Samsung Claims Mass Production on 14-Nanometers

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krumme

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Oct 9, 2009
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krumme

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Oct 9, 2009
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The article doesn't say if it's risk production or HVM, though.

Its says production. Flat out.
The article might be 100% wrong, but there is no problem interpreting the meaning of it.

TSMC got risk production going july as i recall. Samsung is just ahead and that correspond to everything we got of info during the last 2 months.
 

krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
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We obviously dont know anything about performance or yield but its here and its comming big time.

But at least the news more or less confirms the transistion from 20nm to 14nm finfet was perhaps even smoother than presented 2 years ago.
 

witeken

Diamond Member
Dec 25, 2013
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It's quite early for A9 HVM though since the iPhone 6s will launch in 10 months or so.
 

krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
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It's quite early for A9 HVM though since the iPhone 6s will launch in 10 months or so.

There is probably tons of kinks to sort out to get the yield where they want. Its going to be relatively big core juding by history of Apple progression, so SS needs a lot of time. A9 is mass production in the extreme from the go, so even if they start now, would we call it a slow ramp? Now they get a rev a2 in 6 months to raise yields and get ready to ramp the nessesary volume from release day.

Secondly judged by former cores an a9 on finfet, beeing able to raise freq especially with higher tdp eg. 6 watt, in my eyes seems like an extreme potent cpu - from a brute performance perspective - not even couting the lesser leaking from the finfet. That gives other possibilities than just iphone. IMO its the software stack hindering adoption. But looking at history my guess is Apple absolutely wants independence from suppliers here. They want to control everything if they can. From cpu to camera sensor to lens. And my take is they are closer on independence on the first one than the last two technologies.
 

pw257008

Senior member
Jan 11, 2014
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There is probably tons of kinks to sort out to get the yield where they want. Its going to be relatively big core juding by history of Apple progression, so SS needs a lot of time. A9 is mass production in the extreme from the go, so even if they start now, would we call it a slow ramp? Now they get a rev a2 in 6 months to raise yields and get ready to ramp the nessesary volume from release day.

Secondly judged by former cores an a9 on finfet, beeing able to raise freq especially with higher tdp eg. 6 watt, in my eyes seems like an extreme potent cpu - from a brute performance perspective - not even couting the lesser leaking from the finfet. That gives other possibilities than just iphone. IMO its the software stack hindering adoption. But looking at history my guess is Apple absolutely wants independence from suppliers here. They want to control everything if they can. From cpu to camera sensor to lens. And my take is they are closer on independence on the first one than the last two technologies.
Not only do they seem closer, camera sensors and lenses aren't quite as monopolized as high performance cpus, are they? So it makes even more sense for Apple to prioritze the CPUs, since they can likely pit suppliers for camera sensors and lenses against each other for features and price (they don't have monopsony power, but they do wield great market power) while they've got less sway over Intel, as Intel sort of stands alone. Even just having the threat of a competitive CPU gives them more power vs. Intel than it would in a more competitive market like I assume (with no real knowledge of the market, so correct me if I'm wrong) camera lenses and sensors are.
 

Khato

Golden Member
Jul 15, 2001
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Huh, sadly we likely won't know the truth to the 'production' claims until we get quarterly reports from certain equipment manufacturers in a bit over a month. Because at least through the end of Q3 we know that no one other than Intel actually has the equipment necessary for FinFET HVM.
 

krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
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Not only do they seem closer, camera sensors and lenses aren't quite as monopolized as high performance cpus, are they? So it makes even more sense for Apple to prioritze the CPUs, since they can likely pit suppliers for camera sensors and lenses against each other for features and price (they don't have monopsony power, but they do wield great market power) while they've got less sway over Intel, as Intel sort of stands alone. Even just having the threat of a competitive CPU gives them more power vs. Intel than it would in a more competitive market like I assume (with no real knowledge of the market, so correct me if I'm wrong) camera lenses and sensors are.

I think sony with their curved camera tech is perhaps getting a stronger monopolized tech for the comming years. Apple is investing like crazy in this part also but beeing able to bend the sensor is potential a huge benefit. We will see.
 
Mar 10, 2006
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Huh, sadly we likely won't know the truth to the 'production' claims until we get quarterly reports from certain equipment manufacturers in a bit over a month. Because at least through the end of Q3 we know that no one other than Intel actually has the equipment necessary for FinFET HVM.

Per Ultratech's October conference call:

As we have discussed on past conference calls, the difficult implementation of 3D FinFET microprocessors to high production manufacturing. Once again a major logic manufacturer delayed their FinFET ramp. We had then requested to prepare LSA tools for shipment for the end of the third quarter which was delayed. These LSA shipments for the most part caused our third quarter revenue to be less than projected. These LSA systems have been rescheduled for shipment in the fourth quarter.

There is anticipation of some minor ramp that we’re aware of in the fourth quarter. There is capacity in place currently. We have equipment that has been relegated to the 14 and 16 nanometer note, primarily 14. And so at this time we have capacity in place to take care of that need as they begin to ramp slowly. So we don’t see a significant ramp in Q4 in FinFETs. We see that occurring later or in 2015 and it’s really hard to project when. The current anticipation is they’re all being overly optimistic as to when they’re going to solve their problems. But the yields on the major companies right now is in the 10% to 20%. And so it's not giving them much indication as to when they’ll grow that problem, that area. So it appears to me right now and the problems aren’t really consistent in one area. They vary in the processing and possibly design.

I am reasonably confident that this "major logic manufacturer" is Samsung.
 
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Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
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Per Ultratech's October conference call:



I am reasonably confident that this "major logic manufacturer" is Samsung.

Samsung has delayed the capex for their Austin fab three times now. (not commenting on your posted info, am speaking to info I know directly)

A low-volume pilot line with barely double-digit yield does not an HVM production node make.

But it is enough to keep you out of court when you tell investors that you are "in production"...so they do have that going for them :| :hmm:
 

witeken

Diamond Member
Dec 25, 2013
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Per Ultratech's October conference call:


I am reasonably confident that this "major logic manufacturer" is Samsung.

Wow, interesting information, 20% yields seem really know, when you see people estimate that 22nm yields have to be in the 90-100% and if you know that Intel has to catch up to that with 14nm, so Intel's 14nm yields has to dwarf any foundry's 16/14 node. Very impressive. I wonder how long Intel's transistor lead is when you take yields into account. The only company I'd say that can pay for such low yields in 2015, even when they improve in 2015, is Apple.

Also fun that they say companies will try to solve these problems by moving faster to 10nm, like if they'll be able to get healthy yields on a new node while they haven't even figured out the current one .
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
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Anyone knowing Samsung knew it was nothing but PR


Did it escape you that doing such claims is punishable by laws and that they could be sued by any investor ?.

Of course not, but , hey, let s speculate wildly that Samsung is lying..
 

witeken

Diamond Member
Dec 25, 2013
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Did it escape you that doing such claims is punishable by laws and that they could be sued by any investor ?.

Of course not, but , hey, let s speculate wildly that Samsung is lying..

Saying you are in production without specifying when you have done a small ramp in not technically lying, just misleading. But by this definition, who knows how long Intel has been in 14nm production? Since Q4'13 or so.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
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Saying you are in production without specifying when you have done a small ramp in not technically lying, just misleading. But by this definition, who knows how long Intel has been in 14nm production? Since Q4'13 or so.

At this rate Samsung was also in production at the time...

The fact that they have a customer is an indication that they have at least some yields, i would call them mediocre if at 10% and good enough if at 20%, indeed that was the number posted in this very thread, now let s look at the economics.

Assuming 60mm2 chips are fabbed they would get about 1000 chips out of a waffer, at 10% yields, that is 100 chips, the cost is such that it is not worth to produce for others but since Samsung, like Intel, has a finished product that leverage the CPUs margins they could use it in high end phones at a cost of about 70-80$/chip.

For Apple it s different, they need at least 200 chips/waffer to get to 35-40$/chip, although high this cost can easily be amortized by Apple since, like Samsung and Intel, they have the mean to sell it within a high margins item, the very fact that they have this customer imply yields that are at least 20%.
 
Mar 10, 2006
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At this rate Samsung was also in production at the time...

The fact that they have a customer is an indication that they have at least some yields, i would call them mediocre if at 10% and good enough if at 20%, indeed that was the number posted in this very thread, now let s look at the economics.

Assuming 60mm2 chips are fabbed they would get about 1000 chips out of a waffer, at 10% yields, that is 100 chips, the cost is such that it is not worth to produce for others but since Samsung, like Intel, has a finished product that leverage the CPUs margins they could use it in high end phones at a cost of about 70-80$/chip.

For Apple it s different, they need at least 200 chips/waffer to get to 35-40$/chip, although high this cost can easily be amortized by Apple since, like Samsung and Intel, they have the mean to sell it within a high margins item, the very fact that they have this customer imply yields that are at least 20%.

A$35-$40 apps processor would hurt Apple's bottom line quite a bit (i.e. impact measured in billions of dollars). I think Samsung is going to take the margin hit in order to win back Apple.

Also, re: the legality of Samsung's statements, the phrase "mass production" is oh-so beautifully vague
 

witeken

Diamond Member
Dec 25, 2013
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A$35-$40 apps processor would hurt Apple's bottom line quite a bit (i.e. impact measured in billions of dollars).
Nonsense. $40 is more than a fair price to pay for a high-end processor (I really hate the word app(lication)(s) processor, whatever that even means). Apple should be happy that the smartphone race to the bottom isn't impacting their sales, since the iPhone 6 (Plus)'s price is a lot higher than anything else in the market. I don't think the A8(X)'s price is too far from that number.
 

Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
21,118
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Nonsense. $40 is more than a fair price to pay for a high-end processor (I really hate the word app(lication)(s) processor, whatever that even means). Apple should be happy that the smartphone race to the bottom isn't impacting their sales, since the iPhone 6 (Plus)'s price is a lot higher than anything else in the market. I don't think the A8(X)'s price is too far from that number.

Don't forget that Apple's price has to include the R&D amortization that went into designing the chip in the first place. Craptastic yields are not their only concern when it comes to $/die.
 
Mar 10, 2006
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Don't forget that Apple's price has to include the R&D amortization that went into designing the chip in the first place. Craptastic yields are not their only concern when it comes to $/die.

Yes. Poaching Intel's, ARM's, and IBM's chip engineers ain't cheap

I have heard that Apple routinely offers 40%+ salary increases to employees at top chip companies to lure them over. These guys are deadly serious about developing great processors.
 

el etro

Golden Member
Jul 21, 2013
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Finally it seems someone can catch or at least come closer Intel fabs. I bet Samsung 14nm FinFET will come later than Intel 14nm, but not too late as many fabs will be. Seems like FinFet and 14 nanometers are both a big challenge for all foundries(include Intel), so Samsung is really doing the things very well. If they can still give continuity to Moore's Law on processors.
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
14,842
5,457
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Nonsense. $40 is more than a fair price to pay for a high-end processor (I really hate the word app(lication)(s) processor, whatever that even means). Apple should be happy that the smartphone race to the bottom isn't impacting their sales, since the iPhone 6 (Plus)'s price is a lot higher than anything else in the market. I don't think the A8(X)'s price is too far from that number.

I don't know about the Air 2, but one iPhone 6 teardown had the cost of the A8+M8 at $20, and another at $37.

I should point out that I think this is for the iPad Pro (release in March) and not the 6S.
 

lefty2

Senior member
May 15, 2013
240
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So, they were at 10-20% yield 2-3 months ago. It's not inconceivable that Samsung was able to improve the yield since then. And really, they only need it to be ready by June 2015 for A9 production.
 
Mar 10, 2006
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Finally it seems someone can catch or at least come closer Intel fabs. I bet Samsung 14nm FinFET will come later than Intel 14nm, but not too late as many fabs will be. Seems like FinFet and 14 nanometers are both a big challenge for all foundries(include Intel), so Samsung is really doing the things very well. If they can still give continuity to Moore's Law on processors.

Samsung "14nm" and Intel "14nm" are hardly identical.

Samsung's 14nm offers a gate pitch of 78nm and minimum metal pitch of 64nm; Intel's 14nm offers a 70nm gate pitch and 52nm minmum metal.

You can see this delta play out in the SRAM cell sizes both companies have published. Intel's high performance SRAM cell size is 0.0588um^2 while Samsung's is 0.080um^2; Intel's high density SRAM cell at 14nm is 0.05um^2, compared to 0.064um^2 for Samsung.

They might both be labeled "14nm" but Intel's is quite a bit denser. To quote Charlie Demerjian of SemiAccurate:

If Intel does deliver what they claim, we buy the naming of their “14nm” process, the rest are effectively slinging a load of BS to the non-technical masses this generation.
 

witeken

Diamond Member
Dec 25, 2013
3,899
193
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Yes. Poaching Intel's, ARM's, and IBM's chip engineers ain't cheap

I have heard that Apple routinely offers 40%+ salary increases to employees at top chip companies to lure them over. These guys are deadly serious about developing great processors.

Yes... they hired Brian Klug en Anand Shimpi, basically halving AnandTech's number of great reviewers. Too bad they don't have the right fabs to get the full potential out of their chips.
 
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