Been giving this some thought and reading. The Ukraine needs ATACMS now. We've been kinda on the back foot in supplying the equipment that Ukraine needs for much of the war - giving the Russians time to regroup, coalesce and alter their strategy to their advantage. The UKR need the ability to fire at long range, from safer locations, deeper into Russian occupied land as well as Russian supply lines, HQs and ammo/fuel dumps in Russia. The proviso that the Ukrainians don't fire on Russian townships will be upheld. In the medium term, the Russians will move HQs and ammo, etc into Russia towns - but it is much better to put them on the defensive, IMHO. Putin has other options b/4 going nuclear - he just doesn't want to pay the price yet (using more combat aircraft for example).
Absolutely. Vietnam 'wild weasel' anti-radar attacks aren't effective against a well setup multi-radar S-300 battery. Russia would have to be ready to suffer heavy losses for any SEAD operation. Being able to move the HIMARS back closer to Ukrainian AA would put the Russians in a tactical disadvantage. Putin will, of course, scream bloody blue murder, but what else is new. We have to keep opening up tactical opportunities and advantages for the Ukrainian army to close down Russia's artillery advantage.As Ukraine gets more GMLRS launchers pressure is going to dramatically increase on the Russian Air Force to go in and do something about them. Only problem is that Ukrainian AD is very much still operational and the risks to aircrews are huge. This is why they’ve been doing very low altitude strikes on the front or launching missiles from out of country.
Last I saw, the closest Ukraine was to Kherson was 17km away.
I hope this news is true, it'd be a major change in tempo on a very crucial front in the war. At the very least, the northwest side of the Dnipro must be secured at all costs.
But it'd be highly unexpected if they closed that distance in just two days.
Yes, I think I jumped the gun.
I have not been able to find any reports mentioning Kherson in the last 20 hours. A bunch of rumors and then just silence. I doubt anyone would be able to keep the lid on things that long if the news was real.
While it is still possible, it is most likely fake news. Sorry.
He ded????Some odd goings on in Moscow late tonight. Putin was reportedly rushed to the Kremlin via motorcade.
He ded????
For him to make an appearance in person sounds more like someone else was trying to carve him out.I doubt it. Maybe the Ukrainians blew up something or someone rather important in Donbas with their new toys.
Well Russians tossing cruise missiles into Kyiv again so seems like something happened.
What "happened" is that Russia is hungry for genocide and still has the capacity to carry it out. To launch missiles with impunity as no missiles are returned.
Missiles need to rain down on Russia. INSIDE Russia.
A new leader is in charge of the operation. If they are dumb and showy, they need to throw their weight around immediately.That’s just a day that ends in “y” for that country. This looks reactive as they often are. But to what now is the question.
That’s just a day that ends in “y” for that country. This looks reactive as they often are. But to what now is the question.
Not really. Russia has burned through their stock of modern armour. So much so that they have begun getting old soviet era spares from Belarus.Has the momentum of the war swung back to the Russian side? Seems like they are slowly gaining ground over the Ukrainians and taking over the eastern regions. Ukraine seem to be losing many soldiers and cannot hold the Russians back.
As Ukraine gets more GMLRS launchers pressure is going to dramatically increase on the Russian Air Force to go in and do something about them. Only problem is that Ukrainian AD is very much still operational and the risks to aircrews are huge. This is why they’ve been doing very low altitude strikes on the front or launching missiles from out of country.
The Uk AD aside, I doubt that their air force even has the capability to find, track and destroy these mobile launchers. They'll probably have more luck to destroy them with UAV directed Artillery, MLRS and Iskander-M strikes. There was one example where the Russians used an UAV directed Iskander to destroy an SA-11 "Buk" launcher in ~6 minutes since acquisition:
Yeah, this combined with the standoff range will make it very difficult for Russia to destroy them.It's going to be tough to catch them in that kind of window I think. HIMARS can set up, empty its pod, and be hauling down the road again in a few minutes.
Without knowing anything about the targeting system, couldn't it somehow being limited to targets in Ukraine?Been giving this some thought and reading. The Ukraine needs ATACMS now. We've been kinda on the back foot in supplying the equipment that Ukraine needs for much of the war - giving the Russians time to regroup, coalesce and alter their strategy to their advantage. The UKR need the ability to fire at long range, from safer locations, deeper into Russian occupied land as well as Russian supply lines, HQs and ammo/fuel dumps in Russia. The proviso that the Ukrainians don't fire on Russian townships will be upheld. In the medium term, the Russians will move HQs and ammo, etc into Russia towns - but it is much better to put them on the defensive, IMHO. Putin has other options b/4 going nuclear - he just doesn't want to pay the price yet (using more combat aircraft for example).
Without knowing anything about the targeting system, couldn't it somehow being limited to targets in Ukraine?
Technically, yes, in software. All the targeting data is likely coalesced in a database as well - but if we have any brains, and we do, it’ll be well protectEd. It just isn’t worth screwing with software in that way for combat equipment - it would be a potential disaster if a bug was introduced.Without knowing anything about the targeting system, couldn't it somehow being limited to targets in Ukraine?