It seems increasingly apparent that Russia is running very low on missiles.
I hope these mass drone attacks cause less civilian casualties than mass missile strikes.
Not really.Did we catch this?
It seems he is capable of reversing course, a good sign
^^ Perhaps a significant detection and shoot down rate will convince Vlad these are not a great way to spend limited funds.
Yeah, long term a less expensive solution than missiles will be needed to counter these. The good news is they are loud and slow so gun based AA should be able to take them out without much difficulty. The main issue is we have to stand up more gun based AA as it's fallen out of favor in recent years.Can probably field dozens of drones for the cost of each missile. And Vlad the Butcher has thrown many hundreds of missiles at Ukraine.
Besides, it is the stock / supply of missiles that limits Russia. Not a lack of desire to carpet bomb Ukraine.
Begun, the Drone Wars have...
The drone wars could be brought to a quick end if a certain Iranian transport had an accidental collision with an AMRAAM.Begun, the Drone Wars have...
And related to the very interesting analysis above;
No train will be safe. Nor any transport convoy. Russians will be cold and hungry over winter if they are still in the Southern Ukraine.
Hopefully Israel steps up with the Iron Dome. You'd think they'd want field data on how well their system preformed against real Iranian missiles and drones.The drum signal tells a tale of not only drones but also ballistic missiles coming out of Iran.
Yeah, long term a less expensive solution than missiles will be needed to counter these. The good news is they are loud and slow so gun based AA should be able to take them out without much difficulty. The main issue is we have to stand up more gun based AA as it's fallen out of favor in recent years.
Miniature missiles in the toy rocket size range may also be used, don't need much of a war head or all that much speed to take down a drone.Yeah, long term a less expensive solution than missiles will be needed to counter these. The good news is they are loud and slow so gun based AA should be able to take them out without much difficulty. The main issue is we have to stand up more gun based AA as it's fallen out of favor in recent years.
Miniature missiles in the toy rocket size range may also be used, don't need much of a war head or all that much speed to take down a drone.
Not really.
Charity is not sustainable.
Everyone would have been better off if the prick had sat down with the US military and signed a contract to provide service at reasonable rates. That would have been a sustainable, reliable, and long term solution.
This "largess" is just Elon forcing dependence rather then accepting partnership on reasonable terms.
Russia must be allowed to win all the wars it starts or else does not seem like a sustainable strategic position for any country that is not Russia.
Relatedly Taiwan is seen as "a core part" of China by China so it's not hard to guess where he'd come down on that one especially since the Chinese government has him by the nuts. Never mind that few Taiwanese want unification.
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I mean I *get* his line of thinking... The core difference between my thoughts and his thoughts is that I know I am just an armchair idiot. And more willing to throw the dices. So I'll say my piece and know no-one is going to take me super seriously.
Yes I know, but we also know this is not an exact science and there is margins of error on both sides of that extrapolation… Coming dangerously close to that scenario where singular mistakes can set off the dominos. And still if its even a 1% chance he will use a tactical.. its still 1%. I mean I want to roll it but can see how others can have thoughts.The view that Russia will resort to nukes and that would provoke a nuclear response from NATO over Ukraine is not really grounded in any reality. NATO and various western nations have already stated that a response would not be in kind but Russia could expect a devastating conventional response in turn. Like literally all Russian military assets in Crimea exploding within a few hours kind of response.
Yes I know, but we also know this is not an exact science and there is margins of error on both sides of that extrapolation… Coming dangerously close to that scenario where singular mistakes can set off the dominos. And still if its even a 1% chance he will use a tactical.. its still 1%. I mean I want to roll it but can see how others can have thoughts.
Also while the use of tactical nukes would be hugely norm-defying and we don't want to get into a world where lobbing the occasional small nuke is ok the west is not going to get into a nuclear exchange with Russia over Ukraine and from what I've read tactical nuclear weapons wouldn't do much to help Russia anyway. It could use larger nukes to level Ukrainian cities out of spite but then what's the point of taking over? (not to mention this would likely just harden Ukraine's resolve)The people most at risk here are the Ukrainians themselves and they've decided not to give in. It really is the only choice unless they want to live under Putin's direct rule. Musk is writing checks on other people's accounts as usual with his surrender proposals.
A tactical is not the end of the world, and as previously mentioned, NATO's conventional response would be devastating.And still if its even a 1% chance he will use a tactical.. its still 1%. I mean I want to roll it but can see how others can have thoughts.
Also, what exactly does this genius think Russia will do if they figure out all they need to do to force surrender is threaten to use nukes? All of a sudden Russia discovers it has core parts of Russia in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Finland, etc.The people most at risk here are the Ukrainians themselves and they've decided not to give in. It really is the only choice unless they want to live under Putin's direct rule. Musk is writing checks on other people's accounts as usual with his surrender proposals.
And an ejection right at the moment of impact? Well... that's something.Wow a Su-35 just crashed into a Russian apartment building.