[Rumor, Tweaktown] AMD to launch next-gen Navi graphics cards at E3

Page 7 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.
Status
Not open for further replies.

exquisitechar

Senior member
Apr 18, 2017
666
904
136
Chart makes no sense. Too many SKUs with CU counts close to each other. If Navi is barely equal to Vega 20 clock for clock and cannot clock much higher then how can a 40 CU Navi 12 equal a 56 CU Vega?
Yes, his Navi leak never made sense, and I don't trust his new video either. Quite interesting how we know absolutely nothing about Navi officially, and the "leaks" aren't leaks, but actually nonsense. The opposite of Vega, which is not a surprise since RTG's marketing people are at Intel now. At least the LLVM commits seem to suggest that significant changes will be made to the CUs for the first time in a while, which is promising.
 
Reactions: Mockingbird

tamz_msc

Diamond Member
Jan 5, 2017
3,865
3,729
136

This is what the theoretical clock speeds should be like based on the rumored performance tiers. As you can see the Vega replacements would have to clock > 2GHz if they're to achieve their respective performance targets. Either this is true or it would mean that the rumor regarding clock speeds barely hitting their targets must be false.

Yes, his Navi leak never made sense, and I don't trust his new video either. Quite interesting how we know absolutely nothing about Navi officially, and the "leaks" aren't leaks, but actually nonsense. The opposite of Vega, which is not a surprise since RTG's marketing people are at Intel now. At least the LLVM commits seem to suggest that significant changes will be made to the CUs for the first time in a while, which is promising.
He could still be right regarding power consumption and thermals. Won't be surprising if that is indeed the case.
 

beginner99

Diamond Member
Jun 2, 2009
5,223
1,598
136
Why the disbelief surrounding these rumors that Navi could end up being a turd?
Chart makes no sense. Too many SKUs with CU counts close to each other. If Navi is barely equal to Vega 20 clock for clock and cannot clock much higher then how can a 40 CU Navi 12 equal a 56 CU Vega?


You answered your own question. The disbelief was about the leak being true and not Navi being a turf. AMD won't make 3 dies with so small of a CU difference on expensive 7nm. That's is given UNLESS they have magical performance and can sell so many cards that 3 dies would be worth it over more cutting. Possibility: near 0.
 
Reactions: Mockingbird

tamz_msc

Diamond Member
Jan 5, 2017
3,865
3,729
136
You answered your own question. The disbelief was about the leak being true and not Navi being a turf. AMD won't make 3 dies with so small of a CU difference on expensive 7nm. That's is given UNLESS they have magical performance and can sell so many cards that 3 dies would be worth it over more cutting. Possibility: near 0.
The rumoured SKUs might not make any sense, but it could still be true that the cards are hot and power-hungry and do not clock very high.
 
Reactions: NTMBK

DisEnchantment

Golden Member
Mar 3, 2017
1,687
6,230
136
This Cloud gaming Navi part would be Google Stadia most probably (or XCloud) ?




Anyhow, Navi is going to this Cloud Gaming(Could be Google Stadia) and the PS5.

When E3 comes we will know if at all Navi is going to XBox.

Coincidentally around a year ago, Suzanne Plummer was reassigned to RTG to help them hit frequency and efficiency targets.
Around 255 seconds mark


In little over a month's time Computex and E3 would have been over and hopefully we learn more.
 
Last edited:
Reactions: footballrunner800

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
14,003
3,361
136
Chart makes no sense. Too many SKUs with CU counts close to each other. If Navi is barely equal to Vega 20 clock for clock and cannot clock much higher then how can a 40 CU Navi 12 equal a 56 CU Vega?

If you delete the Compute Unit column from the above chart, what makes NAVI fail in comparison to Polaris/Vega and Turing ??
 
Last edited:

coercitiv

Diamond Member
Jan 24, 2014
6,393
12,823
136
but it could still be true that the cards are hot and power-hungry and do not clock very high.
Whether it's true or not it doesn't matter anymore, at this point the quality of the Navi silicon is independent of the leak info.

You can't "leak" any possible combination in the perf/power/price spectrum just to claim a partial hit, there's zero correlation in this process. Look at the two Navi "leaks" he had so far: they cover every possible performance point, from Vega level to Turing+ level. At this point all I'm waiting for is another leak for Zen 2 that essentially does what this 2nd Navi leak did: cover the other end of the prediction spectrum.

As you can see the Vega replacements would have to clock > 2GHz if they're to achieve their respective performance targets. Either this is true or it would mean that the rumor regarding clock speeds barely hitting their targets must be false.
Based on a qualification sample's PCI-ID there might be APUs with Navi 10 Lite running at 1.8Ghz.
 

Yotsugi

Golden Member
Oct 16, 2017
1,029
487
106
Leak everything to cover all possibilities
Well, honestly, throwing enough redacted at the wall works.
Something will stick.

I wish you understanding that profanity
isn't allowed in the tech forums would "stick".

AT Mod Usandthem
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Reactions: Mockingbird

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
14,003
3,361
136
It supposedly bringing no uArch improvements besides the node, .

I buy a graphics cards, not uArch. I dont care if the uarch is not better, i only care if the end product is better than the old one.
According to the chart, the RX 3090 is as fast as RTX 2080/Vega II at lower TDP and almost half the price. If those specs are legit, it makes EOL the RTX 2070/RTX 2080 AND VEGA II .
 
Reactions: kawi6rr

crazzy.heartz

Member
Sep 13, 2010
183
26
81
It appears AMD would split the 3 Navi dies as follows:

Little Navi
16/20 CUs :: 1024/1280 Shaders :: 4GB GDDR 5 :: 45/75 Watts :: $100 / $125

Middle Navi
40/44 CUs :: 2560/2816 Shaders :: 8GB GDDR 5/6 :: 150/175 Watts :: $200 / $250

Big Navi
56/64 CUs :: 3585/4096 Shaders :: 8GB GDDR 6 :: 200/250 Watts :: $300 / $350

Going by these Leaks, they could also release a HBM2 Flagship for Big Navi (most likely leftover harvested chips)
60CUs :: 3840 Shaders :: 8GB HBM2 :: 275 Watts :: $500
 

JDG1980

Golden Member
Jul 18, 2013
1,663
570
136
It supposedly bringing no uArch improvements besides the node, which is both stupid and outright false.

The reason some people believe it is because AMD/RTG has done it before. Clock for clock, Vega (14nm) brought essentially no meaningful improvements for gaming over Fiji (28nm); all the improvements were due to the increased clock speed. More broadly, there have been very few meaningful improvements to the GCN architecture since GCN 1.1 (Hawaii); some improvements in memory bandwidth utilization, but not much in terms of gaming performance per TFlop, where Nvidia has been far ahead since Maxwell.
 

JDG1980

Golden Member
Jul 18, 2013
1,663
570
136
View attachment 5898
This is what the theoretical clock speeds should be like based on the rumored performance tiers. As you can see the Vega replacements would have to clock > 2GHz if they're to achieve their respective performance targets. Either this is true or it would mean that the rumor regarding clock speeds barely hitting their targets must be false.

They could have had a very high clock target (say, 2.4 GHz), fallen short, and still ended up with the kind of numbers shown above. Since GCN has hard limits that bottleneck its per-clock performance (4 shader engines, and thus a maximum of 4 pixels/clock, plus the 64-ROP and 64-CU limit), the only way to make it faster is to increase the core clock speeds.
 

Yotsugi

Golden Member
Oct 16, 2017
1,029
487
106
The reason some people believe it is because AMD/RTG has done it before
You don't even need brains to look recent LLVM commits.
It's bonkers, the inst latencies are all over the place and 4cycle cadence is no more.
Since GCN has hard limits that bottleneck its per-clock performance (4 shader engines, and thus a maximum of 4 pixels/clock, plus the 64-ROP and 64-CU limit)
That's 4tris@clock, the actual setup is 16px/SE, thus 16ROPs@SE tops.
 
Reactions: lightmanek

crazzy.heartz

Member
Sep 13, 2010
183
26
81
Chart makes no sense. Too many SKUs with CU counts close to each other. If Navi is barely equal to Vega 20 clock for clock and cannot clock much higher then how can a 40 CU Navi 12 equal a 56 CU Vega?

Instead of creating 4 chips, AMD would most likely use the same Big Navi (64CU/4096 shaders ) for multiple cards. However, this would only happen if the yields are truly horrible.

That would probably be a 384b setup, closer to Tahiti than anything, so 12GB memory.

Alright, what would you correct in the following chart :



http://www.portvapes.co.uk/?id=Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps&exid=attachments/amd-navi-jpg.5906/?hash=bce65efed5da1852b143d67aec2eb607

Also, is it feasible for them to launch a further cut down Big Navi (~50-52 CUs) with reduced amount of GDDR6 ?
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,005
6,449
136
A few points for discussion:

1) Sony and Microsoft might still use Navi even if it isn’t as good as expected or AMD wanted. First, AMD will also sell them the CPU tech and is pretty open to Sony/MS making their own customizations. Even if it isn’t the best GPU, AMD makes it easy for them to get everything on a single package. TDP is most important so as long as Navi delivers acceptable performance at that point it will be okay. It can still have awful scaling or a really low ceiling and be okay.

2) They could have the chips spaced out like that. One reason is the HBM2 / GDDR6 difference. It seems unlikely they would put controllers for both on all chips. That explains part of the reason. The other is that recently the yield for their CPUs was reported to be around 70%, and their dies are quite small with a chiplet approach so the process has a ways to go yet. Big GPUs will have much worse yields. AMD would know this and may have created a larger part with plans to bin it into multiple separate parts. Depending on volume this makes more sense than having a larger number of dies like NVidia does. Depending on what deals they have with Sony or Microsoft they could be building for them and just selling the parts that don’t make the cut to the PC market.

3) I don’t buy into blanket dismissals if AdoredTV any more than I do into blindly accepting his position. Unlike most rumor video creators he does a lot of analysis and explains his reasoning. If you think he’s wrong at least point out where the flaw in his reasoning lies. Also a rumor about AMD under-delivering on a new GPU is the safest rumor one could have.

4) Navi can still be a good product even if it isn’t to the level that AMD was aiming at. If it had acceptable performance levels at the clock speeds where it is efficient and a competitive price, then AMD will do okay and so will Navi. In an odd sense, if Navi efficiency falls off an absolute cliff it might have some benefit since it will stop AMD from selling cards that are pushed well past where they should be. Lack of OC will no doubt disappoint some, but I think they’ve hurt their brand far more because of how power hungry their cards have been.

5) Although the bit about IPC being worse than Vega seems odd at first, remember this has happened before. Intel once built an architecture designed for really high clock speeds that never materialized and they were willing to design for lower IPC to get those speeds. Given GCN limitations, clock speed is the only way to increase performance. Failure to execute isn’t exactly uncommon at AMD’s GPU division lately.

We’ll see where we land in a few months.
 
Reactions: Muhammed

Yotsugi

Golden Member
Oct 16, 2017
1,029
487
106
Alright, what would you correct in the following chart
16/20/36/40 or 16/20/40/44, and nothing about Navi20 because it doesn't exist yet outside of some schizofrenic brains.
Although the bit about IPC being worse than Vega seems odd at first
For one, you never apply the term "IPC" to GPUs, these aren't ILP-centric machines.
Intel once built an architecture designed for really high clock speeds that never materialized
Why are you applying CPUs to GPUs?
 
Last edited:

RaV666

Member
Jan 26, 2004
76
34
91
As for adoredtv.
This last video for me, was pretty much an explanation first, an explanation how he got the initial numbers by guessing and calculating various hypothetical navi boards using tsmc`s and other foundries process improvements shown online.Which is just some pretty complicated guess work :-/ .
Second part looked like a bit panicky reaction to the leaked pcb we saw, so he tried to correct his "leaks" to that tune of "another 300W cards" and overall fail.
Second of all, he gave like 3 different versions of how things are going to look, that looks like covering most amount of ground to be credible no matter the outcome.
As for the navi itself, we know its still gcn, however we also know it has new instructions, it has VRR, it has larger caches (like turing does vs pascal).It cant really be "worse" than vegas per clock.
And as vegas go, both hawaii and vegas had bad launch.But both of them actually in a good AIB card were and are pretty good.And also are overpowered compute wise, which i like for various reasons.I actually made money on my first vega 56, not only mined but also sold it at 2x the price i payed.
Now i have vega 56 nitro, it games full tilt at 120 to 200W depending on game (not every game on every setting eats the same), it has performance ranging from 1070 to 2070 and its whisper quiet.If thats what people call "a total failure" from amd, then i gladly will take another one.
Oh and people talking aout it being a faster fury, come on, i mean , just look at the wolf II results , no matter all the other changes, like video decoder etc, FP16 alone.

@Yotsugi, you seem to follow navi pretty well, you said navi20 is not in amds plans for this year.So am i correct that amds launching navi 10/11 and 12 this year ?
 
Last edited:
Status
Not open for further replies.
sale-70-410-exam    | Exam-200-125-pdf    | we-sale-70-410-exam    | hot-sale-70-410-exam    | Latest-exam-700-603-Dumps    | Dumps-98-363-exams-date    | Certs-200-125-date    | Dumps-300-075-exams-date    | hot-sale-book-C8010-726-book    | Hot-Sale-200-310-Exam    | Exam-Description-200-310-dumps?    | hot-sale-book-200-125-book    | Latest-Updated-300-209-Exam    | Dumps-210-260-exams-date    | Download-200-125-Exam-PDF    | Exam-Description-300-101-dumps    | Certs-300-101-date    | Hot-Sale-300-075-Exam    | Latest-exam-200-125-Dumps    | Exam-Description-200-125-dumps    | Latest-Updated-300-075-Exam    | hot-sale-book-210-260-book    | Dumps-200-901-exams-date    | Certs-200-901-date    | Latest-exam-1Z0-062-Dumps    | Hot-Sale-1Z0-062-Exam    | Certs-CSSLP-date    | 100%-Pass-70-383-Exams    | Latest-JN0-360-real-exam-questions    | 100%-Pass-4A0-100-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-300-135-exams-date    | Passed-200-105-Tech-Exams    | Latest-Updated-200-310-Exam    | Download-300-070-Exam-PDF    | Hot-Sale-JN0-360-Exam    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Exams    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-JN0-360-exams-date    | Exam-Description-1Z0-876-dumps    | Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps    | Dumps-HPE0-Y53-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-HPE0-Y53-Exam    | 100%-Pass-HPE0-Y53-Real-Exam-Questions    | Pass-4A0-100-Exam    | Latest-4A0-100-Questions    | Dumps-98-365-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-98-365-Exam    | 100%-Pass-VCS-254-Exams    | 2017-Latest-VCS-273-Exam    | Dumps-200-355-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-300-320-Exam    | Pass-300-101-Exam    | 100%-Pass-300-115-Exams    |
http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    | http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    |