Russia on brink of ... NOPE! Russia INVADES Ukraine!

[Roger Wilco]

Ukraine gets more Iranian ammunition.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1572209383542603780

 

[Roger Wilco]

Russian stocks getting wrecked today following rumors of mobilization.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1572199989107118080

 

[kage69]

It's just science.

 

[vi edit]

How many men are going to be left in Russia and Ukraine for the next 20-30 years? The attrition of birth rates is going to be disastrous. Of course there's a reason Russia is stealing kids.

 

[RnR_au]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1572203034305855488

I think we are entering either the end game ie regime change, or a long winded affair. Mobilisation will take time. So maybe late Feb next year.

Or it could be a massive bluff to drag Ukraine to the negotiation table.

 

[KMFJD]

In regard to the referendums being hastily done -

Some basic analysis of how things may change for soldiers in the event Russia formally annexes currently occupied territories even without full mobilization.
- Russia will be able to send regular conscripts to serve on occupied territories (without participating in combat). Not that they didn't do this as is, but they'll be able to ramp it up under a fully legal pretense.
- Contract soldiers can be sent to fight on annexed territories without their say. Again, didn't stop anyone from sending a bunch of people to 'military games' in the first days of the war, but if then some soldiers managed to not go, and then go to court and win, when they were branded as deserters, now they'll have zero recourse.
- Soldiers won't receive any bonuses/per diem for being deployed abroad. May or may not happen, but without another law addressing this, they'll be downgraded to regular pay, as if they serve somewhere in Voronezh

 

[RnR_au]

Seems the recent Samarkand meeting has crystalised Putin's thoughts...

https://twitter.com/x/status/1572230335714459649

Russia is effectively alone, with the exception of Iran and North Korea.

 

[kage69]

A washing machine, how about that...

https://imgur.com/jJcqa8X

 

[rommelrommel]

Do you even see the complete lack of internal logic here?

If I ever find this guy on the street I'm gonna annex his wallet and then shoot him in self defence if he tries to resist. Makes sense, nyet?

 

[Brovane]

A new article from the WSJ about some of the desperate fighting in the early days of invasion.

The Ragtag Army That Won the Battle of Kyiv and Saved Ukraine

 

[K1052]

Ukraine gets more Iranian ammunition.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1572209383542603780

Wonder what country the CIA is using as a go between to get this stuff. So far the Iranians appear unbothered this is happening.

 

[rommelrommel]

I would assume the main Iranian interest is hard currency.

 

[K1052]

I would assume the main Iranian interest is hard currency.

Hopefully their shells work better than their drones.

 

[K1052]

If Putin announces mobilization (even partially) and annexation that is likely to have a direct effect on the size of the Ukraine aid being considered for the upcoming continuing resolution. Current ask is $12B more and its got the votes. This would almost certainly increase with additional provocative moves from Moscow.

 

[Leeea]

Hopefully their shells work better than their drones.

I thought it was ironic Russia has to use old North Korean ammunition stock, while Ukraine gets the newly made Iranian ammo.


We do need to convert Ukraine over to NATO though. It turns out our stuff is just better.

 

[K1052]

I thought it was ironic Russia has to use old North Korean ammunition stock, while Ukraine gets the newly made Iranian ammo.


We do need to convert Ukraine over to NATO though. It turns out our stuff is just better.

Realistically it's going to take a couple years to produce sufficient guns to replace their soviet era stocks. Reportedly they really like the 105mm M119/L119 guns they received so I assume they'll buy licensed copies at some point to replace the 122mm soviet tubes.

 

[Zorba]

Wonder what country the CIA is using as a go between to get this stuff. So far the Iranians appear unbothered this is happening.

Are these not Russian donations?

 

[cytg111]

Just cut his damned head off already!

 

[cliftonite]

If Putin announces mobilization (even partially) and annexation that is likely to have a direct effect on the size of the Ukraine aid being considered for the upcoming continuing resolution. Current ask is $12B more and its got the votes. This would almost certainly increase with additional provocative moves from Moscow.

When do we start using some of that $300B in frozen assets to fund this?

 

[Roger Wilco]

Seems Putin’s speech is delayed, but that does not necessarily indicate anything.

Maybe someone is escorting him to a window 🤞

 

[Leeea]

When do we start using some of that $300B in frozen assets to fund this?

That probably is not going to unfreeze until after the war crimes trials are over.

 

[Leeea]

Strange things afoot in Russia. Lots of rumors swirling today.

Spoiler: hide twitter link

https://twitter.com/x/status/1572210922088988676

I am seeing a unconfirmed rumor men 18 to 65 being prohibited from leaving the country.


Looks like @whyitso will get to find out what it is to "win" the Russian lottery. I wonder if he will be the one to get the Mosin–Nagant, or the one to get the ammo?


If the rumors are true, he will be able to reenact this scene in real life:

Spoiler: human wave charge

The question is, will he be cut down by his "nazis", or by the commissioners from his own government?

 

[K1052]

When do we start using some of that $300B in frozen assets to fund this?

I'm all for seized funds to be spent on Ukrainian defense and reconstruction.

 

[K1052]

Are these not Russian donations?

They've been seen before the latest offensive so it would seem to argue against it. Some people think these are possibly intercepted Houthi supplies but the logistics (sheer weight) are problematic and they haven't been seen before there.

Most likely explanation is the CIA has a go between country purchasing large quantities of shells from Iran and are shipping them to Ukraine.

 

[Artorias]

Strange things afoot in Russia. Lots of rumors swirling today.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1572210922088988676

Doubling down on stupid.