I called this as a loss for Russia on February 26. Way less than 48 hours into the invasion. Not sure why so many so-called military experts didn't recognize it and still don't recognize it. Not sure why it's taking Putin so long to recognize it either. While I'm sure his people are hiding the extent of the failure but you can't hide all this.
It's looking a bit like Putin may have miscalculated here more than a little.
From into that thread:
I’m not. I’m now predicting a slow grind where Ukraine halts and begins to recover areas lost.I'm extremely surprised this has gone on this long. I fully expected Russia to more or less roll over Ukrainian defenses within the first week. I'm happy I was wrong...but still expect Russia to finally win...in one form or another. (how much damage Russia can tolerate will be the determining factor to win/lose and by how much.) I wouldn't be surprised...or disappointed to see Putin "have a heart attack" and calmer heads prevail in Russia however.
Precisely my point. Japan attacked us. Germany declared war on us many days after the fact. So why was our primary focus during the war the conflict in Europe and not the pacific theater? After all Japan attacked us and precipitated our entry into the war. Why was our focus on the nation/axis that didn't foment our entry into the war?We declared war on Japan following the December 7, 1941 attacks on Pearl Harbor. Germany and Italy declared war on us a few days later.
Well, there certainly was a "Germany First" push in Congress and in parts of Roosevelt's admin, himself included. But Roosevelt wavered back and forth on that...remember that less than 5 mos. after Pearl Harbor the U.S. did bomb Tokyo. Symbolic, I know, but even that counts. The U.S. Navy's victory in Midway was just 6 months after Pearl Harbor...Precisely my point. Japan attacked us. Germany declared war on us many days after the fact. So why was our primary focus during the war the conflict in Europe and not the pacific theater? After all Japan attacked us and precipitated our entry into the war. Why was our focus on the nation/axis that didn't foment our entry into the war?
There were conversations earlier in the year well before Pearl here it was agreed Germany was the bigger threat. This was due to the very real fear that they might defeat the Soviets and turn continental Europe into an unassailable fortress. The Japanese had a larger logistical hurdle in the Pacific that would theoretically slow them down. And when it didn't the defeat of naval forces at Java, the Indian ocean and Pearl meant the Allies we're better suited to defense. Also keep in mind the Pacific got some 300,000 US troops deployed in the first 6 months compared to 100,000 to Europe and the first major offensive was in the Pacific (Guadalcanal). Men and material deployments would remain relatively equal until 1944.Precisely my point. Japan attacked us. Germany declared war on us many days after the fact. So why was our primary focus during the war the conflict in Europe and not the pacific theater? After all Japan attacked us and precipitated our entry into the war. Why was our focus on the nation/axis that didn't foment our entry into the war?
Predicting? They've recaptured territory consistently since the first weekend of the invasion, and within the past few days have made some significant recaptures. This has been a total failure of an invasion on every front. The only battles Russia can count as "successful" are shelling civilian areas and temporarily holding supermarkets just long enough to steal some food for their starving troops.I’m not. I’m now predicting a slow grind where Ukraine halts and begins to recover areas lost.
Ukraines moral is high and they are being resupplied.
The Russian army appears to be mostly rotten from the conscripts all the way to the upper echelons.
Putin will continue to wratchet the pressure up until something gives. I’m just not sure if it will be Ukraine capitulating, Putins position as President/Dictator crumbling, or full blown war with NATO due to direct attack or Russia stepping over the line (genocide, chemical or nuclear attack on UK)
Disagree.I'm extremely surprised this has gone on this long. I fully expected Russia to more or less roll over Ukrainian defenses within the first week. I'm happy I was wrong...but still expect Russia to finally win...in one form or another. (how much damage Russia can tolerate will be the determining factor to win/lose and by how much.) I wouldn't be surprised...or disappointed to see Putin "have a heart attack" and calmer heads prevail in Russia however.
Disagree.
Russia is going to lose.
#1 factor: The Ukraine air force still exists and is flying missions.
It does not matter who you are, without air superiority your not going to win any sort of invasion or occupation.
I'll give my offhanded take. Britain was a pretty close ally and as it turned out the pretty much the only European country in opposition to the Axis that didn't fall to Nazi occupation. I think Germany was a greater threat than the Japanese (also Germany was allied with Italy). However, I'm not aware that we didn't take the threat of Japan very seriously. I've never heard that before.Precisely my point. Japan attacked us. Germany declared war on us many days after the fact. So why was our primary focus during the war the conflict in Europe and not the pacific theater? After all Japan attacked us and precipitated our entry into the war. Why was our focus on the nation/axis that didn't foment our entry into the war?
You know what the hip crowd used to say during the 1960's here in America ? "Don't trust anyone over 30." Staying young ain't easy. Ah, but getting old just plain sucks...Seems like it's the same old story everywhere
‘My mother says I am betraying Russia’: Putin’s invasion divides the generations
Families torn apart as younger Russians opposing war in Ukraine fall out with older relatives reliant on diet of state propagandawww.theguardian.com
going just swell eh?
Russia asks China for weapons, U.S. officials say
https://www.washingtonpost.com/worl...live-updates/#link-UD2Q4MAMAJEAZO5TUEYSMNX4JA
In what state of repair? And have they got crews for the gear? Or will they draft conscripts?how many troops, planes etc does russia have left? shit loads.
despite putin's lame rhetoric, Russia, unlike in ww2, has not been attacked, nor threatened by ukraine or nato or europe. with imminent invasions etc. so in terms of a national imperative to defeat a perilous enemy. we have the situation as it is now. where putin for his reasons (tenure, internal politics, show of power as their leader) has pushed for the annexation of ukraine. whatever he can get out of it.In what state of repair? And have they got crews for the gear? Or will they draft conscripts?
Given that the mighty Russian military is happy to take foreign fighters to help out pretty much says it all. They are either running out of troops, or some analyst figures finally got to Putin and he saw that he needs a shit tonne more troops to hold Ukraine.
Atm I think Putin's strategy is to wait for the Ukraine's President to eat a bullet and then do a deal with the next incoming leadership.
Anything else will be a complete loss of face for Putin and his Empire.
You know what the hip crowd used to say during the 1960's here in America ? "Don't trust anyone over 30." Staying young ain't easy. Ah, but getting old just plain sucks...
A couple of books: Jerry Rubin's "Do it." Abbie Hoffman's "Revolution for the Hell of it."
Do It!: Scenarios of the Revolution by Jerry Rubin ...
https://www.goodreads.com › book › show
This book is a declaration of war between generations.. Its an invitation for the kids to leave homes, burn down their schools and create a new society upon the ...
Azovs is not the government of Ukraine. Its a tiny fraction out of 44mil people.It isn't just an accusation. Azovs are Nazis.
Here China chance to see how their weapons do in combat.Putin really exposed his country. This is why I don't buy this Russia is trying to provoke the US into war. They have their hands full already with Ukraine, let alone a real Superpower, with a real military in the US.
It isn't just an accusation. Azovs are Nazis.
I think it's was directly from an old cold war playbook. Look up Operation Gladio Arsewoods stay behind insurgents mission drift.
Ukrainian Nationalist Volunteers Committing 'ISIS-Style' War Crimes
Images of what appeared to be the severed heads of two hostages circulated on social media, after a report by Amnesty International accused both sides of war crimeswww.newsweek.com
I watch Dan and another channel called Different Russia so I can get their perspectives on things.Videos from a Russian family living in Russia, that you may have heard of. Been following his videos for a long time. Nice people. They call their followers ADORABLES.
Another viewpoint from within.
https://youtu.be/LyPtRg8O_b8
I think we would all agree if there is any country that’s reminiscent of the Nazis in this case it is Russia.It isn't just an accusation. Azovs are Nazis.
I think it's was directly from an old cold war playbook. Look up Operation Gladio Arsewoods stay behind insurgents mission drift.
Ukrainian Nationalist Volunteers Committing 'ISIS-Style' War Crimes
Images of what appeared to be the severed heads of two hostages circulated on social media, after a report by Amnesty International accused both sides of war crimeswww.newsweek.com