Russia on brink of ... NOPE! Russia INVADES Ukraine!

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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,708
49,291
136
I never say to surrender. I say come to the negotiations and work out peace. Two Slavic countries fighting because of Western elites? Makes no sense. Come and talk. Joining NATO and becoming part of the US-led bloc against Russia is not acceptable to Russia. I don't care either way but that is what Russia has said. Can we respect their views or only Western views are acceptable?

Just because a country is overmatched, it doesn't mean that they did not have a role in their defeat. The Ukraine's current pro-West government, which replaced a more neutral government back in 2014, has to be held accountable. Russia and Ukraine have a long border and historical ties. Joining NATO was not acceptable to Russia. Not my choice, not your choice. That's how they viewed this.
Russia violated their guarantee of Ukraine’s borders. What guarantee could Russia give that would be credible?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,708
49,291
136
fskinospy,

Shelling has continued, human rights against Russian speakers has continued despite Minsk 1 and the later Minsk 2.

Quoting an article:

Earlier last month, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that Russia was hoping for peace agreements back when it signed the Minsk agreements in 2014, but it was fooled.

"We all endured, endured, endured and hoped for some kind of peace agreement, but now it turns out that we were simply fooled," Putin told reporters.

"After the revelations of [ex-German Chancellor Angela] Merkel, [ex-Ukrainian President Petro] Poroshenko, and other politicians about the true goals of the Minsk agreements, it became obvious to everyone that Russia was not the source of the conflict in Ukraine," Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said a day before Putin's statement.

Moreover, Merkel, who was in office from 2005 to 2021, said earlier that month that the Minsk accords were signed to "give Ukraine time" to strengthen itself.

"The 2014 Minsk agreement was an attempt to give time to Ukraine. It also used this time to become stronger as can be seen today. The Ukraine of 2014-2015 is not modern Ukraine," Merkel said.

In a similar context, former German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who, earlier in December, confessed that the Minsk agreements were only "meant to give Ukraine time" said on December 28 that the question of whether or not she will be participating in a possible Ukrainian reconciliation process "has not been raised."

So basically, Minsk was not to stop the shelling in Donbass but to arm up Ukraine? Is that was Merkle is saying? In other words, propose a ceasefire so Ukraine can arm up but is still shelling Donbass?
Everything you’re talking about is after Russia ALREADY INVADED UKRAINE.

This is not complicated.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,752
34,631
136
Interesting, that means that the West needs to step up its industrial base quick in order to produce millions of artillery shells. Can the West do this? Seems unlikely given their for-profit MIC system. Who knows, maybe they can. Doesn't matter because right now, the Ukrainians are being squeezed. It's not just a defensive posture, it's being squeezed from multiple angles.

This is already in the works. US shell capacity has risen from 14K/mo to 30K/mo and will increase in stages to 60K/mo by October. In 2025 just US capacity will exceed 1.2M shells per year. Coupled with Europe probably looking in the neighborhood of 2.5M 155mm shells per year in 2025. This would likely exceed Ukraine's actual needs and would also facilitate the refilling of western stockpiles.

In the interim the US has a couple million DPICM shells in our inventory, of which a few hundred thousand could probably cover the gap for 2024. You need less because they are much more effective per round.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,708
49,291
136
Even though Russian claims about Minsk are mostly lies it’s a pretty funny idea that they are like ‘I can’t believe you broke this agreement after we broke this other agreement’

Agreements Russia makes are not worth the paper they are written on. The only thing Russia understands is violence. The good news is the US has a far larger ability to commit violence than they do.
 
Reactions: zinfamous

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,752
34,631
136
Even though Russian claims about Minsk are mostly lies it’s a pretty funny idea that they are like ‘I can’t believe you broke this agreement after we broke this other agreement’

Agreements Russia makes are not worth the paper they are written on. The only thing Russia understands is violence. The good news is the US has a far larger ability to commit violence than they do.

When the day actually comes for negotiations Putin is going to have a hell of a time getting anybody to believe him and Ukrainian security demands are probably going to require physical NATO basing until they are admitted.
 

raildogg

Lifer
Aug 24, 2004
12,884
569
126
Russia violated their guarantee of Ukraine’s borders. What guarantee could Russia give that would be credible?
It's not that simple, you have the Black Sea Fleet, Odessa, NATO expansion into Ukraine and many other points here. Russia simply cannot and did not say that it will protect Ukraine's border no matter what.
 

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
14,577
12,689
146
When the day actually comes for negotiations Putin is going to have a hell of a time getting anybody to believe him and Ukrainian security demands are probably going to require physical NATO basing until they are admitted.
Lol, when that day comes nobody will be negotiating with Putin, it'll be with whoever put a bullet in his brain pan.
 

Brovane

Diamond Member
Dec 18, 2001
5,478
1,671
136
It's not that simple, you have the Black Sea Fleet, Odessa, NATO expansion into Ukraine and many other points here. Russia simply cannot and did not say that it will protect Ukraine's border no matter what.

Something I don't understand with this Russian invasion, while all the rape, murder, looting etc. by Russian troops against Ukrainian civilians? If you are trying to get Ukrainians to want to come back and be part of Russia, I would have thought Russia would have made sure their troops where on there best behavior when "liberating" Ukraine. The war crimes that Russian troops committed against Ukrainians where visible from commercial 50cm imaging satellites. Not really helpful if you are trying to get Ukrainians to want to be part of Russia again. Don't you think?
 
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cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
23,517
13,090
136

raildogg

Lifer
Aug 24, 2004
12,884
569
126
That link though. God. Damn.
I understand, giving a link that is not officially endorsed by American think tanks and the big media can have some drawbacks and some may not trust them. But let's check it out anyway, it could be good. Not like Western media, such as the NY Times, doesn't get things wrong purposefully or not.

But many experts have been saying that same thing. Since the second Minsk agreement in 2015, the West has been slowing building up Ukraine. That's one of the points Russia has been making. You can dismiss it but that won't help things much. We should try to hear each other no matter how "bad" you think they are.
 

raildogg

Lifer
Aug 24, 2004
12,884
569
126
The US should have gifted them nukes the day Russian forces began massing on the border.
Thus further risking security for Ukraine? Guys, what is this country Ukraine to you? A weapon, or a proxy, to be used against Russia? If so, then that's what Russia has been saying for all these years.

If America wants to destroy Russia that bad, why not use their own troops? Why use Ukrainian men so they get killed? That's how the US operates I guess. They can only bomb villagers in third world countries.

Question: Why has the US or the UK (big talking country with very weak military) not deployed their military to fight Russia yet? Just a question to see what might be the reasons for this. I am sure we all have opinions, right?
 

raildogg

Lifer
Aug 24, 2004
12,884
569
126
Let's not do that please. I responded to your question in the other thread. I see we are trying to play games here by applying one conflict's points to the other.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,708
49,291
136
Let's not do that please. I responded to your question in the other thread.
Either peace at the expense of freedom is worth it or it’s not. These are your own words!

If you want to say your invocation of principles are only selectively applied that’s fine but then just say it.
 

raildogg

Lifer
Aug 24, 2004
12,884
569
126
Look at each situation on its own. Period. Peace and freedom are abstract things people talk about. Tell that to the suffering peoples of the world, many of whom are victims of Western imperialism, including Palestinians. Directly in this case.

fskimospy, a ceasefire at the expense of temporary bondage is worth it at this time based on the events taking place in Gaza. Many Palestinians want this. Does that answer your question?
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,752
34,631
136
Thus further risking security for Ukraine? Guys, what is this country Ukraine to you? A weapon, or a proxy, to be used against Russia? If so, then that's what Russia has been saying for all these years.

If America wants to destroy Russia that bad, why not use their own troops? Why use Ukrainian men so they get killed? That's how the US operates I guess. They can only bomb villagers in third world countries.

Question: Why has the US or the UK (big talking country with very weak military) not deployed their military to fight Russia yet? Just a question to see what might be the reasons for this. I am sure we all have opinions, right?

If Russia wants to fight the west Putin knows where to find us. He won't because the ass kicking would be incredible.
 

raildogg

Lifer
Aug 24, 2004
12,884
569
126
An independent nation of free peoples, deserving the right to lead whatever life they wish without rapists, murderous savages, and lesser men of greater sires descending on them from fruitless lands to steal earth, water, and womb.

Fuck Russia, give Ukraine nukes.
Ukraine cannot be a NATO country according to Russia's foreign policy. That's what they decided. If you continue to ignore that, there will be conflict ... hence conflict in Ukraine. Simple as that.

I am trying to give you the reality of the situation, not whether I agree or not.
 

raildogg

Lifer
Aug 24, 2004
12,884
569
126
If Russia wants to fight the west Putin knows where to find us. He won't because the ass kicking would be incredible.
Judging by the West's rhetoric and actions, they want to severely weaken or even destroy Russia but without getting US troops involved. If Russia is such a weak country, then why doesn't America try something directly? We know America has no problems fighting wars and killing millions of people.
 

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
14,577
12,689
146
Ukraine cannot be a NATO country according to Russia's foreign policy. That's what they decided. If you continue to ignore that, there will be conflict ... hence conflict in Ukraine. Simple as that.

I am trying to give you the reality of the situation, not whether I agree or not.
Ukraine isn't in Russia! Who the fuck cares what Russia wants. What they want is irrelevant.
 
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