everybody bought Nvidia GPUs in the first place. There is a very good reason why Nvidia's sales growth stopped in gaming.

One: because there is no growth in gaming sales, anymore, that is the first thing. Second one is ridiculous prices.

Tell me, why 200$ cheaper AMD GPU that is just 15% slower than RTX 2080 is a bad deal?

Secondly. Who cares about brand perception? As has been proven in this very thread, People WANT AMD to be the value brand. They cannot comprehend the concept of AMD pricing their GPUs accordingly to Nvidia, when they have equally performing, or faster GPU. So who cares?
And almost no one will buy it.
Only in the minds people like you, who expect AMD to be the value brand.

When Nvidia will start lowering their prices, AMD will also lower them.


I have a question to you all, believing Navi is slower than RTX 2070? Why, the bloody hell, Is Nvidia going to release RTX 2070 Ti, then?

Because standard RTX 2070 is not able to compete with it. End of the story.
 
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AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
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The GTX 1080 is a 314mm2 die on 16nm. If it got shrunk down to 7nm TSMC it would be around 30% smaller than this the RX 5700 card, and a TDP of around 100W, at the same performance class. This is a card that came out 3 years ago, and Navi is the best AMD could come up with even after substantial funding from Sony.

I wouldn't put Navi 10 at the same performance class as GP104 (GTX1080).

When Nvidia refreshes launches their 7nm GPUs it's going to be brutal for AMD.

And then AMD will release something new, then again NVIDIA will release something new etc etc etc.
 

Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
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Don't expect consumer 7/6 nm products from Nvidia till at least 2021. Next year is going to be Ampere, and that is HPC only product.
 

exquisitechar

Senior member
Apr 18, 2017
666
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Only in the minds people like you, who expect AMD to be the value brand.

When Nvidia will start lowering their prices, AMD will also lower them.
It's not what's in my mind, it's almost everybody else's. People won't buy a card that has equivalent value to its nV, and Turing of all things. People clearly didn't even like Turing prices from nV itself. You can think that it's irrational, the pricing expectations they have of AMD, but that's the reality of the situation. Especially now that AMD has been putting out mediocre cards and flops one after the other in recent years. If AMD prices a card with 2070+10% performance at $500, it will be a sign to me that they have mostly given up on desktop dGPUs, not that I would blame them. Their opportunities in the CPU market are much bigger anyway.
I have a question to you all, believing Navi is slower than RTX 2070? Why, the bloody hell, Is Nvidia going to release RTX 2070 Ti, then?

Because standard RTX 2070 is not able to compete with it. End of the story.
I know it's faster, but so what? An RTX 2070ti would be equivalent and completely bury Navi in sales.

I don't have ridiculous expectations like 2070+ perf at $250, but there's a middle ground between that and offering zero advantages over Turing, in value or otherwise. And whether you care about it or not, having a disadvantage in the lack of hardware accelerated RTRT counts too.
 

Qwertilot

Golden Member
Nov 28, 2013
1,604
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Conversely, what's the point in starting a price war at this point?

NV are vaguely due to refresh Turing at some point soon in the natural progression of things anyway.
 

DrMrLordX

Lifer
Apr 27, 2000
21,797
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Yes yes yes 7nm is far more expensive.But 16/14nm was also far more expensive than 28nm and 28nm was far more expensive than 40nm.

Also, it only controls the cost of the die, not the cost of anything else. Moving from HBM2 to GDDRanything saves AMD money. And even if the power usage leaks are true, 180-225W isn't terrible (okay, it is a bit disappointing compared to what I've achieved with Radeon VII but still), so it shouldn't need to be built like a tank ala Vega56/Vega64.

So they spend how much extra money on the die but save how much extra money on the card build and vRAM going from Vega56 to Navi? Why would Navi10 need to launch at a price point higher than Vega56? They could use Vega56 price point, increase margin, and have a much-more competitive product than one that costs $499.

Radeon VII wasn't a big deal; it was a low-key release with minimal hype, and probably the only reason it even happened was that Nvidia blew up the prices on Turing.

Radeon VII basically did what it was supposed to do: challenge the 2080. It more-or-less succeeded, especially for those who actually like to play with the card. Added bonus: awesome FP64.

Vega was only a BD-class failure in the consumer market for people that wanted to play games. Mi25 apparently did quite well, and then there was that mining thing . . .

If Navi is only marginally faster than the RTX 2070, how are consumers winners?

They don't. Not at $499.

It does not favor AMD. Currently RTX 2080 is 5% faster in Strange Brigade than Radeon VII, while release drivers for R7 were giving 10% advantage for AMD's GPU.

Radeon VII and Navi probably don't have identical performance characteristics. Probably.

499$ for a low reference point ,just DOES NOT MAKE ANY sense.

Hope you're right.

Don't expect consumer 7/6 nm products from Nvidia till at least 2021. Next year is going to be Ampere, and that is HPC only product.

So . . . more Turing in 2019/2020? What exactly ARE they going to release?
 

Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
5,761
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It's not what's in my mind, it's almost everybody else's. People won't buy a card that has equivalent value to its nV, and Turing of all things. People clearly didn't even like Turing prices from nV itself. You can think that it's irrational, the pricing expectations they have of AMD, but that's the reality of the situation. Especially now that AMD has been putting out mediocre cards and flops one after the other in recent years. If AMD prices a card with 2070+10% performance at $500, it will be a sign to me that they have mostly given up on desktop dGPUs, not that I would blame them. Their opportunities in the CPU market are much bigger anyway.

I know it's faster, but so what? An RTX 2070ti would be equivalent and completely bury Navi in sales.

I don't have ridiculous expectations like 2070+ perf at $250, but there's a middle ground between that and offering zero advantages over Turing, in value or otherwise. And whether you care about it or not, having a disadvantage in the lack of hardware accelerated RTRT counts too.
So, the only way for any tech fan out there as a sign that AMD did not gave up on GPUs is by selling competitive product to Nvidia GPUs, at a fraction of a cost?

I can understand consumers guys. I even am not happy with rumored prices, and efficiency(this hurts me most, because small Navi possibly will not be sold without 6 pin connector, and if so, it 100% guarantee there will be passive GPU on sale). But I perfectly understand AMD why would they do this with prices.

It is not 2015 anymore. GPUs are not selling.
 

exquisitechar

Senior member
Apr 18, 2017
666
904
136
So, the only way for any tech fan out there as a sign that AMD did not gave up on GPUs is by selling competitive product to Nvidia GPUs, at a fraction of a cost?
Like I said, nothing ridiculous like $250 for RTX 2070 performance. But, they do need to undercut them to sell well. Not match nV on value while offering less features.
But I perfectly understand AMD why would they do this with prices.

It is not 2015 anymore. GPUs are not selling.
Yes, I agree. It's reasonable, but "doing that" with prices means that they will have given up on gaining ground in the market. They have bigger opportunities and that's fine, I'm just disappointed as a consumer too.
 

fleshconsumed

Diamond Member
Feb 21, 2002
6,485
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This assumes that everyone who wanted the Camry, at that price for that performance, last year, went and got the Camry. Big assumption.
How about someone who wants that level of performance now, coming from say 1060/580?? Why wouldn't they want the "Hyundai"?
Because if they're both equivalent, but Toyota has a brand image behind it, people will go with Toyota. Brand and value perception is a real thing. AMD has done a great job changing that perception in the CPU space with Ryzen, but they got a big uphill in the GPU segment.

Tell me, why 200$ cheaper AMD GPU that is just 15% slower than RTX 2080 is a bad deal?

Secondly. Who cares about brand perception? As has been proven in this very thread, People WANT AMD to be the value brand. They cannot comprehend the concept of AMD pricing their GPUs accordingly to Nvidia, when they have equally performing, or faster GPU. So who cares?
Only in the minds people like you, who expect AMD to be the value brand.
I do not expect AMD to be a value brand, but I think GPU prices are out of control so I want A value brand, and I don't care if it's AMD or nVidia. Normally I don't mind supporting the underdog so long as they make a compelling case, I purchased RX480 instead of 1060 because it was priced about the same, performed about the same, but was a tad cheaper and had 2GB extra RAM. However, if Navi performs the same, costs the same, and has worse power consumption than nVidia, then I have zero reason to buy AMD. This is what I'm afraid is going to happen here.
 

Qwertilot

Golden Member
Nov 28, 2013
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So . . . more Turing in 2019/2020? What exactly ARE they going to release?

It'll be a full 2 year cycle surely?

If need be they can always push the 2080ti down to 2080 prices & so on. That'll effectively be Titan dropping to 1080ti levels and keep it all rolling on.
 

Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
5,761
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GPU cycles are getting longer. Pascal lasted what, three years?
There is no growth in GPUs. Why would they flush the money in the toilet, for 4-5 designs? That is 1.5 Bln just in design costs, alone. Also, remember that we have 3-4 process nodes left for GPUs. Why would Nvidia release brand new GPU arch, when the last one hasn't payed for itself, yet?
 

Head1985

Golden Member
Jul 8, 2014
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But I perfectly understand AMD why would they do this with prices.
It is not 2015 anymore. GPUs are not selling.
i wonder why gpus not selling...maybe something with 2080Ti at 1300euro?
or something with RTX cards have worse price/perf than 3years old pacal?
or something with turing only brings +30-40% performance for more money...

if AMD/NV relased card similar to pretty much all old x70 cards except 1070(that was 450usd at launch and didnt sell well compared GTX970).1080TI performance for 330-350usd you can be sure GPUs will be selling alot more.Also people are just tired of constant price increases every generation.
 

Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
5,761
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So . . . more Turing in 2019/2020? What exactly ARE they going to release?
RTX 2070 Ti, based on cut down GT104.
RTX 2080 Ti, based on full GT102 chip, and with 16 GBPS GDDR6.
RTX 2080 based on full GT104 chip, with 16 GBPs GDDR6.
GTX 1650 Ti, based on, Nvidia knows what exactly. Considering anything they will come up with, based on GT117 will lose immediately to small Navi GPU, its wise to use GT116 GPU for GTX 1650 Ti, than to use GT117 for the same GPU.
 

Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
5,761
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i wonder why gpus not selling...maybe something with 2080Ti at 1300euro?
or something with RTX cards have worse price/perf than 3years old pacal?
or something with turing only brings +30-40% performance for more money...

if AMD/NV relased card similar to pretty much all old x70 cards except 1070(that was 450usd at launch and didnt sell well compared GTX970).1080TI performance for 330-350usd you can be sure GPUs will be selling alot more.Also people are just tired of constant price increases every generation.
Have you checked the die sizes? You want GTX 1080 Ti performance, but you forget, that on 12 nm process it was achievable with bigger die size, than it was required for GTX 1080 Ti(RTX 2080 - 545 mm2, GTX 1080 Ti - 470 mm2). Why do you expect that Nvidia would sell you something like this, for 300-350$ when smaller die they sold for 700$?

As for pushing the boundaries. Explain to me in plain english. What AMD has to benefit from, if they have faster product than RTX 2070, and they have to price it, according to forum experts, lower than Nvidia's competitive product?

I still haven't got a REALISTIC answer for this question, from business point of view. Companies want to make money. Lets say RX 5700 is 10-15% faster than RTX 2070 across the board. How many cigar sized blunts AMD's CEO would have to smoke in order to decide that 300-350$ price tag for that product is good for them, from business point of view?
 

railven

Diamond Member
Mar 25, 2010
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You're conflating comments on the GPU landscape with a direct attack on the RTX 2070/nvidia. A critique of the usefulness of RT technology and a comment on a possible angle for AMD competitiveness /= attack on nvidia

No, I'm merely attacking stating that RT is already getting marketed. With talks of Sony stating PS5 will support it (of which I'm well aware poorly) it's already a buzzword in non-PC gaming forums. It is now a bullet point feature whether many people will use it. If you think my post is defending NV, you haven't been reading my disdain for how DLSS/RT have been rolled out.

People are just pointing out best case scenarios for AMD in the hopes that it'll reintroduce competition in the mainstream segment

Yeah, I'm aware, and sadly this time around the best case scenario is "Navi will be equal to RTX 2070 if not slightly faster with less features and cost the same." I don't know where it will land in power draw, heat and noise, but the first available info doesn't paint a rosy picture for Navi. Especially considering [please see my response below]

The HD7970 was a superior card long term, but it got stomped by the 680 out of the gate because initially the 680 was faster, cheaper, quieter, and more efficient at release. And it came out only 12 weeks after the HD7970.

Do you see Navi being faster, cheaper, quieter, more efficient, and right on the heels of Turing's release? Nope. As you've argued, Navi has to absolutely be cheaper. The card demonstrated last week is probably 10% slower than RTX 2070 overall. If it's $379-399 then that will be a big win for AMD. If it's $450-499 then they lose.

I should have tossed in the Ghz because essentially that is the card I'm referring to. It was cheaper, it was faster, it came with 3 games, it definitely wasn't quieter or more efficient - but trade offs. And this is what I mean, the HD 7970 GHz (and frankly the originals minus the cost/bundles obviously) had more advantages than the GTX 680. Unfortunately AMD delivered bad drivers (which were rectified) but ultimately even when the card was at it's best, it still got beat in sales by GTX 680. This is mostly due, in my opinion, to market brand awareness and basically execution. AMD hasn't been able to launch a card without a little controversy - from bad drivers to insane power draws or bundles/rebates bad PR "can you tell the difference" etc.

EDIT: Actually thinking back, this ties to the person with the "AMD is always ahead in nodes." HD 7970 had a node lead. AMD competed with GTX 580 (and won handsomely) but they didn't even factor in NV's own move to the new node, which gave us GTX 680 and we know the rest. Basically, am I watching history repeat itself? I feel like I am.


I'm not sure if I made my opinion obvious, but Navi sounds like it's just going to be an AMD flavored RTX 2070 minus some features. All well and good. I don't expect it to make a huge impact. But the attempts to spin this to a positive is ridiculous.
 
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Head1985

Golden Member
Jul 8, 2014
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699
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Have you checked the die sizes? You want GTX 1080 Ti performance, but you forget, that on 12 nm process it was achievable with bigger die size, than it was required for GTX 1080 Ti(RTX 2080 - 545 mm2, GTX 1080 Ti - 470 mm2). Why do you expect that Nvidia would sell you something like this, for 300-350$ when smaller die they sold for 700$?

As for pushing the boundaries. Explain to me in plain english. What AMD has to benefit from, if they have faster product than RTX 2070, and they have to price it, according to forum experts, lower than Nvidia's competitive product?

I still haven't got a REALISTIC answer for this question, from business point of view. Companies want to make money. Lets say RX 5700 is 10-15% faster than RTX 2070 across the board. How many cigar sized blunts AMD's CEO would have to smoke in order to decide that 300-350$ price tag for that product is good for them, from business point of view?
Man why you deffending price increases?I dont care how big die size is.This is how things works.You get old TOP card performance for 300-400usd with new generation.
GTX470 was on brand new 40nm node 529mm2 die size and launched for 349usd and AIB models was even cheaper.It was 14% faster than last gen fastest card GTX285.
https://www.techpowerup.com/reviews/Palit/GeForce_GTX_470_Dual/29.html
not even 1year later we get GTX570 wich was GTX480 for 340usd so we get 500usd GTX480 perf for 340usd
https://www.techpowerup.com/reviews/Palit/GeForce_GTX_570_Sonic_Platinum/28.html
Another node jump this time brand new 28nm node and GTX670.This time 26% faster than old fastest card GTX580 and for 400usd
https://www.techpowerup.com/reviews/Gigabyte/GeForce_GTX_670_Windforce/28.html
GTX770 was just renamed GTX680
GTX970 that was GTX780TI performance for 330usd
https://www.techpowerup.com/reviews/MSI/GTX_970_Gaming/27.html
GTX1070 like i said was overpriced at 450usd and thats why didnt sell good.It sells very bad compared to GTX970.But atleast matched old Gen fastest card TITANX.
RTX2070 is even worse than 1070.Its slower than old gen top card and cost 500-600USD.

If amd only match worst x70 ever made(rtx2070) for same price then it will be overpriced crap just like rtx2070 is.Minus RTX/DLSS and 1year later on market.Also why should people buy it because they dont even buy 2070 at first place.Because its already overpriced and worst x70 ever made.
 
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