[Rumor, Tweaktown] AMD to launch next-gen Navi graphics cards at E3

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mohit9206

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Jul 2, 2013
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I feel 1660 non ti is currently the best value card from Nvidia,better than the Ti model. AMD would need a slighly faster card than 1660 non ti at $199 soon to comepte although as of now 570 and 580 are getting the job done.
 

alcoholbob

Diamond Member
May 24, 2005
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And you know it runs hotter how ???

Well 1905 MHz boost clock suggests they are running the card close to its clockspeed limits whereas Nvidia traditionally leaves ~20% of clockspeed left on the table in order to hit a lower TDP. So really as far as we know the 2070 could be faster than Navi when both cards are OC'ed to 2000 MHz.
 
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piesquared

Golden Member
Oct 16, 2006
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Well 1905 MHz boost clock suggests they are running the card close to its clockspeed limits whereas Nvidia traditionally leaves ~20% of clockspeed left on the table in order to hit a lower TDP. So really as far as we know the 2070 could be faster than Navi when both cards are OC'ed to 2000 MHz.

They also have a card boosting to 2 GHz boost out of the box. 2 GHz and higher won't be uncommon on Navi. As for nvidia's tradition of clock speed, from what i've read and understood the Turing cards have very little clock headroom; they max out at ~80 Mhz or thereabouts.
 

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
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Well 1905 MHz boost clock suggests they are running the card close to its clockspeed limits whereas Nvidia traditionally leaves ~20% of clockspeed left on the table in order to hit a lower TDP. So really as far as we know the 2070 could be faster than Navi when both cards are OC'ed to 2000 MHz.

What this has to do with my question about how did he knew it was running hotter ??
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
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Well 1905 MHz boost clock suggests they are running the card close to its clockspeed limits whereas Nvidia traditionally leaves ~20% of clockspeed left on the table in order to hit a lower TDP. So really as far as we know the 2070 could be faster than Navi when both cards are OC'ed to 2000 MHz.

From AT's own review of the 2070, they only got a 4-5% increase in performance by doing the OC, and that includes memory, for a pretty big 30W increase. Every game they tested did run above the stock advertised clock of 1710 Mhz already though but not anywhere near 2 Ghz, mostly in the 1800s.
 

DrMrLordX

Lifer
Apr 27, 2000
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They also have a card boosting to 2 GHz boost out of the box. 2 GHz and higher won't be uncommon on Navi. As for nvidia's tradition of clock speed, from what i've read and understood the Turing cards have very little clock headroom; they max out at ~80 Mhz or thereabouts.

https://forums.evga.com/2080-Ti-Stable-247-Overclock-Results-m2870614.aspx

Looks like 2080Ti owners under water are hitting anywhere from 100-160 MHz extra GPU clocks. Radeon VII can hit GPU clocks 300-400 MHz higher than base with watercooling. I wouldn't be surprised at all if Navi hits speeds in the 2.1-2.2 GHz range under water. On air? Hard to say.
 

tajoh111

Senior member
Mar 28, 2005
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https://forums.evga.com/2080-Ti-Stable-247-Overclock-Results-m2870614.aspx

Looks like 2080Ti owners under water are hitting anywhere from 100-160 MHz extra GPU clocks. Radeon VII can hit GPU clocks 300-400 MHz higher than base with watercooling. I wouldn't be surprised at all if Navi hits speeds in the 2.1-2.2 GHz range under water. On air? Hard to say.

Average clocks on on the gtx 2080 ti when the cards become stable is around 1650-1750mhz stock.

https://www.overclock3d.net/reviews/gpu_displays/nvidia_rtx_2080_and_rtx_2080_ti_review/10
https://www.tomshardware.com/reviews/nvidia-geforce-rtx-2080-ti-founders-edition,5805-11.html
https://www.techspot.com/review/1701-geforce-rtx-2080/page4.html

The cards above are preoverclocked highend none reference cards that have about 10% clock advantage over reference already. If the cards are getting to 2100mhz and beyond under water and are stable there, that a 20% + increase over stock.

Also you have to consider the die size and power consumption with those 2100+ overclocks on Radeon VII on water which have a power mode on it have absolute insane power consumption.

At those clocks, we are talking about 500+ watts of power. This is not unheard of for larger dies but not something 330mm2.

https://www.techpowerup.com/252693/...-watercooler-onto-the-amd-radeon-vii#comments

https://www.gamersnexus.net/guides/...rplay-overclocking-results-liquid-cooling-mod

While the GTX 2080 ti are using 350 to 400watts due to power limits, it is on a die more than twice the size on a high performance version of a node.

Overclocking to 2100mhz + on a die 331mm2 with 500+ watts is 100% impractical and almost certain to cause quick degradation even with temps being controlled with water. This is a low power process meant for efficiency and lower clocks for cell SOCs, not high performance.

Add in the 1 year warranty with many of those reference designs from AMD direct(including yours I remember) and it's super reckless. Heat density is record breaking on node not meant for it.
 
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lobz

Platinum Member
Feb 10, 2017
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We crapped a lot on Nvidia when they launched the 2070 and to a lesser extent 2060 as well. Now AMD actually deserves more crap for these two cards than the Nvidia ones not only because it has less features, no RTX, higher power draw and higher/similar price than Nvidia but also launching 10 months later. Absolute disaster for AMD. Two back to back failures. VEGA and NAVI. Well atleast there's still hope for a true RX570 and 580 replacement for around $200-250.
I agree Navi is nowhere near good enough, but PLEASE stop with the less features bullcrap. It doen't have RtT, whuch is a moot point, as the 2070 is just not strong enough to be playable with any game with rtx on. It's not a feature when you can't use it. And DLSS? Until we see a comparison between DLSS and the image sharpening on navi, please don't count it as a non-feature...please let's just stay at what really counts or what is actually true. In that, I agree, Navi is just not good enough for $450.
 

mohit9206

Golden Member
Jul 2, 2013
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I agree Navi is nowhere near good enough, but PLEASE stop with the less features bullcrap. It doen't have RtT, whuch is a moot point, as the 2070 is just not strong enough to be playable with any game with rtx on. It's not a feature when you can't use it. And DLSS? Until we see a comparison between DLSS and the image sharpening on navi, please don't count it as a non-feature...please let's just stay at what really counts or what is actually true. In that, I agree, Navi is just not good enough for $450.
Thinking about it a bit, AMD doesn't really deserve too much crap for this. I think its the kind of people that bought RTX 2070 for $600 that deserve more.
 
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DrMrLordX

Lifer
Apr 27, 2000
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The cards above are preoverclocked highend none reference cards that have about 10% clock advantage over reference already. If the cards are getting to 2100mhz and beyond under water and are stable there, that a 20% + increase over stock.

Point was, Turing can do more than 80 MHz OC. It does have some headroom.

Also you have to consider the die size and power consumption with those 2100+ overclocks on Radeon VII on water which have a power mode on it have absolute insane power consumption.

At those clocks, we are talking about 500+ watts of power. This is not unheard of for larger dies but not something 330mm2.

More like 400W, since most of those clocks are achievable with +20% power limit. 2100 MHz is easily in reach.

Overclocking to 2100mhz + on a die 331mm2 with 500+ watts is 100% impractical and almost certain to cause quick degradation even with temps being controlled with water.

Pshhh, you have to push 1.3v to kill Radeon VII. What are you going on about?

2100 MHz Navi should be easily achieved on water. A few might do it on air.

Add in the 1 year warranty with many of those reference designs from AMD direct(including yours I remember) and it's super reckless.

I don't think any of the Radeon VII warranties cover aftermarket waterblocks anyway, so . . . moot point.

Thinking about it a bit, AMD doesn't really deserve too much crap for this. I think its the kind of people that bought RTX 2070 for $600 that deserve more.

True. Paying $449 for a 5700XT isn't going to be that bad. It's hard to justify using even AIB RTX 2070s as an acceptable price point, though.
 

Guru

Senior member
May 5, 2017
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Why are AMD delivering a bad product? Again they are NOT playing into Nvloyalists hands. They are offering $50 cheaper RX 5700XT and 10% faster than the RTX 2070. Is it mind blowing? No, but its still better value than Nvidia. And no ray tracing is NOT a feature, you lose upwards of 50% performance when enabled and in some of the games it actually looks worse. Also its only PARTIAL ray tracing, doing certain specific things with MINIMAL rays. It's NOT real ray tracing. We are at least 5-6 years away from real time real ray tracing.

RX 5700 is 10% faster for 5% more. Sure its poor value, it's nothing that is going to make people jump up and throw money at AMD to get it, but it is an alternative to Nvidia.

Again its competing at Nvidia's game. They are offering slightly better performance for a bit better value. Do I think this is great, will this make me buy a new AMD card? NO! But I'm not that audience. I think they will hold these prices until Nvidia drops their prices, but AMD knows Nvidia can't reduce prices too much because these are big chips, so they are looking to make some decent profit at first, disrupt Nvidia a little and over time reduce prices and make their cards better value.
 

DrMrLordX

Lifer
Apr 27, 2000
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Why are AMD delivering a bad product?

As has been quoted elsewhere in this thread . . . there are no bad products. Just bad prices. Anand said that, methinks.

RX 5700 is 10% faster for 5% more. Sure its poor value, it's nothing that is going to make people jump up and throw money at AMD to get it

And there's the problem. AMD has a product that would make people jump up and throw money at AMD. As a card, it looks pretty good. Small die, good performance. Interesting driver updates ahead with FidelityFX and anti-lag. Apparently anti-lag will even work with other AMD cards as far back as Polaris. Beefier AMD cards (Navi, Vega20) will probably be the only ones that can handle FidelityFX but we'll see.

But that price! Oh, that price. They want margins . . . not market share.
 
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Thala

Golden Member
Nov 12, 2014
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From AT's own review of the 2070, they only got a 4-5% increase in performance by doing the OC, and that includes memory, for a pretty big 30W increase. Every game they tested did run above the stock advertised clock of 1710 Mhz already though but not anywhere near 2 Ghz, mostly in the 1800s.

Thats because they used the founders edition. Most RTX2070 partner cards that uses A-dies hitting 2Ghz+ - at about 1V voltage, so the power stays quite low. That makes the RTX2070 reach Radeon VII and GTX1080TI performance levels.
 
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beginner99

Diamond Member
Jun 2, 2009
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Is it mind blowing? No, but its still better value than Nvidia.

RX 5700 is 10% faster for 5% more. Sure its poor value, it's nothing that is going to make people jump up and throw money at AMD to get it, but it is an alternative to Nvidia.

It's barley better than NV in value and hence not good enough because of brand value or lack thereof. no buyer preferring NV due to brand will switch to AMD with this pricing. The card will only sell to AMD fans. low volume. I don't get it. With low volume it will be hard recuperating R&D costs regardless of margin.

It's even worse if NV super rumors are true. that will require AMD to lower price shortly after release. Better to undercut them right now and make the super-line DOA.

I really don't get it. The pricing only makes sense if:

1. 7nm yields are that bad (but then the Radeon VII not really be possible)
2. Cartel...
3. Supply limit due to high Zen 2 chiplet demand
 

mohit9206

Golden Member
Jul 2, 2013
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There is a high possibility of a $50 cut in a few months in time for holiday season, so those with some amount of patience can always wait and get the 5700 for around $330-350. Probably some game bundle as well. Not bad. Although still not good for consumers who wanted a well priced card right out of the gate. AMD is basically asking people who waited for Navi to wait even more until its at a decent price, at this point surely the patience of AMD fans must be running out...
 

IntelUser2000

Elite Member
Oct 14, 2003
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I really don't get it. The pricing only makes sense if:

1. 7nm yields are that bad (but then the Radeon VII not really be possible)
2. Cartel...
3. Supply limit due to high Zen 2 chiplet demand

There was an earlier comment about how people will get Nvidia even with a superior perf/$, so might as well get more money for each of them anyway.

I agree with that, to a point.

You see, people buy Nvidia because they've been on top for a long time. We cry about how people still buy 9900K chips when Ryzen is pretty good. You can't expect people to rush over to your product when previously, the competitors product has delivered for many, many years. It's ultimately about Trust.

We have to try to get out of the enthusiast mindset and see how average people are. Average, means those that feel they have better things to do than play and read about computers. I'm pretty sure each of us have areas that we don't care about(fashion, cars, politics, etc). For those average folks, its all about established brands.

. . . there are no bad products. Just bad prices. Anand said that, methinks.

I think that's the short version. The long version needs to add that its better for reputation to deliver a better product that sells at similar prices than a worse product for lower prices. The latter gives the impression that your product is second rate.

If AMD can make a GPU that's much better than Nvidia, and keep beating them, eventually the market will shift towards them, just as people will switch to AMD CPUs the longer they deliver.
 
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beginner99

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AMD should recover R&D costs from PS5 and Project Scarlet (Xbox 2).

Fair enough. But will they recuperate the mask/process costs? Yes the general uArch has shared R&D costs and can be reused in future designs. I was more thinking about the specific chip Navi10. Subtracting shared costs on 7nm it will still cost a high double-digit millions, if not triple digit to bring it to market. Either the costs are much lower or AMD will have trouble getting this money back in with current prices. If we assume 30% margin at $450 (it's higher but price will drop over time, AMD only sells chip not whole card and there is the cheaper version) that's $135 per card sold. At $100Mio design cost that would mean >740k cards sold.
 

IntelUser2000

Elite Member
Oct 14, 2003
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AMD only sells chip not whole card and there is the cheaper version) that's $135 per card sold. At $100Mio design cost that would mean >740k cards sold.

740K units is nothing though. The total volume sold for GPUs is in the 60 million range. AMD at 18% sells 11 million of them. It'd take most maybe a year to recuperate the costs and using the base uarch to make different versions will result in net profits.
 

senseamp

Lifer
Feb 5, 2006
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They'll fleece the fanboys who think these prices are OK first, then cut prices a bit into the holiday season for the "wait for a deal" crew, then obsolete them all with Navi2 and console ray tracing next year, and milk them some more on upgrades. Pretty good plan for profit optimization.
 

DrMrLordX

Lifer
Apr 27, 2000
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We cry about how people still buy 9900K chips when Ryzen is pretty good.

Who does that? AMD has seized a fair amount of desktop CPU marketshare among DiY buyers, even when Intel still has the overall performance crown with the 9900k. It didn't take long for the market to swing AMD's way in the CPU market.

We have to try to get out of the enthusiast mindset and see how average people are.

I would think that average people are buying consoles. Next year, they won't be disappointed.

Fair enough. But will they recuperate the mask/process costs?

Probably. PS4 had sold over 92 million units by January 2019, while Xbox 1 has sold over 41 million units by the same point:

http://www.vgchartz.com/article/436094/switch-vs-ps4-vs-xbox-one-global-lifetime-salesjanuary-2019/

Even if AMD is only making $50 profit per unit sold, it would only take 2 million units to pay for a $100 million design. I think it's probable that between PS5 and Project Scarlet, that over 130 million units lifetime is possible. It would be easy for AMD to lose money on Navi10 and make it all back with consoles.

At $100Mio design cost that would mean >740k cards sold.

Gotta wonder if AMD can push that many 5700XTs out the door. They probably haven't cleared over 50k Radeon VIIs. Or if they did, I'd be surprised.

740K units is nothing though. The total volume sold for GPUs is in the 60 million range. AMD at 18% sells 11 million of them. It'd take most maybe a year to recuperate the costs and using the base uarch to make different versions will result in net profits.

60 million of what, though? How many of those cards sold are dGPUs, and among those, how many of them cost more than $400?
 

Tup3x

Golden Member
Dec 31, 2016
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To be honest, I think now is rather bad time to buy a GPU. NVIDIA's 7nm refresh and by the looks of it AMD plans to bring next stuff in 2020 too. Also Intel can mix things up quite a bit.

Personally I prefer less heat and power consumption than absolute performance. It looks like AMD may have taken Navi a bit too far when trying to reach for RTX 2070 but we'll see about that soon enough. Ideally Navi should have been 399 € max I think considering that it comes much later than RTX series and it does lack RT (which may make a difference in the future, depending on if devs find nice ways to use that hardware).
 
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IntelUser2000

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Who does that? AMD has seized a fair amount of desktop CPU marketshare among DiY buyers, even when Intel still has the overall performance crown with the 9900k. It didn't take long for the market to swing AMD's way in the CPU market.

If you keep up in the forums, you'll see such comments. Both for Ryzen and EPYC.

If you also read past few pages, the belief is that Navi is too expensive for what its worth. Yes, for the little price difference Turing is better for most people. But just undercutting Nvidia by a lot will not get them what they want. That opinion has also been said. People go for Nvidia because they are the recognized brand due to many years of having a better product, and for AMD to get out of that it takes years to do so.

60 million of what, though? How many of those cards sold are dGPUs, and among those, how many of them cost more than $400?

60 million dGPUs! I replied to beginner99. It's implied that's what we're talking about. PCs sell in the 250 million units/annual.

They are not going to end Navi with the 5700/5700XT, they'll make more versions. They'll more than recuperate the cost.
 
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DrMrLordX

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If you keep up in the forums, you'll see such comments. Both for Ryzen and EPYC.

I do, but most of those posters get shot down. Maybe a little too aggressively.

60 million dGPUs!

Didn't know if you were referencing mobile GPUs and other items in a completely different market segment than the 5700 or 5700XT. I don't think we can reasonably extrapolate how many Navi cards will sell this year based on mobile dGPU numbers (or 1050Tis, or RX 570s, or other cheap cards being used by OEMs).

They are not going to end Navi with the 5700/5700XT, they'll make more versions.

Definitely next year. It'll be interesting to see what else they sell this year.
 
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