- Feb 5, 2006
- 35,787
- 6,195
- 126
New report out from USDA, it starts out so promisingly:
But then it goes downhill pretty fast.The number of people living in rural (nonmetro) counties declined by nearly 200,000 between 2010 and 2016, the first recorded period of rural population decline.
Young people are leaving, OD'ing, having fewer kids, but other than that, future looks bright for rural America.Several factors have reduced rural population growth from natural change. Persistent outmigration of young adults has aged the rural population, meaning fewer births and more deaths, all else being equal. In addition, rural women of childbearing age are having fewer children, in line with national trends. The long-term decline in fertility rates accelerated during the Great Recession, in both rural and urban areas, as many couples postponed having children amid the economic uncertainty. Increased mortality among working-age adults is a more recent and unanticipated trend contributing to lower population growth. Between 1999-2001 and 2013-15, rural mortality increased more than 20 percent for 25- to 29-year-olds, from 135 to 165 deaths per 100,000 people. Mortality rates also increased for rural adults between the ages of 20-24 and 30-54. In urban areas, increased mortality during the period was limited to adults ages 20 to 29.