Of course bitch grasshopper would like that content…
Of course bitch grasshopper would like that content…Looks like Russia is stepping up their game in Ukraine.
Maybe so but for the rest of us it's a telling sign that somebody is supplying Russia with the materials they need to keep their war machine rolling along.Of course bitch grasshopper would like that content…
So, as one poster here has been linking videos from Peter Zeihan. I decided to look into him a bit and watch more of his videos. While not a top shelf geopolitical strategist, he ranks well enough to receive invitations to present at the likes of the CIA and seems well connected.
Some of the information from his video includes these data points:
- There are approximately 60k members of the UAF training abroad in other NATO countries. (I presume weapons systems training and advanced tactical traning in high maneuverability offensive strategies).
- The heavy call out for high mobility armor is because the UAF intends to adopt the US strategy of punching through enemy lines, Blitzkrieg style, to take control of enemy supply lines and whatever is left of Russian CC&C. (They will need to quickly build out their SAM infrastructure at rear FOBs - being close to the Russian border).
- The Ukrainians have been aggressively refurbishing captured Russian tanks and APCs to be used in their spring offensive.
- The Russian army (not Wagner) have been intensly recruiting and may have 600-700k troops deployed in Ukraine in the May/June time period.
- The Russian triage system is atrocious (unsurprisingly). There are likely far more soldiers listed as WIA who, in fact, died of their injuries before receiving proper medical care.
- Given the large accumulation of Russian solders in Ukraine, kill ratios will need to exceed the current estimates of 2 or 3:1 (in favor of the UAF) to a ratio 2-3 times higher if the UAF wants to collapse the Russian army in Ukraine (and, in effect, that should put the entire Russian army into a state of unrecoverable disarray and end the war).
- This spring offensive will likely begin in May once the terrain dries - dictated by the needs of tank movement. The warmer than normal winter temps will extend the mud season. (This will likely limit the dry season, unless the fall mud season is delayed by a drier fall than normal.)
My editorial comments are enclosed in brackets. This information is subject to verification by other sources.
Disunited Nations
"Germany will decline as the most powerful country in Europe, with France taking its place. Every country should prepare for the collapse of China, not the rise of North Korea. We are already seeing, as he predicts, a shift in outlook on the Middle East: it is no longer Iran that is the region's most dangerous threat, but Saudi Arabia."
So, as one poster here has been linking videos from Peter Zeihan. I decided to look into him a bit and watch more of his videos. While not a top shelf geopolitical strategist, he ranks well enough to receive invitations to present at the likes of the CIA and seems well connected.
Some of the information from his video includes these data points:
- There are approximately 60k members of the UAF training abroad in other NATO countries. (I presume weapons systems training and advanced tactical traning in high maneuverability offensive strategies).
- The heavy call out for high mobility armor is because the UAF intends to adopt the US strategy of punching through enemy lines, Blitzkrieg style, to take control of enemy supply lines and whatever is left of Russian CC&C. (They will need to quickly build out their SAM infrastructure at rear FOBs - being close to the Russian border).
- The Ukrainians have been aggressively refurbishing captured Russian tanks and APCs to be used in their spring offensive.
- The Russian army (not Wagner) have been intensly recruiting and may have 600-700k troops deployed in Ukraine in the May/June time period.
- The Russian triage system is atrocious (unsurprisingly). There are likely far more soldiers listed as WIA who, in fact, died of their injuries before receiving proper medical care.
- Given the large accumulation of Russian solders in Ukraine, kill ratios will need to exceed the current estimates of 2 or 3:1 (in favor of the UAF) to a ratio 2-3 times higher if the UAF wants to collapse the Russian army in Ukraine (and, in effect, that should put the entire Russian army into a state of unrecoverable disarray and end the war).
- This spring offensive will likely begin in May once the terrain dries - dictated by the needs of tank movement. The warmer than normal winter temps will extend the mud season. (This will likely limit the dry season, unless the fall mud season is delayed by a drier fall than normal.)
My editorial comments are enclosed in brackets. This information is subject to verification by other sources.
So this dude has spend half a life Nostra Predicting the future right, and we all know how weather forecasts go BUT he has gotten a decent amount right. Enough to get contracted by the IC as mentioned by Ajay. History is full of those inflection points, and if one goes to the right instead of left, a whole lot of your predictions depending on this end up wrong. That just mean that *that* particular inflection point went our way. Might not have.
So, as one poster here has been linking videos from Peter Zeihan. I decided to look into him a bit and watch more of his videos. While not a top shelf geopolitical strategist, he ranks well enough to receive invitations to present at the likes of the CIA and seems well connected.
I have seen enough of Peter Zeihan's videos to know he can and will repeat bold face falsehoods.
EV's Not-so-little Dirty Secret(s) - Zeihan on Geopolitics
EVs in their current form are a disaster strategically, economically and environmentally, and that's before you consider the withering of Tesla.zeihan.com
Peter turns out tons of videos predicting everything, and it is difficult to search through them all. But Peter made extreme predictions about the complete break down of Chinese civil society when Zero Covid was lifted due to mass covid spread. To the point where foreigners would not be able to get flights out of the country. In hindsight manufacturing chaos yes, breakdown of civil society no.
A lot of Peter's videos make you feel good. But he is just Fox News, don't trust the mother fucker. He exaggerates everything.
May be making progress, but making progress as a nobody, after this is done and over, Russia is a nobody.Also is India really that important to Russia anymore? I would say no as Russia is making headways with China, Iran and Saudi Arabia.
Not that you'd expect any different.. they got rich off nazi massacres of the jews, now they'll get rich off Russian massacres of the ukrainians!
GENEVA —
Swiss neutrality is more important than ever, President Alain Berset said in an interview published Sunday, defending the controversial ban on transferring Swiss-made arms to Ukraine.
"Swiss weapons must not be used in wars," he told the NZZ am Sonntag weekly.
Hmm, that bad?? He was right about the breakdown in China - it just didn't last (dear sir, that boot on my neck hurts). If his facts on Ukraine are bogus, that would bother me. As far as his 'chicken little' stance WRT to coming economic conditions in various parts of the world - I think he is exaggerating impact of the threats to the economic world order. That said, many of the threats he refers to are actually real; it's really a matter of how the major powers react to these threats that will determine actual outcomes. His estimates of how rapidly the US could re-industrialize should China falter have to be off by a lot. We lack the necessary number of manufacturing and process engineers, for example, to build out plants and equipment. We outsourced those specialties to China - because Chinese engineers were cheap, capable and worked for the manufacturing plants that US companies were contracting. An economic collapse of China would put the world into recession, or worse - so the west will make appropriate accommodations. Encouraging re-shoring as well as transition of manufacturing to less troublesome countries are some steps already in progress.I have seen enough of Peter Zeihan's videos to know he can and will repeat bold face falsehoods.
EV's Not-so-little Dirty Secret(s) - Zeihan on Geopolitics
EVs in their current form are a disaster strategically, economically and environmentally, and that's before you consider the withering of Tesla.zeihan.com
Peter turns out tons of videos predicting everything, and it is difficult to search through them all. But Peter made extreme predictions about the complete break down of Chinese civil society when Zero Covid was lifted due to mass covid spread. To the point where foreigners would not be able to get flights out of the country. In hindsight manufacturing chaos yes, breakdown of civil society no.
A lot of Peter's videos make you feel good. But he is just Fox News, don't trust the mother fucker. He exaggerates everything.
Hmm, that bad?? He was right about the breakdown in China - it just didn't last (dear sir, that boot on my neck hurts). If his facts on Ukraine are bogus, that would bother me. As far as his 'chicken little' stance WRT to coming economic conditions in various parts of the world - I think he is exaggerating impact of the threats to the economic world order. That said, many of the threats he refers to are actually real; it's really a matter of how the major powers react to these threats that will determine actual outcomes. His estimates of how rapidly the US could re-industrialize should China falter have to be off by a lot. We lack the necessary number of manufacturing and process engineers, for example, to build out plants and equipment. We outsourced those specialties to China - because Chinese engineers were cheap, capable and worked for the manufacturing plants that US companies were contracting. An economic collapse of China would put the world into recession, or worse - so the west will make appropriate accommodations. Encouraging re-shoring as well as transition of manufacturing to less troublesome countries are some steps already in progress.
/steps off soapbox
They can have "neutrality" or an arms export business, not both.