Also relatively cheap accurate GPS, and IMU technology.
Also relatively cheap accurate GPS, and IMU technology.The Ukraine Russian war has really opened up my eye to what drones can do. It's really changed my outlook on modern warfare. A small country armed with enough drones can do a heavy number on a larger army.
It would be silly for Russia to actually use nuke if the war crosses into Russia because they can end it any day without any real losses (well territory loss); all they have to do is withdrawl from Ukraine.Zeihan has made this assessment multiple times now that either way, either this war extends into a NATO country or into Russia proper - at which point a nuke is going to fly.
Inevitable that a nuke is going to fly.
How does that not turn into MAD? Sounds like a doomsday prophecy to me.
There will be real losses to the ones in charge of Russia. Its from this perspective where the calculus is being done on whether or not its nuke time.It would be silly for Russia to actually use nuke if the war crosses into Russia because they can end it any day without any real losses (well territory loss); all they have to do is withdrawl from Ukraine.
I have no idea why he said that. If Russia goes into Europe, NATO goes full strength against them without lighting off one nuke. We are not stupid or that desperate. If NATO, or a member of NATO goes into Russia - they will sue for peace in order to retain their borders (oh, and someone in Putin's orbit probably kills him). There is a tiny, tiny chance that Russia uses tactical nukes if the later happens if Putin is more wacked than we think, but again, someone in his orbit probably kills him before this happens - they know they will suffer the vengeance of the west. All but the worst MAGAs would back this.Zeihan has made this assessment multiple times now that either way, either this war extends into a NATO country or into Russia proper - at which point a nuke is going to fly.
Inevitable that a nuke is going to fly.
How does that not turn into MAD? Sounds like a doomsday prophecy to me.
Yup I get all that. But suppose you were the Devils advocate here, what kind of metrics is Zeihan looking at since he is convinced this is the most plausible outcome? To the best of my bs meter he is not saying it for clicks.I have no idea why he said that. If Russia goes into Europe, NATO goes full strength against them without lighting off one nuke. We are not stupid or that desperate. If NATO, or a member of NATO goes into Russia - they will sue for peace in order to retain their borders (oh, and someone in Putin's orbit probably kills him). There is a tiny, tiny chance that Russia uses tactical nukes if the later happens if Putin is more wacked than we think, but again, someone in his orbit probably kills him before this happens - they know they will suffer the vengeance of the west. All but the worst MAGAs would back this.
Pretty sure the US told Putin that if he uses nukes, he will be the first to die (and we have the intel to do it).
Yeah, but he's downplayed it before, so I don't get it. The actual interview was some time ago based on other content (weeks/months - doesn't say).Yup I get all that. But suppose you were the Devils advocate here, what kind of metrics is Zeihan looking at since he is convinced this is the most plausible outcome? To the best of my bs meter he is not saying it for clicks.
Two words: Extra dry socks.
There will be real losses to the ones in charge of Russia. Its from this perspective where the calculus is being done on whether or not its nuke time.
Also the artist formerly known as prince??*formerly tweaker2* I agree.
Pretty sure the US told Putin that if he uses nukes, he will be the first to die (and we have the intel to do it).
Can they realistically survive this in any case? I don't see this war ending with roses and gumdrops for Putin or Russia in any circumstance.If Pootain uses a nuke he and his country dies.
European Union member states on Tuesday approved a plan to use the profits generated by frozen Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine’s recovery and military defense.
This move will provide Ukraine as much as €3 billion ($3.3 billion) this year, 90% of which will go to Ukraine’s military, Czech Foreign Minister Jan Lipavsky wrote on the social media platform X.
About $280 billion in assets have been immobilized by the Group of Seven nations since Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, with more than two-thirds of those held in the EU. The vast majority of the funds has been held through the Belgium-based settlement giant Euroclear, where they have generated about €3.9 billion in net profit since last year.
Under the EU’s plans, Ukraine will receive the net profits from Feb. 15 onwards. Some €159 billion of frozen Russian assets have generated a net profit of €557 million from that date, according to Euroclear’s first quarter financial results.
Profits before the Feb. 15 date will be retained by Euroclear to handle any risks such as those deriving from legal action in Russia. The EU plan also includes a mechanism to allow the clearing house to retain more funds should those resources prove insufficient to manage any sudden and unexpected risks.
The adoption of the proposal by EU affairs ministers in Brussels comes after months of haggling between member states amid worries about possible legal challenges, retaliation from Russia and risk to the stability of the euro.
The assets are expected to generate about €5 billion a year, with Ukraine receiving the aid twice a year.
Does that help?
It would . . . seem . . . to be still vulnerable from the air??Does that help?
Does that help?
It would . . . seem . . . to be still vulnerable from the air??
Also the artist formerly known as prince??