Russia on brink of ... NOPE! Russia INVADES Ukraine!

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Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,574
7,637
136
From what I have gathered, NATO is vastly out numbered by Russia in the region. By no less than 10 to 1.
Unless we mobilize and deploy more forces.
 
Dec 10, 2005
24,432
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From what I have gathered, NATO is vastly out numbered by Russia in the region. By no less than 10 to 1.
Unless we mobilize and deploy more forces.
Last I checked, Ukraine is not a NATO member and Russia is only planning an invasion of Ukraine. We don't need to mobilize and maintain a 1:1 parity with Russian forces that are planning an invasion of a country not under the NATO umbrella.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,809
49,497
136
Last I checked, Ukraine is not a NATO member and Russia is only planning an invasion of Ukraine. We don't need to mobilize and maintain a 1:1 parity with Russian forces that are planning an invasion of a country not under the NATO umbrella.
If we did fight Russia, which we won't, we also wouldn't need a 1:1 parity or anything particularly close to it to obliterate them. Russia's armed forces are a lot better than they were but they are still very far behind the US.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,574
7,637
136
Last I checked, Ukraine is not a NATO member and Russia is only planning an invasion of Ukraine. We don't need to mobilize and maintain a 1:1 parity with Russian forces that are planning an invasion of a country not under the NATO umbrella.

I am sure China is giddy at the thought of an American retreat from the world stage, free for them and despots like Russia to kill and enslave whomever they so choose. Taiwan had best prepare to be next.

This is the world that you want?
 
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StinkyPinky

Diamond Member
Jul 6, 2002
6,831
877
126
I don't understands China's end game here. They should be shutting this down, not encouraging it. Showing support for an international pariah is just going to spook western firms from manufacturing in that country. I hope, finally, we see some sanity and western companies start moving back home. Worst thing the world did was to outsource to China.
 
Reactions: hal2kilo

vi edit

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 28, 1999
62,403
8,199
126
I don't understands China's end game here. They should be shutting this down, not encouraging it. Showing support for an international pariah is just going to spook western firms from manufacturing in that country. I hope, finally, we see some sanity and western companies start moving back home. Worst thing the world did was to outsource to China.

Further weakening of western powers and alliances. China's got it's own problems and internal issues to worry about. They are on a crash course of not having enough people to support themselves. I'm sure there's probably some way of routing Russian oil back through them to get around sanctions and effectively "resource launder".
 

brycejones

Lifer
Oct 18, 2005
26,682
24,991
136
I am sure China is giddy at the thought of an American retreat from the world stage, free for them and despots like Russia to kill and enslave whomever they so choose. Taiwan had best prepare to be next.

This is the world that you want?
what do you want to see happen?
 

senseamp

Lifer
Feb 5, 2006
35,787
6,195
126
I don't understands China's end game here. They should be shutting this down, not encouraging it. Showing support for an international pariah is just going to spook western firms from manufacturing in that country. I hope, finally, we see some sanity and western companies start moving back home. Worst thing the world did was to outsource to China.
China only benefits from spat between the West and Russia. If Europe stops buying Russian oil and gas, that's more for China to buy at a lower price. They gain competitiveness at the expense of the Europeans. And it makes China invulnerable to US naval blockade for its energy needs if a confrontation breaks out over Taiwan. If you look at WW2, both the invasion of the USSR and Pearl Harbor were largely driven by Germany and Japan's insecurity over oil supplies. Here, the West's spat with Russia is delivering China a secure over-land supply of natural resources on a silver platter. Why wouldn't they take it? The real question is why is the West working so hard to bring Russia and China together, contrary to common sense? Just to avoid saying the obvious out loud, which is NATO will not expand to the Ukraine?They are giving China two things that Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan had to go to war to unsuccessfully try to accomplish. Over a promise to not do something they aren't going to do anyway. It's sheer idiocy. There really isn't a clown bus big enough for Biden's foreign policy team. And they started out so well by actually getting out of Afghanistan. Not sure if it's different people, or a broken clock being right twice a day.
 
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Artorias

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2014
2,134
1,411
136
Riddle me this. If America is a net exporter of oil why in the world is Europe not buying from America? The most idiotic thing European nations continue to do depend on Russian oil.

I understand the costs are higher, but surely a unilateral treaty would be a boon for domestic, and NATO security.
 

sportage

Lifer
Feb 1, 2008
11,493
3,159
136
Those f-ing pig headed Americans currently living in Ukraine, that refuse to get the hell out of Ukraine NOW, had better not expect Joe Biden to send in the troops to bail them out. Just as Biden has said and made quite clear, GET THE HELL OUT OF UKRAINE... NOW!!!
And notice, republicans in congress are already putting the blame on Biden for what those pig headed Americans are refusing to do. Typical morons.
 

feralkid

Lifer
Jan 28, 2002
16,577
4,659
136
Riddle me this. If America is a net exporter of oil why in the world is Europe not buying from America? The most idiotic thing European nations continue to do depend on Russian oil.

I understand the costs are higher, but surely a unilateral treaty would be a boon for domestic, and NATO security.


I think it's more of a natural gas issue, not "oil" per se.


Until there is a pipeline under the Atlantic (probably never) or shit-tons of enormous CNG Tankers, it will always be cheaper and more reliable (even from Putin, usually) for much of Europe to source Natural Gas from overland infrastructure.
 
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cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
23,546
13,113
136
Hmmm… Lets say a mistake occurs and Putin shoots down a NATO plane… Another accident happens and bullets fly before the grownups can stop it.. it flies out of control… NATO boots on the ground in Ukraine, cause, if we can limit it to Ukraine lets do that, no designs on Moscow.
Still. How would China react to a little skirmish NATO vs. Putin?
 

dphantom

Diamond Member
Jan 14, 2005
4,763
327
126
If it is going to happen it will start in the next two weeks I believe. Russia has deployed roughly 60% of their ground and air combat power and simply cannot sustain that for a long period of time. The same with naval forces in the black Sea. The US expects by the 16th and that is a reasonable supposition.

Based on analysis from independent military observers, barring major concessions (at a minimum the Minsk accords) Russia cannot afford to back down. But all 3 sides (Ukraine, separatists and Russia) have violated the accords and any solution is very unlikely at this point.
 

njdevilsfan87

Platinum Member
Apr 19, 2007
2,331
251
126
I am sure China is giddy at the thought of an American retreat from the world stage, free for them and despots like Russia to kill and enslave whomever they so choose. Taiwan had best prepare to be next.

This is the world that you want?

If the US is truly becoming energy indepednent (up for debate), then it should be exiting the world stage. That's unfortunately going to involve letting places like Taiwan go. I think the US is already preparing for this: Biden is putting $52B towards building the largest chip fab in the world right here in the US (in Ohio to be more specific).

A future of self-sufficiency might actually be better for the US and one that avoids internal collapse.
 

senseamp

Lifer
Feb 5, 2006
35,787
6,195
126
Riddle me this. If America is a net exporter of oil why in the world is Europe not buying from America? The most idiotic thing European nations continue to do depend on Russian oil.
I understand the costs are higher, but surely a unilateral treaty would be a boon for domestic, and NATO security.
You answered your own question.
Those f-ing pig headed Americans currently living in Ukraine, that refuse to get the hell out of Ukraine NOW, had better not expect Joe Biden to send in the troops to bail them out. Just as Biden has said and made quite clear, GET THE HELL OUT OF UKRAINE... NOW!!!
And notice, republicans in congress are already putting the blame on Biden for what those pig headed Americans are refusing to do. Typical morons.
They are enjoying themselves, actually helping that country, and not buying into the hysteria. If you haven't been to the Ukraine, I highly recommend. Especially now that everything is half off on the invasion hype. Kiev is a major European capital city but for quarter the price of Paris or London. And you get to see a historical moment and enjoy the atmosphere, even if it's a touch cheesy and a giant nothing-burger in the end, still pretty adorable to see them all patriotic and stuff.
 

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
23,546
13,113
136
If it is going to happen it will start in the next two weeks I believe. Russia has deployed roughly 60% of their ground and air combat power and simply cannot sustain that for a long period of time. The same with naval forces in the black Sea. The US expects by the 16th and that is a reasonable supposition.

Based on analysis from independent military observers, barring major concessions (at a minimum the Minsk accords) Russia cannot afford to back down. But all 3 sides (Ukraine, separatists and Russia) have violated the accords and any solution is very unlikely at this point.
Yea its 50/50 now I reckon… not that I have military insight or anything… But I do think I understand Putins character a little bit. He could take it to the absolute brinck where everyone thinks he is gonna do it including his own generals… just to pull em back at the last millisecond. He thrives on that chaos, being an unpredictable madman superpower… its in that atmosphere he outplays everyone else. Thats the only reason I still see a way out in all this.
 

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
23,546
13,113
136
If the US is truly becoming energy indepednent (up for debate), then it should be exiting the world stage. That's unfortunately going to involve letting places like Taiwan go. I think the US is already preparing for this: Biden is putting $52B towards building the largest chip fab in the world right here in the US (in Ohio to be more specific).

A future of self-sufficiency might actually be better for the US and one that avoids internal collapse.

And when the rest of the planet unites, one way or the other, under ccp or another regime, 380 million fat americans boxed in by 7 billion people of the fourth reich.
Thats a great idea.
 

Tup3x

Golden Member
Dec 31, 2016
1,012
1,002
136
To me it looks like Russia will either start the invasion next week or not at all. They probably do Ukraine the same thing as they did to us (Finland) in WW2 - say that Ukrainians started artillery fire or something like that.

One never knows about Russia. I doubt that they ever start a real conflict with NATO country but since Finland for example isn't a NATO country who knows what country they start to bully next. That being said, I doubt they'd try invading EU country... but if small scale world war start, I have no doubt that we are first in line. Because they want to secure sea passage to Saint Petersburg or something.
 

boxleitnerb

Platinum Member
Nov 1, 2011
2,601
2
81
And when the rest of the planet unites, one way or the other, under ccp or another regime, 380 million fat americans boxed in by 7 billion people of the fourth reich.
Thats a great idea.

And I thought we're having serious discussions here. Humans are much too selfish and quarrelsome to unite like that. Especially China is much more interested in Africa and its resources and as a market for Chinese goods.
 

Iron Woode

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 10, 1999
30,937
12,438
136

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
23,546
13,113
136
And I thought we're having serious discussions here. Humans are much too selfish and quarrelsome to unite like that. Especially China is much more interested in Africa and its resources and as a market for Chinese goods.
one way or the other. I did not say it would be willingly.
Anyway if you do not see a confrontation of ideas down the line I dont know what to tell you.
Western democracies are a threat to everyone else. Why? Why did escape from East Berlin to Western Berlin, from North Korea to South Korea, from Soviet Union to USA and beyond. Personal liberty, freedom to be, escape from prosecution.
The very existence of us, is a threat, to these regimes, no warmongering required.
However at current technological levels its not really possible for the people to rise against it oppressors like in China, its squashed before it begins. Same with Russia. Russia almost toppled US democracy just now, may still succeed. Operations is ongoing in Europe as well.

If we dont stay shoulder to shoulder, divided we fall. Fact.

Maybe this personal liberty is the odd ball in history, it could never really last. You’re right. Lets roll over and die.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,863
34,808
136
To me it looks like Russia will either start the invasion next week or not at all. They probably do Ukraine the same thing as they did to us (Finland) in WW2 - say that Ukrainians started artillery fire or something like that.

One never knows about Russia. I doubt that they ever start a real conflict with NATO country but since Finland for example isn't a NATO country who knows what country they start to bully next. That being said, I doubt they'd try invading EU country... but if small scale world war start, I have no doubt that we are first in line. Because they want to secure sea passage to Saint Petersburg or something.

Putin won't fight NATO because he likes lopsided advantages which would all instantly disappear if he attacked say the Baltic nations in the alliance. Anything that could draw the US and Europe into the field with advanced weapons is real real bad for him and the US (for better or worse) has had lots of practice in recent decades.
 
Reactions: Ajay
Mar 11, 2004
23,177
5,641
146
Putin won't fight NATO because he likes lopsided advantages which would all instantly disappear if he attacked say the Baltic nations in the alliance. Anything that could draw the US and Europe into the field with advanced weapons is real real bad for him and the US (for better or worse) has had lots of practice in recent decades.

Yeah he gains nothing by actually triggering a fight with anyone more than a single disadvantaged country as that exposes what a fraud Russia's military is. He also has nothing to gain by trying to push nukes as everyone will call his bluff and use it to further slap him down (hence any saber rattling towards other major powers will fall flat). He's seeing how far the US will actually go, as there's multiple other countries that would like to know, that Russia just happens to be friendly with.

Something that no one else has brought up though. I think this has something to do with Israel. I'm not joking. They have been buddying up, and Israel is trying to stamp out getting called out for their apartheid. The argument that Israel has been using to justify that behavior is the same that Russia is using with regards to Ukraine. If just Israel or just Russia is doing that, something might be done about it. But when they both do it, that can stymie it (at least at the UN) since either side of the typical alliances arguing that as rationale for action/sanctions can point to the other (which they won't want to deal with). And it further pushes the right wingers associating with Russia (which they use in multiple ways). Even though Israel got Bibi out, they didn't really change much, and at this point Israel is desperate to keep from having their transgressions called out.
 
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