Russia on brink of ... NOPE! Russia INVADES Ukraine!

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Dave_5k

Golden Member
May 23, 2017
1,664
3,224
136
Arabs huh? Aliens next probably.

Really appears to be very little the Russians can do to check the Ukrainian advance into Luhansk.

The Russians did have a very modern armor column hanging out just north of the (actual) Russian border with Luhansk which could wreck a fair bit of havoc ~ at least one full armor battalion tactical group including the latest T-90M tanks ~ except they appear desperately short of infantry and supplies to properly round it out. (And Russia has finally learned - maybe - that unsupported armor is just Javelin bait).

Blowing up all those rear ammo dumps plus counter-battery capabilities appears to have given the Ukrainians near parity on artillery cover (which is a major change). Normally would expect the Russians to counter the advance with mass saturation artillery ~ but they apparently can't right now.

I still can't get over that Ukraine appears to have achieved basically parity, or maybe even the advantage, now in both artillery and air coverage over the battlefields ~ which is ridiculous given Ukraine has exactly 0 safe airbases, Russia has a half dozen completely safe regional airbases outside Ukrainian reach (although Crimea should have been outside of reach, oh well...). Russia had at a minimum 10x the artillery, with several multiples of that in reserve, and Russia still retains vastly more aircraft than the limited Ukrainian air force.
 
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K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,880
34,834
136
The Russians did have a very modern armor column hanging out just north of the (actual) Russian border with Luhansk which could wreck a fair bit of havoc ~ at least one full armor battalion tactical group including the latest T-90M tanks ~ except they appear desperately short of infantry and supplies to properly round it out. (And Russia has finally learned - maybe - that unsupported armor is just Javelin bait).

The Russians can't conduct a sustained combined arms offensive so the fancy armor is worth a lot less. Ukrainians with T-64s, MRAPS, and trucks are schooling them.

Blowing up all those rear ammo dumps plus counter-battery capabilities appears to have given the Ukrainians near parity on artillery cover (which is a major change). Normally would expect the Russians to counter the advance with mass saturation artillery ~ but they apparently can't right now.

HIMARS has really shifted into a counter battery mode and the Russians are hurting from it. Hard to lay down a lot of artillery fire when GMLRS is screaming down on your batteries within minutes of them opening up.
 
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Leeea

Diamond Member
Apr 3, 2020
3,706
5,435
136
We finally have the answer to the Ukrainian's secret weapon that has been defeating Russia.
View attachment 68708
Ignore the cat in the picture.

The people look older, 30s age, normal people. The rear window of their truck looks like it was shot out. They however seem chill about being there. Ready to do what is needed and putting the best face they can on it.

They also seem to have a complete set of basic kit, including body armor.

That is what real mobilization looks like.
 

Muse

Lifer
Jul 11, 2001
37,844
8,309
136
well, I can't seem to post it because forwarding to myself the whatsapp link to this twitter account that I received doesn't work, because Twitter more and more wants me to create a fucking twitter account to do or even see anything. I assume it is only going to get worse. All of Twitter will soon be a giant blank wall for the majority of us, I guess!

It was updated/summarized on this twitter feed:
liveuamap
I have a Twitter account. So far I don't see a downside. I rarely post there and when I do nothing happens. Mainly I can see what's happening, can copy and paste links in here. I don't bother with following whoever and don't GAS if anybody "follows" me.
 
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Leeea

Diamond Member
Apr 3, 2020
3,706
5,435
136
I have a Twitter account. So far I don't see a downside. I rarely post there and when I do nothing happens. Mainly I can see what's happening, can copy and paste links in here. I don't bother with following whoever and don't GAS if anybody "follows" me.
I had a twitter account.

Then twitter decided I was a robot and demanded my phone number. I just logged out and have not had one since.

Same reason I am unable to access telegram. Not giving them my phone number.



although, with telegram you can preview channels without an account:
Code:
https://t.me/s/<insert channel name here>

example- Denys Davydov:
https://t.me/s/pilotblog

I also like Deny's youtube channel, he has a lot of good Ukrainian war news that is a bet more vetted then some channels:
opens up every video showing recent movements of military forces from public information.
 
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K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,880
34,834
136
two guys + BMP vs what looks to be a full infantry squad?

Those guys just extended their lives quite a lot by surrendering. Interesting the BMP did not even see or hear the first guy who exposed himself and told them to stop. Tense situation.

The BMP is not exactly quiet on the move so not shocked if they could not hear the first instruction.

Also once again the Ukrainians appear far better equipped and trained than basically any of the Russian side footage I've seen of their own guys. Let alone for poor Donbas conscripts and draftees.
 
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JEDI

Lifer
Sep 25, 2001
30,160
3,302
126

total U.S. military assistance for Ukraine is approximately $15.2 billion since the beginning of this Administration.


$15B?!
To put it into perspective, that's the cost of a Ford class nuclear carrier!

And that's just the military hardware.
It doesnt include the economic and humanitarian support.

Anyone have a list of the hardware we've given them?
I want to see what 'unlimited ammo' mode looks like.
 
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rommelrommel

Diamond Member
Dec 7, 2002
4,389
3,120
146

total U.S. military assistance for Ukraine to approximately $15.2 billion since the beginning of this Administration.


$15B?!
To put it into perspective, that's the cost of a Ford class nuclear carrier!

And that's just the military hardware.
It doesnt include the economic and humanitarian support.

Anyone have a list of the hardware we've given them?

Do you think major wars are cheap or something?
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,880
34,834
136

total U.S. military assistance for Ukraine is approximately $15.2 billion since the beginning of this Administration.


$15B?!
To put it into perspective, that's the cost of a Ford class nuclear carrier!

And that's just the military hardware.
It doesnt include the economic and humanitarian support.

Anyone have a list of the hardware we've given them?

Per the pentagon

https://media.defense.gov/2022/Sep/16/2003078831/-1/-1/1/UKRAINE FACT SHEET – SEP. 15.PDF

IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Fact Sheet on U.S. Security Assistance to Ukraine September 15, 2022
In total, the United States has committed approximately $15.8 billion in security assistance to Ukraine since the beginning of the Biden Administration, including more than $15.1 billion since the beginning of Russia’s unprovoked and brutal invasion on February 24.
United
States security assistance committed to Ukraine includes:
  • Over 1,400 Stinger anti-aircraft systems;
  • Over 8,500 Javelin anti-armor systems;
  • Over 32,000 other anti-armor systems;
  • Over 700 Switchblade Tactical Unmanned Aerial Systems;
  • 126 155mm Howitzers and up to 806,000 155mm artillery rounds;
  • 2,000 precision-guided 155mm artillery rounds;
  • 20 105mm Howitzers and 180,000 105mm artillery rounds;
  • 126 Tactical Vehicles to tow 155mm Howitzers;
  • 22 Tactical Vehicles to recover equipment;
  • 16 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems and ammunition;
  • 20 120mm mortar systems and 85,000 rounds of 120mm mortar rounds;
  • 1,500 Tube-Launched, Optically-Tracked, Wire-Guided (TOW) missiles;
  • Four Command Post vehicles;
  • Eight National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile Systems (NASAMS) and munitions;
  • High-speed Anti-radiation missiles (HARMs);
  • 20 Mi-17 helicopters;
  • Hundreds of Armored High Mobility Multipurpose Wheeled Vehicles (HMMWVs);
  • Four trucks and eight trailers to transport heavy equipment;
  • 200 M113 Armored Personnel Carriers;
  • 40 MaxxPro Mine Resistant Ambush Protected Vehicles with mine rollers;
  • Mine clearing equipment and systems;
  • Over 10,000 grenade launchers and small arms;
  • Over 60,000,000 rounds of small arms ammunition;
  • Over 75,000 sets of body armor and helmets;
  • Approximately 700 Phoenix Ghost Tactical Unmanned Aerial Systems;
  • Laser-guided rocket systems;
  • Puma Unmanned Aerial Systems;
  • 15 Scan Eagle Unmanned Aerial Systems;
  • Unmanned Coastal Defense Vessels;
  • Over 50 counter-artillery radars;
  • Four counter-mortar radars;
  • Counter-Unmanned Aerial Systems;
  • Ten air surveillance radars;
  • Two harpoon coastal defense systems;
  • 18 coastal and riverine patrol boats;
  • M18A1 Claymore anti-personnel munitions;
  • C-4 explosives, demolition munitions, and demolition equipment for obstacle clearing;
  • Tactical secure communications systems;
  • Thousands of night vision devices, thermal imagery systems, optics, and laser
    rangefinders;
  • Commercial satellite imagery services;
  • Explosive ordnance disposal protective gear;
  • Chemical, Biological, Radiological, Nuclear protective equipment;
  • 100 armored medical treatment vehicles;
  • Medical supplies to include first aid kits, bandages, monitors, and other equipment;
  • Electronic jamming equipment;
  • Field equipment, cold weather gear, and spare parts;
  • Funding for training, maintenance, and sustainment.
    The United States also continues to work with its Allies and partners to provide Ukraine with additional capabilities to defend itself.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,582
7,645
136
Russian nuke units are on the move. Could we see tactical nukes soon?


That is the same misleading information that has been circulating for several days now.
"News" media just keeps playing a game of telephone with the same lousy speculation / source. Debunked then, still debunked now.
In this case, CBS just wants attention. Like all the others before it.
 
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kage69

Lifer
Jul 17, 2003
28,059
38,568
136
I've never seen these anti-drone weapons in action before


Interesting. Doesn't look like the Ukrainian one, or a DroneShield, DroneBuster or any of the ones I've seen from Europe or China. Apparently it's called the SkyWiper, designed in Lithuania. Very nice and very new, 15k a pop.

Not too different than previous ones I'm guessing, but I bet that particular model addresses previous complaints about range with earlier solutions. Looks a lot beefier, heavier than others I've seen, and 2 extra nodes on it looks like. More bands to zap? Probably more 'wattage in the cottage' too.

One more asset than can be turned around and used against the enemy!
 
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