Discussion Ryzen 9 3900X and 3950X supply issues - long term problem?

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A///

Diamond Member
Feb 24, 2017
4,352
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And if you really like Mark, you'd gift him a 3990X.

I'm holding off til Zen 3 myself. It's going to be dead, socket wise, but I'm not looking to jump on the bandwagon for Zen 4 with DDR5, PCIe 5 and so on.
 

Kocicak

Senior member
Jan 17, 2019
982
973
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Situation in the Czech republic:

3900X commonly available, price starting to decrease to the list price level.
3950X nowhere to be found, the largest retailer lists it as "not available", which is weird.

I guess that at AMD they do not care much if people will buy 3950X or the upcoming successor.
 
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Topweasel

Diamond Member
Oct 19, 2000
5,436
1,655
136
Situation in the Czech republic:

3900X commonly available, price starting to decrease to the list price level.
3950X nowhere to be found, the largest retailer lists it as "not available", which is weird.

I guess that at AMD they do not care much if people will buy 3950X or the upcoming successor.
No what they don't want to do is have an overstock of expensive chips using dies that in demand. You still don't seem to understand the economics of businesses yet. AMD is sensitive to unsold stock they have run into this before. The chiplet design means that there is less risk here by slowly ramping up production to meet demand so that they aren't increasing production for pent up demand and therefore don't run into an over supply issue once that pent up demand has been met. If you want to read a little about why this matters, read on how the Wii almost killed Nintendo rather then save them.
 
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CHADBOGA

Platinum Member
Mar 31, 2009
2,135
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Situation in the Czech republic:

3900X commonly available, price starting to decrease to the list price level.
3950X nowhere to be found, the largest retailer lists it as "not available", which is weird.

I guess that at AMD they do not care much if people will buy 3950X or the upcoming successor.
We both know the chip AMD should have released.
 

Kocicak

Senior member
Jan 17, 2019
982
973
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... there is less risk here by slowly ramping up production to meet demand.
They are ramping up the production so slowly and carefully that some customers unable to buy the product will give up and instead wait for the successor, which will be here probably after just few months after 3950x becomes commonly available. That is why I wrote that at this point AMD probably does not care if people buy 3950X or the next product. The next product will be possibly even more interesting to customers (even to current Intel users) than the current one anyway.
 

Kenmitch

Diamond Member
Oct 10, 1999
8,505
2,249
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They are ramping up the production so slowly and carefully that some customers unable to buy the product will give up and instead wait for the successor, which will be here probably after just few months after 3950x becomes commonly available. That is why I wrote that at this point AMD probably does not care if people buy 3950X or the next product. The next product will be possibly even more interesting to customers (even to current Intel users) than the current one anyway.

Only AMD knows how many they've made, sold, and are currently in the pipeline. In reality all it takes is for a couple major OEM's to jump on the bandwagon and order them by the thousands to disrupt the flow to the retail market.


I doubt Dell is the only one that's jumped on so far. I'm sure many box builders are shifting towards the 3950x as a alternative to the 3900x offerings currently being sold.

If Dell offered to buy 10,000 would you deny them and say you'd rather sell them 1 at a time in the retail chain? Would you fulfill their order 1st or would you make them wait till the retail chain was saturated?
 
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Topweasel

Diamond Member
Oct 19, 2000
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They are ramping up the production so slowly and carefully that some customers unable to buy the product will give up and instead wait for the successor, which will be here probably after just few months after 3950x becomes commonly available. That is why I wrote that at this point AMD probably does not care if people buy 3950X or the next product. The next product will be possibly even more interesting to customers (even to current Intel users) than the current one anyway.
Again basic Economics. It is in AMD's best interest, keep short of meeting demand now so that in the long run they don't exceed demand. They aren't keeping them out of the market to get people to buy Ryzen 4k next year. What they are doing is not reacting to shortages in current supply, just because the up front demand is high, to flood the market with high priced products that might not sell well once pent up demand is met.
 

uzzi38

Platinum Member
Oct 16, 2019
2,702
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Situation in the Czech republic:

3900X commonly available, price starting to decrease to the list price level.
3950X nowhere to be found, the largest retailer lists it as "not available", which is weird.

I guess that at AMD they do not care much if people will buy 3950X or the upcoming successor.

Sounds a lot like the 10980XE, which also is nowhere to be found for the most part.
 

Kocicak

Senior member
Jan 17, 2019
982
973
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That is a different seller, not newegg. Letting other companies sell stuff on your website is highly questionable in my opinion.

Well the 3950X is being sold at least, I had one. The other day I saw an add from somebody selling his 3900X because he got 3950X. So at least two 3950X have been delivered here, provided he did not buy the same CPU which I returned.

I got it from the same retailer which now lists it as not available. The same retailer has 3960X and 3970X in stock in 5+ quantity, so they must be able to get CPUs.
 
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Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
5,593
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Sounds a lot like the 10980XE, which also is nowhere to be found for the most part.

3950x has been shipped (seemingly worldwide) in limited quantities. The 10980XE has been shipped no where yet as far as anyone can determine. Best estimate we have on availability so far is mid-February according to the BHPhoto pre-order page.
 

uzzi38

Platinum Member
Oct 16, 2019
2,702
6,405
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3950x has been shipped (seemingly worldwide) in limited quantities. The 10980XE has been shipped no where yet as far as anyone can determine. Best estimate we have on availability so far is mid-February according to the BHPhoto pre-order page.
Some people have been able to pick them up, so there is some availability, but meme volumes. Especially when you consider this is the third refresh of the same product.
 
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Gideon

Golden Member
Nov 27, 2007
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Some people have been able to pick them up, so there is some availability, but meme volumes. Especially when you consider this is the third refresh of the same product.

It seems some are appearing now in Eastern Europe. Since launch there were only single digits in stock here, that were immediately sold out. Now, the biggest Estonian retailer seemingly has 20+ in stock (on premise!), though with a very high markup.

IMO that's quite good for one retailer in a a country with a population of only 1.3 Million.
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
5,593
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Some people have been able to pick them up, so there is some availability, but meme volumes. Especially when you consider this is the third refresh of the same product.

I haven't seen reports if then being available at all in retail but I checked nowinstock.net and it says that the 10980xe was in stock once at newegg for several minutes a few days ago, so it seems like at least a handful have made it out so far. No other retailers have shown it being in stock though according to nowinstock.
 

Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,106
136
Geez, AMD must be having a hell of a time binning a top pair of 8 core dice.
 

Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
25,740
14,772
136
Geez, AMD must be having a hell of a time binning a top pair of 8 core dice.
I don't think thats it. From what I read, and the 3900x availability, its that the existing stock is being sent to OEMs and there is little left for retail. I am sure by Jan or Feb, this will change. The 3900x is now mostly available, and at MSRP.

Edit: Its only $494 at Amazon right now ! (the 3900x)
 
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Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,106
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I don't think thats it. From what I read, and the 3900x availability, its that the existing stock is being sent to OEMs and there is little left for retail. I am sure by Jan or Feb, this will change. The 3900x is now mostly available, and at MSRP.

Edit: Its only $494 at Amazon right now ! (the 3900x)
There has only one indication that OEMs are snapping up the 3950x (Dell/Alienware). It took 4+ months to get good availability on the 3900x, and there was no big OEM buy-in on that cpu.
 

Kedas

Senior member
Dec 6, 2018
355
339
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If stores are listing that they have no 3950X in stock it doesn't mean they aren't shipping any. (so that's not a good reference)
In my online store it is still "Delivery time: Unknown"
But it did get shipped 10 days after my order.

I'm more worried about how long I will need to wait for an valve index VR set, I can't even order one.
 
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UsandThem

Elite Member
May 4, 2000
16,068
7,380
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That is a different seller, not newegg. Letting other companies sell stuff on your website is highly questionable in my opinion.

Well the 3950X is being sold at least, I had one. The other day I saw an add from somebody selling his 3900X because he got 3950X. So at least two 3950X have been delivered here, provided he did not buy the same CPU which I returned.
So after you bought and returned so many CPUs as being "defective", which you later admitted you bought and returned a 3900X because you couldn't afford it, returned a 3800X because it was overkill for your PC use, yet you now went out and bought a 3950X?

So how many days are you planning on keeping it before returning it to the retailer as "defective"?
 
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Kenmitch

Diamond Member
Oct 10, 1999
8,505
2,249
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There has only one indication that OEMs are snapping up the 3950x (Dell/Alienware). It took 4+ months to get good availability on the 3900x, and there was no big OEM buy-in on that cpu.

Go to Amazon and search for 3900x gaming pc and see how many different brands there are. Maybe not in Dell's league, but they do add up in the end. Most likely all of them will be offering the 3950x's in the not so distant future.
 

Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
25,740
14,772
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Actually, you can buy one right now... At scalper prices. Newegg has it from DealsADay for $1290 and Amazon has it from Platinum Micro for $1290..

So they are shipping. Just not in quantity from the vendors we use.
 
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JoeRambo

Golden Member
Jun 13, 2013
1,814
2,105
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It seems some are appearing now in Eastern Europe. Since launch there were only single digits in stock here, that were immediately sold out. Now, the biggest Estonian retailer seemingly has 20+ in stock (on premise!), though with a very high markup.

Same here in Lithuania, probably Easter/Northern distributors got allocated a lot of units. Plenty of stock @ quite some markup?

 
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