Russia gets Crimea

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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,818
49,514
136
The West is NOT perfectly innocent in all of this. A lawfully elected pro-Russian Ukranian president was illegally ousted by force and the west IMMEDIATELY recognized his illegal replacement who favored the west over Russia. That was a slap in the face of the Russians and extremely provocative. Now the west is calling foul in Crimea over the same type of actions. At least try for a semblance of consistency.

Hey why don't you go back to telling us how wonderful and benign Russian invasions are.

I noticed you weren't too keen to talk about the butchery in Chechnya, was there a reason for that?
 

Lepton87

Platinum Member
Jul 28, 2009
2,544
9
81
The west must organize and act to prevent the spread of this Russian contagion. No further. Military mobilization is required in Europe.

It's easy to say that when you are 8000KM away. I can't imagine how that could be a good thing for people who actually live nearby. Ukraine is not in NATO, they are on their own, no European country will risk war with Russia. Even having military allies doesn't mean anything. Polish people learned that the hard way in 1939. I don't believe that this crisis will escalate into a full-scale military conflict. If I'd believed that then I'd be on another continent already, far away from this mess.
 

Theb

Diamond Member
Feb 28, 2006
3,533
9
76
Ukrainian soldiers serving in Crimea have been authorized to use their weapons to defend themselves, according to the acting Ukrainian president's press service.

The order comes only hours after a Ukrainian serviceman was shot and killed on Tuesday at a Ukrainian base that came under attack in Crimea's main town of Simferopol and acting Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseny Yatseniuk said the Crimean conflict has now entered a "military phase."

Until now, forces deployed on the Black Sea peninsula, taken over three weeks ago by Russian forces, had been told to avoid using arms against attack.

A defence ministry order issued after the incident said: "In connection with the death of a Ukrainian serviceman ... Ukrainian troops in Crimea have been allowed to use weapons to defend and protect the lives of Ukrainian servicemen."

Unknown assailants

Vladislav Seleznyov, speaking to Reuters by telephone from Crimea about the earlier assault, said one serviceman at the base had died of his wounds. A second man, a captain, was injured.

Seleznyov said it was unclear who had staged the assault, but described the attackers, as "unknown forces, fully equipped and their faces covered".

Yatseniuk also accused Russia of committing a "war crime" by firing on Ukrainian servicemen.



"The conflict is moving from a political one to a military one because of Russian soldiers," he told a meeting at Ukraine's defence ministry.

"Today, Russian soldiers began shooting at Ukrainian servicemen and this is a war crime without any expiry under a statute of limitations."

Yatseniuk said he had ordered Ukraine's defence minister to call a meeting with his counterparts from Britain, France, and Russia - signatories to a 1994 treaty guaranteeing Ukraine's borders to "prevent an escalation of the conflict."

Ukraine, fearing a large-scale Russian invasion, has called upon 20,000 Ukrainians with some degree of military training to report for service. On Tuesday, groups of reservists trained outside Kyiv.

Ukrainian officials said there are more than 20,000 Russian soldiers on its borders — troops Russia claims are merely training.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/ukrain...-to-use-weapons-by-acting-president-1.2577236

Scary. That might wind up being the shot that starts WWIII.
 

Lepton87

Platinum Member
Jul 28, 2009
2,544
9
81
not exactly, they don't have to shoot but they also don't have to get permission to do so.

They are much more likely to desert to Russia then to shoot.


Scary. That might wind up being the shot that starts WWIII.[

No one is going to declare War on Russia over Ukraine just like no one bothered to life a finger when Poland was attacked in 1939. The west cares primarily about the money, always has.
 
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werepossum

Elite Member
Jul 10, 2006
29,873
463
126
They are much more likely to desert to Russia then to shoot.
I think you do them too little credit. Ukraine too suffered as a slave state of the bear and outside of the areas where the people were largely killed off and replaced with Russians, have little desire to return to those days. Just remains to be seen if the West will choose risking World War III or turn a blind eye to the recreation of the Soviet empire in return for "peace in our time."
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,818
49,514
136
No one is going to declare War on Russia over Ukraine just like no one bothered to life a finger when Poland was attacked in 1939. The west cares primarily about the money, always has.

The UK and France both declared war on Germany after the invasion of Poland.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,880
34,834
136
No one is going to declare War on Russia over Ukraine just like no one bothered to life a finger when Poland was attacked in 1939. The west cares primarily about the money, always has.

England and France declared war on Germany. While not a lot of help to the Poles at that particular moment it wasn't nothing.
 

Ns1

No Lifer
Jun 17, 2001
55,414
1,574
126
If Obama took part of Mexico, do you think Putin would have been able to do anything about it?

Dunno. I can only say Putin looks like the second coming of christ and Obama looks like a little girl.
 

werepossum

Elite Member
Jul 10, 2006
29,873
463
126
Dunno. I can only say Putin looks like the second coming of christ and Obama looks like a little girl.
I'd put it a bit differently. I'd say Putin looks like the second coming of Stalin and Obama looks like Truman who had the ability to remove Stalin and his regime from the Earth but wasn't willing to spend several million lives to do it.
 

tokie

Golden Member
Jun 1, 2006
1,491
0
0
I don't really care about Crimea or Ukraine tbh. Also I have not heard any other Europeans say otherwise.

Really we don't want sanctions because we don't care about "losing" these countries. Even though they were never on our side to begin with.
 

Ns1

No Lifer
Jun 17, 2001
55,414
1,574
126
I'd put it a bit differently. I'd say Putin looks like the second coming of Stalin and Obama looks like Truman who had the ability to remove Stalin and his regime from the Earth but wasn't willing to spend several million lives to do it.

can't argue with that.
 

tokie

Golden Member
Jun 1, 2006
1,491
0
0
I would like to add the quote from Mitt Romney in 2012:

Mitt Romney said:
"This [Russia] is without question our number one geopolitical foe, they fight for every cause for the world's worst actors.

Kind of amusing how everyone berated him for that. I admit I too had a laugh at his expense.
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,810
29,564
146
Dunno. I can only say Putin looks like the second coming of christ and Obama looks like a little girl.

I'd put it a bit differently. I'd say Putin looks like the second coming of Stalin and Obama looks like Truman who had the ability to remove Stalin and his regime from the Earth but wasn't willing to spend several million lives to do it.

exactly. I'd rather a war not escalate over this--One of the reasons I'm glad there is no McCain or Romney in the WH right now.

However, I remain concerned that if things continue to escalate, Obama and the US wont' be willing to show up when absolutely needed. Only when diplomacy has absolutely failed should we consider military action.

That being said, is the occupation of Crimea the failure of all diplomacy?
 

Ns1

No Lifer
Jun 17, 2001
55,414
1,574
126
exactly. I'd rather a war not escalate over this--One of the reasons I'm glad there is no McCain or Romney in the WH right now.

However, I remain concerned that if things continue to escalate, Obama and the US wont' be willing to show up when absolutely needed. Only when diplomacy has absolutely failed should we consider military action.

That being said, is the occupation of Crimea the failure of all diplomacy?

hey, i don't want a war either. i also don't want obama on tv waving the tiniest of tiny sticks at russia.

Personally, I'd rather the US take the Chinese or Indian approach ^_^
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,582
7,645
136
exactly. I'd rather a war not escalate over this--One of the reasons I'm glad there is no McCain or Romney in the WH right now.

However, I remain concerned that if things continue to escalate, Obama and the US wont' be willing to show up when absolutely needed. Only when diplomacy has absolutely failed should we consider military action.

That being said, is the occupation of Crimea the failure of all diplomacy?

Your idea of military "action" is almost backwards. We have limited capacity to threaten the use of it in eastern Europe at this time. We need the west to organize a unified military build up that may present a credible threat to Russian forces.

We have to be prepared to move in and take military action to defend Europe / Ukraine at a moment's notice. That means having large scale forces in place ahead of time.

Russia may invade / do whatever it wants until a credible threat from the west presents itself. Then diplomacy over Crimea may begin.
 

werepossum

Elite Member
Jul 10, 2006
29,873
463
126
exactly. I'd rather a war not escalate over this--One of the reasons I'm glad there is no McCain or Romney in the WH right now.

However, I remain concerned that if things continue to escalate, Obama and the US won't be willing to show up when absolutely needed. Only when diplomacy has absolutely failed should we consider military action.

That being said, is the occupation of Crimea the failure of all diplomacy?
Obama surged when needed in Afghanistan and wanted to go to war with Syria. I think if needed he'll be there, but G-d help us all if this devolves into war with Russia.

I don't think the occupation of Crimea the failure of all diplomacy. I don't expect Putin will be forced out, but Crimea was stacked with Russians anyway. To some degree, I doubt the Ukraine could ever truly ally with the West without losing Crimea, or be solid in such an alliance. If diplomacy and/or sanctions and/or honest threat of war can deter Putin from taking the rest of Ukraine, I'll be satisfied.

hey, i don't want a war either. i also don't want obama on tv waving the tiniest of tiny sticks at russia.

Personally, I'd rather the US take the Chinese or Indian approach ^_^
LOL "Tiniest of tiny sticks" - I like that!

I'm unsure what the Chinese or India approach would be. China is as belligerent as is Russia, although since Tibet not actively seizing territory so much as trying to intimidate others into abandoning it. India seems to me to be pretty much a non-entity globally, focusing on building their economy rather than advancing or defending territorial ambitions. I don't think I've heard/read of either's position on this issue though, so I can't really speak to them.

If we must have war, we must, but I approve of going very slowly. Nothing worse than blundering into a world war - or a nuclear regional war.
 

werepossum

Elite Member
Jul 10, 2006
29,873
463
126
Your idea of military "action" is almost backwards. We have limited capacity to threaten the use of it in eastern Europe at this time. We need the west to organize a unified military build up that may present a credible threat to Russian forces.

We have to be prepared to move in and take military action to defend Europe / Ukraine at a moment's notice. That means having large scale forces in place ahead of time.

Russia may invade / do whatever it wants until a credible threat from the west presents itself. Then diplomacy over Crimea may begin.
As part of diplomacy, yes, we must be prepared to go to war. No diplomacy will stop the likes of Putin unless he believes he will pay a cost beyond the value of adding Ukraine to his resurgent Russian empire. But there's a big difference between preparing for military action (which we and Europe must do to have any credibility at the bargaining table) and actually considering military action.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,582
7,645
136
As part of diplomacy, yes, we must be prepared to go to war. No diplomacy will stop the likes of Putin unless he believes he will pay a cost beyond the value of adding Ukraine to his resurgent Russian empire. But there's a big difference between preparing for military action (which we and Europe must do to have any credibility at the bargaining table) and actually considering military action.

There are some key components to this.

1: We need a military build up in Europe.
2: We need an authorization of military force, limited to defending Europe.
3: Ukraine is invited, under strict conditions they leave Crimea peacefully, and accept our diplomatic terms for elections.

We then entertain Russia with the idea of validating Crimean independence, on the requirement that both Russia and Ukraine stay out. That Crimea must operate fully autonomously with multiple election cycles before they may hold a vote to join Russia.

We offer a vote of independence to all of Ukraine, per province. Russia would likely end up with the eastern half, through honest elections done with diplomacy and democracy, not military.
 

cubby1223

Lifer
May 24, 2004
13,518
42
86
I don't believe Russia will ever leave Crimea short of a military conflict - the naval base in Sevastopol is too important for them to give away and leave the future up to chance.
 

Texashiker

Lifer
Dec 18, 2010
18,811
197
106
I don't believe Russia will ever leave Crimea short of a military conflict - the naval base in Sevastopol is too important for them to give away and leave the future up to chance.

You bring up a critical point.

In 5, 10, 15,, years from now Ukraine joins the EU. Then EU and its allies have access to key military points such as that port.

Russia threw a fit over missiles in Poland? What would happen if the US moved missiles into Ukraine?
 
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